2020 3M Open Prop Bet Payday: Matchups, Placings and FRL Picks

Analyzing prop bets for the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour odds, picks and best bets for the top matchup, placing and FRL options.

TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., hosts the 2020 3M Open with the opening round Thursday. Matthew Wolff tries to defend his 2019 victory in the inaugural event against the weakest field we’ve seen since the PGA Tour returned to play. As a result, there’s plenty of betting value beyond the top names of Dustin JohnsonBrooks KoepkaTony Finau and Tommy Fleetwood. Below, we look at the best prop bets for the 3M Open, including matchups, placings and first-round leader picks.

Also see:

2020 3M Open: Matchup bets

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:15 p.m. ET.

Dustin Johnson (-134) vs. Brooks Koepka

Johnson and Koepka are the first and fourth betting favorites at +1000 and +1600, respectively. They’re the class of a weaker field, but there’s no value in betting them outright in what’s likely their final preparations for the PGA Championship.

Johnson missed the cut last week at plus-16 after opening 80-80 in the tough conditions at Muirfield Village Golf Club. He’ll bounce back on a much easier course following his weekend off.

Tony Finau (-125) vs. Tommy Fleetwood

Finau collapsed last week at the Memorial Tournament as Jon Rahm went on to win by three strokes over Ryan Palmer and Finau finished eighth. Finau will recover in easier scoring conditions and against a weaker field as Fleetwood makes his first appearance since The Players Championship was canceled.

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2020 3M Open: Placing bets

Top 5: Ryan Armour (+1600)

Armour finished T-6 at the Travelers Championship and T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before a missed cut at the Workday Charity Open. He finished at minus-15 and minus-16 in his two top results and should have little trouble lighting up TPC Twin Cities.

Top 10: Bernd Wiesberger (+850)

The golf betting community missed on Wiesberger last week, as he missed the cut at plus-7. Typically playing only majors and World Golf Championship events while dominating the European Tour, the 3M Open will feature one of the easiest courses and weakest fields of any PGA Tour event he has played.

Top British/Irish: Tommy Fleetwood (+120)

Fleetwood doesn’t hold much value at +1500 to win the first tournament he has played in four months. He is +100 to be the top English player, but his odds rise with only Russell Knox (+900) and Seamus Power (+1600) being added as competition.

Top player from the rest of the world: Emiliano Grillo (+1400)

Grillo is priced sixth in this group led by South African Erik Van Rooyen at +600. Grillo missed the cut last week while losing 2.46 strokes per round putting, but he gained 0.88 strokes off-the-tee. The latter is the much more important statistic at TPC Twin Cities, and he’ll be able to contend without needing to worry as much about the flat stick.

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2020 3M Open: First-round leader bet

Derek Ernst (+17500)

Ernst, a former PGA Tour winner, returns to a PGA Tour event for the first time since a T-52 finish at the Puerto Rico Open in February. He has dominated the Korn Ferry Tour of late with three straight finishes of T-12 or better and looks to carry his top form to the next level.

Lucas Glover (+4500)

Glover finished T-7 last year at minus-16 after firing a Sunday round of 62. His T-38 finish last week was his worst result in five events since returning to play, as he has been one of the most consistent in the strong fields. He’s ready to break through against softer competition.

Get some action on the 3M Open by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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3M Open field by the rankings

Here is the field at the 3M Open by the

The 3M Open begins Thursday at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.

The field isn’t as stacked as last week’s event at the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club, but there are still many top golfers to watch.

Matthew Wolff will attempt to defend his 2019 title against Brooks Kopeka and Tommy Fleetwood, the top-ranked golfer in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Harris English (No. 19), Tony Finau (No. 21), Paul Casey (No. 25) and Dustin Johnson (No. 30) also headline the field.

Ben Hogan and Haskins Award winner Sahith Theegala is also in the field after completing his senior season at Pepperdine.

The Memorial field is broken down below according to each player’s ranking in the Golfweek/Sagarin and in the Official World Golf Ranking.

For the 2019-20 season, the average ranking of the winner heading into the week in which they won PGA Tour event has been 68.32 in the Golfweek/Sagarins and 93.64 in the OWGR.


