Anatomy of two plays: How the Chiefs burned the 49ers’ tendencies when it mattered most

The Chiefs won Super Bowl LIV by staying true to their offensive plan, and unleashing what they had learned through tape study.

Every coach studies opponent tendencies. The most effective coaches put their players in the best possible positions to attack those tendencies and win. In their 31-20 win over the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV, the Chiefs’ offensive coaches, led by head coach Andy Reid, offensive coordinator Eric Bienemy, and quarterbacks coach Mike Kafka, did a masterful job of creating big plays when they were most needed. This was never more evident than on the Chiefs’ two most explosive plays of the game — the 44-yard pass from Patrick Mahomes to Tyreek Hill with 7:13 left in the fourth quarter, and Mahomes’ 38-yard completion to Sammy Watkins with 3:44 remaining.

Each play was desperately needed. Kansas City was down 20-10 on the drive that contained the Hill catch, and the Chiefs ended that drive four plays later with a one-yard touchdown pass to Travis Kelce. The Hill catch came on third-and-15 from the Kansas City 35-yard line, and it pushed the ball to the San Francisco 21. Three Mahomes incompletions followed, but a 20-yard pass interference call against safety Tarvarius Moore set the ball at the one-yard line for the Kelce score. Without that Hill catch, though, the game likely has a very different result.

The Watkins catch came on second-and-7 from the San Francisco 48-yard line. It put the ball at the San Francisco 10-yard line. Mahomes then ran for six yards, was sacked on the next play, and then found running back Damien Williams for a five-yard score. That put the Chiefs up 24-20 and gave them the lead they would not relinquish.

(Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports)

Perhaps the most interesting thing about both plays is that they played specifically to San Francisco’s defensive tendencies, and Kansas City’s coaches and players were smart enough to dial them up even as their offense had been severely challenged to that point by Robert Saleh’s squad. Early in the game, San Francisco kept him to shorter stuff with their pass rush, which he told me after the game.

“That was just how the game turned out,” he said. “Those guys were getting upfield — obviously that’s a lot of great defensive linemen, and they were covering downfield. So, we hit some short stuff, and when I saw their safeties coming up [in the box], we tried to take some shots later on in the game.”

The 44-yard Hill play has all kinds of levels to it. As ESPN’s Dan Orlovsky explained, the Chiefs love to test defenses with a play with a three-by-one set in which Kelce and one of their speed receivers (Hill in this case) will each run inside routes, with the outside receiver (Watkins in this case) running either a go route or an in-cut based on the coverage.

There’s a version of the play, also based on attacking coverage rules, in which Hill runs what looks like the inside route, and then, he’ll break out to the corner route. That was what broke San Francisco’s defense up.

“They were playing this kind of robber coverage all game long, where the safety was coming down and robbing our deep crossing routes,” Mahomes said. “We had a good play call on where [tight end Travis] Kelce did a little stutter deep cross. We had Tyreek getting one-on-one with that safety, and the biggest thing is that we needed really good protection. It was a long route. It was actually the same play we ran against New England in the playoffs last year [in the 2018 AFC Championship Game], getting him down the sideline. We had great protection, I put it out there, and Tyreek made a great play.”

Rolling it back to the Chiefs’ 2018 AFC Championship loss to the Patriots was a fascinating reveal by Mahomes, coming as it did right after the Super Bowl win. Compare Hill’s 44-yarder in the Super Bowl…

…with this 42-yard play against the Patriots. It’s the same concept, flipped to the other side of the field.

Get the defense thinking Hill’s going to run the crosser based on tape, have him blast to the corner, and there’s just no way the deep safety is going to be able to adjust to that.

Another wrinkle here — Kafka told Peter King of NBC Sports that in the first half, the Chiefs ran a version of the play that had Hill staying inside on the crosser. One example of a similar concept is this 10-yard pass to Damien Williams with 4:59 left in the second quarter. Here, both Hill and Kelce work inside, and linebacker Kwon Alexander (No. 56) bumps Hill near the line to affect his route before taking off to try and tackle Williams. Ward, meanwhile, is skating off to the deep third of coverage.

This defensive iteration might have worked more effectively than the one the 49ers had on the 44-yarder.

