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Iowa State vs. Kansas State fearless prediction and game preview.
Iowa State vs. Kansas State Broadcast
Date: Saturday, November 30
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Network: FS1
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Iowa State (7-4) vs. Kansas State (7-4) Game Preview
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Why Iowa State Will Win
The offensive line continues to be fantastic.
It’s not powering away for a killer running game, but it’s giving Brock Purdy plenty of time to operate, it’s keeping defenses out of the backfield, and the production keeps on coming from the high-powered passing game.
Purdy has been amazing, throwing for over 350 yards in four of the last five games and continues to be up to every challenge. Iowa State is getting into firefight after firefight, and he keeps on making the offense go.
However, it’s the other side of the ball that could be the tipping point.
Kansas State needs its style to work in all phases – it’s not a team built to keep up in wild offensive battles. It needs to control the time of possession, it has to score whenever it has a chance, and just one scoring drive can be the difference considering five of the last six games have been decided by a touchdown or less.
The problem? Iowa State leads the Big 12 and is sixth in the nation in red zone offense – it scores 94% of the time inside the 20, only coming away empty three times.
Kansas State’s defense breaks after it bends, ranking dead last in the nation in red zone D with just one stop. Drive deep on the Wildcats, come away with points.
Yeah, but …
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Why Kansas State Will Win
When it comes to the little things, Kansas State does that better.
Iowa State is sharper when it comes to limiting the penalties, but the Wildcats don’t turn the ball over – the Cyclones don’t take the ball away – and they’re wonderful at grinding out drives.
The Cyclones are better when it comes to balling out and making games fun and wild, but K-State lives on dominant third down defense, running well, and getting great play out of the special teams.
Yeah, teams have been able to throw on the Wildcat secondary, but that doesn’t necessarily lead to wins.
Jalen Hurts was brilliant, and Oklahoma lost in Manhattan.
Texas Tech’s Jett Duffey threw for 368 yards … and lost.
Before the last two games, K-State allowed just five touchdown passes on the year with its style taking dangerous offenses out of their respective games.
What’s Going To Happen
The winner of this might be able to own the No. 3 spot in the Big 12 pecking order if Oklahoma State loses to Oklahoma. The finish in the standings sort of matters after the top two – it’s more about the right geographical tie-ins to some extent – but it would be a big deal for both programs to finish at least in the top four.
Kansas State should be able to do what it does – win third downs, move the chains, and expect the home field advantage to be just enough of a difference.
It’s Iowa State and it’s Kansas State, and this year, that means this game is going to be really, really close. Six of the last nine Kansas State games were decided by seven points or fewer, and eight of the Iowa State games were decided by ten points or fewer.
It should be one of the most fun games on a day of big battles.
Iowa State vs. Kansas State Prediction, Line
Kansas State 31, Iowa State 27
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Iowa State -3, o/u: 53.5
Live Stream: fuboTV (click to watch for free)
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1
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Must See Rating: 4
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1: All things Thanksgiving dinner
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