Tag: San Francisco Giants betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (57-32) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (44-46) Friday for the first of their three-game set at Busch Stadium with an 8:15 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Cardinals 2-1.

RHP Kevin Gausman is on the mound for the Giants. Gausman is 9-3 with a 1.73 ERA (114 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 0.82 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 across 18 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 9 K vs. the Washington Nationals Sunday.
  • Gausman took a loss earlier this month vs. the Cardinals (July 5) with 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K in San Francisco’s 5-3 defeat.
    • vs. Cardinals on the current roster: 59 at-bats with a .237/.328/.441 slash line, 17/8 K/BB, 3 HR and 7 RBIs.

RHP Adam Wainwright takes the hill for the Cardinals. Wainwright is 7-5 with a 3.58 ERA (105 2/3 IP, 42 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 over 17 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 6-5, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 4 BB and 3 K at the Giants July 6.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 133 at-bats with a .241/.304/.323 slash line, 18/11 K/BB, 1 HR and 13 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Cardinals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+125) | Cardinals +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Cardinals 3, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Cardinals (+120) First 5 Innings since St. Louis’ bullpen is terrible.

Since Wainwright has better pitching peripherals vs. current San Francisco batters is much better than Gausman’s against active Cardinals hitters, St. Louis is my preferred side.

Also, the Cardinals are 23-18 at home this season and already took two of three against the Giants in San Francisco earlier this month.

However, most of the baseball community has banked on regression from San Francisco that we haven’t seen yet. Plus Gausman has been dominant this season, so I’d rather take St. Louis’ First 5 Innings run line.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Quietly, Wainwright has re-established himself as the clear ace of the St. Louis rotation since starting RHP Jack Flaherty has gone to the IL.

And despite Wainwright picking up a win in his last start against the Giants, it was his first non-quality start since May 29.

Over that span, Wainwright is 4-1 with a 2.70 ERA (46 IP, 14 ER), 12 BB, 42 K and three home runs allowed in seven starts.

Furthermore, Wainwright has pitched much better at home this season. He is 4-3 in 10 starts at Busch Stadium this season with a 2.55 ERA (5.35 road ERA), 0.97 WHIP (1.47 road WHIP) and a 4.1 K/BB rate (2.3 K/BB rate on the road).

“LEAN” to the CARDINALS +0.5 (-125) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit since St. Louis’ bullpen ranks dead-last in xFIP and K-BB%, and I want to split my unit wager on this game with the Under.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-115) for a half unit because both teams have their aces on the mound Friday, the Giants are 8-9 O/U when Gausman starts, and the Cardinals are 6-11 O/U when Wainwright is on the bump.

Moreover, the Giants are 20-25-1 O/U on the road, and the Cardinals are 16-21-3 O/U at home this season.

That being said, the market is hammering the Under, and this total is “sharp” so there isn’t a ton of value in betting it.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-46) visit the San Francisco Giants (56-32) Sunday at Oracle Park to finish their three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco is going for the sweep after raking Washington 10-4 Saturday and chasing Nationals starting LHP Jon Lester in the 3rd inning by scoring 8 runs (3 earned) on 9 hits and 2 walks.

Season series: Giants lead 4-2.

RHP Erick Fedde is Washington’s projected starter. Fedde is 4-5 with a 4.53 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 30 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 over 12 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7-4, with 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 2 K Tuesday at the San Diego Padres.
  • Fedde earned a win June 12 against San Francisco with a stat line of 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 7 K in Washington’s 2-0 victory.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 34 at-bats with a .206/.206/.294 slash line, 9/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 2 RBIs.

RHP Kevin Gausman makes his 18th start for the Giants. Gausman is 8-3 with a 1.74 ERA (108 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.80 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-3, with 7 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 8 K Monday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Gausman was the losing pitcher in Fedde’s victory over the Giants back on June 12 with a stat line of 4 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 144 at-bats with a .292/.333/.479 slash line, 30/9 K/BB, 6 HR and 22 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:26 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Giants -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 5, Nationals 1

Money line (ML)

BET the GIANTS (-210) for 1 unit because Gausman has been the second-best National League pitcher through the first half of the season and the Nationals are limping into the All-Star break as losers in eight of their last 10 games.

One of the two earned runs allowed by Gausman against the Giants earlier this season was a solo home run from Nationals OF Kyle Schwarber who had a red-hot June but is currently on the IL.