Betting odds | Fantasy golfHow to watch | Field by the rankings


Player GW/Sagarin OWGR
 Tommy Fleetwood 17 12
 Harris English 19 126
 Tony Finau 21 17
 Paul Casey 25 27
 Brooks Koepka 27 6
 Dustin Johnson 30 4
 Carlos Ortiz 38 129
 Brian Harman 42 134
 Scott Stallings 44 220
 Brendon Todd 46 51
 Talor Gooch 52 144
 Lucas Glover 54 78
 Doc Redman 55 121
 Matthias Schwab 59 92
 Cameron Tringale 60 206
 Jhonattan Vegas 63 143
 Russell Henley 69 171
 Stewart Cink 71 262
 Sam Burns 74 169
 Richy Werenski 77 248
 Denny McCarthy 83 195
 Matthew Wolff 86 55
 Patrick Rodgers 87 182
 Max Homa 88 74
 Scott Piercy 93 108
 Vaughn Taylor 96 109
 Dylan Frittelli 97 104
 Alex Noren 98 125
 Troy Merritt 99 147
 Harry Higgs 103 133
 Henrik Norlander 106 141
 Erik van Rooyen 108 43
 Adam Long 109 110
 Ryan Moore 112 116
 Pat Perez 113 145
 Charles Howell III 115 86
 Chesson Hadley 117 215
 Bubba Watson 118 59
 Danny Lee 123 101
 Charley Hoffman 127 135
 Jason Dufner 129 288
 Joseph Bramlett 130 249
 Adam Schenk 134 205
 Matthew NeSmith 135 191
 Branden Grace 137 79
 Si Woo Kim 138 127
 Rafa Cabrera Bello 139 52
 Brice Garnett 141 211
 Chase Seiffert 142 180
 Peter Uihlein 143 351
 Luke List 147 118
 Tom Hoge 148 130
 Bronson Burgoon 153 256
 Chris Kirk 162 259
 Hudson Swafford 163 302
 Ben Martin 164 441
 Bo Hoag 165 308
 Fabián Gómez 170 290
 Scott Harrington 174 224
 Sam Ryder 175 204
 Kristoffer Ventura 183 161
 Ryan Armour 186 172
 Bernd Wiesberger 193 29
 Wes Roach 195 295
 Brandon Hagy 198 366
 Wyndham Clark 201 162
 Cameron Davis 206 233
 Keith Mitchell 207 102
 Tom Lewis 210 67
 Russell Knox 212 176
 Sepp Straka 213 146
 Beau Hossler 222 241
 Michael Thompson 225 218
 Andrew Putnam 226 88
 Mark Anderson 230 357
 Austin Cook 231 324
 Tim Wilkinson 235 370
 Chris Stroud 237 264
 Kyoung-Hoon Lee 242 209
 Kyle Stanley 243 175
 Chris Baker 246 433
 George McNeill 249 612
 Cameron Percy 254 350
 Aaron Wise 255 193
 Vincent Whaley 260 421
 Rob Oppenheim 261 469
 Luke Donald 262 382
 Emiliano Grillo 268 156
 J.J. Spaun 271 382
 Brian Gay 273 335
 Charl Schwartzel 277 224
 Aaron Baddeley 284 301
 D.J. Trahan 290 354
 Nick Watney 293 268
 Scott Brown 295 165
 Robby Shelton 297 177
 Ryan Brehm 298 372
 Seung-Yul Noh 307 665
 Bill Haas 310 520
 David Hearn 319 482
 Josh Teater 321 246
 Robert Streb 323 330
 Tyler McCumber 324 429
 Patton Kizzire 326 276
 Roger Sloan 335 293
 Hank Lebioda 346 320
 Shawn Stefani 347 396
 Peter Malnati 353 284
 Johnson Wagner 362 472
 Rhein Gibson 369 380
 Roberto Castro 371 552
 Greg Chalmers 384 717
 Kramer Hickok 388 296
 Zack Sucher 390 200
 Seamus Power 391 439
 Derek Ernst 393 809
 Kevin Tway 406 184
 Alex Cejka 413 674
 Ricky Barnes 417 1226
 Doug Ghim 418 531
 Ted Potter Jr. 450 326
 K.J. Choi 451 447
 Sebastian Cappelen 459 346
 Matt Every 460 336
 Tommy Gainey 464 428
 Michael Gellerman 466 462
 Jamie Lovemark 511 648
 Michael Gligic 517 549
 Chad Campbell 530 753
 Nelson Ledesma 531 391
 Jonathan Byrd 533 430
 Sangmoon Bae 538 572
 Ben Taylor 557 656
 Dominic Bozzelli 562 546
 Arjun Atwal 585 1181
 David Lingmerth 601 1020
 Ryan Blaum 695 620
 Bo Van Pelt 704 2072
 John Merrick 712 1213
 Robert Garrigus 713 1258
 Tim Herron 731 1849
 John Senden 749 1346
 Michael Kim 757 1035
 J.J. Henry 788 1165
 Chase Koepka 822 1562
 Martin Trainer 841 423
 Rich Beem N/R 1650
 Angus Flanagan N/R 2072
 Will Gordon N/R 197
 Peter Kuest N/R 2072
 Tom Lehman N/R 2072
 Sahith Theegala N/R 2072

