Tag: Week 8 college football picks

UTSA vs Louisiana Tech Prediction, Game Preview

UTSA Roadrunners at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

UTSA vs Louisiana Tech prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

UTSA vs Louisiana Tech How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA
How To Watch: Stadium
Record: UTSA (7-0), Lousiana Tech (2-4)
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UTSA vs Lousiana Tech Game Preview

Why UTSA Will Win

What are the future American Athletic Conference UTSA Roadrunners doing that’s so right?

The lines have been terrific.

The ground game isn’t anything amazing, but the offensive front is great in pass protection and it’s effective enough for the good group of backs. The defensive front has been a rock against the run – Illinois got to 150 yards on the ground, and no one else has done more.

The Louisiana Tech lines are going to be in for a long day, and the secondary isn’t going to come up with enough stops, but …

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Why Louisiana Tech Will Win

The Bulldogs are great at staying in games on takeaways.

Sort of.

They lost to UTEP, but they came up with four turnovers. The four takeaways made the Mississippi State game close, and the three against SE Louisiana saved the day.

Giveaways have been an issue – especially picks from QB Austin Kendall – but the yards have been there.

Keep bombing, test the UTSA secondary that allowed 523 passing yards to WKU’s machine and over 300 to both Memphis and UNLV, and hope for a few key takeaways – that’s the formula, but …

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What’s Going To Happen

UTSA doesn’t have a turnover problem. It only lost the turnover battle once this year, and even then it was just a -1 in a win over Middle Tennessee.

Louisiana Tech is in desperate need of a good break, but the 19-3 clunker against UTEP might have been one too many body blows. UTSA isn’t going to screw up enough to let the perfect season die in Ruston.

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UTSA vs Louisiana Tech Prediction, Line

UTSA 31, Louisiana Tech 24
Line: UTSA -6, o/u: 59
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
– 10 Best Picks Against The Spread: Week 8

Must See Rating: 2.5

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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East Carolina vs Houston Prediction, Game Preview

East Carolina Pirates at Houston Cougars prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

East Carolina vs Houston prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

East Carolina vs Houston How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX
How To Watch: ESPNU
Record: East Carolina (3-3), Houston (5-1)
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East Carolina vs Houston Game Preview

Why East Carolina Will Win

Can the offense get it back?

The Pirates have the parts to get into fun shootouts, but they’re not consistent enough. When the O rolls, they win. When it doesn’t, they lose, and by roll that means crank up 388 yards or more. Get there, and they’re 3-0. Don’t, and they’re 0-4.

The other side of the ball hasn’t been bad. This is one of the better East Carolina defenses in a while, with the ability to get behind the line and the aggressiveness to come up with enough takeaways to matter, but …

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Why Houston Will Win

The 388-yard thing … Houston has yet to allow more than 376.

The Cougars might be thought of as a dangerous offensive team under head coach Dana Holgorsen, but it’s the other side of the ball that’s getting it done against a weak schedule.

Yeah, Rice, Grambling, Navy, Tulsa, and Tulane isn’t exactly like dealing with the SEC West – Houston has yet to beat a team that will go bowling, most likely – but it’s doing what you’re supposed to against mediocre teams.

The D is the second-best in the nation at third down stops, the running game is solid, and there aren’t a ton of takeaways.

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What’s Going To Happen

This seems like it should be a bit of a shootout, but it’ll be the Houston defense that takes over and keeps this from getting too crazy.

Again, Houston hasn’t really beaten anyone, and again, the defense is good enough to keep down ECU. It’ll be the Pirates’ job to make the Cougar O press a bit.

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East Carolina vs Houston Prediction, Line

Houston 37, East Carolina 24
Line: Houston -13.5, o/u: 57
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5
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Must See Rating: 3

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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Liberty vs North Texas Prediction, Game Preview

Liberty Flames vs North Texas Mean Green prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

Liberty vs North Texas prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

Liberty vs North Texas How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Apogee Stadium, Denton, TX
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Liberty (5-2), North Texas (1-5)
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Liberty vs North Texas Game Preview

Why Liberty Will Win

Can the Flames quickly bounce back from the inexcusable 31-28 clunker against ULM?

The offense was fine and the running game was great, but the turnovers were too much to overcome.

North Texas doesn’t move the ball consistently enough, the defense doesn’t generate third down stops, and there shouldn’t be any problems for the Flames to gear it back up with a good balance to tear off yards in chunks.

The ground game should take over fast – North Texas allowed over 300 yards to Missouri a few weeks ago. But …

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Why North Texas Will Win

The turnovers.

