Tag: Seattle Mariners betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

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The Houston Astros (24-32) and Seattle Mariners (31-26) wrap up a 4-game series Thursday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 4-1

The Astros won the 1st meeting at Minute Maid Park in Houston on May 3, but the Mariners have won 4 straight meetings since, outscoring Houston by a 14-5 clip.

The Mariners walked it off in 10 innings on Wednesday, winning 2-1. It’s the 2nd consecutive comeback win in the late innings, as Seattle erased a 2-1 Houston lead with 3 runs in the bottom of the 8th on Tuesday.

Houston has dropped 3 in a row, while going 4-7 in the past 11 games since  May 18. The Under has cashed in 5 consecutive outings for the Astros.

Seattle has won 4 in a row, extending its lead to 3 1/2 games over the Texas Rangers in the AL West. The M’s are 18-10 at home, although they still have a minus-3 run differential on the season.

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Astros at Mariners projected starters

RHP Spencer Arrighetti vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Arrighetti (2-5, 6.93 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.78 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 37 2/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 7 K in 3-1 road loss vs. Oakland Athletics last Saturday
• 2024 road splits: 0-4, 10.26 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 2.28 WHIP, .360 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 4 HR, 11 BB, 21 K in 4 starts

Gilbert (3-2, 3.06 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 70 2/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 3-1 road loss vs. Washington Nationals last Saturday
• 2024 home splits: 1-1, 2.36 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.79 WHIP, .165 OBA, 2 HR, 6 BB, 30 K in 4 starts

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Astros at Mariners odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:48 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Astros +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Mariners -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-184) | Mariners -1.5 (+152)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Astros at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 7, Astros 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-134) look to cap off the 4-game sweep, and the pitching scales are strongly tipped in their favor.

The Astros (+114) turn to Arrighetti to stop the slide, and help avoid the broom, but he is easily the worst pitcher they’ve used in the series. Arrighetti has allowed just shy of 7 runs per every 9 IP, and he has been atrocious on the road.

Conversely, M’s manager Scott Servais hands the ball to Gilbert, arguably the team’s best starting pitcher.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARINERS -1.5 (+162) are a solid play, if you’re a little less conservative. Obviously, don’t play both the moneyline and run line together.

Again, Arrighetti has been terrible, especially on the road, and the M’s should stay hot with the sticks.

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-115) is worth a look in this series finale.

Again, this boils down to Arrighetti, who has a 10.26 ERA in 4 road starts. He has been very giving, and the Mariners should roll up plenty of runs early and often against the shaky right-hander.

The Under has dominated for the Astros lately, cashing in 5 in a row, but the Over is 4-1 in Arrighetti’s previous 5 assignments.

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The Houston Astros (24-31) and Seattle Mariners (30-26) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set Wednesday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 4-1

The Astros lost 4-2 as +111 underdogs in the 2nd game of the series Tuesday as the Under (7.5) hit. Houston has lost back-to-back games and is 4-6 over its last 10.

CF Julio Rodríguez and 3B Josh Rojas drove in runs during a 3-run 8th inning for the Mariners, who cashed as -120 favorites. Seattle has won 3 straight, bouncing back from a 4-game skid May 22-25.

Astros at Mariners projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP George Kirby

Verlander (3-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 40 IP.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 8 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 6-3 victory at Oakland A’s Friday
• 2024 road stats: 3-1, 3.18 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.20 WHIP in 5 starts
• Career vs. Mariners (regular season): 22-10, 3.02 ERA (253 IP, 85 ER), 1.04 WHIP in 38 starts, including 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA (8 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start last season

Kirby (4-5, 4.33 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-1 setback at Washington Nationals Friday
• 2024 home stats: 4-1, 2.97 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.82 WHIP in 5 starts
• 2024 vs. Astros: 0-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 5-3 road loss May 3
• Career vs. Astros (regular season): 2-0, 1.59 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.97 WHIP in 4 starts

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Astros at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:27 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Astros -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+165) | Mariners +1.5 (-200)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Astros at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-115) have dominated the Astros this season. While Kirby has lost back-to-back starts on the road, he has been much better at T-Mobile Park this season (3-0 in last 3 home starts).

Verlander has allowed 12 hits over his last 2 starts (10 2/3 IP) and was somewhat lucky to only give up only 1 ER last time out in Oakland.

BET MARINERS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Seattle +1.5 (-200) should hit, but laying -200 in MLB is a losing proposition long term.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

The Astros have scored 2 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games, and Seattle has put up 4 or fewer in 5 of their last 6. Neither offense has been impressive lately, and with Kirby starting at home, I would learn toward the Under. However, 7 is a key number in MLB totals, and this line is a bit too low for me to commit.

LEAN UNDER 7 (+100).

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The Houston Astros (24-29) take on the Seattle Mariners (28-26) Monday in the opener of a 4-game set at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

The Astros took 2 of 3 at the Oakland A’s over the weekend and are 6-4 over their last 10. After a miserable start to the year, they’re now just 3½ back from the AL West lead. 3B Alex Bregman picked the worst time for a massive slump. The contract-year star is hitting .210 with 4 homers and 21 RBIs.

OF Julio Rodriguez doesn’t have to worry about a contract, but he opened the year flat as well. He’s showing signs of turning it around with homers in 2 straight games — he’s hitting .260 with 4 homers and 19 RBIs. The Mariners snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 9-5 win as -172 road favorites at the Washington Nationals Sunday. Rodriguez had 4 RBIs to go with a homer in the win.

Astros at Mariners projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Valdez (3-2, 4.32 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 41 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 3 HR, 1 BB, 3 K in 9-7 home setback vs. Los Angeles Angels May 20
• Last 5 starts vs. Mariners: 0-2, 6.26 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.65 WHIP, 9/2 K/9

Miller (3-5, 3.53 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 58 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 7-3 setback at New York Yankees Wednesday
• Career vs. Astros: 2-1, 3.22 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 4 starts

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Astros at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:49 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Astros -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Astros at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Astros 4

Moneyline

The M’s are 7-3 in their last 10 against the ‘Stros. It’s a little curious that Houston would be favored on the road here. Yes, Valdez is on the mound, but he got lit up by the lowly Angels last time out and hasn’t fared well against Seattle in his last 5 turns against them.

TAKE MARINERS (+110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS on the run line as we’re on the Seattle ML above.

However, I like FRAMBER VALDEZ UNDER 5.5 K’S (+100) here. He has only fanned 6 or more in 2 of his last 7 starts. Plus, he struck out just 3 in 5 1/3 innings against Seattle May 4.

Over/Under

It’s slated to be 65 degrees with a very light breeze headed out to right-center. Both starters gave up 5+ runs in their last outings, and we had 8+ runs in 2 of the 3 head-to-head meetings earlier this season.

With this number being fairly low, I like OVER 7.5 (-105).

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