Tag: San Diego Padres betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Cleveland Guardians at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (31-34) and San Diego Padres (31-34) meet Tuesday in the 1st game of a 3-game set in Southern California. First pitch at Petco Park is slated for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; Cleveland won last year’s series 3-1

Cleveland took 2 of 3 games from the Houston Astros over the weekend and is 9-5 over its last 14 games. The Guardians — 27th in scoring on the season with 3.85 runs per game — own a robust .811 OPS while scoring 5.43 RPG along that 14-game span.

San Diego won 2 of 3 games at the Colorado Rockies over the weekend, but failed to complete the sweep with a 5-4 loss Sunday. The Padres are 6-4 over their last 10 games and are 9 1/2 games back of the NL West-leading Arizona Diamondbacks.

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Guardians at Padres projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Bibee (2-1, 3.05 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 44 1/3 IP.

  • Is a 24-year-old rookie who has thus far benefited from a low 5.3% home runs/fly balls rate
  • Made it to the majors after just 15 1/13 IP at Triple-A and 148 IP total in the minors

Musgrove (3-2, 4.35 ERA) makes his 9th start as well. He has notched a 1.33 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 41 1/3 IP.

  • Got off to a slow start this season but owns a 1.04 ERA and 0.98 WHIP across his last 3 starts
  • Has allowed just 2 HR over his last 33 IP

Guardians at Padres odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Guardians +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Padres -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-156) | Padres -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The Padres have started to bang around some extra-base hits of late. The OPS production and, in some games, run production is lagging behind due in part to a .231 batting average on balls in play in high-leverage situations since June 2.

Musgrove filed a sub-3.00 ERA at home in 2021 and 2022, and he figures to give the Friars 6 good innings and get them in the neighborhood of a 65% win probability.

TAKE SAN DIEGO (-162).

Run line/Against the spread

No one plays more 1-run games than Cleveland who have played 30 (!) so far. PASS on getting San Diego by with a cushion unless the return is +135 or so.

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Over/Under

The Under has hit in 5 straight Cleveland-San Diego games in Southern California.

The forecast calls for a double-digit breeze helping the pitchers. The UNDER 7.5 (-105) is worth a partial-unit play.

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San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (26-40) welcome the San Diego Padres (31-33) to Coors Field for the finale of their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch is set for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 4-2

The Rockies have been struggling immensely of late, losing 6 in a row including the 1st 2 games of this series, 9-6 on Friday and 3-2 on Saturday. They have lost 10 of their last 12 and are just 15-19 at home.

The Padres have won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 9 games. San Diego is 16-15 on the road this season. They’re 4th in the NL West, 8 games behind the 1st-place Arizona Diamondbacks.

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Padres at Rockies projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. RHP Dinelson Lamet

Snell (2-6, 4.06 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 5.41 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 62 innings.

  • Had an MLB-leading 21 wins in 2018, but hasn’t hit double-figure wins in a season since
  • Padres are just 3-9 in his 12 starts, including a 7-2 home loss to the Rockies in the season opener March 30
  •  Has pitched 12 straight innings without an ER

Lamet (1-3, 12.42 ERA) makes his 15th appearance and 3rd start. He has a 2.46 WHIP, 7.6 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 16 2/3 innings.

  • The ex-Padres pitcher did not start a game at all last season
  • The Rockies are 3-11 in games Lamet has appeared.
  • Lost his last start: 3 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4 K in 10-4 loss to San Francisco Giants on Tuesday

Padres at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $10) | Rockies +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-125) | Rockies +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 12 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 7, Rockies 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The Rockies have been awful as of late, but at (-185), there is no good value in backing their opponent here. The moneyline for the home side (+150) looks enticing, but with Lamet on the mound, it is also a pass.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PADRES -1.5 (-125).

The Rockies have lost 9 of the 14 games in which Lamet has appeared by 2 or more runs. The Padres are 8-7 on the run line as a road favorite as well, so this is a position they have performed well in.

The Rockies are just 16-23 on the run line following a loss as well. Considering the trends, take PADRES -1.5 (-125).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 12 (-110).

The Padres have gone Under in 6 of their last 8 games. They are also 21-42-1 O/U on the season. The Rockies are 28-37-1 O/U this season and have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games.

