XFL betting odds lines picks predictions best bets

XFL Championship: Arlington Renegades vs. D.C. Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arlington Renegades vs, D.C. Defenders XFL Championhip odds and lines, with expert picks and best bets.

The 2023 XFL season comes to a close Saturday with the championship game between the Arlington Renegades and D.C. Defenders. Kickoff at the Alamodome in San Antonio is at 8 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Renegades finished 4-6 in the regular season and lost 4 of their final 5 games before the postseason. But they defeated the South Division champion Houston Roughnecks in the semifinal game 26-11 as 6.5-point underdogs.

The Defenders went 9-1 in the regular season, had the best record in the league and blew out the Seattle Sea Dragons 37-21 in the semifinal game as 3-point favorites.

The Defenders beat the Renegades 28-26 in the regular season.

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Renegades vs. Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:16 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Renegades +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Defenders -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Renegades +6.5 (-105) | Defenders -6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Renegades vs. Defenders key injuries

Renegades

WR Rannell Hall (foot) questionable

Defenders

CB Michael Joseph (abductor) questionable

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Renegades vs. Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 32, Renegades 22

Moneyline

The Defenders enter the title game having won 4 games in a row while the Renegades have 2 wins in their last 6.

The Defenders were the highest-scoring team in the XFL at 29.8 points per game while the Renegades were 8th averaging 14.6.

The Renegades scored 26 in their win over Houston and 26 against the Defenders, but in 6 games they did not score more than 16.

The Defenders have been the best team in the league all season and should win the title, but at -275 on the moneyline, it isn’t worth the action.

PASS.

Against the spread

D.C. won its semifinal game by 16 points, but the Defenders won their final 4 games of the regular season by no more than 2 points.

Four of the Renegades’ 6 losses were by at least 9 points.

BET DEFENDERS -6.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The last 9 games for the Defender have had at least 48 total points while only one of the Renegades’ games all season reached 48 points and that was against the Defenders.

BET OVER 47.5 (-115).

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Seattle Sea Dragons at D.C. Defenders XFL semifinal odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Sea Dragons at D.C. Defenders semifinal odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The 2nd of the XFL’s 2 semifinal games has the Seattle Sea Dragons (7-3) on the road against D.C. Defenders (9-1) to determine who moves on to the championship game. Sunday’s kickoff at Audi Field in Washington, D.C. is at 3 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sea Dragons vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Sea Dragons, after losing their 1st 2 games of the season, closed the season winning 7 of their last 8. They defeated the Vegas Vipers 28-9 in the regular-season finale, covering the 10-point spread as home favorites.

The Defenders ended the season with a 3-game winning streak following the 6-game winning streak they had to start the season. They closed the regular season with a 29-28 road win over the San Antonio Brahmas, failing to cover the 3-point spread as favorites.

The winner will play for the title against the Arlington Renegades, a 26-11 winner over the Houston Roughnecks on Saturday.

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Sea Dragons at Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:39 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Sea Dragons +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Defenders -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Sea Dragons +3 (-110) | Defenders -3 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Sea Dragons at Defenders key injuries

Sea Dragons

WR Blake Jackson (shoulder) questionable
OL Josh Seltzner (illness) doubtful
CB Linden Stephens (ankle) doubtful
WR Damion Willis (shoulder) doubtful

Defenders

All expected to play

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Sea Dragons at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Sea Dragons 32, Defenders 30

Moneyline

Two of the Sea Dragons’ 3 losses all season were to the Defenders, but they lost by a combined 5 points in the 2 games. Their only road loss was to D.C. in Week 1.

The Defenders have been playing on a tightrope in their games. They closed the season with 3 straight wins by no more than 2 points. They have allowed an average of 28.0 points per game in their last 5.

Seattle has averaged 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games,

BET SEA DRAGONS (+145).

Against the spread

D.C. has not won a game by more than 2 points since Week 6 while the only time Seattle lost by more than 3 was Week 1.

Expecting an outright Seattle win, I’m taking the +145 moneyline, but if you prefer the spread to give yourself some points to play with, the spread isn’t a bad play.

BET SEA DRAGONS +3 (-110).

Over/Under

The last meeting between the 2 teams had 67 combined points. The Defenders’ last 5 games and 7 of their last 8 had more than 48 points. The other had exactly 48.

