Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (25-21) and Baltimore Orioles (28-15) meet Sunday to wrap up a 3-game weekend series. First pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1-1

Seattle battled back to win 4-3 Saturday, cashing as (+125) road underdogs despite not registering a hit off Orioles SP Grayson Rodriguez until the 6th inning. Baltimore RPs Danny Coulombe and Yennier Cano each were tagged with 2 earned runs in relief, and SS Gunnar Henderson delivered his MLB leading 14th HR in the 9th inning. The Orioles trail the New York Yankees by 2 games in the AL East, while Seattle is a game and a half up on the Texas Rangers in the AL West.

The Mariners got the scoring started in the 7th inning as RF Mitch Haniger grounded out which scored 1B Luke Raley, and 3B Ty France tied the ballgame with an RBI double. Seattle doubled up their lead in the 8th inning as C Cal Raleigh and SS Dylan Moore drove in runs with RBI doubles.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Corbin Burnes

Kirby (4-3, 3.58 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 50 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 win over Kansas City last Monday
  • The 26-year-old’s BB/9 is 2nd-lowest among all qualified pitchers in MLB behind only Tampa Bay’s Zach Eflin (0.6).

Burnes (3-2, 2.68 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 53 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: ND, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 3-2 loss in 10 innings against Toronto last Monday
  • Orioles have scored just 1 run in the 29-year-old’s last 26 innings on the mound.

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Mariners at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Orioles -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-184) | Orioles -1.5 (+152)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Baltimore 3, Seattle 2

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES (-142).

Never feels comfortable recommending laying this much juice, but ultimately the Orioles are the better team offensively and pitching wise. If you believe the Mets will rebound after Saturday’s loss to Miami, pairing Baltimore ML along with New York (-154) pays out roughly +180.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Seattle (-184) is too much juice for a run and a half.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-122).

Both Burnes and Kirby possess a soft contact percentage against of 23.1%, which is Top 8 amongst qualified pitchers. While the strikeout numbers for Burnes may be down, he has been satisfied with the ground ball outs he’s been inducing, and his GB% of 51.4% is 10th-highest.

Seattle manager Scott Servais called Kirby’s last start vs. KC a “vintage performance” and the Mariners righty added afterward that he liked to be “pissed off” when he pitches. Expect that same fire when these couple of playoff contenders meet Sunday afternoon in front of a solid crowd in Baltimore. Plus, with his reintroduced hard slider/cutter, perhaps the Orioles home run hitting ability will be kept in check.

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (28-14) welcome the Seattle Mariners (24-21) to Oriole Park at Camden Yards Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 1-0

The Mariners lost to the Orioles to open the series 9-2 Friday, failing to cover as run-line underdogs. They closed +117 on the moneyline. Seattle has won 3 of its last 5 games yet is just 6-8 over its last 14. The Mariners have struggled offensively, scoring just 2 runs in 2 of their last 3 games.

The Orioles have won 2 straight and 5 of their last 7. However, they are just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games (23-19 ATS on the season). Baltimore is the 7th-best home team in MLB with a 16-9 record.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. TBD

Castillo (4-5, 3.31 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 54 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 8 K in an 8-4 home win over the Oakland A’s Friday
  • Career vs. Orioles: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 1 start
  • 2024 road splits: 2-2, 2.92 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 2 HR, .189 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

While the Orioles have yet to announce a starter, 30-year-old Cole Irvin seems on deck and could’ve started Friday. It was noted he didn’t start due to injury, so he’s a likely option for Baltimore.

  • Irvin 2024 home stats: 2-1, 3.22 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.12 WHIP in 4 starts

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Mariners at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Orioles -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+158) | Orioles +1.5 (-192)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Marines 5, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET MARINERS (-106).

Castillo struggled to start the season, but he has been on fire over the last month. He has pitched 32 2/3 innings and has 6 ER. During that span, in his starts, the Mariners have road wins over the Rockies and Rangers and home wins over the Braves and A’s. Seattle is 4-1 over his last 5 starts.

It has also scored at least 4 runs in 3 of its last 5, so it has sustained some success offensively. The Orioles blasted the Mariners in the first game and are 16-11 after a win. Seattle is 13-7 after a loss. Considering those trends and Seattle’s pitching edge, take MARINERS (-106).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no value here. The Mariners are too risky as run-line favorites, while the Orioles are far too expensive as run-line underdogs. Ultimately, the moneyline has the only team-specific value here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-110).

Both teams have had success on the Over as of late. The Mariners are 8-2 O/U in their last 10 games and have scored at least 6 runs in 4 of those.