The Chiefs have an implicit understanding of how Hill’s speed off the line and through his routes affects coverage, and they’re brilliant at exploiting it. The 49ers had done a great job of combining pass rush and tight coverage, but this is about when the Chiefs started raining down Kryptonite all over the field.

(Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports)

The Watkins play was interesting more in s specific matchup and technique sense. After the game, Watkins referred to a 65-yard completion from Aaron Rodgers to Davante Adams in the NFC Championship game as fodder for how the Chiefs would challenge Sherman specifically.

“I just knew it was one-on-one from film study,” Watkins said. “On a play where he was covering Davante Adams, I saw [Sherman] coming off an inside release when he’d been playing heavy outside the whole game. I knew Pat could make the throw, and that’s why we work on those types of situations.”

And then, the dagger.

“I just thank Davante Adams because I saw him kill [Sherman] on the inside release.”

Devastating, and accurate. Here’s the Adams play. Watch how Adams (No. 17, bottom of the screen) takes an outside jab step on Sherman, gets Sherman going one way, and then takes it inside.

And now, the Watkins version. It’s the same outside-to-inside jab step, and a similar result. As great as Sherman as been throughout his career, quick angles are the best way to beat him off the line.

Another common denominator here is how the safety over Sherman (Jimmie Ward in both cases) has eyes to the strong side of the formation before coming back. That leaves Sherman with iffy help over the top. When Watkins mentioned the one-on-one, that likely means the Chiefs saw Ward’s involvement to the three-receiver side (probably working off Kelce, who went in motion and back pre-snap), and could win to that side of the field.

(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)

Perhaps the most admirable aspect of what the Chiefs put together late in Super Bowl LIV was that, when they were down 20-10 late in the fourth quarter, they didn’t coach scared. They didn’t implode. They had studied what the 49ers did — and perhaps more importantly, what they couldn’t do — and unleashed the right concepts when they were needed the most.

Coming back from double-digit deficits in each of their three postseason games? Well, that’s not great for the blood pressure, but if there’s one thing the 2019 Chiefs proved true, it’s not how you start, but how you finish. And if you want to finish with the Lombardi Trophy in your hands, you’d better get cracking on the tape.

Touchdown Wire editor Doug Farrar previously covered football for Yahoo! Sports, Sports Illustrated, Bleacher Report, the Washington Post, and Football Outsiders. His first book, “The Genius of Desperation,” a schematic history of professional football, was published by Triumph Books in 2018 and won the Professional Football Researchers Association’s Nelson Ross Award for “Outstanding recent achievement in pro football research and historiography.”

6 Bills storylines to watch for during Super Bowl LIV

Six Buffalo Bills related Super Bowl topics to follow during Super Bowl LIV.

There’s always a  Buffalo connection, right?

When the Chiefs and 49ers square off on Sunday evening in Super Bowl LIV, there’s a couple of Bills-related things to keep in mind.

Here are six Bills storylines to follow during the Big Game:

Kansas City Chiefs running back LeSean McCoy. Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Will LeSean McCoy play?

The Bills cut running back LeSean McCoy at the end of training camp. Most were surprised because the Bills backed him and his playing abilities until the very end. McCoy sings the praises of Bills Mafia, loving the fans that once rooted him on, but because of that backing only to be dumped, McCoy said this week that he wished the Bills’ front office were more honest with him.

But once things were all said and done with Buffalo, McCoy, a free agent, quickly signed with the Chiefs. Many pegged McCoy as a guy who would be a difference maker. Instead, he’s been anything but for KC. McCoy was healthy all season, but only played in 13 games, rushing for 465 yards with four rushing scores.

McCoy’s been inactive in several games this year, including down the stretch. He hasn’t had a carry since Week 15. In the Chiefs’ first playoff game, he was active, but didn’t see a touch. In the AFC title game vs. the Titans, he was inactive. So the question is simple. Does Shady suit up?

 

Former Bills players on 49ers, Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV

Former Buffalo Bills players on the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.

The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers will faceoff in Super Bowl LIV on Sunday.

Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.

Both sides have their various connections to the Bills.