Furthermore, I like betting on heavy favorites with low totals because if the House is anticipating a lower-scoring affair then there’s a solid chance that the better side scores more of the few runs projected.

Remember, regular-season MLB betting is a grind so don’t go outside of your comfort zone with this bet. If your standard unit is $100 then risk that on the GIANTS (-210) to hopefully scoop a $48 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (-105) because although I’d prefer to play it safe and lay -210 with San Francisco’s money line there’s certainly a case to be made for the run line.

The Giants have the second-highest cover rate at home this season with a 25-17 ATS record while the Nationals are just 19-23 ATS on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Under 8 (-105) since the presumed “sharp” money is on the Under whereas the “public” is backing the Over. Washington is 3-8-1 O/U in Fedde starts this season and the Under cashed in nine straight Giants-Nationals meetings prior to Saturday’s Over.

However, I have a hunch the Giants bats could rake Fedde in this matchup and I much prefer the San Francisco sides more than the total in this one.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (55-32) host the Washington Nationals (42-45) Saturday for the second game of their three-game set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Francisco won the first game of the series Friday, 5-3, with C Curt Casali filling in nicely for C Buster Posey by hitting 3-for-4 with a home run, a double and 2 RBIs.

Season series: Giants lead 3-2.

LHP Jon Lester is Washington’s projected starter. Lester is 2-3 with a 5.34 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 across 13 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 7-5 victory at the San Diego Padres Monday.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 161 at-bats with a .242/.313/.447 slash line, 42/14 K/BB, 8 HR and 19 RBIs.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani makes his 18th start for the Giants. DeSclafani is 9-3 with a 2.84 ERA (101 1/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-2, with 8 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 7 K Sunday at the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster: 159 at-bats with a .239/.288/.377 slash line, 39/9 K/BB, 5 HR and 14 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Giants -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-115) | Giants -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 6, Nationals 2

Money line (ML)

When you look under the hood of DeSclafani’s home numbers you’ll see that he’s pitched much better than his basic numbers indicate and he’s due for a solid home outing.

For instance, DeSclafani has a 4.24 ERA at home and a 2.14 ERA on the road this season, but DeSclafani’s xFIP, K-BB% and home run per nine innings rate are all better in San Francisco.

However, DeSclafani’s .289 home BAbip (.212 BAbip on the road) and 62.1% left-on-base percentage at home (91.1% LOB% on the road) show he’s just been unlucky in San Francisco.

The opposite is true with Lester’s home/road splits as his pitching peripherals in away games are far worse than at home. In fact, Lester has an 8.53 FIP on the road and a minus-1 K-BB%.

What I’m getting at is the GIANTS (-200) is a fair price that I’d put 1 unit on. As in, if your standard unit is $100 then I’d wager that on the GIANTS (-200) to hopefully earn a $50 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (-105) for a half unit because we are paying a steep enough price for San Francisco’s money line.

That being said, the Giants have a winning ATS record at home, and as a home favorite, while the Nationals have a sub-.500 ATS record as road underdogs.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS even though Lester’s road splits are awful and Washington’s bullpen is nothing to brag about because San Francisco’s IL is far too lengthy for me to have a lot of confidence in the offense.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (42-44) visit the San Francisco Giants (54-32) Friday to start a three-game set at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Nationals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2.

RHP Paolo Espino is on the rubber for the Nationals. Espino is 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA (40 IP, 11 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 across four starts and 15 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 2 K in Washington’s 5-3 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-0 with a 3.65 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.97 WHIP and 5.0 K/BB rate across 10 bullpen outings.

RHP Logan Webb is San Francisco’s starter. Webb is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA (49 IP, 21 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 over nine starts and one bullpen outing.

  • Last outing: Win, 11-6, with 5 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 7 K at the Los Angeles Dodgers May 29. Webb is making his first start since coming off the IL with a right shoulder strain.
  • 2021 home splits: 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA (19 IP, 4 ER), 1.11 WHIP and 3.6 K/BB rate over three starts and one relief appearance.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Nationals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nationals +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Giants -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Nationals +1.5 (-155) | Giants -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Giants 8, Nationals 5

Money line (ML)

GIMME the GIANTS (-150) for 1 unit because Webb has way better stuff than Espino and the Nationals’ 9-8 loss in their series finale against the San Diego Padres Thursday was so terrible it could carry into Friday.