BET OVER 48.5 (-110).

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Arlington Renegades at Houston Roughnecks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Arlington Renegades at Houston Roughnecks odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arlington Renegades (4-6) and the Houston Roughnecks (7-3) meet Saturday in the XFL South Division Championship. Kickoff from TDECU Stadium in Houston is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Roughnecks odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Renegades backed into the playoffs after San Antonio lost a heartbreaker at home against DC in Week 10. Arlington lost 4 of its final 5 games, including a 25-9 setback as a 1-point favorite last week against Houston at home. The Under cashed in both meetings against Houston this season.

The Roughnecks won the final 3 games of the regular season while covering the spread in their past 2 outings. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games overall. Houston went 2-0 straight up and against the spread against Arlington this season, winning the first meeting 23-14 as a 4.5-point favorite as the Under (39.5) connected in Week 2.

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Renegades at Roughnecks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Renegades +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Roughnecks -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Renegades +6.5 (-110) | Roughnecks -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Renegades at Roughnecks key injuries

Renegades

WR Victor Bolden (shoulder, groin) out
DB Javaris Davis (groin) questionable
LB Isaiah Graham-Mobley (shoulder) out

Roughnecks

WR Michael Bandy (hip) questionable
RB Dejoun Lee (shoulder) questionable

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Renegades at Roughnecks picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 24, Arlington 12

Moneyline

The Roughnecks (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s quite risky despite that they have beaten the Renegades in both regular-season meetings.

PASS, and look to the line instead.

Against the spread

The ROUGHNECKS -6.5 (-110) are a solid play worth pursuing rather aggressively, as long as the line doesn’t move to a flat 7 or 7.5.

Houston has won and covered both of its regular-season games against the Renegades, and it went 4-1 ATS in 5 home outings this season.

Arlington was a respectable 3-2 ATS in 5 games on the road, but it did fail to cover in its trip to Houston back in Week 2.

Over/Under

UNDER 41.5 (-110) is worth playing in this trilogy matchup.

The Under cashed in each of the regular season meetings, with Arlington managing just 11.5 points per game. The Under went 8-2 overall for the Renegades, while the Under was 3-1 in the past 4 home games for the Roughnecks.

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Vegas Vipers at Seattle Sea Dragons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Vegas Vipers at Seattle Sea Dragons Week 10 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The final game of the XFL regular season is Sunday night with the Vegas Vipers (2-7) on the road against the Seattle Sea Dragons (6-3). Kickoff is 7 p.m. ET at Lumen Field (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Vipers vs. Sea Dragons odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Sea Dragons beat the Vipers 30-26 in Vegas in Week 3.

The Vipers have lost 2 in a row and 3 of their last 4. They are locked into last place in the division. In Week 9, they failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, losing 28-21 to the Houston Roughnecks on the road.

The Sea Dragons are in a virtual scenario where a win gives them a playoff berth. If they lose, St. Louis will play in the league semifinals. If Seattle wins, based on league tiebreakers, it is virtually impossible to not get the postseason berth. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming off a 30-12 road win over the BattleHawks in Week 9 as 1-point underdogs.

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Vipers at Sea Dragons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:58 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Vipers +375 (bet $100 to win $375) | Sea Dragons -500 (bet $500 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Vipers +10 (-110) | Sea Dragons -10 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Viper at Sea Dragons key injuries

Vipers

WR Martavis Bryant (neck) out
LB Jawuan Johnson (calf) questionable
CB Antonio Phillips (back) out
RB Rod Smith (ankle) out

Sea Dragons

S Qwynnterrio Cole (illness) questionable
WR Juwan Green (shoulder) questionable
CB Linden Stephens (ankle) doubtful
WR Damion Willis (hip) questionable

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Vipers at Sea Dragons picks and predictions

Prediction

Sea Dragons 26, Vipers 19

Moneyline

PASS.

The Sea Dragons have won 6 of 7, are coming off their biggest win of the year, are playing at home and need a win to move to the semifinals. The Vipers are in last place and have not won on the road this season.

Betting the Sea Dragons isn’t worth it because you have to wager 5 times what you can win.

Against the spread

The Sea Dragons’ only double-digit win this season was last week against the BattleHawks while 3 of Vegas’ losses have been by double digits.

