San Diego Padres betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 17

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (43-47) return to action with a 4-game weekend series against the Philadelphia Phillies (48-41) beginning on Friday. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 4 of 7 in 2022

After dropping 6 straight games to end June, the Padres turned things around just before the All-Star break, winning 6 of their last 8 games while scoring 52 runs in that span (6.5 per game).

The Phillies dropped their final 2 games leading up to the break, but had been red-hot prior to last weekend. They just had a 30-game stretch in which they went 23-7, putting themselves right back in the mix for a playoff berth.

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Padres at Phillies projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Darvish (5-6, 4.87 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 85 innings.

Has a 6.59 ERA over his last 8 starts, though he has been hurt by some bad luck in the form of a .342 BABIP, a 60.2% LOB%, and a 17.1% HR/F
Owns a 6.16 ERA, 3.3 BB/9, and 8.3 K/9 in 7 road starts this season

Sanchez (0-2, 2.84 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 25 1/3 innings.

Has been stingy with the walks since his promotion, but his track record suggests that won’t last; had a 5.3 BB/9 at Triple-A this year and a 4.2 BB/9 in 450 1/3 career minor league innings
In 3 starts at home, he has allowed 7 ER in 15 1/3 IP (4.11 ERA) with a 15/3 K/BB and 2 HR allowed
Throwing his changeup more than he has the past 2 seasons in the majors and he has a 42.0% whiff% on the pitch along with a .130 batting average against.

Padres at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+140) | Phillies +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Padres at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Phillies 4

Moneyline

San Diego’s offense was clicking on all cylinders prior to the break. Sanchez has performed well in his small sample so far, but his minor league track record isn’t all that impressive and he’ll face a tough test Friday night. Look for the PADRES -115 to stay hot and come out on top.

Run line/Against the spread

Darvish is capable of delivering a dominant start at any time, but has been struggling lately. While the San Diego offense should give him enough support to win the game, it’s likely to be close throughout. PASS on the run line.

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Over/Under

Sanchez is off to a hot start, but has probably been pitching over his head. Darvish hasn’t flashed his typical skills lately and has struggled on the road this season. This is a good park for offense and both teams should do their part in helping push this total OVER 9.5 (+100).

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New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (42-47) and San Diego Padres (42-47) close out a 3-game set Sunday at Petco Park. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 3-2

The Mets had their 6-game winning streak snapped with a 3-1 loss Saturday. They were only able to muster 3 hits in the game. They are now 12-18 over the last 30 games and sit 18 1/2 games back in the NL East.

Padres lefty Blake Snell delivered one of his best starts of the year. He went 6 shutout frames, allowing 1 hit and 3 walks while fanning 11. The Friars are 5-5 and 15-15 over the last 10 and 30 games, respectively. San Diego improved to 24-23 at home.

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Mets at Padres projected starters

RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Scherzer (8-2, 4.03 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 82 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 9 K vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
Last 5 starts vs. Padres: 3-1, 1.97 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, 37 K in 32 IP

Musgrove (7-2, 3.56 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 73 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 11 K vs. Los Angeles Angels Tuesday
Last 5 starts vs. Mets: 0-5, 6.33 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 28 K in 27 IP

Mets at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Mets at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Padres 3

Moneyline

It’s unusual to see Mad Max with a 4 ERA. If the season ended today, it would be his worst ERA since 2011. He has owned the Padres, though, and been great at Petco. He’s 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 63 K’s in 41 1/3 IP in 7 starts there. Musgrove has been great, too, with a 2.09 ERA in his last 7 starts. But I’m going to take the plus-money with Scherzer

Take the METS +105.

Run line/Against the spread

The RL is too saturated to pick a side here. So I’m looking at Scherzer’s K’s. He has fanned at least 8 in 4 straight starts and 6 of 7. So I’m willing to throw down on MAX SCHERZER OVER 6.5 K’S (-140).

He has had a rough 1st half, and he’ll look to make a statement as it closes.