The Orioles have tallied at least 7 in 3 of their last 9 and are 5-4 O/U in that span. Baltimore is 21-17-3 O/U on the season. The recent trends point to the Over, so back OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (24-20) and Baltimore Orioles (27-14) meet Friday  to kick off a 3-game weekend series in the Charm City. First pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Orioles won 4 of 6 games last season

The Orioles avoided a sweep for the 105th series in a row Wednesday afternoon, as C Adley Rutschman delivered a walk-off HR against the Toronto Blue Jays in a 3-2 win. The O’s are 1 game back of the New York Yankees for 1st place in the AL East.

The Mariners are 1.5 games ahead of Texas for 1st place in the AL West after winning 4 out of their last 6 games, most recently defeating the Kansas City Royals 4-2 on Wednesday. C Cal Raleigh has 4 HRs in his last 11 games, reaching base in all but 2 of those games.

Diamondbacks at Orioles projected starters

RHP Bryce Miller vs. LHP Cole Irvin

Miller (3-3, 2.66 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 47 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 8-1 loss against the Oakland Athletics last Saturday
  • Only Astros SP Ronel Blanco, who is currently serving a 10-game suspension for using a banned substance, has a lower batting average against (.173) than Miller among AL qualified pitchers

Irvin (4-1, 2.90 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 40 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-2 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks last Friday
  • Sports the lowest swinging strike percentage (6.8%) among 51 AL pitcher with at least 40 IP

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Mariners at Orioles odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +114 (bet $100 to win $114) | Orioles -134 (bet $134 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-194) | Orioles -1.5 (+160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Baltimore 4, Seattle 3

Moneyline

BET ORIOLES (-134).

The Orioles have hit the most HRs (64) in MLB, and Miller has surrendered 4 homers total in his last 4 starts. For the 1st time in his career, Rutschman has 4 dingers over the course of 3 games, and he’s surrounded in the O’s lineup by heavy hitters such as 3B Jordan Westburg, 1B Ryan Mountcastle and SS Gunnar Henderson.

I foresee Irvin pitching effectively enough multiple times through the Mariners lineup, giving way to a bullpen that features 6 arms that sport a 3.00 ERA or lower.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Too much juice to lay on Seattle (-194) getting a run and a half. If you are into building parlays, including the Yankees ML (-290) at home against the lowly White Sox with Mariners +1.5 pays out between even money and +105.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-105).

Irvin may not be generating a lot of swinging strikes, but expect the focus to be on getting outs, not blowing away the Seattle hitters. Entering Friday, the Mariners are tied for the 4th-lowest on-base percentage (.302) vs. LHP in the AL. Plus, Henderson is 0 for his last 11, so with the 2023 AL Rookie of the Year in the midst of a slump I would not anticipate a plethora of runs for Baltimore either.

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (20-28) and Baltimore Orioles (21-29) meet Tuesday to open a 3-game series at Camden Yards. First pitch is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Mariners won 4-3 last season.

The Mariners took 2 of 3 at home from the Houston Astros over the weekend but are still just 9-22 since April 27. Still, the series against Houston was a good one for a beleaguered-of-late Seattle pitching staff. The Mariners allowed just 3 runs against the Astros in the 3 games; they had been clipped for a 6.27 ERA in 11 games from May 15-25.

The Orioles took 3 of 5 at the Boston Red Sox over the holiday weekend. Baltimore logged double-digit run totals on Friday (12) and Monday (10), and it owns an above-average .718 OPS since May 19.

Mariners at Orioles projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Bryan Baker

Kirby (0-1, 4.50 ERA) is tabbed for the 5th start of his rookie season. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 20 IP.

  • Filed a season-high 9K in 5 IP in his last start (Wednesday vs. Oakland A’s).
  • Has allowed more frequent hard contact than average early on but has also been hurt by a .333 batting average on balls in play.

Baker (1-2, 4.66 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start of the season. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 19 1/3 IP.

  • Expected to serve as a 1-2-inning opener here, with LHP Keegan Akin following. Akin has pitched more than 2 innings in each of his last 5 outings.

Mariners at Orioles odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 1:58 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Orioles +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL): Mariners -1.5 (+120) | Orioles +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Mariners at Orioles picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Orioles 4

Money line

Seattle’s offense has struggled away from home (.646 road OPS), but that figure has been earned alongside a subpar batting average on balls in play. The Mariners have played a tough schedule and have been hemmed in by above average hitting and pitching in the opponents they’ve faced.

The visiting nine heads into this series after a Monday off day. The Mariners bullpen is rested and in good shape to support Kirby. The Orioles aren’t quite in the same boat and will be trying to bullpen this game.

BACK SEATTLE (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Seattle bullpen is rested, and overall, the Mariners have pitched better recently. PEG SEATTLE -1.5 (+120) as being the better side in this matchup. If you’re a bettor who likes to mesh money- and run-line plays, consider this option as being worthy of two-thirds or maybe 75% of the total (with the money line action on the undercard).

Over/Under

There are some underlying indicators that swing both ways here: PASS.

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