Tag: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres odds predictions pick betting line spread

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (41-80) and the San Diego Padres (66-56) meet for the 3rd contest of a 4-game set at Petco Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Nationals lead 3-2

The Nationals traded two-time All-Star and budding superstar Juan Soto to the Padres at the non-waiver deadline, but Washington has gotten the last laugh in this series so far. Soto is 0-for-6 with 2 BB and 3 K in the 2 losses at Petco to open the series.

The Padres have struggled mightily, going 2-5 across the past 7 games. San Diego has had a little bit of a hangover since news came down last week that SS Fernando Tatis Jr. would be suspended for the rest of the regular season after testing positive for a banned substance.

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Nationals at Padres projected starters

RHP Josiah Gray vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Gray (7-8, 4.79 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 118 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 3 ER, 5 H and 2 BB with 10 K across 6 IP in a no-decision against the Chicago Cubs last time out Monday.
  • Has posted 4 or more K in 12 consecutive starts dating back to June 3.
  • Is 5-1 with an impressive 3.21 ERA and .205 opponent batting average with 68 K across 61 2/3 IP in 11 road starts.

Musgrove (8-6, 2.98 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 133 IP.

  • Is just 3-3 across 62 2/3 IP in 10 home starts, but he has a stellar 2.87 ERA and .215 opponent BA.
  • Has allowed 1 HR in 5 consecutive starts dating back to July 24, and he has served up 14 HR across 133 IP this season.

Nationals at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Nationals +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Padres -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +1.5 (+105) | Padres -1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Nationals at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 3, Nationals 2

Money line

Let the past 2 days serve as a cautionary tale – never bet heavy, heavy favorites. The Padres (-320) will cost you more than 3 times your potential return, and bettors who made that foolish bet the past 2 games were bitten hard.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

The NATIONALS +1.5 (+105) have arrived in Southern California with revenge on their minds, beating old friend Soto and the championship-hopeful Padres -1.5 (-130) in the first 2 games.

Washington has been scrappy in this series, and they’re a good bet to keep it close, if not win outright on the road again. Gray has been tremendous away from home, while Musgrove is a .500 pitcher at Petco this season.

Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the play, as the Padres offense is not hitting on all cylinders, and Gray will make sure that continues.

The Under is 7-3 in the past 10 games for the Nats against NL West teams, while the Under is 5-2 in the past 7 games overall for the Padres and 5-2 in the past 7 tries vs. NL East foes, too.

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (39-80) head to SoCal to face the San Diego Padres (66-54) Thursday in the opener of a 4-game set at Petco Park. First pitch is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Padres lead 2-1

The Nationals’ trail of tears continues as they’ve lost 7 of 10 and 21 of 30. They’ve been outscored 61-33 in the last 10 games. 1B Joey Meneses is receiving an extended look and paying dividends as he’s 11-for-29 (.379) with a home run over the last 7 games. He enters with an 11-game hitting streak and has a hit in 12 of his 13 games since being called up Aug. 2.

The Friars have been so-so of late despite making a huge splash at the trade deadline. They’re 5-5 over the last 10 and 11-9 over the last 20. They’re a good home team, though, at 33-24. They beat Washington in 2 of 3 at their stadium last weekend.

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Nationals at Padres projected starters

RHP Anibal Sanchez vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Sanchez (0-5, 7.20 ERA) will make his 7th start of the season. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 30 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home win vs. San Diego Saturday
  • Allowed at least 3 ER in each of his 6 starts

Darvish (10-6, 3.40 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 140 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 9 K in 4-3 setback at Washington Saturday
  • Much better pitcher at home with a 2.17 ERA, 0.81 WHIP vs. 4.50 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the road

Nationals at Padres odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Nationals +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Padres -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Nationals +2.5 (-103) | Padres -2.5 (-117)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Nationals at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 3

Money line

No, that’s not a typo. The Padres are -400 favorites to win this game, which means you’d have to risk $40 to win $10. So, let’s look elsewhere.

Sanchez has been awful in each start, recording more than 15 outs just once in 6 tries. He has allowed 3 ER or more in all of them, which makes PADRES OVER 3.5 RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (+110) worth a roll of the dice. If you can find Padres OVER 2.5 runs first 5 innings, hammer it!

