Yale at Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Yale at Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Yale Bulldogs (1-1) step into the arena against the No. 12 Purdue Boilermakers (2-0) Monday evening. Tip-off from Mackey Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET. (Big Ten Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Yale vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Yale followed up a Nov. 4 88-62 thrashing of Quinnipiac with a 91-79 clunker against University of Illinois-Chicago Friday. It was a 6-point favorite in that one. G John Poulakidas led the way with 21 points but shot just 6-for-17 from the floor. Turnovers killed Yale, as it lost that battle 16-7.

The No. 12 Boilermakers are learning to live without 2-time national college player of the year Zach Edey. They’ve beaten Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 90-73 (Nov. 4), failing to cover the 25.5-point spread, and covered the 20.5-point spread in a 72-50 victory over Northern Kentucky Friday. F Fletcher Loyer led the way with 16 points against NKU, and F Trey Kaufman-Renn had 14.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll

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Yale at Purdue odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated at 2:54 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yale +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Purdue -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale +14.5 (-110) | Purdue -14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yale at Purdue picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 78, Yale 60

Moneyline

Yale doesn’t have much of a chance here. Purdue has a couple of young centers that are 7-foot-2 and 7-foot-4, and the tallest player Yale has is 6-foot-10.

I am tempted to take Braden Smith Over 12.5 Points (-125). He just has yet to really open up offensively, scoring 12 and 11 points against Texas A&M-Corpus Christi and Northern Kentucky, respectively, while dishing 22 assists.

PASS.

Against the spread

I like PURDUE -14.5 (-110) here. As mentioned, the Boilers have big-time mismatches underneath, and that will open up kickouts for 3-pointers. Purdue beat the brakes off Yale in 2022, 78-56, as 16.5-point favorites.

Over/Under

Take the OVER 144.5 (-110) here. Even while being shellacked by UIC, the Bulldogs still scored 79 points and shot 45%. They’ll be able to score enough in garbage time to push this one Over.

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March Madness: Yale vs. San Diego State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Yale vs. San Diego State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Yale Bulldogs (23-9) and San Diego State Aztecs (25-10) tangle in an East Region 2nd-round game in Spokane on Sunday. The 13/5 match-up at Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena is slated to tip off at 9:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yale vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Yale, which barely snuck past Brown in the Ivy League Tournament final last Sunday, upset 4-seed Auburn 78-76 as a 14-point underdog on Friday. Now 6-1 over its last 7 games, Yale is a slow-tempo, solidly-efficient team at both ends of the floor and one that does not turn the ball over.

Fifth-seed San Diego State, ranked No. 25 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, failed to cover a 6 1/2-point spread but defeated No. 11 UAB 69-65 in its Friday 1st-rounder. The Aztecs prevailed despite shooting 27.8% from distance (5 of 18) for a 4th time in their last 5 games.

Yale vs. San Diego State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yale +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | San Diego State -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale +5.5 (-110) | San Diego State -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yale vs. San Diego State picks and predictions

Prediction

San Diego State 68, Yale 64

Moneyline

Any profit is locked up in the middle. Would take Yale +220, so the Bulldogs are a lean. But better relative value can be found against the number.

PASS.

Against the spread

San Diego State is 4-8 ATS in non-conference games. The Aztecs are 2-4 ATS in neutral-site games.

The Bulldogs’ defensive rebounding is key. Yale was solid enough against Auburn Friday and is well-ranked, statistically, in that category. SDSU has edges at the rim and in free-throw frequency. The Aztecs are usually quite capable on the offensive glass, and for a team that doesn’t do much from 3-point-land, those 2nd-chance points will determine how successful SDSU is.

Yale is No. 79 on KenPom. SDSU has recently played No. 70 UNLV twice and No. 106 UAB; the Aztecs went 0-3 ATS in those contests.

BACK THE BULLDOGS +5.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Over is 5-2 across 7 SDSU tournament games.

Both teams have filed slow pace figures this season (KenPom rates Yale’s tempo as 327th). But a game inside 2 possessions would likely spiral the points the last 5 minutes. That projected closeness of the game, coupled with the Aztecs’ ability to draw fouls, makes the OVER 128.5 (-110) a solid zag play against the current.

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March Madness: Yale vs. Auburn odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Yale vs. Auburn odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Yale Bulldogs (22-9) and Auburn Tigers (27-7) meet in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament Friday. Tip-off from Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena is set for 4:15 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yale vs. Auburn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Yale is the No. 13 seed in the East Region. The Bulldogs are in the tournament courtesy of sneaking past Brown 62-61 (failing to cover a -8) in the Ivy League Tournament final Sunday. Yale is a slow-tempo, solidly-efficient team at both ends of the floor and one that does not turn the ball over. The Bulldogs are 5-1 over their last 6 games.