Here’s that full rundown here:

 49ers

WR Jordan Matthews

Jordan Matthews #87 of the Buffalo Bills. (Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images)

Jordan Matthews was acquired by the Bills via a trade with the Eagles in 2017, playing one season in Buffalo. Matthews signed with the 49ers in March 2019, was a final cut in training camp, he then re-signed by the Eagles in November, cut a few weeks later, then re-signed with the 49ers in December. He’s been inactive.

2019 stats: 3 games played, four catches, 33 yards.

WR Marquise Goodwin

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Marquise Goodwin. Credit: Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

The Bills’ third-round pick in 2013 signed with the 49ers in 2017 after his rookie contract in Buffalo expired. Goodwin won’t be playing in the Super Bowl, though. Goodwin is the the 49ers’ injured reserve list due to knee and foot injuries.

2019 stats: 9 games played, 12 catches, 186 yards, 1 TD.

It’s the 49ers’ new nightmare: How do you stop Patrick Mahomes?

The 49ers come into Super Bowl LIV with a championship-level defense. That doesn’t mean they’ll be able to contain Patrick Mahomes.

MIAMI — The 2019 San Francisco 49ers defense dealt with a late-season wobble due to injuries to key players Dee Ford, Kwon Alexander, and Jaquiski Tartt and has come back recently to retain its status as one of the best defenses in the NFL. Only the Patriots had a better Defensive DVOA (Football Outsiders’ opponent-adjusted efficiency metric) than the 49ers, and neither the Vikings nor the Packers had much of an answer for them in the playoffs.

It’s a significant strength coming into Super Bowl LIV. The problem is, San Francisco’s significant strength is about to run into the Chiefs’ overwhelming strength, which is their offense when Patrick Mahomes is healthy. The reigning NFL MVP worked through knee and hand injuries this season, but recent games have shown a relatively clean bill of health for Mahomes the thrower and Mahomes the runner, and that’s a rather glaring problem for 49ers defensive coordinator Robert Saleh and his crew, no matter how good they have been.

The respect San Francisco holds for Mahomes is evident and well-deserved.

“One, his mobility is unique,” Saleh recently said when asked to analyze what makes Mahomes so formidable. “His arm strength is ridiculous. He’s very, very accurate. But, what I don’t think people give him enough credit for is that he actually plays quarterback. There’s a lot of people, there’s a lot of quarterbacks in this league that will say no to number one [the first progression] and then it just becomes street ball. He gets rid of the ball on time. He puts it where it needs to be. He hits a lot of throws in rhythm. And when he needs to take his shot, he knows how to buy time in the pocket and do it. So, he’s a superstar in every way you can possibly imagine and he’s going to be tough to deal with.”

And then, there’s the matter of Mahomes’ receivers — Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman, and tight end Travis Kelce. In a word, yikes.

“They’re, at every position, it almost looks like they got their roster from the Olympic relay team and threw them all on the football field,” Saleh said. “Not to say they can’t run routes and catch either, because they can do that. They’re a special group and you can see why they’re there.”

Understanding the challenge is one thing. Dealing with it is another. The combination of Mahomes’ acumen and the ridiculous speed and synchronization of his receivers make Mahomes the most terrifying deep thrower in the NFL. Through the 2019 regular season and postseason, per Pro Football Focus, Mahomes has attempted just 69 passes of 20 or more air yards (Aaron Rodgers has led the league with 101), but he’s completed 36 of them for 1,275 yards, a league-leading 15 touchdowns, just two interceptions, and a league-leading passer rating of 125.2.

This is not great news for San Francisco’s pass defense, which fared pretty well on Richard Sherman’s left side in DVOA against deep passes, ranking seventh in the league, but was average elsewhere. This defense ranked 21st against deep passes over the middle, and 15th to the right. Dealing with Mahomes’ deep ball and his deep receivers is a challenge every defense eventually faces, and now, it’s San Francisco’s turn.

But wait… there’s more. Much more. Basically, Patrick Mahomes is a modern-day defensive nightmare.

(AP Photo/Ed Zurga)

Playing against Mahomes is a bit like hanging on to a tiger by the tail — it’s dangerous when you engage, and fatal when you let go. The Texans found that out in the wild-card round of the playoffs when they put up a 24-0 lead on the Chiefs, only to watch Mahomes and that offense score touchdowns on seven straight drives on the way to a 51-31 win. Mahomes threw five touchdown passes in that game, tight end Travis Kelce caught three of them, and Houston’s no-matter-what strategy of playing man coverage was exposed as a fool’s errand.