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Run line/Against the spread

Normally, I wouldn’t consider playing a 2.5 RL, but 8 of the Padres’ last 9 wins have been by 3 or more runs. Darvish is great at home, and I’ll risk a QUARTER UNIT on PADRES -2.5 (-117).

Over/Under

The wind is blowing in from left-center at 8 mph, which explains the opening 7.5 O/U line. The Over is 2-0-2 in the Nationals’ last 4 road games against a team with a winning record. The Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the teams and 4-0 in the last 4 in San Diego.

TAKE OVER 8.5 (+105). However, if you’re willing to lay a little juice, I can see backing the alternate line of OVER 7.5 (-135).

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-48) host the San Diego Padres (54-40) for the second game of their three-game series at Nationals Park Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego’s lineup raked Washington in a 24-8 beatdown in the series opener Friday.

The Padres hit five home runs with RF Wil Myers contributing 2 HR, including a grand slam, with 7 RBIs and 2B Jake Cronenworth hitting for the cycle with 4 RBIs.

Season series: Padres lead 3-2.

LHP Blake Snell is San Diego’s projected starter. Snell is 3-3 with a 4.99 ERA (70 1/3 IP, 39 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 over 16 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-1, with 4 IP, 0 ER, 2H, 4 BB and 3 K at the Philadelphia Phillies July 4.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-3 with a 9.09 ERA (32 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 2.14 WHIP and 1.4 K/BB in nine starts.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 35 at-bats with a .257/.333/.514 slash line, 14/4 K/BB, 2 HR and 3 RBIs.

LHP Patrick Corbin makes his 18th start for the Nationals. Corbin is 6-7 with a 5.40 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 56 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 15-5, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 3 K at the Padres July 7.
  • 2021 home splits: 5-3 with a 4.88 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.34 WHIP and 2.9 K/BB in eight starts.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 85 at-bats with a .282/.380/.459 slash line, 18/13 K/BB, 3 HR and 11 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Padres at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nationals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+120) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 8, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

TAKE the PADRES (-135) for 1 unit because “sharp” money has steamed San Diego up from a -122 money line favorite on the opening number to the current price, which is still below my buy-price of “Padres (-140)”.

Snell has been terrible on the road this season but there isn’t much rhyme or reason behind that and progression is almost guaranteed because he can’t pitch much worse on the road than he did in the first half of the year.

Speaking of which, Snell has turned it on after the All-Star Break throughout his career with a 74.1% win rate (20-7 record), 2.70 ERA (213 1/3 IP, 64 ER), 1.17 WHIP and 3.0 K/BB in the second half of the season.

Moreover, since neither starter’s numbers elicit much confidence, I’d much rather put my money on the Padres since their bullpen is a lot more reliable.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Padres -1.5 (+120) isn’t a fat enough payout considering how bad Snell has pitched on the road this season and San Diego’s 7-9 record in Snell starts.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105) for a quarter unit because of the aforementioned Snell difficulties in road starts, Corbin being in the midst of his worst season in the big leagues and the weather forecast predicting double-digit winds at the hitters’ backs.

However, the Over bet seems rather obvious since these teams scored a combined 32 runs in the opener of the series and I much prefer the Padres to win outright hence the slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-105).

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San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (53-40) and Washington Nationals (42-47) start a three-game set Friday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Chris Paddack is San Diego’s projected starter. Paddack is 4-6 with a 5.38 ERA (77 IP, 46 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 over 16 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Blown save with 2 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 4 K in San Diego’s 3-1 loss to the Colorado Rockies Sunday.
  • Paddack took a loss vs. the Nationals July 7 with 2 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 1 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 15-5 road victory.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 24 at-bats with a .417/.481/.708 slash line, 7/2 K/BB, 2 HR and 9 RBIs.