Auburn, which is ranked No. 7 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, is seeded 4th in the East after defeating Florida in Sunday’s SEC Tournament finale. The Tigers held an opponent under 40% from the floor (UF shot 36.4%) for a 4th time in their last 6 games, and AU defeated the Gators 86-67, covering a 5½-point spread.

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Yale vs. Auburn odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yale +625 (bet $100 to win $625) | Auburn -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale +12.5 (-110) | Auburn -12.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yale vs. Auburn picks and predictions

Prediction

Auburn 74, Yale 63

Moneyline

Look for better leverage with Yale and the points. PASS.

Against the spread

AU is just 1-4 ATS across its last 5 games against Ivy League foes. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games.

The Tigers rank in KenPom’s top 10 in both offensive (10th) and defensive (5th) efficiency. The defense (including what AU does along the perimeter) and overall court skills should help Auburn avoid a misstep, but figure on Yale’s slow-down game and defensive rebounding making things interesting.

BACK THE BULLDOGS +12.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

Yale’s last 25 games as an underdog have seen the Under go 17-8 (including the last 5 such games). Auburn has played 8 neutral-site games this season, and the Under has cashed 6 times.

Early-afternoon games often make for low-scoring opening halves. The way the Tigers can defend, and the fact neither side is over-reliant on distance shooting, makes the UNDER 140.5 (-110) — available at FanDuel Sportsbook — the moderate lean here.

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Ivy League Tournament: Yale vs. Brown odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Yale vs. Brown Ivy League Tournament odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Yale Bulldogs (21-9) and Brown Bears (13-7) clash in the championship game of the Ivy League Tournament in New York. Tip-off at Francis S. Levien Gymnasium is noon ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yale vs. Brown odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Yale, the No. 2 seed in the 4-team tournament, downed No. 3 Cornell 69-57 and covered as a 2 1/2-point favorite in Saturday’s semifinal. The win marked a bounce-back after an 84-81 loss to Brown on March 9. That setback, which came at home, is the Bulldogs’ lone blemish in their last 5 games.

Brown has come on strong late in the season. On Saturday, the No. 4 Bears topped No. 1 Princeton 90-81 as a 9 1/2-point underdog. The win marked Brown’s 7th in a row, both straight up and against the spread.

The 2 teams split a 2-game series in the regular season.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Yale vs. Brown odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:14 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Brown +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Yale -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Brown +7.5 (-105) | Yale -7.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yale vs. Brown picks and predictions

Prediction

Yale 75, Brown 66

Moneyline

No value here: PASS.

Against the spread

Since 2019, Yale is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in this series. Three of the Bulldogs’ last 4 wins against the Bears have been by 9-or-more points.

Yale had a 13-point lead at the 10-minute mark of the eventual overtime loss on March 9. Peg the Bulldogs as the better team at both ends in this one. At the YALE -7.5 (-115) tag, the Bulldogs are a slight lean over a Brown team that has caught fire from distance of late (10-of-25 Saturday, over-40% since Feb. 17).

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Over/Under

The strongest play in this matchup is the Over, which has cashed in 4 straight Brown-Yale games and is 14-6 in 2023-24 games when the Bulldogs are favored.

Expect a middle-to-slow tempo but some easy Bulldog baskets off turnovers and a decent 3 exchange.

Ticket this one for the 140s; BACK THE OVER 133.5 (-115).

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Ivy League Tournament: Yale at Princeton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Yale at Princeton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The top-seeded Yale Bulldogs (21-7) and No. 2 Princeton Tigers (20-8) meet in the cats-and-dogs finale of the Ivy League Tournament Sunday. The contest at Jadwin Gymnasium in Princeton will tip off at noon ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Yale vs. Princeton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Yale defeated No. 4 Cornell 80-60 Saturday and is looking to return to the NCAA Tournament for a 2nd straight year. The Bulldogs went 10-4 in league play; they are 10-1 in their last 11 games. Princeton defeated No. 3 Penn 77-70 on Saturday and is looking to get back to the Big Dance for the 1st time since 2017.

Princeton tied Yale for the regular-season title, but the Tigers were swept twice by the Bulldogs — 87-65 on Jan. 28 as 3.5-point road favorites as the 138.5 Under hit and 93-83 in overtime on Feb. 18 as a 2.5-point road underdog as the 142.5 Over cashed.

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Yale at Princeton odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yale -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Princeton +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale -3.5 (-105) | Princeton +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yale at Princeton picks and predictions

Prediction

Yale 72, Princeton 67

Moneyline

PASS.

Yale should win, but better value can be had on the spread.

Against the spread

Yale is 17-1-1 ATS this season and has won 3 in a row ATS against these Tigers. The Bulldogs have won 4 straight ATS against winning teams.

