Germany (0 wins, 0 losses, 3 draws) welcomes Italy (1-0-2) to Borussia-Park in Mönchengladbach Monday. Kickoff for the 4th of 6 group stage games is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Germany vs. Italy odds and lines, and make our best UEFA Nations League bets, picks and predictions.
The 2 global soccer powerhouses will highlight just a handful of premier games in this round of the group stage. The teams played to a 1-1 draw June 4.
Wildly enough, every one of Germany’s 3 group stage matches has resulted in a 1-1 draw. Italy, the No. 6 team in FIFA’s rankings, has drawn twice — 1-1 against Germany and 0-0 against England. They beat Hungary 2-1.
Having made global news when they were bounced from World Cup qualifying, this will be the top training ground for a new wave of Italian talent. They’re led by 25-year-old Roma M Lorenzo Pellegrini, who has 2 of the team’s 3 goals in the UEFA Nations League.
As for Germany, FIFA’s 12th-ranked team, they’re going to be a big-time contender in the 2022 Qatar World Cup. A combination of M Thomas Müller and F Kai Havertz lead the attack while GK Manuel Neuer anchors the backline.
Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.
Germany vs. Italy odds, lines, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:12 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Germany -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Italy +360 (bet $100 to win $360) | Draw +280
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)
[tipico]
Prediction
Germany 1, Italy 0
Money line (ML)
BET GERMANY -133.
Germany has an extremely talented side with many big-name European talents taking the pitch. While Germany didn’t come out on top against Italy in the 1st meeting, it did have double the shots on target and also had 68% of the possession in that battle.
Most of the time, a team with those splits will win, and with this match in Germany, the home side should have the edge.
While they did play on Saturday, Man City M İlkay Gündoğan and Muller both didn’t start, so they should be rested enough to play the bulk of the game against Italy.
Italy has just 11 shots on target through 3 games. Given their lack of consistent attempts, I’d back Germany to come out on top as they should have in the 1st matchup.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-117).
Italy has seen 5 goals netted between it and its opponent. Germany can barely top that with 6. The only game between the 2 teams that would have gone over this total is Italy’s 2-1 win over Austria.
As noted as well, Italy hasn’t had a powerful attack. They do not have a player in the Nations League that has more than 10 goals. It’s an extremely inexperienced side.
Germany has only scored 3 goals in 3 games, so their attack hasn’t erupted like many expected. Germany has had 11 shots on target in 28 attempts, so they have struggled to put it on the frame.
Both teams have had issues in the Nations League, and I expect their current form to yield a low-scoring affair.
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