RHP Erick Fedde is on the hill for the Nationals. Fedde is 4-6 with a 4.59 ERA (64 2/3 IP, 33 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 across 13 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3-1, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 3 BB and 7 K Sunday at the San Francisco Giants.
  • Fedde lost July 6 at the Padres with a stat line of 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 7-4 loss.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 46 at-bats with a .304/.319/.457 slash line, 8/1 K/BB, 2 HR and 7 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Padres at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Nationals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+115) | Nationals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Nationals 4, Padres 3

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS (+115) for a quarter unit since I’m down on Paddack as a starter because he has career highs in both ERA and WHIP while nearly 90% of the pitches in his three-pitch arsenal are either fastball or changeup.

Don’t get me wrong, Fedde’s stuff isn’t very impressive either, but the Nationals are 7-6 when Fedde starts and they have a winning record at home whereas the Padres are 20-21 on the road this season.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Nationals +1.5 (-140) is too expensive given Washington’s 20-26 ATS record at home and San Diego’s 23-18 ATS record on the road this season.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 9 (+100) for a half unit because Paddack got roughed up vs. the Nationals earlier this season and one of the three Overs that cashed in Fedde’s 13 starts this season was his outing against San Diego.

Otherwise, Washington is 3-9-1 O/U when Fedde starts this year and the Nationals have the highest home Under percentage in the majors at 13-33 O/U.

That being said, the Over has cashed in four straight Padres-Nationals meetings and both starters are “bottom of the rotation” guys at best.

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-43) wrap up their four-game series against the San Diego Padres (51-38) Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Max Scherzer is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 7-4 with a 2.10 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.0 BB/9 in 94 1/3 IP over 16 starts.

Scherzer has seen his ERA drop with each of his last five starts and has won each of his last five road starts.

RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 7-3 with a 2.65 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 102 IP over 17 starts.

The Padres are 13-4 in Darvish starts this season. He picked up the loss last time out when he gave up 4 runs on 6 hits, including 2 home runs, in 6 innings Saturday against the Philadelphia Phillies.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals  +1.5 (-175) | Padres -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under: 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 4, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

The Nationals have taken two of the first three games of the series, winning 15-5 on Wednesday night. They are 18-21 on the road and have won six of their last nine games away from Nationals Park.

The Padres have lost five of their last seven games but still have won 10 of their last 13 at home. San Diego has not lost a home series since dropping two of three to the Chicago Cubs June 7-9. The Friars are tied for the most home wins in the majors with 31.

Take the PADRES (-150).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Nationals are only 38-47 ATS this season and have covered the spread in only two of their last seven games. They only have one one-run loss since June 26 and two since June 12, so when they lose it tends to be by more than one run.

The Padres, even with two ATS losses in the series, are still 5-3 ATS in their last eight games. They are 47-42 ATS on the season. Five of their last seven wins have been by at least two runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under (O/U)

All three games of the series so far have gone Over the projected total but with the starting pitching matchup of Scherzer and Darvish runs should be at a premium.

Seven of Scherzer’s last eight starts had totals of seven or less.

Take UNDER 7 (-110).

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (41-43) play the San Diego Padres (51-37) in the third game of their four-game series Wednesday in San Diego. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 87 1/3 IP over 16 starts.

Corbin has lost his last two starts and has not recorded a win on the road this season. He is 0-4 with a 6.56 ERA in seven starts away from Nationals Park.

RHP Chris Paddack is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 4-5 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 73 IP over 15 starts.

Paddack allowed 3 runs on 4 hits and a walk receiving a no-decision in San Diego’s 4-3 loss Friday at Philadelphia in his last start.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:58 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 4

Money line (ML)

The Nationals have split the first two games of the series and are 17-21 on the road this season, including 2-5 in road games when Corbin starts. Their road ERA of 4.45 is nearly a run more than their home ERA and that offsets their 4.6 runs scored per game on the road compared to 3.6 at home.

No team has more home wins than the Padres’ 31 this season. They have won 10 of their last 12 games at Petco Park.

Take the PADRES (-185).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Only three teams in the majors have a lower cover percentage than the Nationals’ 44.0%, and that percentage goes up only to 44.7% on the road. They have covered the spread in only one of their last six games.

The Padres are 47-41 ATS overall and 24-23 ATS at home. They have covered the spread in five of their last seven games, and eight of the nine wins they have with Paddack starting have been by at least two runs.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Both games of the series so far have gone Over the projected totals with totals of 12 and 11 runs.

