Tag: San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The San Francisco Giants (15-20) and Philadelphia Phillies (24-11) wrap up a 4-game series Monday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 3-0

The Giants have lost 3 games in a row after falling 5-4 against Philadelphia Sunday and failing to cash as -102 road favorites. Giants 2B Thairo Estrada hit a 2-run HR in the 7th inning, while 3 total SF players had at least 1 RBI. RHP Logan Webb allowed 4 earned runs in 4 innings and picked up the loss.

Philadelphia has won 5 games in a row after Sunday’s victory while cashing as a -106 home favorite. Phillies 1B Bryce Harper led the offensive effort with a 3-run homer, while 3 different Philadelphia players had at least 1 RBI. RHP Taijuan Walker allowed 3 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings and picked up the win.

Giants at Phillies projected starters

RHP Mason Black vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Black makes his MLB debut. The Scranton native, who is ranked as the Giants’ No. 7 prospect by MLB Pipeline, fills the opening left by LHP Blake Snell (adductor).

• 2024 stats with Triple-A Sacramento: 2-1, 1.01 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.90 WHIP in 6 starts
• 2024 away stats with Triple-A Sacramento: 0-1, 3.52 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.44 WHIP in 2 starts

Wheeler (3-3, 1.91 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 in 42 1/3 innings.

• Phillies are 3-4 in his starts, including 3-0 in his last 3
• Has allowed 9 ER and 3 HR while striking out 52 and walking 12

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Giants at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Phillies -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-120) | Phillies -1.5 (+100)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -110)

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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Giants 2

Moneyline

PASS.

There is better value on the Phillies’ (-200) run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+100).

The Phillies have scored 4 or more runs in 9 of their last 10 games while allowing 4 or fewer in 7 of their last 10. They have scored 23 runs in this series against the Giants and allowed just 10. Six of their last 9 wins have come by 2 or more runs, which will again be the case Monday against a rookie pitcher.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

While Black is unproven for the Giants, Wheeler has only allowed 9 earned runs in 7 starts for the Phillies, including just 1 total in his last 3. The Giants have scored 4 or fewer runs in each of their last 10 games, while the Phillies have scored 4 or fewer in 2 of their last 4.

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The San Francisco Giants (15-19) and Philadelphia Phillies (23-11) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-0

The Phillies chopped the Giants down to size with a 14-3 beatdown Saturday. They scored 9 runs in the 1st 2 innings and never looked back. They did it on 12 hits, and only 1 left the ballpark, and only another triple went for extra bases. DH/OF Kyle Schwarber may be coming out of his early season slumber with 2 hits in 3 ABs and a hit in 5 of the last 6 games.

This Giants have lost 4 of the last 5 games and have scored 3 or fewer runs in 9 straight games. They are 22nd in baseball with 3.7 runs per game and are just 6-12 on the road. OF Jorge Soler has gone cold with just 3 hits in his last 10 games. He’s hitting .202 with 5 HR and 8 RBI.

Giants at Phillies projected starters

RHP Logan Webb vs. RHP Taijuan Walker

Webb (3-2, 2.98 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 42 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 4 K Tuesday against Boston Red Sox
• 2 career starts vs. Phillies: 0-0, 5.25 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 14 K in 12 IP

Walker (1-0, 8.53 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 6 ER on 8 H and 2 BB with 4 K in 6 1/3 IP against the San Diego Padres April 28.

• Started season on IL with shoulder impingement
• Last 5 regular season starts vs. Giants: 1-2, 5.09 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 18 K in 23 IP

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Giants at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:09 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Giants -1.5 (+150) | Phillies +1.5 (-185)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Giants 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline.

Before his last start, Webb was really dialed in with 3 ER in 29 IP in his previous 4 starts. He doesn’t have a lot of history against the Phils, but he struck out 10 over 8 IP in his last matchup with them 2 years ago. He’ll have to keep the bats quieter than his own, but take the GIANTS -115.

Run line/Against the spread

While we mentioned he fanned 10 in 8 IP against the Phils 2 years ago, we’re going against that grain here. Webb has not struck out more than 5 in any of his 7 starts.

Take LOGAN WEBB UNDER 5.5 K’S (-160).

Over/Under

Small number here, but it’ll have to stay Under for the anemic Giants offense to have a shot. The Giants are 2-7-1 O/U in their last 10. The Phils are 6-3-1. Webb keeps those horses at bay.

LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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The San Francisco Giants (15-18) and Philadelphia Phillies (22-11) play the 2nd game of a 4-game series Saturday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 1-0

The Phillies won their series opener with the Giants 4-3 Friday night. LF Brandon Marsh‘s 2-RBI single in the bottom of the 3rd gave Philadelphia the lead, and it never looked back. Starter Aaron Nola struggled with control, issuing 4 walks over his 4 innings of work. That tied his season high for free passes in a game. The Phillies have won 7 of their last 8 games.

This was easily the worst start of the season for Giants RHP Jordan Hicks, allowing 4 runs (2 ER) over 4 innings in Philadelphia Friday night. The only offense for San Francisco came from 2B Thairo Estrada‘s 2-RBI double in the top of the 2nd inning. The Giants are now 1-3 to begin their 10-game road trip.