 

Dustin Johnson makes 3M Open debut after missed cut, Travelers win

Dustin Johnson flopped at the Memorial Tournament but is ready to bounce back at the 3M Open ahead of the FedExCup Playoffs.

Will Jekyll or Hyde show up at the 3M Open?

Dustin Johnson ended June tasting victory at the Travelers Championship, marking his first win on the PGA Tour in over a year and extending his streak to at least one victory on Tour for 13 consecutive years.

He took two weeks off to fish, rest and spend time with family and then returned at Muirfield Village for the Memorial Tournament last week. The result was the opposite of the Johnson on display at TPC River Highlands who carded rounds of 69-64-61-67 to win by one stroke. The former PGA Tour Player of the Year returned to action with back-to-back rounds of 80 to miss the cut at Jack Nicklaus’ signature tournament.

On Tuesday, ahead of his 3M Open debut at TPC Twin Cities, the 21-time PGA Tour winner brushed off his flop at Muirfield.

“Well, obviously last week was a bit of a struggle for a lot of different reasons, but yeah, I feel like I’ve had some good practice, you know, Sunday and Monday,” Johnson said. “So I feel like the game’s in good form. I actually felt like the game was in good form going into the Memorial last week, just, yeah, I just struggled.

[jwplayer 7NBaZ2A0-9JtFt04J]

“It’s one of those weeks. Yeah, I mean, I’ve still got a lot of confidence in what I’m doing. I feel like the game’s there, so I’m definitely excited and looking forward to this week.”

The 36-year-old said the course he’ll attempt to conquer this week in Blaine, Minnesota, is “set up well” for his skill set and actually fits him better than Muirfield Village despite the fact that he’s only played the course once — earlier this week. Johnson played nine holes Sunday and the other nine Monday.

But a better fit doesn’t make the Arnold Palmer-designed course any easier, he clarified.

“I don’t feel like the course is too easy,” Johnson said. “I mean, if you play well, that’s any golf course, you can shoot a good number, but you’re going to have to drive it well. There’s a lot of water and there’s a lot of trouble off the tees. If you can drive it well, then I feel like you can shoot some good scores.”

The 2016 U.S. Open winner is seeking multiple victories on Tour for the first time since 2018 when he won three events, two coming over the summer at the FedEx St. Jude Classic and RBC Canadian Open.

In his four events after the PGA Tour season resumed following a 13-week hiatus, Johnson missed two cuts, won at TPC River Highlands and finished T-17 at the RBC Heritage.

One potential advantage for Johnson this week if his game returns to where it was at the Travelers is his standing in the field.

Johnson, ranks No. 30 in the Golfweek/Sagarin ranking and No. 4 in the Official World Golf Ranking, headlines the field at the 3M Open along with Tommy Fleetwood (No. 17 on the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings), Harris English (No. 19), Tony Finau (No. 21), Paul Casey (No. 25) and Brooks Kopeka (No. 27).

While many other top-ranked golfers are taking the week off to rest, Johnson chose to play. The 3M Open is the second of four straight events for the two-time Byron Nelson Award winner on the Tour’s revised schedule.

“It fit the schedule this year to play last week (at the Memorial) and then I’m going to play four in a row here, playing Memphis and then the PGA and then I’ll take a week off before the Playoffs,” he said. “So for me, it worked out in the schedule to play this week. … I’ve never played this tournament, so it was something that I wanted to come up and give it a shot.”

Johnson currently sits at No. 25 with 1,154 points in the FedExCup standings.

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How to Watch: The 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities

Here’s how to watch, listen and livestream the PGA Tour’s 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota. 

The 3M Open begins Thursday at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.

The field isn’t as stacked as last week’s event at the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club, but there are still many top golfers to watch.

Matthew Wolff will attempt to defend his 2019 title against Brooks Kopeka and Tommy Fleetwood, the top-ranked golfer in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Harris English (No. 19), Tony Finau (No. 21) and Paul Casey (No. 25) also headline the field.