Despite Lamet’s struggles, this total is too high, and with how these teams have trended, take the UNDER 12 (-110).

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Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (30-30) and the San Diego Padres (28-33) wrap up a 2-game interleague series Wednesday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0; Mariners won 2022 series 3-1

The Mariners posted a 4-1 victory in Tuesday’s interleague series opener behind RHP Logan Gilbert. The game was still in question until the top of the 8th inning before the M’s tacked on a pair of insurance runs to put a bow on the scoring. OFs Teoscar Hernandez and Julio Rodriguez each had solo home runs and 2-hit games.

The Padres have alternated losses and wins in each of the past 9 games. San Diego’s offense has been limited to a single run in 4 of its last 7 contests, with the Under unsurprisingly going 6-1 during that stretch.

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Mariners at Padres projected starters

RHP George Kirby vs. RHP Michael Wacha

Kirby (5-4, 3.04 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 71 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 8 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 1-0 home win vs. the New York Yankees last Wednesday
  • 2023 road splits: 2-2, 2.34 ERA (34 2/3 IP, 9 ER) with 4 BB, 25 K and a .233 opponent batting average (OBA) in 5 starts with 1 CG

Wacha (5-2, 3.48 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 62 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 8 K in a 2-1 home loss vs. the Chicago Cubs Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 3-2, 3.44 ERA (34 IP, 13 ER – 4 HR) with a .222 OBA in 6 starts

Mariners at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+165) | Padres +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mariners at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Padres 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (+100) are a solid play at even money as they look to pull off the 2-game road sweep.

Seattle has won 5 straight games inside the AL West while cashing in 4 of the past 5 interleague games against a right-handed starting pitcher.

The Padres have managed to win just 3 of their last 10 games at home while going 2-5 in the previous 7 vs. righties.

Run line/Against the spread

The Padres +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return if you need a little insurance and do not like them straight up. I know I sure do not.

San Diego is just 1-9 in the past 10 tries in Game 2 of a series and is just 2-7 in the past 9 interleague outings.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (+100) might be the best play on the board in this matinee affair.

The Under cashed on Tuesday, and it is 5-1 in the past 6 for Seattle against NL West foes. The Under is 4 straight against teams with a losing record.

The Under has cashed in 20 of the past 26 games at Petco Park while going 19-6-2 in the previous 27 interleague contests. The Under is also 11-1-1 in the past 13 interleague battles at Petco Park.

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Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Seattle Mariners (29-30) and San Diego Padres (28-32) open up a 2-game set Tuesday at Petco Park. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Seattle won the series 3-1 in 2022

Seattle was swept by the Texas Rangers over the weekend and has dropped 5 of its last 6 games. The Mariners gave up a combined 28 runs in the last 2 games in the Texas heat. They are 9-11 over their last 20 outings and have fallen to 10 games out in the AL West.

The Padres continue to be stuck in neutral at 5-5 over the last 10 games. They have really struggled to string together victories at 9-11 and 12-18 over the last 20 and 30 games, respectively. The root of their problem begins offensively, where they are 24th in runs/9 (4.18), 29th in BA (.222) and 23rd in OPS (.696).

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Mariners at Padres projected starters

RHP Logan Gilbert vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Gilbert (3-3, 4.08 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 64 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K vs. New York Yankees last Tuesday
  • 2 career starts vs. San Diego: 1-1, 1.74 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 6 K in 10 1/3 IP

Musgrove (3-2, 4.71 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 36 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 10-1 road win vs. the Miami Marlins Wednesday
  • 4 career starts vs. Seattle: 1-1, 7.58 ERA, 1.89 WHIP, 14 K in 19 IP

Mariners at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Padres -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-185) | Padres -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

In a small sample size, Musgrove has a 7.43 ERA at home over 3 starts as he tries to find his groove following a late start to the season. However, he has given up just 1 ER over 12 1/3 innings across his last 2 starts — both on the road. Meanwhile, Gilbert is coming off a rough start and has yielded at least 2 ER in 8 straight starts and 9 of 11.

The Padres have the edge in the bullpen with the 3rd-best ERA at 3.11 while Seattle is 9th with a 3.68 ERA. This Padres team has to start hitting at some point, and Seattle has lost 4 straight road games.

