UFC Fight Night 226: Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Moises odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 226 odds between Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Moises with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round lightweight bout on the main card, Benoit Saint-Denis and Thiago Moises meet at UFC Fight Night 226 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 84 and UFC Paris — at Accor Arena in Paris on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 226: Saint-Denis vs. Moises odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

Records: Saint-Denis (11-1-0) | Moises (17-6-0)

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 12:30 p.m. ET, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Saint-Denis will have the home crowd behind him, but he more going for him than just noise from the fans. The southpaw has a 2.5-inch reach advantage and a 4.11-to-2.47 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. He also lands 62.70% of those strikes, compared to just 45.34% for his counterpart.

After losing his UFC debut, Saint-Denis, a.k.a. “God of War”, has rattled off 3 straight victories, all via stoppage. That includes a 1st-round victory via submission against Ismael Bonfim last time out on July 1.

If Moises has an advantage, it’s in the ground game, where he had a 41.38% takedown accuracy percentage and a 1.28 submission average. Moises has won his past 2 fights via submission, including a 2nd-round win over Melquizael Costa last time out at UFC 283 in late January.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 226: Saint-Denis vs. Moises odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:47 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Saint-Denis -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Moises +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -105 | Under -115)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +130 | No -175)

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UFC Fight Night 226: Saint-Denis vs. Moises picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

SAINT-DENIS (-165) is a rather moderate favorite, but he is a strong play in front of his fellow French citizens. They’ll be a full throat spurring him on.

BSD rolls in with 3 straight victories, and he has gotten the job done at 1:32 of the 2nd Round or earlier in each win.

Moises will be trying desperately to get Saint-Denis to the mat, but the Frenchman is also pretty strong on the canvas. That mitigates the only slight advantage Moises might have.

Over/Under (O/U)

NO (-175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a little bit pricey, but this fight is likely to end before the judges are forced to get involved.

Since going the distance in his UFC debut, Saint-Denis has 3 consecutive finishes; Moises has 4 straight stoppages since his last decision back on Feb. 27, 2021.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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Matchup Roundup: New UFC and Bellator fights announced in the past week (July 10-16)

All the UFC and Bellator fight announcements that were first reported or confirmed by MMA Junkie in the past week.

MMA fight announcements are hard to follow. With so many outlets and channels available, it’s nearly impossible to organize.

But here at MMA Junkie, we’ve got your back.

Each week, we’ll compile all the newly surfaced fights in one spot. Every Monday, expect a feature listing everything you might have missed from the UFC or Bellator.

Here are the fight announcements that were broken or confirmed by MMA Junkie or officially announced by a promotion from July 10-16.

MMA Junkie’s Submission of the Month for January: Gabriel Bonfim joins brother as award winner

Gabriel Bonfim wins MMA Junkie’s Submission of the Month after his older brother claimed KO of the Month honors.

With another action-packed month of MMA in the books, MMA Junkie looks at the best submissions from January 2023: Here are the five nominees, listed in chronological order, and winner of MMA Junkie’s Submission of the Month award for January.

At the bottom of the post, let us know if we got it right by voting for your choice.

Nominees

UFC 283 post-event facts: Jamahal Hill sets striking record in bloody title win

According to the numbers, Jamahal Hill delivered a record-setting beatdown of Glover Teixeira to claim gold at UFC 283.

The first numbered UFC event of 2023 proved to be a good one. Two new champions were crowned Saturday at UFC 283 at Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro.

The main event of the organization’s return to Brazil after nearly three years saw [autotag]Jamahal Hill[/autotag] (12-1 MMA, 6-1 UFC) deliver a lopsided beatdown of [autotag]Glover Teixeira[/autotag] (33-9 MMA, 16-7 UFC) to win a unanimous decision and claim the vacant light heavyweight champion.

In the co-headliner, [autotag]Brandon Moreno[/autotag] (21-5-2 MMA, 9-2-2 UFC) proved to be the better man to [autotag]Deiveson Figueiredo[/autotag] (21-3-1 MMA, 10-3-1 UFC) when he produced a sensational showing for the third-round doctor’s stoppage TKO to become undisputed flyweight champ and win their rivalry 2-1-1.

For more on the numbers behind both title fights, as well as the rest of the card, check out MMA Junkie’s post-event facts from UFC 283.

UFC 283 Promotional Guidelines Compliance pay: Program total passes $15 million

Fighters from Saturday’s UFC 283 took home UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance pay totaling $359,500.

RIO DE JANEIRO – Fighters from Saturday’s UFC 283 event took home UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance pay totaling $359,500.

The program, a comprehensive plan that includes outfitting requirements, media obligations and other items under the fighter code of conduct, replaces the previous payments made under the UFC Athlete Outfitting Policy.