Seattle beat Vegas by 4 in their 1st matchup.

Laying 10 points is just too many, even for Seattle and how it is playing.

BET VIPERS +10 (-110).

Over/Under

The Sea Dragons only have 2 games this season with more than 47 total points. One was against the Vipers.

Four of the Vipers’ 9 games have had more points than Sunday’s projection. They have averaged 16.3 points per game over their last 4.

BET UNDER 47.5 (-110).

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Houston Roughnecks at Arlington Renegades odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Roughnecks at Arlington Renegades Week 10 odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The final day of the XFL regular season starts with the Houston Roughnecks (6-3) on the road against the Arlington Renegades (4-5). Kickoff is Sunday at 3 p.m. ET at Choctaw Stadium (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Renegades odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The two teams met in Week 2 with the Roughnecks winning 23-14 as 4.5-point home favorites.

The Roughnecks have won 2 straight games and are coming off a 28-21 home win over the Vegas Vipers, covering the 6.5-point spread as favorites. They started the season 4-0, lost 3 straight and since bounced back with 2 consecutive wins. They have locked up the South Division title and will host the Renegades again next week in an XFL semifinal.

The Renegades have lost 3 of their last 4 but clinched 2nd place in the division. They are coming off a 28-26 road loss in overtime to the D.C. Defenders, but they covered as 8.5-point underdogs.

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Roughnecks at Renegades odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:04 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Renegades -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnecks +1 (-110) | Renegades -1 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Renegades key injuries

Roughnecks

None

Renegades

WR Victor Bolden (shoulder) questionable
DB Javaris Davis (groin) questionable
RB De’Veon Smith (ankle) questionable

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Roughnecks at Renegades picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 20, Renegades 18

Moneyline

The Renegades are 2-2 at home this season, while the Roughnecks are 2-2 on the road.

The Renegades scored a season-high 26 points last week in their loss to the Defenders.

Even with the 26-point outburst, the Renegades still have scored the fewest points in the league with 137.

The Roughnecks have allowed an average of 15.2 points per game in their 6 wins.

Here it almost doesn’t matter whether you bet the money line or the spread. the price is almost the same.

Expecting a Houston win, it is a slightly better price here, so BET ROUGHNECKS (-105).

Against the spread

This game is essentially a pick-em.

With only a 1-point spread, the worst outcome is a push if you bet the Renegades and they only win by one.

But the price is -110 to bet the Roughnecks to cover (not lose by more than 1) and the price to bet them to win outright is -105. Save the $5 and bet the moneyline.

PASS.

Over/Under

Only 2 of the Renegades’ games this season combined for more than 40 points, Week 1 and last week.

Only 4 of 9 games for Houston have had totals higher than this games’ projection and when the two teams met in Week 2, they had 37 points.

BET UNDER 41.5 (-110).

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DC Defenders at San Antonio Brahmas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s DC Defenders at San Antonio Brahmas odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The DC Defenders (8-1) and the San Antonio Brahmas (3-6) meet Saturday in a Week 10 XFL matchup. Kickoff from Alamodome is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Defenders vs. Brahmas odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Defenders have already clinched the North Division. DC didn’t take its foot off the gas last week, easing by Arlington 28-26 in overtime, but it didn’t come close to covering as an 8.5-point favorite. After opening 6-0 against the spread (ATS), DC is just 1-2 ATS in the previous 3 weekends. The Over is on a 7-0 run, with DC posting 28 or more points in each of the outings.

The Brahmas are still in the mix for a postseason spot, but San Antonio needs help. San Antonio not only needs to win this week — a tall order against the league’s best team — but it needs Arlington to lose to a Houston team that has already locked up a postseason spot.

San Antonio won 25-23 last week against Orlando, and it has cashed at a 3-1 ATS clip in the past 4 outings. The Over last week was a rarity, halting a 6-0 Under run for the Brahmas.