LEAN PADRES (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

I prefer the Mariners’ side here as they’re 15-12 on the RL on the road, and San Diego is just 13-18 at home. However, I’m not willing to pay -185 for it.

I like the Over in the First 5 here as Gilbert is allowing at least 2 ER in every start, and Musgrove has been shaky at home. Take the OVER 4 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-125).

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Over/Under

I like the Over for the full game, too. It’s slated to be a little cool at 64 degrees with an 8 mph gust blowing out to right-center. The Over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in San Diego and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings overall. I think 7.5 is being too kind to the pitchers Tuesday.

Take the OVER 7.5 (-115).

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Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Cubs (26-32) and San Diego Padres (27-32) meet Monday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 9:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 2-1

Chicago won 7-1 as -106 road favorites Sunday. SP Marcus Stroman won his 4th straight start and the Cubs hit 3 HRs and led 7-0 after 3 innings.

The Cubs are 4-2 in their last 6 games. They are 2-1 on the start of this 10-game road trip and 11-16 on the road this season. The Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games and only 13-17 at home.

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Cubs at Padres projected starters

RHP Kyle Hendricks vs. LHP Blake Snell

Hendricks (0-1, 3.86 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.82 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 9 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 2-1 home win Tuesday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Career vs. San Diego: 8-2 with a 2.61 ERA (82 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 0.89 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 13 starts

Snell (1-6, 4.50 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 5.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 56 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in a 2-1 road loss Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins
  • Career vs. Chicago: 1-1 with a 1.06 ERA (17 IP, 2 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 12 BB, 15 K in 3 starts

Cubs at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

PASS.

These teams are evenly matched with San Diego being a bad home team and the Cubs being a bad away team. The Cubs are 4-6 in their last 10 and the Padres are 5-5 in their last 10, meaning that neither team is hotter than the other. The Padres are far too heavy of a favorite to risk betting on, so skip  this bet.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN CUBS +1.5 (-135). 

The Cubs have proven they can consistently beat this Padres team and with the struggles San Diego has been having at home it is safe to believe that even if they lose, the Cubs will make this a close game. Bet lightly here as I don’t believe the Cubs will win this game straight up.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).

For Chicago the Under is 6-0 in their last 6 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 road games. For San Diego the Under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central and 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Under is also 6-2 in the last 8 meetings overall and 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings.

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Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Cubs (25-32) and San Diego Padres (27-31) meet Sunday for game 3 of a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 5:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Series tied 1-1

Chicago lost 6-0 as +173 road favorites Saturday. San Diego won thanks to a monster game from RF Fernando Tatis Jr., who hit 2 HR and had 4 RBIs. SP Yu Darvish also had a big game for San Diego, with 9 K’s, 1 BB, and 0 ER in 7 IP.

The Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games overall and have a 10-16 road record. The Padres are also 3-2 in their last 5 despite not having any back-to-back wins during that stretch. They sit at 13-16 at home this season.

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Cubs at Padres projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. LHP Ryan Weathers

Stroman (5-4, 2.59 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 73 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 8 K, in a 1-0 home win Monday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Career vs. San Diego: 3-0 with a 2.19 ERA (23 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 22 H, 3 HR, 7 BB, 24 K in 4 starts

Weathers (1-3, 4.28 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 33 2/3 innings

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K, in a 9-4 road win Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
  • Career vs. Chicago: 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 18 H, 2 HR, 6 BB, 9 K in 4 appearances (3 starts)

Cubs at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs -1.5 (+145) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cubs at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 3, Padres 2

Moneyline

LEAN CUBS (-110).

The Cubs are 0-6 in the 3rd game of their last 6 series, but the Padres struggles outweigh those of the Cubs for this matchup. The Padres are 1-8 in Weathers’ last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 0-4 in his last 4 starts at home vs. a team with a losing record. The Cubs are also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Padres should cover here but the line is simply not worth the juice, bet on the moneyline and/or the O/U instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

For Chicago the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a greater than 1.30 WHIP. For San Diego the Under is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the NL Central Division.

The Under is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings overall.

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Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Chicago Cubs (25-31) and San Diego Padres (26-31) meet Saturday for the 2nd of a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 10:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cubs vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 1-0

Chicago won 2-0 as +160 road underdogs Friday in Game 1 of this series. Chicago got off to a 1-0 lead thanks to an RBI by LF Ian Happ in the 3rd inning. The Cubs would add to their lead thanks to a 5th-inning HR by SS Dansby Swanson.