Not that the 49ers play a lot of man defense; in the 2019 season, they did so on just 61 targets, allowing 47 completions for 638 yards, seven touchdowns, and two interceptions. San Francisco plays mostly iterations of zone defense led by pressure from a voluminous front four, speed linebackers Kwon Alexander and Fred Warner, and a great secondary when everyone’s healthy and the right people are in.

But against Cover-3 and Cover-4, San Francisco’s two primary coverages this season, Per Sports Info Solutions, Mahomes has completed 33 of 47 passes of 15 air yards or more for 1,036 yards, 795 air yards, 10 touchdowns, one interception, and a quarterback rating of 143.4. The 49ers defended 379 catchable targets in the regular season; 196 were in either Cover-3 (114) or Cover-4 (82). And when defending passing attempts of 15 or more air yards this season in those two coverages, the 49ers allowed 21 completions on 37 attempts for 492 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions. The deep ball could be a problem for Richard Sherman and his friends.

This is not a strength-against-strength battle for the 49ers, though replacing cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon with Emmanuel Moseley has really worked well in the playoffs. In two postseason games, Moseley has allowed six catches on 11 targets for 58 yards, 29 yards after the catch, no touchdowns, one interception, and an opponent passer rating of 31.6. Last time Mahomes faced a secondary this statistically formidable, it was last December 8 against New England, when he completed 26 of 40 passes for 283 yards, one touchdown, and one interception in a 23-16 win for the Chiefs. The Patriots play man coverage at the league’s highest rate, but they also have the best overall secondary from a talent-to-scheme perspective.

Bottom line, there isn’t a schematic edge to be gained when you’re facing Mahomes. You must play sound coverage at every level, and you must know who to double when. Sometimes it means doubling tight end Travis Kelce; other times, it could mean throwing a bracket at Tyreek Hill on a vertical route. But you have to have answers for those two, as well as receivers Sammy Watkins and Mecole Hardman. In 2019, Kansas City put three receivers and a tight end on the field on 359 of Mahomes’ dropbacks — he attempted 332 passes, completing 220 for 2,896 yards, 1,421 air yards, 21 touchdowns, and four interceptions.

Okay, you say — just get some heat on him with that great 49ers front four, and it’s all good. Well, not so much. In the 2019 regular season and postseason, including the games he played in which he had lower-body injuries and really couldn’t break the pocket as he’d like to, Mahomes completed 71 of 145 passes for 1,057 yards, a league-leading 12 touchdowns, and just two interceptions. And if you’re thinking of blitzing him — well, don’t. That takes a defender out of coverage, and that’s when Mahomes really gets going. Against the blitz this season, he’s completed 62 of 92 passes for 805 yards, seven touchdowns, and no interceptions.

Here in Week 14, New England gets pressure up the middle, but it doesn’t matter. Mahomes just side-steps it, waits for Hardman to scald the one-on-one coverage, and does his thing downfield. It’s an underthrow, but as Hardman is in the next county by the time the ball comes down, that doesn’t really matter.

So, how to stop Mahomes, or at least slow him down? Sending as many defenders into coverage as possible is one way to go.

The Lions, for all their failures in the 2019 season, did a pretty decent job of limiting explosive plays from the Chiefs in a 34-30 Week 4 loss — and they did it without cornerback Darius Slay, who missed the game with a hamstring injury, and safety Quandre Diggs, who suffered his own hamstring injury in the first half. Mahomes completed 24 of 42 passes for 315 yards, but he also didn’t throw a touchdown pass for the first time in a 14-game stretch, one short of the NFL record set by Peyton Manning. In that game, the Lions endeavored to double both Watkins and Kelce. They totaled 71 snaps in the slot from their cornerbacks, linebackers, and safeties. Detroit’s defenders had the athleticism to delay Mahomes’ reads, bump and constrict receiver freedom through the routes, and clamp down when the ball came down in potential big-play situations.

The problem with using the Detroit game as a model for the Super Bowl is that Tyreek Hill was also out of that game with a broken clavicle he suffered in Week 1 against the Jaguars. When Hill’s in there, taking one of your safeties and maybe your slot cornerback downtown on every play, it adds some complexity to the recipe.