UFC 283 took place at Jeunesse Arena in Brazil. The main card aired on pay-per-view following prelims on ABC and ESPN+.

The full UFC 283 UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance payouts included:

* * * *

[autotag]Jamahal Hill[/autotag]: $32,000
def. [autotag]Glover Teixeira[/autotag]: $32,000

[autotag]Brandon Moreno[/autotag]: $42,000
def. [autotag]Deiveson Figueiredo[/autotag]: $42,000

[autotag]Gilbert Burns[/autotag]: $16,000
def. [autotag]Neil Magny[/autotag]: $21,000

[autotag]Jessica Andrade[/autotag]: $21,000
def. [autotag]Lauren Murphy[/autotag]: $11,000

[autotag]Johnny Walker[/autotag]: $6,000
def. [autotag]Paul Craig[/autotag]: $11,000

[autotag]Ihor Potieria[/autotag]: $4,000
def. [autotag]Mauricio Rua[/autotag]: $21,000

[autotag]Brunno Ferreira[/autotag]: $4,000
def. [autotag]Gregory Rodrigues[/autotag]: $6,000

[autotag]Thiago Moises[/autotag]: $6,000
def. [autotag]Melquizael Costa[/autotag]: $4,000

[autotag]Gabriel Bonfim[/autotag]: $4,000
def. [autotag]Mounir Lazzez[/autotag]: $4,500

[autotag]Jailton Almeida[/autotag]: $4,500
def. [autotag]Shamil Abdurakhimov[/autotag]: $11,000

[autotag]Cody Stamann[/autotag]: $11,000
def. [autotag]Luan Lacerda[/autotag]: $4,000

[autotag]Ismael Bonfim[/autotag]: $4,000
def. [autotag]Terrance McKinney[/autotag]: $4,500

[autotag]Nicolas Dalby[/autotag]: $6,000
def. [autotag]Warlley Alves[/autotag]: $11,000

[autotag]Josiane Nunes[/autotag]: $4,000
def. [autotag]Zarah Fairn[/autotag]: $4,000

[autotag]Daniel Marcos[/autotag]: $4,000
def. [autotag]Saimon Oliveira[/autotag]: $4,000

Under the UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance program’s payout tiers, which appropriate the money generated by Venum’s multi-year sponsorship with the UFC, fighters are paid based on their total number of UFC bouts, as well as Zuffa-era WEC fights (January 2007 and later) and Zuffa-era Strikeforce bouts (April 2011 and later). Fighters with 1-3 bouts receive $4,000 per appearance; 4-5 bouts get $4,500; 6-10 bouts get $6,000; 11-15 bouts earn $11,000; 16-20 bouts pocket $16,000; and 21 bouts and more get $21,000. Additionally, champions earn $42,000 while title challengers get $32,000.

In addition to experience-based pay, UFC fighters will receive in perpetuity royalty payments amounting to 20-30 percent of any UFC merchandise sold that bears their likeness, according to officials.

Full 2023 UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance payouts:

Year-to-date total: $496,500
2022 total: $8,351,500
2021 total: $6,167,500
Program-to-date total: $15,015,500

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 283.

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Thiago Moises def. Melquizael Costa at UFC 283: Best photos

Check out the best photos from Thiago Moises’ second-round submission win over Melquizael Costa at UFC 283 in Rio de Janeiro.

Check out the best photos from [autotag]Thiago Moises[/autotag]’ second-round submission win over [autotag]Melquizael Costa[/autotag] at UFC 283 at Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro. (Photos by Jason da Silva, USA TODAY Sports)

Matchup Roundup: New UFC and Bellator fights announced in the past week (Jan. 2-8)

All the UFC and Bellator fight announcements that were first reported or confirmed by MMA Junkie in the past week.

MMA fight announcements are hard to follow. With so many outlets and channels available, it’s nearly impossible to organize.

But here at MMA Junkie, we’ve got your back.

Each week, we’ll compile all the newly surfaced fights in one spot. Every Monday, expect a feature listing everything you might have missed from the UFC or Bellator.

Here are the fight announcements that were broken or confirmed by MMA Junkie from Jan. 2-8.

Melquizael Costa steps in vs. Thiago Moises at UFC 283 in Brazil

It didn’t take long for Thiago Moises to get a new opponent for his Brazilian homecoming.

It didn’t take long for [autotag]Thiago Moises[/autotag] to get a new opponent for his Brazilian homecoming.

Moises (16-6 MMA, 5-4 UFC) lost [autotag]Guram Kutateladze[/autotag] (12-3 MMA, 1-1 UFC) as his UFC 283 opponent just a few days ago, but promotional newcomer [autotag]Melquizael Costa[/autotag] (19-5 MMA, 0-0 UFC) has stepped in on short notice.