Washington was up 8-0 against San Diego All-Star Yu Darvish heading into the bottom of the 4th inning, with All-Star Max Scherzer on the bump, before Scherzer gave up 7 earned runs and the Padres ended finishing the job on the Nationals’ bullpen. I’d argue that kind of loss has a carry-over effect.

Furthermore, Webb’s pitching peripherals are far better than Espino’s. Webb grades in the 74th percentile or better in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected wOBA, chase rate and expected slugging percentage.

On the other side, Espino grades in the 25th percentile or worse in hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected slugging percentage, whiff rate and barrel rate.

Also, Washington’s lineup should easier for Webb to navigate since Nationals slugger Kyle Schwarber is currently on the IL and Schwarber was one of the hottest batters in the majors before suffering a “significant hamstring strain” last weekend.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the GIANTS -1.5 (+125) a quarter unit because San Francisco has the second-highest cover rate at home (23-17 ATS) and Washington’s bullpen is mediocre to below-average.

Moreover, the Nationals’ relievers are a bit overworked since Scherzer didn’t make it out of the 4th inning Thursday and Espino isn’t an “innings eater” as he averages just two innings pitched per outing.

I expect the Giants to extend whatever lead they get against Espino on Washington’s bullpen and five of San Francisco’s seven wins during Webb outings have been by at least two runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a quarter unit – if at all – since the market is backing the Over more so than the Under.

However, I much prefer the San Francisco sides, especially the Giants money line, then the total in this game.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (43-44) and San Francisco Giants (53-32) close out a three-game series Wednesday with a 9:45 p.m. ET first pitch at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Cardinals vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Johan Oviedo is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. Oviedo has gone 0-4 with a 5.14 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 6.8 K/9, and 4.8 BB/9 in 49 IP in 10 starts and one bullpen appearance.

Oviedo typically throws his fastball 55% of the time; the Giants rank among the best in the league in effectiveness against fastballs. The righty has compiled a 6.08 ERA through 40 IP on the road in his career.

LHP Alex Wood is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. Through 14 starts Wood is 7-3 with a 3.89 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 9.6 K/9, and 3.0 BB/9 in 76 1/3 IP.

The Cards’ lineup vs. lefties leans way right (93% of plate appearances), but  Wood has been quite good against righty bats recording a solid strikeout-to-walk ratio and limiting them to a .665 OPS this year.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Cardinals at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:27 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Cardinals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Giants -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Cardinals +1.5 (-140) | Giants -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Giants 5, Cardinals 3

Money line (ML)

The Redbirds have taken the first two games of this series while the formerly hot Giants (10-1 from June 14-26) are just 3-6 over their last nine games. The Cardinals had been just 6-11 over their previous 17 games prior to this week.

Look for the Giants to bounce back in Wednesday’s series finale, but there is no value in the juice-soaked pricing on this money line: PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Oviedo runs into a lot of bats and a fair amount of hard contact. Wood is on a roll, notching improved velocity while getting a lot of ground balls and strikeouts.

The San Francisco bullpen is in a bit better shape heading into this series finale. St. Louis is 0-6 over its last six get-away games on the road.

Peg the GIANTS -1.5 (+115) as just a slight lean.

Over/Under (O/U)

With a nod to better bullpen pitching on both sides of late, and with a healthy respect for how Alex Wood has performed: BACK THE UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (52-30) and Arizona Diamondbacks (23-62) play the finale of a four-game set Sunday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Anthony DeSclafani is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. He is 8-3 with a 2.91 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 92 2/3 IP over 16 starts.

DeSclafani saw a four-start win streak snapped last time out on the road against the Los Angeles Dodgers Monday. Despite the loss, he was still 4-1 with a 1.69 ERA across five starts over 32 innings in the month of June.

LHP Caleb Smith is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-4 with a 3.08 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 4.6 BB/9 in 64 1/3 IP over seven starts and 18 relief appearances.

Smith moved into the regular rotation with six starts in the month of June, and he went 0-3 despite a tremendous 2.87 ERA. Run support was an issue, as the D-Backs provided him with just 17 total runs in his six June outings.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (-120) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Giants 5, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

The Giants (-190) are just a little more expensive than my personal money line max of -180. I’d rather play the run line in this series finale.

AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The GIANTS -1.5 (-120) are a better play on the run line behind DeSclafani. While they didn’t hit the run line in Saturday’s 6-5 comeback win, eight of San Francisco’s previous 10 victories are by two or more runs.