Ben Hogan and Haskins Award winner Sahith Theegala is also in the field after completing his senior season at Pepperdine.

Here’s how you can watch the 3M Open this week from the comfort of your home or office.

Thursday, July 23

PGA Tour Live on NBC Sports Gold (featured groups): 7:45 a.m. to 6:30 p.m.
PGA Tour Radio on SiriusXM: 1-6:30 p.m.
Golf Channel on fuboTV (watch for free): 2:30-6:30 p.m.

Friday, July 24

PGA Tour Live on NBC Sports Gold (featured groups): 7:45 a.m. to 6:30 p.m.
PGA Tour Radio on SiriusXM: 1-6:30 p.m.
Golf Channel on fuboTV (watch for free): 2:30-6:30 p.m.

Saturday, July 25

PGA Tour Live on NBC Sports Gold: 8 a.m.-3 p.m. (featured groups) and 3-6 p.m. (featured holes)
Golf Channel on fuboTV (watch for free): 1-3 p.m.
PGA Tour Radio on SiriusXM: 1-6 p.m.
CBS: 3-6 p.m.
PGA Tour Live on ESPN+ (featured holes): 3-6 p.m.

Sunday, July 26

PGA Tour Live on NBC Sports Gold: 8 a.m.-3 p.m. (featured groups) and 3-6 p.m. (featured holes)
Golf Channel on fuboTV (watch for free): 1-3:30 p.m.
PGA Tour Radio on SiriusXM: 1-6 p.m.
CBS: 3-6 p.m.
PGA Tour Live on ESPN+ (featured holes): 3-6 p.m.

2020 3M Open odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

Matthew Wolff looks to defend his 2019 title at this week’s 3M Open – which begins Thursday – at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn. He’ll face a much weaker field than what was in attendance for Jon Rahm’s victory at last week’s Memorial Tournament. Tommy Fleetwood is the top-ranked golfer in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our picks and best bets for the 2020 3M Open.

2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Tier 1

Jul 3, 2020; Detroit; Erik van Rooyen at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, July 20 at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Lucas Glover (+3300)

Glover shares the seventh-best odds to win the 3M Open following a T-38 finish last week at Muirfield Village Golf Club in more difficult conditions and against a much stronger field. He tied for seventh in this event last year and has made the cut in each of his five events since the PGA Tour returned to play following the midseason pause.

He’s 26th on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Approach and 36th in both SG: Off-the-Tee and Birdies or Better Percentage.

Looking to place a bet on the 2020 3M Open? Get some action on it at BetMGM. Bet Now!

Erik Van Rooyen (+4500)

Van Rooyen finished T-22 last week. He tied for 21st at the RBC Heritage but missed the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge and Rocket Mortgage Classic.

He averaged 2.08 Strokes Gained: Approach and 2.19 SG: Tee-to-Green last week, according to Data Golf. The 30-year-old South African is still looking for his first win on the PGA Tour but will play against a weaker field than what’s usually at the tournaments in which he plays.

2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Tier 2

Jun 11, 2020; Fort Worth, Texas; Max Homa at the Charles Schwab Challenge. (Photo Credit: Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)

Max Homa (+6600)

Homa has missed the cut in three straight events and four of his last five since play returned. He withdrew during the third round last year after making the cut at 5-under par. He’s 38th on Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee and 49th in SG: Approach this season.

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Charles Howell III (+9000)

Howell tied for 48th at plus-8 last week with a final round of 77. He was T-23 in this event last year at 13-under while averaging 1.50 SG: Tee-to-Green per round. He’ll be looking for his first top-10 result in his 10th event this year, but he had five top 10s in 30 events last year. His last win came at the 2018 RSM Classic in a more similar field than what we’ve seen lately.

2020 3M Open Betting Picks – Long shots

Jul 12, 2020; Dublin, Ohio; Chase Seiffert at the Workday Charity Open. (Photo Credit: Joseph Maiorana – USA TODAY Sports)

Chase Seiffert (+10000)

Seiffert took last week off following his breakout fourth-place finish in the Workday Charity Open. He gained 0.92 strokes on approach and 1.44 from tee-to-green per round at Muirfield Village and his odds remain high following the week away.

Sahith Theegala (+25000)

Theegala has his highest odds since turning pro after missing the cut at the Travelers Championship and Rocket Mortgage Classic. The former top amateur will play in his weakest field and has his best chance for success.

Wolff won here in 2019 as a +12500 long shot in his third start as a pro.

Get some action on the 2020 3M Open by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @EstenMcLaren on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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