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Over/Under

Saturday was an old-fashioned pitcher’s duel, and I look for Sunday to be the same. The Mets are 3-6-1 O/U over the last 10, and San Diego is 6-2-2. The Over is 4-6 over the last 10 games between the teams. This total has hit just once in the last 6 meetings, and I could see it dropping to 7.5.

Before it does, take the UNDER 8 (-115).

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New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (42-46) and San Diego Padres (41-47) play the 2nd of a 3-game set Saturday at Petco Park. First pitch is at 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 3-1

Don’t ring the alarm just yet, but the Mets have won 6 straight games after securing a 7-5 victory in 10 innings Friday in the series opener. That’s half of the win total they have over their last 30 games as they have stumbled to 17 1/2 games back of the NL East-leading Atlanta Braves. New York improved to 5-1 in extra innings by scoring 4 runs in the top 10th inning Friday in a game that had been tied 3-3 since the top of the 5th frame.

The Padres had won 4 of 5 entering this series and sit 9 1/2 games out in the NL West. The Friars are 8-12 and 14-16 over the last 20 and 30 games, respectively, as they just have not found consistency. San Diego is 5-15 in 1-run games.

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Mets at Padres projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Blake Snell

Peterson (2-6, 6.61 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.67 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 49 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 3 K vs. San Francisco Giants Sunday
1 career start vs. Padres: 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K on April 11

Snell (5-7, 3.03 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 92 IP.

Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 7 K Monday against Los Angeles Angels
Last 5 starts vs. Mets: 2-3, 3.60 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 28 K in 25 IP

Mets at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:34 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mets +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Padres -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-140) | Padres -1.5 (+115)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Mets at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

The bugaboos for Snell, other than injuries, have been his control. He reaches a ton of 3-ball counts, has a lot of walks and naturally doesn’t go very deep into games. He has only allowed 70 hits in 92 innings and has struck out 121. That tells you how good his stuff is. I like the Padres here, but not at this price – especially when the Mets have won 6 straight.

PASS.

Instead, let’s focus on Snell’s 7.5-strikeout number. He had 7 K’s in his last start and 8+ in 5 straight before that. So it’s within his abilities to fan 8 here. However, the Mets are the 5th-toughest team to strike out. Snell has also averaged just 4.5 K’s over his last 4 starts against them. I’ll take BLAKE SNELL UNDER 7.5 K’s (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets are hot, but the main concern is the 6.61 ERA on the mound Saturday. Peterson has been good in his last 2 starts, yielding just 1 ER in 10 IP. I think he can keep the Mets at least in the game to try to win the battle of bullpens.

Take the METS +1.5 (-140).

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Over/Under

San Diego is 7-1-2 O/U over their last 10 games and the Mets are 3-5-2. The Over is 4-6 in the last 10 meetings between the clubs. One of the teams has scored at least 5 runs in 7 of the last 8 meetings. There also figures to be a lot of traffic on the bases with the number of walks each pitcher gives up.

LEAN OVER 8 (-115).

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New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (41-46) open a 3-game road series against the San Diego Padres (41-46) Friday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

The Mets are hot. New York has won 5 straight games — all against the NL West — and is coming off a 3-game sweep over the NL West-leading Arizona Diamondbacks in the first half of a 6-game road trip. The Mets closed out the series with a 9-0 shutout win on Thursday.

The Padres are also coming off a series sweep. San Diego took all 3 games at home against the Los Angeles Angels, a series punctuated with a 5-3 victory on Wednesday. The Friars went 5-12 in the 17 games prior to their series with the Angels.

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Mets at Padres projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP Yu Darvish

Verlander (3-4, 3.66 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 64 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-1 home win over San Francisco Giants on Saturday
Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of his 11 starts

Darvish (5-6, 4.84 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 80 IP.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-2 road loss to Giants on June 21
Went 1-2 with 7.71 ERA in last 3 starts before missing a couple of turns due to a non-COVID-19 illness

Mets at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Padres 3

Moneyline

The Mets have allowed only 11 runs during their 5-game win streak and have won 4 of their last 5 road games. Verlander has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of 11 starts this season and only 1 run across his last 2 outings.