MMA Junkie confirmed the new matchup with people with knowledge of the booking. The people asked to remain anonymous because the UFC has not yet made a formal announcement. MMA Fighting was first to report the news.

UFC 283 takes place Jan. 21 at Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro. The main card airs on pay-per-view following prelims on ABC and ESPN+.

Costa has won back-to-back fights and seven of his past eight. In November, he picked up a third-round knockout win at LFA, which was his second win for the promotion.

Winner of four of his past six, Moises snapped a two-fight skid when he submitted Christos Giagos in the first round at UFC on ESPN 38 in June 2022. The finish earned him his first Performance of the Night bonus. The in his home country of Brazil will be his first there in nearly four years.

Kutateladze has split his first two octagon appearances. After he edged out Mateusz Gamrot in his UFC debut in October 2020, the All-Stars Training Center fighter lost a hard-fought split decision to Damir Ismagulov at UFC on ESPN 37 in June.

With the change, the UFC 283 lineup includes:

MAIN CARD (Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET)

  • Glover Teixeira vs. Jamahal Hill – for vacant light heavyweight title
  • Champ Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno – for flyweight title
  • Gilbert Burns vs. Neil Magny
  • Jessica Andrade vs. Lauren Murphy
  • Ihor Potieria vs. Mauricio Rua

PRELIMINARY CARD (ABC, 8 p.m. ET)

  • Paul Craig vs. Johnny Walker
  • Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brad Tavares
  • Melquizael Costa vs. Thiago Moises
  • Gabriel Bonfim vs. Mounir Lazzez

PRELIMINARY CARD (ESPN+, 6 p.m. ET)

  • Shamil Abdurakhimov vs. Jailton Almeida
  • Ismael Bonfim vs. Terrance McKinney
  • Luan Luiz Lacerda vs. Cody Stamann
  • Warlley Alves vs. Nicolas Dalby
  • Zarah Fairn vs. Josiane Nunes
  • Daniel Marcos vs. Saimon Oliveira

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 283.

Guram Kutateladze out of UFC 283 matchup vs. Thiago Moises

Guram Kutateladze has been forced to withdraw from UFC 283.

[autotag]Guram Kutateladze[/autotag] has been forced to withdraw from UFC 283.

Kutateladze (12-3 MMA, 1-1 UFC) was booked to face [autotag]Thiago Moises[/autotag] (16-6 MMA, 5-4 UFC) on Jan. 21 at Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, but has pulled out for undisclosed reasons. It is unknown whether Moises will remain on the card.

A person with knowledge of the matchup confirmed the news to MMA Junkie but asked to remain anonymous since the promotion has yet to make an official announcement. Ag Fight was first to report the news.

Kutateladze has split his first two octagon appearances. After edging out Mateusz Gamrot in his UFC debut in October 2020, the All-Stars Training Center fighter lost a hard-fought split decision to Damir Ismagulov at UFC on ESPN 37 in June.

Winner of four of his past six, Moises snapped a two-fight losing skid by submitting Christos Giagos in the first round at UFC on ESPN 38 in June. The finish earned him his first Performance of the Night bonus.

The current UFC 283 lineup includes:

  • Glover Teixeira vs. Jamahal Hill – for vacant light heavyweight title
  • Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Brandon Moreno – for flyweight title
  • Gilbert Burns vs. Neil Magny
  • Ihor Potieria vs. Mauricio Rua
  • Jessica Andrade vs. Lauren Murphy
  • Paul Craig vs. Johnny Walker
  • Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brad Tavares
  • Thiago Moises vs. TBA
  • Gabriel Bonfim vs. Mounir Lazzez
  • Shamil Abdurakhimov vs. Jailton Almeida
  • Ismael Bonfim vs. Terrance McKinney
  • Luan Luiz Lacerda vs. Cody Stamann
  • Warlley Alves vs. Nicolas Dalby
  • Zarah Fairn vs. Josiane Nunes
  • Daniel Marcos vs. Saimon Oliveira

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 283.

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Matchup Roundup: New UFC and Bellator fights announced in the past week (Oct. 31-Nov. 6)

All the UFC and Bellator fight announcements that were first reported or confirmed by MMA Junkie in the past week.

MMA fight announcements are hard to follow. With so many outlets and channels available, it’s nearly impossible to organize.

But here at MMA Junkie, we’ve got your back.

Each week, we’ll compile all the newly surfaced fights in one spot. Every Monday, expect a feature listing everything you might have missed from the UFC or Bellator.

Here are the fight announcements that were broken or confirmed by MMA Junkie from Oct. 31-Nov. 6.