That said, Detroit did present a favorable paradigm by playing a lot of aggressive coverage looks at the line, and added some pattern-reading principles to best follow Mahomes’ targets through their routes. The Lions also got to their coverage spots with a delay at times, perhaps to limit the amount of time Mahomes had to diagnose who was covering who. Of course, with all those rushing lanes opened through coverage, Mahomes was able to run, which he did for what was then a career high of 54 yards.

And if the 49ers want to run a ton of nickel against this offense, they should go with the feeling. Fred Warner and Kwon Alexander are quality coverage linebackers, and in K’Waun Williams, San Francisco has a great slot defender. From the slot this season, Williams has allowed 48 catches on 66 targets for 375 yards, no touchdowns, two interceptions, and an opponent passer rating of 73.7.

Watch the way he reads Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph in Week 3 as Rudolph breaks the pocket and tries to hit receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster on a mobile option route. The result? An interception.

The ability to spy the quarterback as he extends the play and jump the throw in time could be a somewhat valuable asset against Mahomes.

Different kinds of pattern-matching and pattern-reading have been as close to Kryptonite as anything in Mahomes’ NFL career. The Broncos confounded him in 2018 with different match blitzes that proved effective. But Mahomes sees the field more effectively now, and he’s better at taking apart coverages, especially disguised coverages. There’s also a legitimate question about the 49ers’ ability to deal with the Chiefs’ receiver speed in anything approaching man or match coverage.

In the AFC Championship game, the Titans tried a different approach with three-man rushes, putting eight in coverage at times, only to see Mahomes run eight times for 53 yards and one amazing touchdown.

Mahomes also completed 23 of 35 passes for 294 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions. With that, another conclusion becomes clear: Blitz Mahomes, and he’ll kill you. Drop eight, and he’ll kill you. Fun!

“When you have all these weapons, and you only bring a three-man rush, it gives me room to run it,” Mahomes said after the game. “I love being here with this team, and all these guys make things a lot easier.”

Finding ways to stop Patrick Mahomes at this point in the season is like being asked to build a perfect weapon with a bunch of stuff from the junk drawer in your kitchen. No matter how good your defense is, the options are limited. If Saleh can pull off a MacGyver and actually create the perfect beast in Super Bowl LIV, he’ll have done more than most defensive coordinators have managed — and he’ll most likely be rewarded with a Lombardi Trophy.

Touchdown Wire editor Doug Farrar previously covered football for Yahoo! Sports, Sports Illustrated, Bleacher Report, the Washington Post, and Football Outsiders. His first book, “The Genius of Desperation,” a schematic history of professional football, was published by Triumph Books in 2018 and won the Professional Football Researchers Association’s Nelson Ross Award for “Outstanding recent achievement in pro football research and historiography.”

Sammy Watkins ‘scarred’ by Bills trade, didn’t want to be in Buffalo

Kansas City Chiefs WR Sammy Watkins reflects on Buffalo Bills trade.

Sammy Watkins, former first-round pick of the Buffalo Bills, said the team trading him in 2017 “helped him a lot.”

The comments about the team that drafted him went downhill from there.

As the story goes, the Bills traded two first-round picks for Watkins. He had production with the Bills, including a 1,000-plus yard season in only 13 games played in 2015.

But when Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott and general manager Brandon Beane came to town, they shocked the league by making big-time player personnel moves. Including in those were trading Watkins to the Rams, something he said left a lasting impact on him and a bit of a sour taste in his mouth toward the Bills.

“It left me scarred by just not trusting coaches in general,” Watkins told reporters via 13WHAM-TV during Super Bowl week in Miami ahead of Sunday’s Chiefs-49ers showdown. “But I think that revived my whole career. At that point in my life I didn’t want to be there and somehow, miraculously, I get traded like the next week and go to another team that’s pretty good and go to the playoffs in my first year with the Rams and now to be in this situation, fighting in the third round last year, one game away from the Super Bowl and to be in the Super Bowl this year… blessings.”

After trading Watkins and cornerback Ronald Darby in separate deals, Beane said the trades were made looking toward the future.

“Really with the draft picks, as we talk about short term and long term, that’s a big part of with planning for the future. We believe that you build through the draft and in order to get us into a situation where we can achieve success and sustain it, building through the draft is the way to go,” Beane said.

