Most amazing, least likely breakable Super Bowl records
Most amazing, least likely breakable Super Bowl records
Sports blog information from USA TODAY.
Most amazing, least likely breakable Super Bowl records
Well, as you no doubt imagine, we must start with the Patriots. Bill Belichick and Tom Brady are going to dominate these first few slides, and that’s because it seems unlikely any coach or player will top these two in certain categories. Other ones, …
Well, as you no doubt imagine, we must start with the Patriots. Bill Belichick and Tom Brady are going to dominate these first few slides, and that’s because it seems unlikely any coach or player will top these two in certain categories.
Other ones, who knows—but we’ve picked the records that you shouldn’t get you into too many debates at the bar (over too many beers).
These seem like iron-clad locks to remain records:
Does anyone really think there’s ever gonna be another QB who starts nine times—nine times, Mrs. Bueller—in Super Bowls? This seems highly unlikely.
Previewing Sunday’s Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys sports betting odds and lines, with Week 17 NFL betting picks, tips and bets.
The Dallas Cowboys (7-8), in need of a win, host the Washington Redskins (3-12) Sunday for a 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff at AT&T Stadium (on FOX). We analyze the Redskins-Cowboys odds and sports betting lines, while providing betting tips and advice on this Week 17 NFL matchup.
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Redskins: QB Dwayne Haskins (ankle) has been ruled out. QB Case Keenum will start in his place. OT Morgan Moses (knee) is questionable.
Cowboys: QB Dak Prescott (shoulder), LT Tyron Smith (eye), DE DeMarcus Lawrence (shoulder) and LB Sean Lee (pectoral/thigh) did not practice Wednesday. DE/DT Michael Bennett (foot), S Jeff Heath (shoulder), P Chris Jones (abdomen) and LB Joe Thomas (knee) were limited in practice.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:20 p.m. ET.
Cowboys 27, Redskins 20
The Cowboys (-500) are going to win, but I can’t justify suggesting to someone to make a wager that only profits $1 on every $5 bet. Dallas is desperate for a win, hoping to keep its playoff chances alive. The Redskins (+380) have nothing to play for and will keep their banged-up players out of harm’s way.
The Cowboys are only 1-3 ATS in their last four games and their blowout win over the Los Angeles Rams looks more like an outlier than an indicator of their actual ability. They’re still favored by 10.5 points over the Redskins, which is too large a number for me to bite on.
Take the REDSKINS (+10.5, -115) to cover the spread and keep the game relatively close.
The number is 44.5 (Over -106, Under -115). The total has gone over in 12 of the Cowboys’ last 18 games, and four of the last five at home against the Redskins.
Take the OVER (-106) with Dallas’ offense getting things kicked into gear after a flop in Philly.
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Former Oklahoma tight end Mark Andrews and punter Tress Way were each named to the NFL Pro Bowl.
Former Oklahoma tight end Mark Andrews and punter Tress Way were each named to the NFL Pro Bowl.
In Andrews’ sophomore campaign with the Ravens, he smashed their record for single-season touchdowns by a tight end, scoring eight in 14 games played. He grabbed 58 receptions for 759 yards, and his team holds an AFC best 12-2. It will be his first Pro Bowl. Andrews played for the Sooners from 2015-17 and earned the John Mackey Award, given to the best tight end in college football, in his last season as a Sooner.
Former Oklahoma and now-Ravens teammate Orlando Brown will serve as an AFC alternate at tackle for the Pro Bowl. Raven’s teammate and 2017 Heisman Trophy winner, Lamar Jackson will be Andrew’s quarterback.
Way is in his sixth professional season, all of which he has spent with the Redskins. This will be his second Pro Bowl. Way was at Oklahoma from 2009-12.
The 2020 Pro Bowl will be in Orlando, Florida at Camping World Stadium on January 26 at 1 p.m. CT.
Previewing Sunday’s New York Giants at Washington Redskins sports betting odds and lines, with Week 16 NFL betting picks, tips and best bets.
The New York Giants (3-11) visit the NFC East-rival Washington Redskins (3-11) Sunday of Week 16 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at FedEx Field. We analyze the Giants-Redskins odds and sports betting lines, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.
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Giants rookie QB Daniel Jones (ankle) could be shut down for the team’s final two games. TE Evan Engram (foot) hasn’t played since Week 9.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET.
Giants 17, Redskins 14
The GIANTS (+110) won the season’s first meeting 24-3 in New York with Jones under center. They’ll complete the season sweep and make it three straight over Washington going back to last season. New York is just 1-6 on the road, while Washington is 1-6 at home.
The G-Men are coming off a convincing victory while the Redskins let another one get away from them against the Eagles. Manning will be trying to get above .500 in what may be, again, his final start.
