UFC Fight Night 197: Felicia Spencer vs. Leah Letson odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 197 odds and lines between Felicia Spencer vs. Leah Letson, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s featherweight bout on the main card, Felicia Spencer meets Leah Letson Saturday at UFC Fight Night 197 – also known as UFC Vegas 42. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 197 Spencer vs. Letson odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims at 1 p.m. ET and the main card at 4 p.m. ET.

Spencer, a.k.a. “FeeNom”, dropped each of her last two fights, including a tight bout at UFC 250 against Amanda Nunes in June 2020. She also was dropped via split-decision against Norma Dumont her last time out in May. Three of her last four fights have resulted in losses at the hands of the judges and she is just 2-3 since arriving at the UFC level.

Letson will be making her UFC debut. She posted a split-decision win over Julija Stoliarenko at The Ultimate Fighter 28 Finale Nov. 30, 2018. She has had a long layoff due to serious health issues, including digestive and thyroid issues, but has been cleared to resume her career.

UFC Fight Night 197 Spencer vs. Letson: Odds and lines

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Spencer -380 (bet $380 to win $100) | Letson +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -240 | Under +165)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -210 | No +150)

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UFC Fight Night 197 Spencer vs. Letson: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Records: Spencer (8-3-0) | Letson (5-2-0)

Fight result (2-way line or money line)

Spencer (-340) will cost you over three times your potential return, and that’s still too risky despite the fact Letson hasn’t taken the walk to the octagon in nearly three full calendar years.

I am feeling SPENCER BY SUBMISSION (+255) as the play in this one. She has won four times by way of submission in 11 professional fights, and Letson hasn’t fought in three years. If she goes down to the canvas, how good will her defenses be after such a long hiatus?

Over/Under (O/U)

NO (+150): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE is a solid value at plus money. Letson will be hard-pressed to last the whole time in the octagon in her first fight since late 2018. As mentioned above, I like Spencer to tap her out so UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+165) is also worth a look.

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