North Texas has a problem with them – especially interceptions – but Liberty has had the bigger issue over the last few weeks with three against Middle Tennessee not being a big deal, and three against ULM being a killer.

QB Malik Willis might still be dynamic and fantastic, but he’s not playing all that well. The Mean Green defense has to bother him, and on the other side, DeAndre Torrey and the running game have to keep going.

North Texas leads Conference USA in rushing, but …

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What’s Going To Happen

That’s American Athletic Conference North Texas to you, at least in the near future.

Liberty will run for over 300 yards as it doesn’t force Willis to shoehorn in any passes – he won’t be needed to bomb away. North Texas will make this interesting with enough offense to matter, but the defensive side won’t be able to hold up.

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Liberty vs North Texas Prediction, Line

Liberty 52, North Texas 20
Line: Liberty -21.5, o/u: 60.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
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Must See Rating: 2

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction, Game Preview

Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno State Bulldogs prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

Nevada vs Fresno State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

Nevada vs Fresno State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Bulldog Stadium, Fresno, CA
How To Watch: FS2
Record: Nevada (5-1), Fresno State (5-2)
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Nevada vs Fresno State Game Preview

Why Nevada Will Win

Here comes the Nevada passing game.

Fresno State might be bring a decent defense to this, but the secondary hasn’t dealt with a whole slew of dangerous passing attacks, and that includes Oregon – to a certain extent – and allowed 278 yards to UCLA.

Carson Strong is the front-runner for the Mountain West Player of the Year, stepping up his game as the season has gone on with 377 yards against New Mexico State and close to 400 yards last week against Hawaii.

On the other side, the Nevada pass rush has been fantastic with 11 sacks in the last three games, and any pressure on Fresno State QB Jake Haener will make a difference.

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Why Fresno State Will Win

Yeah, Nevada was able to beat Boise State a few weeks ago, but taking out New Mexico State and Hawaii just isn’t that big a deal.

Fresno State was able to settle in after the tough loss to Hawaii. The defense was great against Wyoming, the offense did what it could in the 17-0 day, and now it’s time to start throwing again.

As good as the Nevada pass rush is, the secondary will give up plenty of yards if Haener gets a little time.

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What’s Going To Happen

San Diego State might currently be the most dangerous team in the West division, but it has a tough day against Air Force. The winner of this will still have the Mountain West title there for the taking – both of them still have to face the Aztecs.

Can the Fresno State offense find its groove again after a miserable day against Wyoming? The D did the work in that with four takeaways, but it’s not going to get those against Strong.

It’ll be a fun shootout with both passing games going off. The Bulldogs will get just a wee bit more of a running attack to balance its O out late.

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Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction, Line

Fresno State 36, Nevada 31
Line: Fresno State -3.5, o/u: 64
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5
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Must See Rating: 4

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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New Mexico vs Wyoming Prediction, Game Preview

New Mexico Lobos vs Wyoming Cowboys prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

New Mexico vs Wyoming prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

New Mexico vs Wyoming How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium, Laramie, WY
How To Watch: Stadium
Record: New Mexico (2-5), Wyoming (4-2)
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New Mexico vs Wyoming Game Preview

Why New Mexico Will Win

It’s been a wee bit of a struggle for New Mexico – to be nice about it.

The offense is sputtering, but overall the run defense hasn’t been all that bad – top rushing offenses aside – and the secondary hasn’t been all that awful.

The Lobos have allowed just two touchdown passes in the last four games and haven’t been totally destroyed through the air – they haven’t allowed 300 passing yards.

Wyoming isn’t efficient through the air, it’s only averaging 333 yards per game in all, and it’s struggling to score with just 14 points in the last two games. But …

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Why Wyoming Will Win

Yeah, the New Mexico offense.

The Lobos can’t run the ball even a little bit – failing to get to 70 yards in any of the last three games and failing to get to 100 in four of the last five.

The Lobos are now dead last in the nation in total offense, second-to-last in scoring O – they’ve scored 37 points over the last five games – and they can’t seem to move the chains even a little bit.

Two early Wyoming scoring drives might end this.

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What’s Going To Happen

Two early Wyoming scoring drives will end this.

The Cowboy attack might not be anything special, but it also had to deal with the Air Force and Fresno State defenses over the last two games. It’s not going to go off against the Lobos, but it won’t need to. New Mexico will struggle to put points on the board.