Giants at Phillies projected starters

RHP Keaton Winn vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

Winn (3-3, 3.18 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 34 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 1 ER (5 R), 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-1 defeat at Cincinnati Reds Tuesday
• 2024 road stats: 1-2, 3.38 ERA (16 IP, 6 ER), 1.13 WHIP in 3 starts
• Never faced Phillies before

Suarez (5-0, 1.32 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.63 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 41 innings.

• Last start: Win, 8 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 5-1 victory at San Diego Padres Saturday
• 2024 home stats: 2-0, 1.35 ERA (20 IP, 3 ER), 0.80 WHIP in 3 starts
• Career vs Giants: 1-0, 3.38 ERA (16 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts and 4 relief appearances

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Giants at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Giants +1.5 (-135) | Phillies -1.5 (+110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Giants 1

Moneyline.

PASS.

I love the Phillies (-190) to win this game, but I’d rather take the plus odds on the run line than put down nearly 2 units.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).

San Francisco has not been getting it done away from the Bay, sitting with a 6-10 road record and sub-.300 OBP. It has also struggled against southpaws, sporting a record of 3-5 on the season. That fact is compounded knowing that it faces one of the best lefties in MLB thus far in Saurez. The dude has allowed just 3 earned runs all season at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia owns a 14-5 record against right-handers this season and hasn’t lost in May yet.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

I fully expect this game to be a pitching duel. Suarez has not allowed more than 1 run in his last 4 starts, while Winn has not allowed more than 2 runs in his last 4.

The Phillies’ bats have been quiet recently, going Under in 2 straight, but San Francisco’s offense has been in the freezer for well over a week now, going Under in 6 of its last 7.

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The San Francisco Giants (15-17) and Philadelphia Phillies (21-11) meet Friday to open a 4-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Giants won 4-2 last season

San Francisco beat the Boston Red Sox 3-1 Thursday while covering as a +108 road favorite to win the final game of the series after 4-0 and 6-2  losses in the 1st 2 games.

Philadelphia won 2-1 over the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday while covering as a -199 road favorite. The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 games and enter Friday’s game on a 6-game home win streak.

Giants at Phillies projected starters

RHP Jordan Hicks vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Hicks (2-0, 1.59 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.91 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 34 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 9 K in a 4-3 loss vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates Saturday
• Career vs. Philadelphia: 3-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 7 H, 4 BB, 14 K across 12 relief appearances

Nola (4-1, 3.20 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 39 1/3 IP.

• Last start: Win, 8 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 10 K in a 9-3 win over the San Diego Padres Friday
• Career vs. San Francisco: 3-2, 6.81 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 47 H, 9 BB, 33 K in 7 starts

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Giants at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:05  p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Phillies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-160) | Phillies -1.5 (+135)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-155).

Philadelphia has won back-to-back games and is 7-3 in its last 10 outings while the Giants are 1-2 in their last 3 games and 5-5 in the last 10. The Phillies have also won 2 of their last 3 meetings with the Giants, but be aware the Giants are 7-3 in their last 10 matchups vs. Philadelphia.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Neither team has been good ATS this season, as the Giants are 14-18 and the Phillies are only 16-16. Therefore, neither team is worth the risk of backing here, so bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8 (-115).

The Under has hit in 6 consecutive games for the Giants and is 8-1-1 in their last 10 games. For Philadelphia the Under hit in its last game and is 17-14-1 on the season.

This is a very slight lean as the Over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings between these squads and is 3-1 in Philly’s last 4 games.

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The San Francisco Giants (65-61) and Philadelphia Phillies (69-57) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 3-2

Philadelphia won 4-3 as a -135 home favorite Tuesday. San Francisco led 3-2 heading into the bottom of the 9th when SS Trea Turner hit a walk-off 2-run RBI single with the bases loaded.

The Phillies have now won back-to-back games, sitting at 5-5 in their last 10 and 36-24 at home. San Francisco has now lost back-to-back games and is 3-7 in its last 10. The Giants are 30-33 on the road this season.

Giants at Phillies projected starters

RHP Alex Cobb vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen 

Cobb (6-5, 3.75 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 127 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 4-0 road loss Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
• Career vs. Philadelphia: 1-1. 2.82 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 15 H, 11 BB, 17 K in 4 starts

Lorenzen (7-8, 3.57 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.4
BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 126 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 1 K in an 8-7 road loss Friday vs. Washington Nationals
• Career vs. San Francisco: 0-1, 8.22 ERA (15 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 23 H, 7 BB, 10 K in 8 appearances (2 starts)

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Giants at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:26 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Phillies -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-190) | Phillies -1.5 (+155)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 2, Giants 1

Moneyline

LEAN PHILLIES (-135).

The Phillies are hotter than the Giants and hold the pitching advantage. The Phillies have been very good at home this year and are 4-1 in Lorenzen’s last 5 starts.

