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The Toronto Blue Jays (70-57) conclude a 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles (78-48) on Thursday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 9-3
The Blue Jays were shut out 7-0 on Wednesday by the Orioles, snapping a 3-game winning streak. Toronto is in 3rd place in the AL East and is 8 1/2 games back of Baltimore atop the division.
In Wednesday’s lopsided win, OF Anthony Santander delivered 2 HRs for the Orioles. Baltimore has won 7 of its last 10 contests and is 2 games ahead of the Tampa Bay Rays for 1st place in the AL East.
Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters
RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
Berrios (9-8, 3.39 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 146 innings.
- Last start: No decision, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 4 BB, 8 K in a 1-0 road loss to the Cincinnati Reds on Friday
- Road stats: 5-4, 3.62 ERA (82 IP, 33 ER) in 14 starts
- Career vs. Orioles: 10-0, 2.66 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 25 ER) in 13 starts
Gibson (12-7, 4.97 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 150 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 9-4 road win over the Oakland Athletics on Friday
- Home stats: 5-3, 5.34 ERA (55 2/3 IP, 33 ER) in 10 starts
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 7-2, 4.23 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 36 ER) in 13 starts
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Blue Jays at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+145) | Orioles +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 4, Orioles 3
Moneyline
While both of the pitchers in this divisional matchup have had success against the opposing team in their career, I’ll back the BLUE JAYS (-110) on the road on Thursday. Berrios boasts a 10-0 record against the Orioles in 13 career starts, including a road win earlier this season.
Run line/Against the spread
Even though this game should be close, I’ll PASS on taking the run line as -175 odds for the Orioles to cover the spread isn’t worth the risk.
Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-120) is the play in this game despite Gibson’s recent struggles on the mound. The Under is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings overall.
The Blue Jays have also hit the Over in only 2 of their last 7 road games.
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