On the flip side, nine of the past 14 losses for the Diamondbacks have been by two or more runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean in this one with DeSclafani on the bump. The Under is 3-1 across his past four outings. Smith has also done a good job limiting the damage, and the Under has hit in each of his past three outings.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (51-30) and Arizona Diamondbacks (23-61) play the third game of a four-game set Saturday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants at Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Sammy Long is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. He is 1-1 with a 4.95 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 20 IP over 2 starts and 2 relief appearances.

Long will be making his third consecutive start. After a quality start against the Philadelphia Phillies June 20, he allowed four earned runs, four hits and three walks in five innings in a loss against the Oakland A’s Sunday.

RHP Jake Faria is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 in 8 IP over 1 start and 3 relief appearances.

Faria allowed just one run, three hits and no walks with three strikeouts across four innings in a 67-pitch no-decision Monday in St. Louis.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Giants at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (-105) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Giants 7, Diamondbacks 4

Money line (ML)

The Giants (-165) are just a little more expensive than I care to pay on a money line – especially with an unproven pitcher on the bump.

AVOID, and look to the run line instead.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The GIANTS -1.5 (-105) are a better value on the run line in this road outing. San Francisco decked Arizona 11-4 in Friday’s game bouncing back from a loss in the series opener. Eight of the past nine wins for San Francisco have been by two or more runs including their past three victories against Arizona since June 16.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 10 (-105) is a solid bet with two unproven hurlers on the bump. The offense should be plentiful in the desert. The Over is an impressive 20-8-1 in the past 29 inside the division for the Giants and 4-1 in the past five meetings with the Diamondbacks.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (50-29) and Arizona Diamondbacks (22-60) play the opener of a four-game set Thursday with a 9:40 p.m. ET first pitch at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Johnny Cueto is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants. He is 6-3 with a 3.63 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 over 67 IP in 12 starts.

Cueto twirled seven scoreless innings with just five hits and one walk while striking out six in a 2-0 win Friday against the Oakland Athletics. He’ll be looking to win his third consecutive start for the first time since April 4-14, 2017.

RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 4-7 with a 4.73 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 through 91 1/3 IP over 16 starts.

Like Cueto, Kelly also enters with wins in each of his past two outings. He allowed just five hits with no walks and five strikeouts over six scoreless frames in his last start, a 10-1 victory at the San Diego Padres Saturday. Kelly last won three consecutive starts Sept. 14-25, 2019.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:41 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants -1.5 (+105) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Giants 5, Diamondbacks 2

Money line (ML)

The GIANTS (-150) are a pretty decent bargain at this price. While the first-place Giants are on a three-game skid, they had a day off Wednesday after dropping both games of a two-game series at the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Diamondbacks, who enter on a four-game losing streak, should be tired. They had to travel after suffering a 7-4 setback at the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday afternoon.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The GIANTS -1.5 (+105) are a solid value behind Cueto, who is going well right now. They have rattled off wins in each of their past nine following a day off, and they’re 7-1 in the previous eight as road favorites.

San Francisco has also had its way against Arizona lately, posting four straight wins at Chase Field, and 19 of the past 26 meetings overall.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 9 (-120) is the way to go as both Cueto and Kelly have been pitching well in recent outings.

The Under has cashed in five of the past seven for the Giants after a day off, while the Under is 4-1 in the past five for the D-backs in the opening game of a series.

The Under is also 3-0-1 in the previous four head-to-head meetings at Chase Field.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The San Francisco Giants (50-27) and Los Angeles Dodgers (47-31) begin a two-game series Monday at Dodger Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Giants vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-3

Sunday: The Dodgers beat the Chicago Cubs 7-1 winning the final three games of a four-game home series. The Giants lost to the visiting Oakland A’s 6-2 but still took the series 2-1.

Giants RHP Anthony DeSclafani is projected to start Monday. He is 8-2 with a 2.77 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 in 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 8-2 victory at Los Angeles Angels Tuesday
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-6, 6.43 ERA (42 IP, 30 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 8 starts

RHP Trevor Bauer is projected to start for the Dodgers. He is 7-5 with a 2.57 ERA (101 2/3 IP, 29 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 16 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 10 K in 5-3 loss at San Diego Padres Wednesday
  • Career vs. Giants: 1-0, 6 1/3 IP, 1 R, 0 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 1 start, a 2-1 victory at San Francisco May 21

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Giants at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Giants +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Giants +1.5 (-135) | Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Giants 5, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

The value is with the GIANTS (+155), making them the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager.