Stick with the moneyline and the outright win for the Giants rather than spotting them the +2.5 points and accepting a smaller payout with the -115 odds. Both teams are 6-8 against the spread for the season, but the Giants are 4-3 ATS on the road, while Washington is just 2-5 ATS at home.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet for the Giants to cover the spread of +2.5 and stay within 2 points in a loss, or win outright, returns a profit of $8.70 vs. a return of $11 for the moneyline bet.
Take the UNDER 42.5 (-110). The Redskins, who have little else to play for, should be intent on trying to feed Peterson the ball on the ground so he can pass Sanders. The Giants’ 36-point outburst last week is their highest point total of the season – they scored 32 in a one-point win vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 3.
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Esten’s NFL betting record: 45-42
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Previewing Sunday’s Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins sports betting odds and lines, with Week 15 NFL betting picks, tips and bets.
The Philadelphia Eagles (6-7) get another shot at one of the little brothers of the NFC East as they travel to FedEx Field to face the Washington Redskins (3-10) at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.
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Eagles: Lost Alshon Jeffery for the season Monday with a foot injury. Starters WR Nelson Agholor (knee) and OT Lane Johnson (ankle) haven’t practiced this week. RB Jordan Howard (shoulder) remains limited after missing the last several games.
Redskins: LB Ryan Kerrigan (calf) and CB Quinton Dunbar (hamstring) have yet to practice and OT Donald Penn (knee/back) didn’t practice Thursday after being limited Wednesday. RB Adrian Peterson (toe) and CB Josh Norman (illness) were held out of practice Thursday, but both are expected to play.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:40 a.m. ET.
Philadelphia 23, Washington 13
The Eagles are a prohibitive favorite (-223), but there are a lot worse moneyline numbers people have bet on. The Redskins are getting a solid number (+180), but since we think the Eagles are going to cover 5.5 points, we’re shying away from the moneyline. If you’re going to bet the moneyline, take the Eagles. A $10 wager on Philly will return $4.48 in profit if it wins. A $10 wager on Washington will return $18 in profit if the Redskins win.
The EAGLES (-5.5) are being teased at +100, but that’s the bet we’re going with. Haskins is still learning on the job and the Eagles defensive front is no joke. It will control the line of scrimmage and limit what Haskins and the Redskins offense will do. This one will be an endorsement or an indictment of Eagles QB Carson Wentz, who should be able to move the ball despite an injury-depleted receiver group. Lay the points.
There’s only one game (Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers) with a lower O/U than the 40.5 for this game and there’s a reason for it. This one is going to hit the Under. Both offenses have been dwindled down and there will be more punts than scoring drives in this game. Both teams will lean on their run games, which kills the clock, and likely settle for field goals more. Take the UNDER 40.5 (-115).
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Previewing Sunday’s Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers NFL matchup, with NFL betting odds, picks and best bets
[jwplayer hNcDD0TW]
The Green Bay Packers (9-3) are home to the Washington Redskins (3-9) for this Week 14 matchup at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. We analyze the Redskins-Packers odds and betting lines while providing betting tips and advice around this Week 14 NFL matchup.
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Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:15 p.m. ET.
Packers 34, Redskins 13
The Packers (-834) are a huge favorite against Washington based on both matchup and Washington’s 2-4 road record. Washington faces a better defense and offense this week in Green Bay.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Packers to win returns a profit of $1.20 with a victory. It’s too much chalk.
Taking the PACKERS (-12.5, -115) to win and cover is the play. The -115 odds represent a much better value compared to the moneyline. Green Bay will need to win by at least 13 points, but a successful $10 bet here results in an $8.70 profit.
The OVER 42.5 (+105) is the bet here. The Redskins’ 14-point average can be deceiving but their defense could easily allow 30. Green Bay scored 30+ points for the fourth time in the last eight weeks against the Giants and looks to continue its momentum heading through December.
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Previewing Sunday’s Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers sports betting odds and lines, with Week 13 NFL betting picks, tips and bets.
The Carolina Panthers (5-6) are home to the Washington Redskins (2-9) Sunday of Week 13 at Bank Of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET. We analyze the Redskins-Panthers odds and betting lines while providing betting tips and advice around this Week 13 NFL matchup.
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Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9 a.m. ET.
Panthers 30, Redskins 13
The Panthers (-500) are a huge favorite against Washington based on matchup and Washington’s 1-4 road record. Washington’s numerous offensive line issues, in particular, will loom large.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Panthers to win returns a profit of $2 with a victory. It’s too much chalk.
Taking the PANTHERS to win and cover the 9.5 points is the play. The -115 odds represent excellent value when compared to the moneyline. Carolina will need to win by at least 10 points.
The OVER 39.5 (-105) is the bet here. The Redskins averaging 13 points per game makes this a reasonable wager only because Carolina could score 30-plus this week (31 last week against New Orleans).