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Defenders at Brahmas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Defenders -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Brahmas +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
Against the spread (ATS): Defenders -3 (-110) | Brahmas +3 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Defenders at Brahmas key injuries

Defenders

S Kentrell Brice (leg) out
LB Anthony Hines (quadriceps) probable
CB Michael Joseph (adductor) out
CB Anthoula Kelly (hamstring) probable
CB Dejuan Neal (shoulder) out
LB Reggie Northrup (back) probable

Brahmas

CB Terrell Bonds (ankle) questionable
OL Norman Price (knee) injured reserve
OL Maea Teuhema (ankle) out
DE Mike Tverdov (ankle) questionable

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Defenders at Brahmas picks and predictions

Prediction

Brahmas 25, Defenders 22

Moneyline

The BRAHMAS (+130) are worth a roll of the dice at home. San Antonio will be desperate for a win to stay in the mix for a playoff spot because the Brahmas are toast if they lose.

San Antonio QB Jack Coan completed 25 of 31 passes for a season-high 302 yards last week against Orlando to stay alive. That could be a problem for a Defenders team that allowed a season-high 434 yards last week against the Renegades. Again, DC wasn’t going at it as hard as possible, as it already had the North Division locked up.

Against the spread

The BRAHMAS +3 (-110) aren’t nearly as attractive catching just the 3 points. San Antonio is 3-1 ATS in the past 4 games overall, while DC has failed to cover in 2 of the previous 3 outings. It’s a better value playing San Antonio straight up, however.

Over/Under

OVER 41.5 (-115) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over is on a 7-0 run for DC, and it still managed 28 points last week. That’s 7 straight games for the Defenders scoring at least 28 points. And on defense, DC has coughed up at least 26 points in 4 in a row.

The Brahmas aren’t exactly known for their offense, but San Antonio did post 25 points against Orlando, which was its most since Week 2 against, well, Orlando.

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Orlando Guardians at St. Louis Battlehawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Orlando Guardians at St. Louis Battlehawks odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Orlando Guardians (1-8) and the St. Louis Battlehawks (6-3) meet Saturday in a regular-season finale in Week 10. Kickoff from The Dome at America’s Center is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Battlehawks odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Guardians suffered a disappointing 25-23 setback at the San Antonio Brahmas in Week 9. Orlando pushed as a 2-point underdog and is 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in its past 5 games. The Guardians are on a 5-1 Over run in their last 6 contests — their Week 9 O/U line was 38.5.

The Battlehawks were bounced at home 30-12 last week by the Seattle Sea Dragons in a very disappointing result. The 12 points were a season low for St. Louis, while the 30 points were the 2nd-most it allowed this year. The Under is on a 4-0 run for the Battlehawks.

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Guardians at Battlehawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:29 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Battlehawks -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread: Guardians +9 (-110) | Battlehawks -9 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Battlehawks key injuries

Guardians

TE Logan Carter (quadriceps) out

Battlehawks

S Jonathan Alexander (shoulder) questionable
DB Chris Cooper (hamstring) questionable
RB Mataeo Durant (concussion) questionable
DB Tim Harris (groin) questionable
LB Silas Kelly (concussion) out
DB Nate Meadors (ankle) out
LB Mike Rose (ankle) out

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Guardians at Battlehawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Battlehawks 30, Guardians 19

Moneyline

The Battlehawks (-400) are fighting for a playoff position, while the Guardians (+300) are eliminated from the postseason chase. Still, while St. Louis is expected to win, you cannot risk 4 times your potential return.

Remember, this is an Orlando side with just 1 win, but it came against the North Division champ DC Defenders in Week 7.

AVOID.

Against the spread

ST. LOUIS -9 (-110) will be going all out as it is fighting with Seattle for the 2nd playoff spot in the North Division. The two are tied at 6-3 and they split their 2 regular-season contests.

If both lose this weekend, St. Louis wins the tiebreaker based on a better division record.

If they both win, it’s a little more complicated and will likely come down to the 3rd tiebreaker (strength of victory in all games – combined record of opponents in win) or the 4th tiebreaker (best combined ranking among division teams in points scored and points allowed in all games).

Both are playing eliminated teams in this final week. Seattle hosts the Vegas Vipers (2-7) Sunday at 7 p.m. ET.

The Battlehawks won’t want to take any chances and likely will be pass-happy right out of the chute against a Guardians defense that has allowed 25 or more points in 7 of its 9 games

St. Louis has failed to cover each of the past 2 outings, and it is just 1-3 ATS in 4 home games this season. However, with a playoff spot on the line, look for the Battlehawks to take care of business.