They are 15-8 as road dogs, have the best overall record in baseball and won their last three games at Dodger Stadium.

Plus, DeSclafani won his last four starts allowing 3 earned runs in 27 innings for a 1.00 ERA.

He was hammered for 10 runs in 2 2/3 innings of an 11-5 home loss to the Dodgers May 23 but bounced back with a better outing five days later, yielding 2 runs in 4 2/3-innings of a no-decision in an 8-5 road win.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. If you prefer a bit of insurance, it would be reasonable to divvy up the Giants’ ML wager with a Giants +1.5 (-135) bet.

ATS records: Giants 50-27 (MLB’s best record) | Dodgers 37-41

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 7.5 (-115) is worth a HALF-UNIT PLAY.

The O/U is 5-2 in the seven head-to-head meetings between the NL West rivals this season including 3-1 in four games at Chavez Ravine.

The O/U is also 8-7 in DeSclafani’s starts but 6-10 in Bauer’s starts.

O/U records: Giants 37-38-2 | Dodgers 39-36-3

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 67-73-3 21-29-1 -12.1475
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 173-160-4 72-71-1 +2.9625
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Oakland Athletics at San Francisco Giants odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (46-31) head over the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Bridge Friday to start a three-game interleague set with the San Francisco Giants (48-26). Game 1’s first pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Athletics vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 0-0.

LHP Sean Manaea makes his 16th start for the Athletics. Manaea is 6-3 with a 3.01 ERA (86 2/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2-1, with 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 11 K Sunday at the New York Yankees.
  • vs. Giants on the current roster: 61 at-bats with a .262/.274/.459 slash line, 10/1 K/BB, 1 HR and 8 RBIs.

RHP Johnny Cueto is on the rubber for the Giants. Cueto is 5-3 with a 4.05 ERA (60 IP, 27 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 over 11 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-3, with 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB and 5 K vs. the Philadelphia Phillies June 18.
  • vs. Athletics on the current roster: 44 at-bats with a .205/.222/.364 slash line, 7/1 K/BB, 2 HR and 4 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Athletics at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Giants -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+140) | Giants +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Athletics 6, Giants 2

Money line (ML)

BET the ATHLETICS (-115) for 1 unit because Oakland swept the Giants when these teams met in San Francisco last season, Manaea is a far better starting pitcher than Cueto and the “sharps” are backing the Athletics.

First of all, Cueto has a much higher K/BB rate vs. bad teams compared to when he faces teams with a winning record. Cueto has issued 10 walks against lineups for teams above-.500 but just one walk vs. teams below-.500.

This could be bad news against an Athletics lineup that is patient at the plate (sixth in BB/K rate) and is very productive vs. right-handed pitching (sixth in wRC+).

Furthermore, several of Cueto’s advanced pitching numbers against Oakland’s lineup (FIP, wOBA, K% and exit velocity) are worse than his career averages.

Also, Manaea’s pitching peripherals vs. active San Francisco batters are much better than Cueto’s against current Oakland hitters.

Manaea has a 2.46 FIP, .302 expected opponent’s wOBA and .429 expected slugging percentage vs. the Giants (52 plate appearances). Cueto has a 5.88 FIP, .365 expected opponent’s wOBA and .580 expected slugging percentage against Oakland (30 plate appearances).

Manaea is also coming off perhaps his best start of 2021 where he had a season-high 11 strikeouts against the Yankees and a season-best 0.15 FIP.

Not only that, but it helps Manaea that he gets to pitch against this tough Giants lineup in San Francisco because the National League no-DH rule makes it easier for Manaea to navigate the Giants batters.

Lastly, the line opened with Oakland being even-money, but more than three-fourths of the money wagered is on the Athletics, which caused oddsmakers to move Oakland up to the favorite (according to Pregame.com).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the ATHLETICS -1.5 (+140) for a half unit because Oakland’s lineup can create margin in this game against a flimsy San Francisco bullpen, which is 24th in WAR and has a very fortunate .255 BAbip (second lowest in MLB).

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because I prefer the Athletics sides more than the total in this game and the situational trends are all over the place.

If anything, I slightly “lean” to the Under since that’s where the presumed “sharp” money is whereas the public is backing the Over.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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