This is only a lean because the Giants are 7-3 in the last 10 vs. Philly and will be fighting to avoid being swept in this series.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Giants to put up a fight here to avoid being swept, but at +1.5 (-190) the line is far too risky. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9 (-120).

The Under is 6-4 in San Francisco’s last 10 and 2-1 in Philadelphia’s last 3. The Under is also 3-2 in Cobb’s last 5 starts and 4-1 in Lorenzen’s last 5 starts. This is only a lean because the Over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 Giants-Phillies matchups.

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The San Francisco Giants (65-60) and the Philadelphia Phillies (68-57) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 3-1 after losing 10-4 in Monday’s series opener

The Giants have really been scuffling lately, dropping 9 of their last 12 games. San Francisco still holds the final NL Wild Card spot despite its recent struggles.

The Phillies hold the top NL Wild Card spot. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders lately, scoring 7 or more runs 9 times in their last 15 games.

Giants at Phillies projected starters

LHP Kyle Harrison vs. RHP Taijuan Walker

Harrison will be making his big-league debut. He is 1-3 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 6.6 BB/9 and 14.4 K/9 through 65 2/3 IP across 20 starts for AAA-Sacramento.

• Has made it through 5 frames just once and has gotten through the 4th innings just 5 times in 20 starts
• His swing-and-miss stuff looks legit, but he has really struggled with his control. He has been better in that regard lately, with no walks in 3 of his last 4 outings, though he issued 4 free passes in 2 innings in the other start during that timeframe.

Walker (13-5, 4.03 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 131 2/3 IP.

• Was skipped during the last turn through the rotation after his recent skills took a nosedive. Though his 4.07 ERA in his last 4 starts is respectable, he has as many walks as strikeouts (12) during that time.
• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 6 BB, 2 K in 13-5 loss to Minnesota Twins on Aug. 12
• 2023 home stats: 6-2, 3.11 ERA (66 2/3 IP, 23 ER) with 4.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 12 starts
• Career vs. Giants: 3-3, 4.50 ERA (42 IP, 21 ER) with 6.9 K/9 in 8 starts

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Giants at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:23 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110

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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Giants 5

Moneyline

Harrison has into trouble this season with walks and that trend will likely continue at the major league level. He can’t be expected to work deep into the game today so the Giants will have to rely heavily on their bullpen. Relievers Jakob Junis and Sean Manaea are likely unavailable after working the last 2 days and Alex Wood (19 pitches Sunday) could be off the table as well.

The Phillie bats have been on a roll and could deliver another big game in this spot. Back the PHILLIES (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

Walker hasn’t looked like himself lately, which prompted the team to give him a little extra rest following his most recent outing. Until he shows that he’s back on track, it’s tough to be confident in his performance. Therefore, expect the Giants to keep this fairly close and AVOID this line.

Over/Under

Both offenses look to be in pretty good spots in this one. They’re playing in a hitter-friendly environment with one pitcher having control issues and making his debut, and the other coming off a string of shaky starts. There should be plenty of offensive fireworks so hammer OVER 9 (-110).

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The San Francisco Giants (65-59) and Philadelphia Phillies (67-57) meet Monday to kickoff a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Giants lead 3-0

San Francisco won 4-3 as a +191 road underdog to avoid the 3-0 sweep Sunday vs. the Atlanta Braves.  PH Joc Pederson was walked with the bases loaded in the 9th inning to score PH Michael Conforto the game-winner. The win ended a 3-game losing streak for the Giants, who are 3-7 in their last 10 and 30-31 on the road.

The Phillies lost 4-3 as -223 road favorites in Sunday’s series finale vs. the Washington Nationals, losing the series 2-1. Philly trailed 4-0 heading into the top of the 9th, but scored 3 runs in that inning to give the Nationals a scare. Philadelphia is 5-5 in its last 10 overall and 34-34 at home this season.

Giants at Phillies projected starters

LHP Scott Alexander vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Alexander (6-2, 4.06 ERA) makes his 45th appearances and 7th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 37 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 0 K in a 4-0 road loss Friday vs. Atlanta Braves
• Career vs. Philadelphia: 2-0, 3.24 ERA (8 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 8 relief appearances

Nola (10-8, 4.58 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 153 1/3 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 7 K in a 9-4 road win Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
• Career vs. San Francisco: 2-2. 7.85 ERA (28 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.67 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 6 starts

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Giants at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:31 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Giants +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Phillies -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-145) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Giants at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Giants 6

Moneyline

PASS. 

This is a bad moneyline to risk money on for either team. The Giants have dominated the Phillies as of late, but the Phillies have been stellar at home. The run line and Over/Under plays are both safer bets and better value.

Run line/Against the spread

BET GIANTS +1.5 (-145). 

The Giants have won the last 6-straight games vs. Philadelphia and are 9-1 against them in the last 10 meetings. I like the Phillies to win here, but you should feel comfortable betting on the Giants to cover even if they lose, as they carry so much momentum vs. Philadelphia headed into this matchup.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).

The Over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 matchups and 3-1 in Philadelphia’s last 4 games overall. The Over is also 4-1 in Nola’s last 5 starts overall and 2-1 in his last 3 starts vs. the Phillies.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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