Of course, this was just the start of Beane and McDermott deconstructing the roster former general manager Doug Whaley built. Fast forward to today and the only draft pick left on the Bills roster from Whaley’s tenure is Shaq Lawson, and he’s a pending free agent.

Along with Watkins, former Bill LeSean McCoy didn’t have the nicest things to say about the Bills front office at Super Bowl week, either.

However, McCoy did stick around much longer on the Bills roster constructed by McDermott and Beane, one they also touted the importance of building around a strong culture. Having a player that wants to be traded isn’t exactly a strong culture.

Plus, the Bills now have plenty of salary cap space, near $90 million, heading into the offseason. A reason for that was biting the bullet on several dead cap moves in 2017, such as trading Watkins.

Regardless, plenty of time has gone by and with Watkins in the Super Bowl this year and the Bills as postseason visitors two of the past three seasons, both sides can equally say they benefited from the move.

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2020 Super Bowl prop bet: How many receiving yards will Sammy Watkins have?

The Super Bowl prop bet on WR Sammy Watkins is just at 48.5 yards; will he hit the Over against the San Francisco 49ers?

[jwplayer hDNWPlIL]

The San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs are gearing up to square off in Super Bowl LIV, which kicks off from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens Sunday night. It’s a matchup between two of the best offenses in the NFL this season, though they get the job done in different ways.

The Chiefs feature a pass-heavy attack with quarterback Patrick Mahomes, while the 49ers lean on their running game and use quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo as a complement.

Super Bowl prop bets are aplenty each year, and one of the most intriguing is Chiefs wide receiver Sammy Watkins’ receiving yardage line. BetMGM sportsbook has set the Over/Under at 48.5 yards receiving, which is right on par with his 2019 average of 48.1 yards per game.

Sammy Watkins’ Super Bowl LIV prop bet: Receiving yards: 48.5

Photo Credit: Mark J. Rebilas – USA TODAY Sports

The line is the same on both side of the total, set at -112 for both Over and Under 48.5 yards. Watkins is the No. 2 wide receiver for the Chiefs, but he’s the third option in the passing game – behind wide receiver Tyreek Hill and tight end Travis Kelce.

Watkins’ last seven games have been a mixed bag, which does nothing to help project how many yards he’ll rack up during the Super Bowl. In those games, he’s totaled 19 receptions for 325 yards with one touchdown. It’s an underwhelming stat line, to say the least, but he’s been more productive in the postseason than he was toward the end of the regular season.

In his two playoff games, he caught two passes for 76 yards against the Houston Texans, and seven passes for 114 yards against the Tennessee Titans. That’s good for a total of 190 yards on nine receptions. With the way he’s been playing the last two weeks, making big plays in the passing game, I’m inclined to take the OVER (-112) on this line.


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For the most part, the opportunities have been there for Watkins. He’s been targeted at least five times in 10 games this season, but only twice did he go over 100 yards receiving. You may remember he started the 2019 season with a nine-catch, 198-yard and three-touchdown performance against the Jacksonville Jaguars – that was also the last time he found the end zone on a reception.  In nine games, he had at least 49 yards, including both postseason games.

The issue with Watkins is his boom-or-bust tendency. He had four catches for at least 30 yards this season, but 24 of his 52 receptions went for fewer than 10 yards. He averaged a career-low 12.9 yards per catch this season and only 7.5 yards per target – down from 9.4 in 2018.

What works in Watkins’ favor is the fact that the Chiefs lean heavily on their passing attack. Mahomes has thrown 35 passes in each of his last two games, completing 23 passes in each. He’s not afraid to take chances, either, so expect him to take at least a few shots downfield to Hill, Watkins and rookie Mecole Hardman. With Hill and Kelce commanding a lot of a defense’s attention, it helps Watkins/Hardman break free at times in single coverage.

It could only take one or two catches for Watkins to go over 48 yards, so I’m going with the OVER (-112) and so should you.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Over profits $8.93 if Watkins catches at least 49 yards worth of passes during the Super Bowl.

Want some action on this prop bet or the last football game of the season? Visit BetMGM and place your bets on the big game now.

