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The Washington Nationals (55-67) and Philadelphia Phillies (71-50) play the 2nd game of their 4-game series Friday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 6-1
Nationals starter Mitchell Parker had the worst outing of his young career in Thursday’s 13-3 loss. He lasted just 3 innings and allowed 9 ER on 10 hits. All of Washington’s offense came from C Keibert Ruiz who hit 2 HRs. The Nationals have been outscored by the Phillies 43-18 over their 7 games.
The Phillies got home runs from RF Nick Castellanos, 1B Weston Wilson, and 3B Alec Bohm while SS Trea Turner went 3-for-5 with a double, 2 RBIs, and 2 runs scored. RHP Zack Wheeler earned his 12th victory.
Nationals at Phillies projected starters
LHP Patrick Corbin vs. RHP Aaron Nola
Corbin (2-12, 5.98 ERA) makes his 25th career start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 131 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 5-4 victory against the Los Angeles Angels Saturday
- 2024 road splits: 1-7, 6.68 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 51 R (47 ER), 1.72 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 12 starts
- Last start vs Phillies: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 4-0 road victory on April 5
- Is 6-10 with a 4.81 ERA in 21 starts vs. Phillies
Nola (11-6, 3.60 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 147 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 9 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 11-1 loss at the Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
- 2024 home splits: 5-3, 3.41 ERA (74 IP, 30 R (28 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 12 starts
- 2024 vs. Nationals: 2-0, 1.42 (12 2/3 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 in 2 starts
- Is 9-8 with a 3.70 ERA in 31 career starts vs. Nationals
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Nationals at Phillies odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nationals +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Phillies -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Phillies -1.5 (-126)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Nationals at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 8, Nationals 3
Moneyline
PASS.
You can’t bet nearly 3 units to win back 1. Save your wager for the run line.
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-128).
I have a simple rule when betting baseball, always bet against Patrick Corbin. He stinks; just look at his numbers across the board. He has gotten progressively worst since the Nationals World Series run back in 2017. Corbin is 1-7 since 2021 against the Phillies.
Philadelphia has beaten the Nationals 6 of their 7 times this season.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (-115).
I’m betting the Over because Corbin is allowing 5.5 runs per game over his last 4 starts. He has also allowed 4.4 runs per game in his last 5 starts against the Phillies. Philadelphia has also been Over the total in 4 of their last 5 games.
In their last 3 meetings, the Phillies-Nationals are 2-0-1 against the Over.
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