Six of the Nationals’ last seven games have had totals of at least eight runs.

10 of the Padres’ last 12 have had totals of at least eight runs.

Take OVER 8 (-110).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (41-42) and San Diego Padres (50-37) play the second game of a four-game set Tuesday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Erick Fedde (oblique) was activated off of the 10-day injured list Tuesday and will start for the Nationals. He is 4-4 through 11 starts with a 3.90, 1.23 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 over 55 1/3 innings.

He last started June 23 against the Philadelphia Phillies and took a no-decision while allowing 5 earned runs on 6 hits and 3 walks over 4 innings.

LHP Ryan Weathers is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 3-2 with a 2.63 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 51 1/3 IP over nine starts and six relief appearances.

The southpaw allowed 2 runs, 5 hits and 4 walks in just 4 innings in a no-decision Thursday at Cincinnati.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-130) | Padres -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Padres 6, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

The Padres (-185) are looking for the bounce-back game after dropping the opener by a 7-5 count. They have the advantage Fedde in his return to the lineup.

Washington’s bullpen is just so-so with a 4.10 ERA so advantage San Diego, but it’s just a little out of my price range.

PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PADRES -1.5 (+105) are a better play on their home field in the second game of this set, especially in what’s likely to be an abbreviated outing for Fedde.

They’ll get to face the Washington bullpen early, and they’ll get revenge for dropping the opener. Look for plenty of San Diego power.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-105) is the lean here as Washington has hit the Under in six of the last seven against a left-handed starter.

The Under is still 8-3 in the past 11 for Washington against NL West teams despite hitting the Over in Monday’s game.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres (50-36) host the Washington Nationals (40-42) for the first game of their four-game set at Petco Park Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego snapped a three-game losing skid by beating the Philadelphia Phillies 11-1 Sunday. The Padres have won 13 of their last 20 games.

Washington was swept in a four-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers and has cooled off a bit recently but is also 13-7 in the last 20 games.

Season series: 0-0.

Washington hasn’t officially announced its starter yet but LHP Jon Lester is the projected starter. He is 2-3 with a 5.34 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 15-6, with 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 3 K Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • vs. Padres on the current roster: 82 at-bats with a .256/.358/.463 slash line, 23/12 K/BB, 4 HR and 12 RBIs.

RHP Joe Musgrove takes the hill for the Padres. He is 5-6 with a 2.63 ERA (89 IP, 26 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 over 15 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-5, with 4 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 3 K at the Cincinnati Reds Wednesday in a game that ended after the top of the 6th inning due to rain.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 51 at-bats with a .196/.226/.314 slash line, 11/2 K/BB, 1 HR and 6 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Padres -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Off the board (OTB)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Padres 7, Phillies 2

Money line (ML)

BET the PADRES (-250) for 1 unit because they have an edge in both starting and bullpen pitching and have a more productive lineup.

Both lineups have been raking lately as each ranks in the top 10 of MLB over the last 14 days in several advanced hitting categories such as WAR, wRC+, wOBA and hard-hit rate.

However, Musgrove has been strong through the first half of the season despite his losing record and should be eager to bounce back to form in his last start before the All-Star break after getting pelted in his previous outing.

The Padres are also fully loaded while the Nationals could be without a few everyday players including the red-hot OF Kyle Schwarber and C Yan Gomes.

Furthermore, Lester’s road splits are even worse than his home splits. He is 0-2 on the road with a 7.41 ERA (4.46 home ERA), a 1.1 K/BB rate (2.2 K/BB rate at home) and a .988 opponent’s OPS (.788 opponent’s OPS at home).

Also, San Diego has one of the best bullpens in the majors. The Padres relief corps is top five in K-BB%, left-on-base percentage, xFIP and SIERA.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

No odds listed at the time of publishing.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-105) for one-third of a unit because Padres hitters should rake Lester and Musgrove’s ERA, WHIP and K/BB rate have worsened over the past three months.

However, it’s only a “lean” since Washington’s lineup could be without a couple of key bats and we are still awaiting the final lineup cards for both teams.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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