Chicago has now won 3 of its last 5, and the Padres are now 2-3 in their last 5. Chicago has a 10-15 road record while the Padres have a 12-16 home record and are 2-5 in their last 7 home games.

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Cubs at Padres projected starters

LHP Drew Smyly vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Smyly (5-2, 3.45 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 60 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K, in a 8-5 home loss Sunday vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Career vs. San Diego: 1-1 with a 2.38 ERA (22 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 12 H, 3 HR, 6 BB, 26 K across 5 appearances (3 starts)

Darvish (3-4, 4.61 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 56 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 2 K, in a 10-7 road loss Sunday vs. New York Yankees
  • Career vs. Chicago: 1-2 with a 2.33 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 6 BB, 24 K through 3 starts

Cubs at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-145) | Padres -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Cubs at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

PASS. 

I like the Padres to win this game, but at -175 the line here is simply not worth the juice. Bet on the run line and/or O/U.

Run line/Against the spread

BET CUBS +1.5 (-145). 

The Cubs have been solid against the Padres as of late, with a 5-1 record in the last 6 meetings in San Diego. Couple that with the Padres’ home struggles recently, and you’ve got a recipe for the Cubs to at least make this a close game even if they don’t win.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-115). 

For Chicago the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall and 4-0-1 in Smyly’s last 5 starts after allowing 2 or less runs in the previous game. For San Diego, the Under is 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games and 4-0 in Darvish’s last 4 home starts.

The Under is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings overall.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (25-30) wrap up a 3-game series with the Miami Marlins (29-27) Thursday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Padres suffered a 2-1 defeat Wednesday after winning the opener 9-4 Tuesday. San Diego has dropped 3 of the past 4 outings and is just 4-9 across its last 13 road contests.

The Marlins have won 4 of the past 5 games and are a solid 10-6 in their last 16 outings dating back to May 14. That solid run has propelled Miami to 3rd place in the NL East, tied with the 2nd-place New York Mets in trailing the division-leading Atlanta Braves by 4 games, despite an ugly minus-45 road differential.

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Padres at Marlins projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. LHP Jesus Luzardo

Musgrove (2-2, 5.64 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 30 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 5-1 road win Friday vs. the New York Yankees
  • 2023 road splits: 2-1, 4.24 ERA (17 IP, 8 ER) with a .300 opponent batting average (OBA) in 3 starts

Luzardo (4-3, 3.67 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 61 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 6-2 road win Friday vs. Los Angeles Angels
  • 2023 home splits: 1-1, 2.57 ERA (35 IP, 10 ER) with 13 BB, 39 K and a .233 OBA in 6 starts

Padres at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:02 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Marlins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+140) | Marlins +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Padres at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 4, Padres 2

Moneyline

The MARLINS (+100) are a value play at even money as they look to win the series.

Despite that the Padres are favorites, I prefer Luzardo over Musgrove in the pitching matchup. The Miami southpaw has allowed just 10 earned runs across 35 IP at home while whiffing 39 batters. Musgrove may have a respectable 4.24 ERA across 17 IP in 3 road games, but he has a dismal 7.07 ERA across 3 daytime starts.

The Padres are 2-5 in the past 7 tries in Game 3 of a series while cashing in just 3 of the past 13 contests against winning teams.

The Marlins are 6-1 in the past 7 in Game 3 of a series while cashing in 5 of the past 6 at home, and 6 of the past 8 against right-handed starting pitchers.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARLINS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you would like a little insurance, and can’t bring yourself to play the home side on the moneyline.

You might want to play a small-unit wager on the alternate line, taking the MARLINS -1.5 (+200) for a chance to double up.

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Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the play in this getaway day finale.

The Under has been the rule for the Padres lately, going 19-7-1 in the past 27 games on the road, while hitting at a 9-2 clip in the past 11 in Game 3 of a series. The Under is also 6-1 in the past 7 against a left-handed starting pitcher.

The trends aren’t as clear-cut for the Marlins, so go lightly on the Under. The Over is 6-2-1 in the past 9 games at home for Miami, but the Under is 14-5 in the past 19 games against an NL West team.