Darvish is making his first start since June 21 and had a 7.71 ERA in his last 3 outings.

BET METS (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets’ 36-51 ATS record is the 2nd-worst in the league, but they have covered the spread in 6 straight games and in 9 out of their last 12.

The Padres have covered the spread in 5 straight games but were 3-12 ATS in their previous 15. They are 10-15 ATS as home favorites.

However, since we’re going with the Mets to win outright Friday that’s a much better value than taking Mets +1.5 (-200) with the run of insurance.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Verlander’s last 4 starts, and 5 out of his last 6, had fewer than 8 total runs.

Nine out of the Padres’ last 10 games have reached at least 8 total runs.

Four of the Mets’ last 5 have reached at least 8 runs but 5 of their last 10 have not.

With how Verlander has been pitching, I LEAN UNDER 8 (-115).

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Los Angeles Angels at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Angels at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Angels (45-43) look to avoid being swept in a 3-game road series against the San Diego Padres (40-46) Wednesday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-0

The Angels lost 8-5 Tuesday after dropping the series opener 10-3 on Monday, and have now lost 6 of their last 7 games. Los Angeles is in 3rd place in the AL West, 7 games behind the division-leading Texas Rangers and 4 behind the 2nd-place Houston Astros.

The Padres entered the series having lost 7 of 8 but have now won 3 out of their last 4. San Diego is in 4th place in the NL West, 10 games behind the division-leading Arizona Diamondbacks and 6 games behind the 3rd-place San Francisco Giants.

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Angels at Padres projected starters

LHP Patrick Sandoval vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Sandoval (4-7, 4.57 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 80 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 9-7 home loss vs. Chicago White Sox Thursday
The Angels are 1-7 in his last 8 starts

Lugo (3-4, 3.59 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 57 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 7-5 road loss vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
The Padres have lost his last 5 starts and 7 of his last 8

Angels at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Angels +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Angels at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 7, Padres 6

Moneyline

The Angels have lost 6 of their last 7 games and 7 of Sandoval’s last 8 starts. However, they have only been swept once all year in a 3-game series (May 26-28 at home to the Miami Marlins).

The Padres have not yet completed a sweep of a 3-game series this season and have lost Lugo’s last 5 turns.

BET ANGELS (+150).

Run line/Against the spread

The Angels are 24-21 ATS on the road and 17-12 ATS as road underdogs.

The Padres are 18-24 ATS at home and 6-21 ATS as home favorites. They have won and covered the spread in both games of this series as favorites.

However, the trends do not favor them.

Having failed to complete a 3-game sweep all season, it’s hard to trust them in this one, especially when they have struggled in Lugo’s starts.

The Angels +1.5 (-135) are not a bad bet at all if you don’t trust them straight up and want the run of insurance, but they have won outright the last 11 times they have covered the spread as underdogs. Seeking the plus money odds on the moneyline is the better wager.

PASS.

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Over/Under

Both games in this series have had 13 total runs.

Nine of the Padres’ last 12 games have had at least 9 total runs.

Six of the Angels’ last 12 games have finished with more than 9 total runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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Los Angeles Angels at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Angels at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (45-42) take on the San Diego Padres (39-46) in the middle game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Petco Park. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 1-0.

The Halos have dropped 5 of 6 games, including Monday’s tilt 10-3, a slump that has dropped them 6 games back in the AL West. The Angels are averaging just 3.6 runs per game in the 9 games since their 25-run explosion against the Colorado Rockies on June 24.

Los Angeles is a respectable 22-22 on the road but just 11-13 in interleague play this season. OF Mike Trout left Monday’s game after injuring his wrist on a swing and is probably doubtful Tuesday.