Over/Under

OVER 48 (-110) is the lean.

There is very little concern that the Battlehawks will be able to score. The question is: Will the Guardians be able to hang?

St. Louis was toasted for 30 points last week by a solid Seattle offense, but prior to that, the Battlehawks had allowed just 12.7 points per game in the previous 3 contests. The Under is on a 4-0 run for St. Louis, too, so be careful.

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Seattle Sea Dragons at St. Louis Battlehawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Sea Dragons at St. Louis Battlehawks odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Sea Dragons (5-3) and the St. Louis Battlehawks (6-2) meet Sunday in a Week 9 matchup. Kickoff from The Dome at America’s Center is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET (ESPN2/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Sea Dragons vs. Battlehawks odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Sea Dragons were on the rise, winning 5 straight games heading into Week 8 against the DC Defenders. Seattle was nipped 34-33 at home, splashing cold water on the Sea Dragons. It is still 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games, while hitting the Over in 3 in a row, and 6 of 8 this season.

The Battlehawks won for the 3rd consecutive time last week at home against the Vegas Vipers, although they failed to cover in the 21-17 win as 7.5-point favorites. The Under cashed for the 3rd straight game, too, as the defense has allowed just 12.7 points per game (PPG) during the win streak.

These teams met in Seattle back in Week 2, with the Battlehawks scratching out a 20-18 road win as 3.5-point underdogs as the Over (36.5) connected.

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Sea Dragons at Battlehawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:02 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Sea Dragons -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Battlehawks -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Sea Dragons +1 (-110) | Battlehawks -1 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Sea Dragons at Battlehawks key injuries

Sea Dragons

LB Jordan Evans (hamstring) out – moved to IR
DT Antwuan Jackson (knee) questionable
DE Daniel Joseph (groin) questionable
DE Chris Smith (illness) questionable

Battlehawks

S Jon Alexander (shoulder) questionable
RB Mataeo Durant (concussion) out
DB Tim Harris (groin) out
QB AJ McCarron (shoulder) questionable
LB Mike Rose (ankle) out
QB Nick Tiano (foot) out – moved to IR

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Sea Dragons at Battlehawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Sea Dragons 25, Battlehawks 19

Moneyline

The SEA DRAGONS (-105) are the play, as McCarron is banged up for the Battlehawks (-115), and a question mark to play. With his backup, Tiano, hitting IR this week, the team could be forced to start former Arizona State standout QB Manny Wilkins, with Vincent Testaverde Jr. serving as backup. That’s not ideal.

QB Ben DiNucci has been a stud for the Sea Dragons, rolling up 2,072 passing yards with 15 TD, leading the XFL in yardage. Of course, DiNucci also leads the league with 10 INT, too.

Still, if McCarron is officially ruled out, or limited in any way, that seriously decreases the chances of St. Louis winning.

Against the spread

Betting the Sea Dragons +1 (-110) makes no sense. If you like Seattle, just bet it straight up on the moneyline for a better price.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 46 (-110) is the lean. This game should be a shootout between DiNucci and McCarron, and that’s what the people want to see. But if McCarron is limited or sidelined, that will limit the offensive potential.

Seattle has cashed the Under just twice this season. Of course, the Under is 2-2 in the 4 games prior to Week 8, and the defense has allowed 19 or fewer points in 4 straight from Weeks 4-7.

St. Louis has cashed the Under in 3 in a row, allowing just 12.7 PPG in the past 3 outings. Even if McCarron plays, we could see a little more defense than anticipated.

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Arlington Renegades at DC Defenders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Arlington Renegades at DC Defenders odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arlington Renegades (4-4) and the DC Defenders (7-1) meet Sunday in a Week 9 matchup. Kickoff from Audi Field is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN2/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Renegades vs. Defenders odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Renegades remain in the hunt for a playoff spot, although they no longer can win the South Division after the Houston Roughnecks posted a Week 9 victory Saturday to lock up the title. With a win, Arlington can clinch a postseason berth.

Arlington is coming off a big 18-16 win in Orlando last week, just its 2nd cover in 8 tries. The defense has allowed 16 or fewer points in 3 of the last 4 outings, and the Under is a healthy 7-1 for the Renegades this season.