The Tigers are usually more capable against lesser defenses. The Bulldogs own the best defense in the Ivy League. When it is on defense, PU likes to force teams into a lot of outside shots. But Yale does well to create quality looks inside.

Princeton figures to have an edge in free-throw frequency (PU had 3 FT attempts in the 20-point loss and 31 in the over time game), but the Tigers can mitigate that and more from distance in in the turnover exchange.

Yale struggled at Jadwin in the Feb. 18 meeting (down by 19 with 8 minutes to go before rallying to win in OT), but look for a rebound here. BACK THE BULLDOGS -3.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

Figure a level pace without a lot of spiral from trips to the free-throw line or turnovers. PASS.

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Yale at Penn odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Yale at Penn odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Yale Bulldogs (17-6, 7-3 Ivy) take on the Penn Quakers (14-11, 6-4) on Friday at The Palestra. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Yale vs. Penn odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Bulldogs defeated Columbia 99-68 in their previous game to cover as 19.5-point favorites at home. Yale is on a 6-game win streak and has won 7 of its last 8 games.

The Quakers beat Harvard 80-72 in their previous game to cover as 1.5-point road underdogs. Penn is amid a 5-game win streak and has won 6 of its last 10 games.

This will be the second meeting between Yale and Penn this season. The Bulldogs won the first meeting 70-63 to push as 7-point favorites and the Under (144) connected.

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Yale at Penn odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yale -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Penn +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale -3.5 (-105) | Penn +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 142.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yale at Penn picks and predictions

Prediction

Yale 72, Penn 67

Moneyline

Even though Penn is playing at home, YALE (-170) is the better team this season. The Bulldogs have won 7 of their 10 conference games and have won 6 games in a row.

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Against the spread

YALE -3.5 (-15) is the ideal choice in this Ivy League matchup despite being the road team.

The Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and the favorite is 20-6-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings.

Over/Under

Even with G Jordan Dingle averaging 24 points per game for Penn, UNDER 142.5 (-105) is the pick in this contest. Yale is allowing only 61.3 points per game (12th) and the Bulldogs will likely slow down the game to try to secure a win on the road.

The Quakers are 19-5 to the Under in their last 24 games against a team with a winning record. The Under is also 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

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Yale at Monmouth odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Yale at Monmouth odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Yale Bulldogs (9-3) will travel to West Long Branch to take on the Monmouth Hawks (1-11) Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Yale at Monmouth odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

This is the usual Christmas week game between 2 teams which are irrelevant in the national picture. Yale, at 9-3, is looking to win the Ivy League and gain a berth in March Madness while Monmouth, at 1-11, will need a miracle run through the Colonial Conference tournament for any hope.

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Yale at Monmouth odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yale -950 (bet $950 to win $100) | Monmouth +575 (bet $100 to win $575)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale -13.5 (-110) | Monmouth +13.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yale at Monmouth picks and predictions

Prediction

Yale 70, Monmouth 53

Moneyline

PASS.

This game is a no-win situation to bet on. Neither team is good, and the atmosphere will be dismal with the students being on winter break.

Against the spread

BET YALE -13.5 (-110).

Monmouth is terrible and Yale will handle the Hawks from start to finish. The 13.5 points does not seem like enough for this game and I expect the Bulldogs to cover it easily. Take Yale -13.5 (-110) as my favorite play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 134.5 (-115).

The only way this game goes Over is if Monmouth is so bad that it cannot stop Yale. I think there will be some defense played in this game so I will ride with the Under 134.5 (-115) in New Jersey.

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Yale at Kentucky odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Yale at Kentucky odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Yale Bulldogs (8-2) and the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats (6-2) meet Saturday at Rupp Arena in Lexington. Tip-off is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Yale vs. Kentucky odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Yale takes on its first Top-25 team this season. The Bulldogs were tripped up 71-61 as 6-point underdogs at Butler Tuesday in their last game. The O/U 132 pushed.

The Wildcats picked up a 73-69 win over Michigan Sunday on a neutral floor in London in their last game. Kentucky, which didn’t cover as an 8-point favorite, is on a 3-game win streak since a neutral-site loss to then No. 2 Gonzaga Nov. 20. However, UK is 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in the past 6 games, while cashing the Under in each of the previous 3 contests.

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Yale at Kentucky odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yale +725 (bet $100 to win $725) | Kentucky -1500 (bet $1,500 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Yale +15.5 (-105) | Kentucky -15.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yale at Kentucky picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 79, Yale 58

Moneyline

Kentucky (-1500) will win, but betting 15 times the potential profit is not smart sports gambling.

Against the spread

KENTUCKY -15.5 (-105) is the play at home against this Ivy League opponent. While Yale sits atop its conference, it won’t be able to upset the ranked Wildcats.

The Elis are 6-15 ATS in the past 21 games against teams with a winning record. The Wildcats have managed a 7-3-1 ATS mark in the past 11 games following a non-cover.

