Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Toronto Blue Jays (90-69) and Baltimore Orioles (82-77) open a season-ending 3-game set Monday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 8-8

Blue Jays RF Teoscar Hernández hit 2 HRs in Toronto’s 6-3 win at home vs. the Boston Red Sox Sunday. Toronto 2B Whit Merrifield also homered in the win as the Blue Jays increased their lead to 2.5 games over the Seattle Mariners for the top spot in the AL wild-card standings.

The Orioles did not allow New York Yankees OF Aaron Judge to break the AL home run record in a 3-1 win Sunday at Yankee Stadium. Baltimore won 2-of-3 games in the series and only allowed Judge to put 1-of-68 pitches in play over that span.

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Blue Jays at Orioles projected starters

RHP José Berríos vs. RHP Dean Kremer

Berríos (11-7, 5.37 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 166 IP.

  • Last start: Lost Tuesday vs. the Yankees with 5 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 2 BB and 7 K
  • Has allowed 5+ ER in 2 consecutive starts and has lost 2 of his last 3 decisions
  • 2022 vs. Baltimore: 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA (19 IP, 7 ER) in 3 starts

Kremer (8-6, 3.17 ERA) makes his 21st start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 119 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Lost Wednesday at the Boston Red Sox with 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 4 BB and 2 K
  • Has allowed over 3 ER in 1 of his last 10 appearances
  • 2022 vs. Toronto: 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance

Blue Jays at Orioles odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+127) | Orioles +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

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Blue Jays at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Orioles 3, Blue Jays 2

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES +110.

Toronto has dominated Boston this season but has struggled vs. Baltimore in comparison. Expect a let-down game from the Blue Jays who just outscored the Red Sox by a combined 25-3 over their last 3 games.

Run line/Against the spread

BET ORIOLES +1.5 (-165).

If you would like a more conservative play than Orioles ML, Baltimore’s RL is still being offered at a good price. Kremer has been solid for the Orioles lately and Toronto’s offense may disappoint after putting up an unsustainable amount of runs vs. Boston.

Over/Under

PASS.

This line opened at 8 at most books and looks like it will end up closer to 7. I would lean toward the Under in this matchup, but I’m worried about how many runs Berríos may allow considering his play as of late.

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