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New Mexico vs Wyoming Prediction, Line

Wyoming 27, New Mexico 10
Line: Wyoming -20, o/u: 40.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
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Must See Rating: 2

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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San Diego State vs Air Force Prediction, Game Preview

San Diego State Aztecs vs Air Force Falcons prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

San Diego State vs Air Force prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

San Diego State vs Air Force How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs, CO
How To Watch: CBS Sports Network
Record: Air Force (6-1), San Diego State (6-0)
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San Diego State vs Air Force Game Preview

Why San Diego State Will Win

It’s not always pretty, and there’s no margin for error, but San Diego State keeps marching on with one of the best defenses in the nation.

It’s No. 1 against the run, going against a team that runs the ball.

The Aztecs allowed more than 100 rushing yards for the first time all season in the close call win over San Jose State – giving up 117 yards and a score. They’re giving up just over two yards per carry, allowed a mere 365 rushing yards, and just that one touchdown on the year.

Air Force can throw a little bit – it’s more about efficiency than bulk yards – but it needs to win by controlling games on the ground. That’s going to be a problem against this Aztec front seven.

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Why Air Force Will Win

The San Diego State defense is amazing. The offense …

It’s all partly by design. The offense doesn’t take too many chances and doesn’t open it up, it keeps control of games, and it lets the D do the rest. That’s fine, but when the ground game isn’t hitting 200 yards – it was stuffed for 70 against San Jose State – there’s a problem.

The Air Force run defense has been incredible. It’s not the rock the San Diego State D is, but it’s not all that far off; It has yet to allow 200 yards – 180 against Utah State was the high – and the Aztecs just don’t have the passing pop to pick up the slack.

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What’s Going To Happen

Both teams have to run to win, and neither team will be able to.

Neither side has a big turnover issue, but teams keep the ball for well over 30 minutes a game, and both teams have passing game issues.

San Diego State has a slightly better punting game, and it’s a wee bit better in the kicking game, but the Air Force running attack will be just a tad more effective at home.

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San Diego State vs Air Force Prediction, Line

Air Force 19, San Diego State 17
Line: Air Force -3, o/u: 39
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1
– 10 Best Picks Against The Spread: Week 8

Must See Rating: 4

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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Hawaii vs New Mexico State Prediction, Game Preview

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

Hawaii vs New Mexico State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

Hawaii vs New Mexico State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 12:00 am ET
Venue: Clarence TC Ching Athletic Complex, Honolulu, HI
How To Watch: FloFootball
Record: New Mexico State (1-6), Hawaii (3-3)
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New Mexico State vs Hawaii Game Preview

Why New Mexico State Will Win

When these two played a few weeks ago, the New Mexico State passing game was okay. It was a 41-21 loss, but QB Jonah Johnson wasn’t bad, and Hawaii wasn’t able to put it away until rolling in the fourth quarter.

The Aggie offense might not be anything consistent or explosive, but Johnson has settled in, averaging well over 300 yards per game in the last three with three touchdown passes against both San Jose State and Nevada.

Hawaii is battling hard, but it’s struggling on third downs on both sides of the ball. However …

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Why Hawaii Will Win

There’s no New Mexico State rushing offense to worry about – averaging just 84 yards per game – and the defense continues to struggle.

San Diego State is the only team to not get to 400 yards of total offense, but it ran at will in the easy win. The Hawaii attack should be balanced and it should be able to grind out the running game – it took off for 215 yards in the first meeting – and should be able to go on the scoring drives it needs to answer.

However …

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What’s Going To Happen

The Hawaii pass defense is having a whole lot of issues. New Mexico State’s defense is having more problems, but the Rainbow Warriors have been blasted by everyone’s passing game since the opener against UCLA.

That includes New Mexico State.

Johnson will get his yards, but the Aggies won’t be in control of the clock like they were in the first meeting. Hawaii’s offensive balance will be too much to overcome.

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New Mexico State vs Hawaii Prediction, Line

Hawaii 40, New Mexico State 24
Line: Hawaii -18, o/u: 62
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
– 10 Best Picks Against The Spread: Week 8

Must See Rating: 2

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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WKU vs FIU Prediction, Game Preview

WKU Hilltoppers vs FIU Golden Panthers prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

WKU vs FIU prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

WKU vs FIU How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: WKU (2-4), FIU (1-5)
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WKU vs FIU Game Preview

Why WKU Will Win

The passing game will be amazing.

QB Bailey Zappe and the Hilltoppers attack won’t have any problem ripping through a shockingly awful FIU secondary that allowed an average of over 400 yards per game over a three-game stretch before allowing 199 yards against Charlotte.

Third in the nation in total offense, the Hilltoppers are exploding or over 500 yards on a consistent basis, and they should let it rip without any worry against a D that’s dead last in the nation in turnovers forced.

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Why FIU Will Win

FIU can wing it around, too.