Over/Under

UNDER 138.5 (-110) is the BEST PLAY on the board in this matchup.

The Under is 15-5-1 in the past 21 games for Yale dating back to last season, while going 15-5-2 in the past 22 road games.

The Under has hit at a 4-1 clip in the past 5 games at home for Kentucky, too.

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Yale at Colorado odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Yale at Colorado odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Yale Bulldogs (6-0) and Colorado Buffaloes (3-3) meet Sunday in Boulder with tip at the CU Events Center at 3 p.m. ET (Pac-12 Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Yale vs. Colorado odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Yale has played a relatively easy schedule so far, but it returns to the floor Sunday after covering a 1-point spread with ease Tuesday against Vermont. The Bulldogs crushed the Catamounts 73-44 and held Vermont to a 35.3% shooting mark from the floor. The Bulldogs have allowed a 33.2% mark overall, and that ranks 5th in the nation.

The Buffaloes have not played since last Sunday when they were upset 68-55 as a 2.5-point favorite against Boise State. That game was part of the Myrtle Beach Invitational. Colorado was also upset by UMass 66-63 earlier in that tournament. The Buffs now return to home hardwood where they have not played since Nov. 7.

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Yale at Colorado odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yale +325 (bet $100 to win $325) | Colorado -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale +8.5 (+100) | Colorado -8.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yale at Colorado picks and predictions

Prediction

Colorado 73, Yale 63

Moneyline

Colorado is the technical lean, but only at a midpoint closer to -350. PASS.

Against the spread

Two of Yale’s wins are against non-NCAA-I foes. A younger Colorado squad is back at home after a rough trip to South Carolina.

Peg the Buffs as being due better numbers with some shooting regression. COLORADO -8.5 (-105) is the small lean, worth perhaps a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

Colorado plays a fast brand of ball, and a decent number of CU looks from the charity stripe can be expected. But Yale matches up well on the boards which should snuff out quite a few 2nd-chance opportunities. And with a late lead, the reins may well be tighter-than-normal on this young Colorado team looking to get rolling the right way heading onto December.

Add in a dash of post-Thanksgiving hangover play, and the UNDER 138.5 (-110) is worth a play.

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March Madness: Yale vs. Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Yale vs. Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 14 Yale Bulldogs (19-11) meet the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (27-7) Friday in the first round of the East Region. Tip from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis is scheduled for 2 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Yale vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Yale earned an automatic bid following a 2-point victory over Princeton in the Ivy League Championship, covering as 3.5-point underdogs.

The Bulldogs are 14-15 against the spread (ATS) this season and are led by 6-foot G Azar Swain, who is averaging 18.9 points per game.

Purdue will look to avoid an upset like No. 5-seeded conference-mate Iowa (upset by No. 12 Richmond). The Boilermakers are coming off a 9-point loss to the Hawkeyes in the Big  Ten Tournament, failing to cover as 2.5-point favorites.

The Boilermakers rank 7th in the nation in points per game (80.7) and rank 3rd in both three-point percentage and field goal percentage. They’re led by star G Jaden Ivey, who is averaging 17.4 points per game.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: March Madness bracket betting bonanza

Yale vs. Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:38 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yale +800  (bet $100 to win $800) | Purdue -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Yale +16.5 (-115) | Purdue -16.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yale vs. Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 73, Yale 64

Money line

PASS.

I don’t think Yale has much of a shot to pull off the upset, but in March we’ve seen stranger things. That said, either play on the money line here isn’t worth the risk.

Against the spread

LEAN to YALE +16.5 (-115).

This is more a fade on Purdue than anything. The Boilermakers have been awful against the spread recently.

They have not covered a game since Feb. 8 with a 0-8-2 mark since then. Purdue is just 13-19-2 ATS this season, and it has struggled to separate in large-spread games because of its average defense, ranking 103rd in the nation per Kenpom.

Yale’s strength is on the defensive end, ranking 100th in adjusted defensive rating. Its strength defensively is in guarding the three, allowing teams to shoot just 30.3% from deep.

If they can limit C Zach Edey from dominating inside and guard Purdue’s dominant three-point attack, Yale should, as I expect them to, cover.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 143.5 (-110).

Along with struggling to defend, the Boilermakers haven’t had the same high-scoring games that they did earlier in the season. They’re just 2-8 O/U in the last 10 games.

Purdue’s bread-and-butter is in its three-point shooting, which Yale has shown to be able to limit throughout the season. Yale’s opponents rank 39th in the nation in terms of three-point shooting percentage

Four of Yale’s 5 top players are upperclassmen, so they should be able to execute the game plan despite being severely undersized.

Lastly, both teams rank outside the top 75 in KenPom’s adjusted tempo, which could limit the amount of possessions in this game and help the Under be the better option.

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