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The No. 23 SMU Mustangs (5-1, 2-0 ACC) and the Stanford Cardinal (2-4, 1-2) meet Saturday at Stanford Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the SMU vs. Stanford odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
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SMU vs. Stanford odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): SMU -750 (bet $750 to win $100) | Stanford +525 (bet $100 to win $525)
- Against the spread (ATS): SMU -16.5 (-115) | Stanford +16.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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SMU vs. Stanford picks and predictions
Prediction
SMU 37, Stanford 13
Moneyline
PASS.
Hard not to love SMU (-750) in this matchup but not at those odds. I’ll take my bet to the spread.
Against the spread
BET SMU -16.5 (-115).
The Mustangs have proven they can handle business on the road, with 7 straight away wins, and their offense is finding its rhythm, covering the spread in their last 3 games. Stanford, on the other hand, has struggled mightily. They’re 4-9 ATS as a double-digit underdog in their last 13 games, losing the 2 games this season in that role by an average of 34 points. Against AP-ranked teams, the Cardinal have dropped 15 straight games as underdogs, failing to cover in 14 of those. Meanwhile, SMU has been dominant within the conference, winning 15 of their last 16 such games and covering in each of their last 4 October matchups against non-AP-ranked teams. Stanford has also lost the first half in 7 of their last 8 home games against conference opponents.
Given SMU’s form and Stanford’s struggles, laying the points with the Mustangs seems the right call.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 53.5 (-110).
SMU’s offense is on a roll, with Jennings leading a balanced attack, boasting 1,014 passing yards, 6 touchdowns and just 1 interception. RB Brashard Smith adds another dimension with 561 rushing yards and 7 scores, while WR RJ Maryland has been a reliable target with 304 yards and 3 touchdowns. This potent offense has helped SMU go over the total in 4 of their last 5 games, averaging over 40 points per game in their last three outings.
Stanford’s defense has struggled mightily, allowing an average of 34.7 points per game, including 49 points to Notre Dame last week. Their vulnerable secondary could face more trouble against a red-hot SMU passing game. While 5 of Stanford’s last 6 conference games have gone under, their defensive issues make them susceptible to a high-scoring affair here. Expect both teams to push the total over.
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