There might not be a whole lot of success overall, but former Maryland QB Max Bortenschlager has been fantastic with 14 touchdown passes – two or more in every game – five picks, and he’s coming off a 466-yard day against Charlotte.

WKU has several outstanding parts on defense, but it’s having a tough time holding up. It’s allowing close to 500 yards per game with a secondary that’s allowing 327 yards or more in each of the last four games.

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What’s Going To Happen

This is going to be fun.

Both teams are going to throw and throw some more, but WKU does it better.  The pass rush, though, hasn’t shown up this season like it was supposed to, but it will this week against a Golden Panther O line that’s having problems.

The Hilltoppers lines will be stronger.

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WKU vs FIU Prediction, Line

WKU 44, FIU 30
Line: WKU -15, o/u: 77
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
– 10 Best Picks Against The Spread: Week 8

Must See Rating: 2.5

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

 

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Cincinnati vs Navy Prediction, Game Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Navy Midshipmen prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines: Saturday, October 23

Cincinnati vs Navy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

Cincinnati vs Navy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Annapolis, MD
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: Cincinnati (6-0), Navy (1-5)
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Cincinnati vs Navy Game Preview

Why Cincinnati Will Win

The defense can tackle.

Obviously, dealing with the Navy offense isn’t like handling any other rushing attack, but the Bearcat D has yet to allow more than 170 rushing yards this season, the NFL talent in the secondary can tackle, and the pressure generated by the front that’s helped account for 40 tackles for loss per game should be a big bother.

And it’s not like the Navy rushing attack is rocking.

It was stuffed by Air Force for 36 yards, it isn’t consistent, and even when it has been fantastic it hasn’t necessarily meant success – it ran for 337 yards in the 49-7 loss to Marshall.

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Why Navy Will Win

But … it’s the Navy option attack.

The Cincinnati schedule – as Bearcats are all too sick of hearing about – isn’t all that great to finish up the season. SMU is dangerous, but if there’s one thing that might be able to derail this special season, it’s an option attack that on the right day, could be the differentiating factor.

It’s Navy, so it’s going to control the clock for close to 35 minutes, the rushing offense will have its moments, and there’s a shot that it could keep this close at home – like it did against SMU – with a chance to pull this off late.

However …

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What’s Going To Happen

There’s a good chance Cincinnati outgains Navy on the ground.

As the wins over Temple and UCF showed, this is a fully-focused Bearcat team that isn’t taking anyone lightly.

Navy will have a few good drives, but the defense won’t be able to slow down the Bearcat machine that will grind through the first half and bust through early in the second.

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Cincinnati vs Navy Prediction, Line

Cincinnati 48, Navy 17
Line: Cincinnati -28, o/u: 49
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 3

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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Utah vs Oregon State Prediction, Game Preview

Utah Utes vs Oregon State Beavers prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

Utah vs Oregon State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 23

Utah vs Oregon State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 23
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, OR
How To Watch: Pac-12 Network
Record: Utah (4-2), Oregon State (4-2)
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Utah vs Oregon State Game Preview

Why Utah Will Win

Utah has kicked it all in at just the right time.

It couldn’t get past San Diego State, and it stalled against BYU, but when things really started to matter once Pac-12 play kicked in … boom.

Through tragedy and inconsistencies, the Utah were able to take over the Pac-12 South with wins over USC and Arizona State. There’s still a lot of work to do, but the team is playing like it’s supposed to.

QB Cameron Rising has been terrific, the running game has come up with over 200 yards in two of the last three games, and the defensive line has stepped up its play in a massive way.

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Why Oregon State Will Win

The Oregon State offense owns third downs.

How do you keep a team like Utah from controlling the game? You keep the chains moving.

Utah isn’t into the whole time of possession thing like it used to be, but Oregon State leads the Pac-12, holding on to the ball for well over 31 minutes per game. That’s because the O converts on more than half of its third down chances thanks to a running game that’s averaging 242 yards a game.

The offensive line is playing well, the defense takes the ball away, and …

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What’s Going To Happen

Oh yeah, third downs the other way. Oregon State’s defense is the worst in the Pac-12 at coming up with third down stops.

The offense might be great at controlling the tempo, but the defensive side is getting crushed by teams able to keep their own offenses on the field. The Beavers are allowing teams to convert 49% of their own third down tries, and Utah will be more than happy to do just that as it keeps its momentum going.

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Utah vs Oregon State Prediction, Line

Utah 30, Oregon State 24
Line: Utah -3, o/u: 57
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 4

5: Succession
1: Dancing with the Stars: Grease Night

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