The Padres have lost 7 of their last 9 games as their turbulent season continues. San Diego has really struggled in 1-run games at 5-15 and is 0-7 in extra innings. The Friars are 11 games back in the NL West. They managed a 10-3 win Monday in the series opener despite allowing 14 hits and issuing 6 walks by holding the Angels to 4-for-16 with runners in scoring position, resulting in 14 men left on base.

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Angels at Padres projected starters

RHP Shohei Ohtani vs. RHP Joe Musgrove

Ohtani (7-3, 3.02 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 95 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 10 K last Tuesday against Chicago White Sox
Has never faced Padres
A little more hittable on the road in 2023: 4.03 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 7 road starts vs. 2.35 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 12.4 K/9 in 9 home starts

Musgrove (6-2, 3.80 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 across 66 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 6 K Thursday against Pittsburgh Pirates
Is 5-0 in his last 7 starts
Last start vs. Angels: Complete-game shutout win; 9 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 9 K on Aug. 27, 2021, at Angel Stadium

Angels at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:24 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Angels +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Padres -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-200) | Padres -1.5 (+165)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Angels at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 4, Angels 1

Moneyline

I like the Padres in this spot. Musgrove has allowed 2 ER or fewer in 6 of his last 7 starts with a 2.13 ERA during the stretch. The Angels are scuffling offensively, and now Trout could be lost for a stretch. Ohtani will give the Halos a chance, but San Diego takes it late.

Take the PADRES (-130).

Run line/Against the spread

We’re picking the Padres for a multi-run win, but it’s a little too risky for me with Ohtani on the hill to make a meaningful wager on, so that’s a PASS.

The Padres haven’t seen Ohtani on the mound before, and I look for him to light them up. He has 22 K’s in his last 2 starts.

Take SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 7.5 K’S (+100).

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Over/Under

The Angels are 4-6 O/U over the last 10 and the Padres are 7-2-1. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these clubs in San Diego and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings overall.

There is a 9-mph breeze coming in from left-center field on what is projected to be a 73-degree evening. It’s a pitchers’ park, and I favor the UNDER 7.5 (-120) Tuesday night.

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Los Angeles Angels at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Los Angeles Angels at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (45-41) open a 5-game road trip on Monday with a 3-game series against the San Diego Padres (38-46). First pitch from Petco Park is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since teams split 4 games in 2021

The Angels wrapped up a 7-game road trip going 3-4 by losing 2 out of 3 games to the Arizona Diamondbacks. They salvaged the final game of the series, winning 5-2 on Sunday as OF Mike Trout and DH Shohei Ohtani each homered. LA is 4-8 in the last 12 games.

The Padres lost 2 out of 3 games on the road against the Cincinnati Reds, losing the finale 4-3 on Sunday. They went 1-5 on the road trip, are 1-7 in their last 8 games and 3-10 in their last 13.

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Angels at Padres projected starters

RHP Jaime Barria vs. LHP Blake Snell

Barria (2-3, 2.92 ERA) makes his 6th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 49 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 0 K in 11-5 home loss to Chicago White Sox last Wednesday
Is 1-1 with 4.43 ERA in 5 starts (22 1/3 IP)

Snell (4-7, 3.21 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 in 87 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 10 K in 7-1 road loss to Pittsburgh Pirates last Wednesday
Is 3-1 with 0.87 ERA in last 7 starts (42 IP)

Angels at Padres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:42 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Angels +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Angels at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 5, Angels 2

Moneyline

Snell has been fantastic over the last 7 starts, allowing only 4 total runs in 42 innings. He has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 9 of his last 10 outings.

The Angels managed to score only 8 total runs in their 3-game series against Arizona, losing 2 of 3.

Despite their recent struggles, the Padres should take the opener, but the line is such that it doesn’t make sense to bet them on the moneyline unless you include it in a parlay bet.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Angels’ last 4 losses and 7 of their last 8 have been by 2 or more runs. They are 41-45 ATS overall this season.