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The Cowboys are favored by a touchdown over the 8-3 Bills, and the advanced stats say that may not even be enough
The bye weeks are over and half of the league’s divisional races are all but decided. One such race that is far from over, however, is the NFC East.
The Dallas Cowboys currently sit as the favorites, with a 64% chance to win their second consecutive division title, per FiveThirtyEight. The Philadelphia Eagles are just a game behind, and could match the Cowboys win total with a victory over the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. That is, unless the Cowboys take down the 8-3 Buffalo Bills.
Dallas comes in to Thursday afternoon as 6.5 point favorites despite two fewer wins than Buffalo has on the year. On the surface that may seem strange, but the underlying numbers all heavily favor the Cowboys, especially statistics rooted in Expected Points.
Expected Points, the foundation of many analytical arguments, uses data from previous NFL seasons to determine how many points a team is likely to come away with on a given play based on down, distance, time remaining, and field position. The difference in expected points at the start of a play and expected points at the end is referred to as expected points added, or EPA.
A play with a positive EPA means it put the offense in a better position to score, while negative EPA implies the offense is in a worse position.
Earlier this week, we released an opponent adjusted version of our EPA power ranks. And nobody was hit harder by the opponent adjustment than the Buffalo Bills.
Buffalo goes from a top-10 team to a bottom-10 team after adjusting for strength of schedule. No other team comes close to that kind of a change. So when you see the 6-5 Cowboys favored by a touchdown against an 8-3 team, there’s your reason.
We can take these adjustments one step further and apply them to upcoming games to see how Dallas’ offense matches up against Buffalo’s defense, and vice versa. This, along with a variable added to account for home field advantage, gives Dallas an even greater advantage by my model. Here’s how the model sees each NFC East game shaking out this week:
My model sees Dallas as double-digit favorites this week at home. I’m not suggesting you go put all your money on the Cowboys to cover, but you should feel confident that they won’t ruin your Thanksgiving dinner this year. The Bills’ strength on defense is in the passing game, while their run defense is the second worst in the NFL by my measure.
The Cowboys’ passing offense has torn apart every opponent this season, save for the monsoon game in New England, so while this game is ripe for a big Ezekiel Elliott outing, I wouldn’t fear this Bills secondary enough to take passes away from Dak Prescott.
These predictions also account for quarterback play, which is the main reason Carolina is favored by so much. Dwayne Haskins did get his first career win last week, but his numbers are still in the basement of the NFL.
Of the 41 quarterbacks with at least 100 dropbacks in 2019, Haskins ranks 40th in average EPA. Only recently benched Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Ryan Finley has been worse on a per-play basis. This prediction is less a praising of the Panthers and more an indictment of Washington’s play this season.
Philadelphia is coming off of a stinker of a game against Seattle, where they turned the ball over four times and didn’t get into the endzone until the final seconds of the game. They’ve had a tough schedule so far, having played five teams in the top 10 in adjusted EPA differential, which is why they still sit at 11th in our ranks. The fact that this one is in Miami is really the only reason this isn’t the largest spread of the week.
Last but not least is the New York Giants.
Green Bay is coming off of an absolute beating at the hands of the San Francisco 49ers, but that doesn’t mean they’re a bad team. It more solidified the fact that San Francisco, New England, and Baltimore are in a class of their own this year. On the other side, Daniel Jones is sitting at 37th in EPA/dropback, largely due to some costly sacks. No team has lost more EPA on sacks this year than the Giants. On plays where the quarterback is sacked, the Giants offense leads the league in fumbles, lost fumbles, and touchdowns given up to the defense.
The Cowboys are the only NFC East team to play on Thursday, and if it follows along with what the advanced stats are telling us, this should be a somewhat stress-free Thanksgiving for Cowboys fans.
They’ll need it too, if they want to keep up their advantage in the playoff race in these final weeks of the season.
Previewing Sunday’s Week 12 matchup between the Detroit Lions and Washington Redskins, with NFL betting odds, picks, tips and best bets.
The Detroit Lions (3-6-1) face the Washington Redskins (1-9) Sunday at FedEx Field at 1 p.m. ET. We analyze the Lions-Redskins odds and betting lines while providing betting tips and advice around this Week 12 NFL matchup.
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Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:15 a.m. ET.
Lions 20, Redskins 17
The LIONS (-175) remain a solid play because of the small price and value vs. the Redskins (+145).
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Lions to win returns a profit of $5.70 with a victory.
Taking the LIONS to win and cover the 3.5 points is the play. The -105 number is far better value here than the moneyline. They’ll need to win by at least four points.
The UNDER 42.5 (-133) is the bet here. The Redskins averaging just 12 points per game makes this a reasonable wager.
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Chris’ NFL Picks: 32-21 season record.
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