The Defenders bounced back after a shocking loss to the winless Guardians in Week 7, posting a 34-33 road win against the Seattle Sea Dragons. Defense has been suspect lately, allowing 35.0 points per game (PPG) in the last 2 outings.

The DC offense is humming lately, however, going for 28 or more points in 6 straight games, cashing the Over in each outing.

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Renegades at Defenders odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:53 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Renegades +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Defenders -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Renegades +8.5 (-110) | Defenders -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Renegades at Defenders key injuries

Renegades

LB Donald Payne (ankle) out
LB Bunmi Rotimi (knee) questionable
WR Caleb Vander Esch (head) probable

Defenders

RB Ryquell Armstead (hamstring) probable
WR Jaquez Ezzard (hamstirng) out
LB Anthony Hines (quadriceps) out
WR Brandon Smith (illness) probable

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Renegades at Defenders picks and predictions

Prediction

Defenders 29, Renegades 23

Moneyline

The Defenders (-400) will cost you 4 times your potential return, and that’s too expensive given how poorly DC’s defense has played. They’re not defending anybody!

The Renegades (+300) are playing for a playoff spot, while DC already has clinched the North Division. If anything, Arlington would be worth a flier for a chance to triple up.

PASS.

Against the spread

The RENEGADES +8.5 (-110) are a solid value. Arlington is 2-1 ATS in the last 3 as an underdog, while the Defenders -8.5 (-110) failed to cover its only instance as a favorite of 7 or more points this season. In fact, DC lost that game outright against Orlando in Week 7 as a 9.5-point favorite.

Over/Under

OVER 41.5 (-110) is the play. Arlington’s offense is a concern, as it hasn’t had more than 18 points since a Week 1 win over Vegas. In fact, the Renegades are averaging just 12.7 PPG in the last 7 games, while cashing the Under in 7 of 8 games.

However, DC’s defense has yielded 35.0 PPG in the last 2 games, and it has allowed 18 or more points in all but 1 outing this season. Plus, the Defenders lead the XFL with 241 points, or 30.1 PPG.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Orlando Guardians at San Antonio Brahmas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Orlando Guardians at San Antonio Brahmas odds and lines, with expert XFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Orlando Guardians (1-7) and the San Antonio Brahmas (2-6) meet Saturday in a Week 9 matchup. Kickoff from the Alamodome is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Brahmas odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Guardians are eliminated from the playoff hunt. Despite the worst record in the XFL, the Guardians are not quitting. And Orlando has been one of the more dependable teams at the betting window, going 3-1 against the spread (ATS) across the past 4 games overall.

The Brahmas are still mathematically alive for a postseason spot despite being 4 games under .500 with just 2 games to play. Like Orlando, San Antonio has been dependable for bettors, going 2-1 ATS in the past 3 games. More importantly, the total has gone Under in 6 consecutive outings and 7 of 8 games overall.

San Antonio won the 1st meeting in Week 2 by a 30-12 score, covering a 3.5-point number as the Over (37.5) connected.

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[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Guardians at Brahmas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Brahmas -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-110) | Brahmas -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 39 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Brahmas key injuries

Guardians

TE Cody Latimer (knee) out

Brahmas

None

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Guardians at Brahmas picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 25, Brahmas 19

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (+105) are out of the playoff hunt, but head coach Terrell Buckley’s team has been playing hard down the stretch. Orlando surprised previously unbeaten DC in Week 7, and it played Arlington tough last week. Despite going 1-3 SU, Orlando is 3-1 ATS in the past 4 games, and all 4 games have been decided by one score.

Against the spread

The GUARDIANS +1.5 (-110) are not as good of a value as just taking them straight up on the money line. The ML play is the better option unless you’re dead set on believing the Brahmas -1.5 (-110) will win by just a single point.

Over/Under

OVER 39 (-110) is the lean. Orlando has cashed the Over in 4 of the past 5 games, posting 26.0 PPG across the past 4 outings. The defense has allowed 31.8 PPG across the past 5 games for the Guardians, too.

For the Brahmas, it has been all about the Under, cashing in 6 straight. The lone Over in San Antonio’s 8 games this season was a 30-12 win in Orlando in Week 2.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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