The Padres are 39-45 ATS overall this season and 16-24 ATS at home, but Snell’s pitching against a struggling Angels team should get them on track.

BET PADRES -1.5 (+110).

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Over/Under

The Angels’ last 3 games and 6 of their last 8 did not reach 9 total runs. Five of the Padres’ last 7 have had at least 9 total runs while 4 of Snell’s last 6 starts have not surpassed 8 total runs.

BET UNDER 8 (-115).

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San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (38-45) and Cincinnati Reds (44-39) clash in a Sunday game at 1:40 p.m. ET at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 3-2

San Diego is off to a good start in putting a late-June slide behind it. The Friars, a club that went 2-9 from June 19-30, won Saturday’s game 12-5.

The Reds had a 3-game win streak snapped in Saturday’s setback. Cincinnati is 8-4 with an .889 OPS over its last 12 games on home turf.

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Padres at Reds projected starters

RHP Adrian Morejon vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Morejon (0-0, 6.75 ERA) is a reliever making his 1st start since 2021. He has a 2.00 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 4 IP in 4 games.

Filling in for RHP Yu Darvish, who is out due to illness; figures to fill an opener role for perhaps 1 inning-plus
RHP Pedro Avila, a 26-year-old who has appeared in 4 MLB games over the last 4 years (none this season), is likely to get innings as a bulk reliever

Abbott (4-0, 1.21 ERA) is a rookie making his 6th start. He has registered a 0.94 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 29 2/3 innings.

Pitched a combined 172 Minor League innings in 2022 and so far in 2023: clocked a 3.35 ERA and a whopping 13.0 K/9
Has benefited from a .186 batting average on balls in play and a 100% left-on-base rate
Has gone 6 innings in 4 of his 5 starts
Coming off a season-high 108 pitches in his last

Padres at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Padres +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Reds -136 (bet $136 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-156) | Reds -1.5 (+130)
Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Padres at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Padres 5

Moneyline

The Padres are 17-5 across the last 22 series meetings; they are 4-1 across their last 5 games in Cincinnati.

The pitching on both sides turns the prognosis for this one into an assessment of the teams overall. At 4.35 runs per game and 4.06 RPG allowed, the under-.500 Padres figure as undervalued. At 4.99 and 5.24, the Reds come in likely overvalued by their winning record.

That’s simplistic, but drilling down into the analytics is an exercise that reveals similar findings in the plus and minus expected runs for each side, what their performances should have produced in terms of real runs.

Give the visitors the nod in bullpen advantage, and Cincinnati is not exactly prolific at home (22-21). An early line move nixed what value their was on the moneyline. In relative terms, despite the cost the run line play is superior.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

BACK THE PADRES +1.5 (-164).

Cincinnati plays in a lot of 1-run games. Of late, the Friars have played in a lot of 1- and 2-run affairs.

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Over/Under

The book and bettors were ready for a warmed-up-wind-out-and-humid day in Cincinnati. PASS.

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San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (37-44) kick off a 3-game weekend series against the Cincinnati Reds (43-38) Friday. First pitch at Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati is set for 5:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-1, outscoring Reds 16-6

The Padres lost 5-4 Thursday, getting swept in 3 at the Pittsburgh Pirates. San Diego has lost 5 games in a row and 8 of its last 10.

After reeling off 12 straight wins, the Reds dropped 3 in a row, but rebounded to win the last 2 games of their series against the Orioles in Baltimore. Cincinnati is tied with the Milwaukee Brewers atop the NL Central.

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Padres at Reds projected starters

RHP Seth Lugo vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Lugo (3-4, 4.01 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 51 2/3 innings.

In 2 starts since spending month on IL with calf strain, allowed 4 ER in 10 IP with 9/1 K/BB
May 3 vs. Reds: Win, 6 IP, 7 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-1 victory
3.21 ERA with 24 K and just 3 HR allowed in 28 IP in 5 road starts

Ashcraft (3-6, 7.17 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.67 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 69 innings.