The Under is also 7-3 in the past 10 meetings between these clubs and 8-3 in their last 11 battles in Miami.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (25-29) and Miami Marlins (28-27) meet for the 2nd game of their 3-game series Wednesday at loanDepot park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 1-0

The Padres won the series opener 9-4 Tuesday, breaking a 4-4 tie with 5 runs in the 9th inning. DH Matt Carpenter drove in 3 runs to give the Padres their 5th win in their last 8 games as they improved to 4-3 through the first 7 games of a 9-game road trip.

The loss ended the Marlins’ 3-game win streak. Miami is 4-2 in its last 6 games and trails the division-leading Atlanta Braves by 4 games in the NL East.

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Padres at Marlins projected starters

LHP Blake Snell vs. LHP Braxton Garrett

Snell (1-6, 5.04 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 50 IP.

  • Had his best start of the season in his last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in an 8-6 road win vs. Washington Nationals Thursday
  • Padres are 2-8 when he starts

Garrett (1-2, 4.50 ERA) makes his 10th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 48 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 K in a 7-6 road loss at the Colorado Rockies Thursday
  • Has a 1.65 ERA over 16 1/3 IP through his last 3 starts

Padres at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Marlins +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+135) | Marlins +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Padres at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 6, Padres 5

Moneyline

The Padres are 2-8 when Snell starts and the Marlins are 6-3 when Garrett starts.

The Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

The Padres have not won consecutive games in the same series since sweeping a 2-game set from the San Francisco Giants on April 29-30.

BET MARLINS (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

The Marlins are only 22-33 ATS on the season while the Padres are 27-27 ATS. Miami is 18-15 ATS as an underdog.

However, you are getting a much better value by betting the moneyline Wednesday.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Four of the first 7 games on the Padres’ road trip have finished with 9 or more runs. They have scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 8 games.

Five of the Marlins’ last 7 games have had 9 or more runs. They have scored at least 4 runs in 6 of their last 7.

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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San Diego Padres at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (24-28) and New York Yankees (31-23) close out a 3-game series in the Big Apple Sunday. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Padres are 3-2 in the midst of a 9-game road trip. They’re looking to win a 2nd straight series of this East Coast swing, which began with taking 2 of 3 at Washington and concludes with a Tuesday-through-Thursday series in Miami. The Padres have scored 3 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games.

It took the Yankees extra innings Saturday afternoon to end a 3-game winless streak. LF Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s RBI single in the bottom of the 10th inning gave New York a 3-2 victory as -148 favorites. They look to end their 6-game homestand with a win — they lost 2 of 3 to the Orioles before the Padres came to town.

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Padres at Yankees projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Darvish (3-3, 3.67 ERA) makes his 10th start of 2023. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 54 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 7-4 road victory at Washington Nationals Tuesday
  • Career vs Yankees: 3-1, 1.64 ERA (38 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 6 starts
  • Last start vs. Yankees: No decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 2-1 road loss June 23, 2017
  • Has at least 5 K’s in 6 of his last 7 starts

Cole (5-0, 2.53 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 67 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 6-5 home victory vs. Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
  • Career vs. Padres: 4-2, 1.65 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Last start vs Padres: No decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 11 K in 1-0 Houston Astros’ home loss April 7, 2018
  • Has 5 straight no-decisions entering Sunday’s contest

Padres at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Padres at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 3, Padres 1

Moneyline

I could see taking a chance with YANKEES (-150), but I’m not 100% sold on it as I really like the UNDER in this contest.

The Yankees are 9-2 in Cole’s 11 starts this season, while the Padres are 4-5 when Darvish takes the hill.

PASS or make a small wager on YANKEES (-150).

Run line/Against the spread

I could also see taking a small flyer on YANKEES -1.5 (+140), but again, I really like the UNDER here.

Plus, we don’t want to lock up all our money on the Yankees, be it moneyline or run line. AVOID.

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Over/Under

These 2 teams have tussled into cashing back-to-back Under tickets in the first 2 games of the series, totaling 6 runs Friday (a San Diego 5-1 win) and 5 runs Saturday.

The Padres have struggled against right-handers, batting just .212 on the season, and Cole is 3-1 with a 1.42 ERA in his last 5 starts against them.

Expect a pitcher’s duel. BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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