Follow @SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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The secret superstars of Super Bowl LIV

Every Super Bowl has the potential for unheralded players to shine. Here are six such players who could make an impact in Super Bowl LIV.

MIAMI — One thing you learn when you cover enough Super Bowls is that no matter how unheralded a player may be coming into the week, there’s always a story to tell, and somebody who would like to hear it. But that’s for the 6,000 or so media members credentialed for the event.

When it comes to game time this Sunday, and Super Bowl LIV kicks off, there are players on both teams — the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers — who may not be known to the general public, but who are ready to make serious contributions to their teams efforts. So, let’s go under the hood of these two rosters and reveal three players for each team whose performances this season should not go unnoticed any longer.

Here are the secret superstars of Super Bowl LIV, with thoughts on all six players from teammates and opponents.

Chiefs: Daniel Sorensen | Sammy Watkins | Charvarius Ward
49ers: Deebo Samuel | Fred Warner | Mike Person

UGA football releases hype video for Mecole Hardman ahead of Super Bowl

Former Georgia Bulldog Mecole Hardman Jr. will be playing in Super Bowl LIV as his Kansas City Chiefs face the San Francisco 49ers.

Former Georgia Bulldog Mecole Hardman Jr. will be playing in Super Bowl LIV as his Kansas City Chiefs face off against the dominant San Francisco 49ers. Hardman Jr. will play a big-role in the game. He’ll have a chance to provide to Chiefs with a spark with a return, catch, or jet sweep.

Games like this are why the Kansas City Chiefs drafted Hardman in the second round of the 2019 NFL Draft. The Chiefs were looking for another explosive receiver in their passing game to compliment Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, and Travis Kelce. Patrick Mahomes leads Kansas City’s offense, which is averaging 43 points per game in the playoffs.

The Chiefs face their toughest opponent of the 2020 postseason in the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers are allowing 15 points per game in the playoffs. San Francisco features an elite pass rush and a stout secondary including Richard Sherman, arguably the best corner in the NFL. Sherman will match up with Kelce, Watkins, and Hill often, but will rarely face Hardman. This will give Hardman a unique opportunity to make a splash play in a championship game. When Patrick Mahomes gets enough time, will he and Hardman be able to hook up for the next big Super Bowl moment?

Hardman has made numerous big-plays this season and could make the difference with one the Super Bowl. Georgia football released a hype video of Hardman’s explosive play-making ability ahead of the Super Bowl:

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WATCH: Former Bills WR Sammy Watkins scores for Chiefs in AFC Championship

Kansas City Chiefs WR Sammy Watkins scores in AFC Championship Game vs. Titans.

Former Buffalo Bills first-round pick in wide receiver Sammy Watkins made a surprisingly big impact on the AFC Championship Game.

Watkins, 26, had a massive game for the Kansas City Chiefs eventual AFC winners over the Tennessee Titans, leading his team with seven catches for 114 yards. Of those catches, one came via a 60-yard bomb to help the Chiefs take a 35-17 lead.

Watkins had a nine catch, 198-yard outing with three touchdowns in Week 1 for the Chiefs. While talented, he did not surpass 100 yards or score a touchdown the rest of the season, until the AFC title game on Sunday.

The Bills traded Watkins to Rams in 2017, who then signed with the Chiefs before 2018. He was Buffalo’s first-round pick, who the team traded up for, at the 2014 NFL draft.

Here’s Watkins’ title-game score:

 

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Titans-Chiefs: 5 Chiefs players to watch

Here’s a look at five Chiefs players to keep an eye on this week.

Sunday’s game between the Tennessee Titans and the Kansas City Chiefs will be the determining factor in which team represents the AFC in Super Bowl LIV.

Both teams will need breakout performances from some of their key players to come out with the win, and both Tennessee and Kansas City present their own unique challenges to their opponent.

Here’s a look at five Chiefs players to keep an eye on this week.

1. RB Damien Williams.

The Chiefs are much more of a passing team than they are a rushing team, but Williams has been an asset, finding the end zone on receptions and carries.

He’s been a historically dominant player in the postseason, having recorded four rushing touchdowns and three receiving scores in postseason contests, including last year’s.

He was a key factor in last week’s win over the Texans, finishing out with two rushing scores and one receiving touchdown.

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