Roughed up by Atlanta Braves last weekend in 1st start off IL with 6 ER allowed in 4 IP
2.00 ERA in 1st 6 starts; in last 8 starts has brutal 12.82 ERA with 11 HR allowed in 33 IP
9.82 ERA in 8 home starts with a 6.4 K/9 and 4.2 BB/9 in 36 1/3 IP

Padres at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Reds +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+105) | Reds +1.5 (-130)
Over/Under (O/U): 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Padres at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 7, Reds 5

Moneyline

The Reds have been one of the hottest teams in the league and have pushed their way to the top of the NL Central. But they have lost 5 of the last 6 games Ashcraft has started, and he’s not a pitcher you want to invest in right now.

BACK PADRES (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

Ashcraft has allowed at least 6 ER in 5 of his last 8 starts, even though he has averaged just over 4 innings per start during that span. A trip to the IL didn’t seem to fix what was ailing him, and he has been awful at his hitter-friendly home park this season.

Look for the PADRES -1.5 (+105) to put plenty of runs on the board, and they are a good bet to win this game by multiple runs.

DIVVY 1½ UNITS between the PADRES (-140) MONEYLINE and the PADRES -1.5 (+105) SPREAD.

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Over/Under

It is pretty clear the San Diego bats are set up for a good day. On the other side, Lugo will have his hands full with a Cincinnati offense that has averaged 7 runs per game in its last 11 contests.

Look for this total to push just OVER 11 (-105).

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San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Diego Padres (37-43) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (37-42) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at PNC Park. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-0 after a 7-1 victory on Wednesday

The Padres are in the midst of a 4-game skid, and are just 2-7 in their past 9 games overall to slip to 6 games under .500. San Diego is also just 1-6 across its previous 7 games on the road and trails the NL West-leading Arizona Diamondbacks by 10 1/2 games.

The Pirates had lost 10 in a row from June 13-22 and were just 1-12 in the 13 games before this series. However, Pittsburgh has outscored San Diego by a 16-5 count, and the 2-game run total is the most for the Bucs against the same opponent since also scoring 16 runs in consecutive games from May 19-20 against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

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Padres at Pirates projected starters

RHP Joe Musgrove vs. RHP Luis Ortiz

Musgrove (6-2, 3.88 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 across 60 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 13-3 home win vs. the Washington Nationals Friday
2023 road splits: 3-1, 3.13 ERA (23 IP, 8 ER) with a .270 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

Ortiz (2-3, 3.74 ERA) makes his 9th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 45 2/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 8 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 3-1 road win vs. the Miami Marlins Friday
2023 home splits: 1-1, 3.20 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 7 ER – 3 HR) with a .303 OBA in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance

Padres at Pirates odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Padres -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-115) | Pirates +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Padres at Pirates picks and predictions

Prediction

Pirates 4, Padres 3

Moneyline

The PIRATES (+165) are a tremendous value at home as the Bucs break out the brooms against the disappointing Padres.

Musgrove has been consistently solid this season, including on the road. However, Ortiz is coming off a career-best outing, going 8 innings in a win on the road in Miami.

The Padres are just 1-5 in the past 6 in Game 3 of a series, while going 0-5 in the past 5 tries against a right-handed starting pitcher. It’s time to stop believing in San Diego and just fade it until it starts showing some consistency.

Run line/Against the spread

The PIRATES +1.5 (-105) are worth a look if you’d like a little bit of insurance and you believe the Padres will have some fortitude and salvage this series for some reason. It will likely be a close battle even if the Padres are able to win, and the Bucs are not priced out of line if you’d like a little insurance considering how well they’ve played in this series.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 8.5 (-105) is the best play in this matinee getaway day game.

The Under is 24-8-1 in the Padres’ last 33 games against a right-handed starting pitcher and is 12-4-1 in their past 17 road games vs. RHP.

The Under is 3-1-1 in the past 5 games overall for the Pirates and is 3-1-2 in the past 6 meetings in this series.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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