Tag: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves odds predictions pick betting line spread

Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (45-35) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-42) to Truist Park (39-42) for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Braves, who are one of the best home teams in the MLB with a 25-13 record, beat the Pirates 6-1 Friday, closing as a -213 favorite. They have won 10 of their last 15 games yet are 2-3 over their last 5. Atlanta is 38-42 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 2-3 ATS over its last 5. DH Marcell Ozuna leads test team with 21 HR and 67 RBI.

The Pirates are 20-22 in the road games and snapped a 2-game road winning streak with their loss Friday. Pittsburgh is 6-5 over its last 11 games and is 3-2 over its last 5 on the road. The Pirates are 42-39 ATS on the season. They have closed as an underdog in 4 straight games and are 24-24 straight up as an underdog this season.

Pirates at Braves projected starters

RHP Paul Skenes vs. LHP Max Fried

Skenes (4-0, 2.14 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 through 46 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 8 K in a 3-1 home loss to the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
  • 2024 away splits: 2-0, 0.98 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.55 WHIP, 1 HR, 13.7 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Has yet to face the Braves in his career

Fried (7-3, 3.00 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 46 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in a 3-1 road win over the New York Yankees Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 3.19 ERA (31 IP, 11 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 1 HR, 7.3 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 3-1, 4.76 ERA (34 IP, 18 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Braves -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-172) | Braves -1.5 (+142)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)

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Pirates at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

PASS.

The Braves, especially considering how Skenes has pitched on the road, aren’t worth the play as an expensive favorite. Similarly, Fried has been too good as well to play the Pirates as a road under.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PIRATES +1.5 (-172).

Pittsburgh has had Skenes start in 3 road games, and it is 3-0 in those. Skenes has allowed 3 ER through 18 IP on the road. The Pirates are 24-18 ATS on the road and 32-16 ATS as an underdog, the fifth-best covering rate as an underdog in the majors.

The Braves, who are 1-2 ATS in Fried’s last 3 starts, have struggled as of late.  They rank in the bottom half of the league in covering after a win at just 16-21 ATS following a victory. Both teams have strong pitching options that should keep this game close.

Back PIRATES +1.5 (-172).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-114).

The Pirates have gone Under in 2 straight and in 4 of their last 6. Pittsburgh is 37-41-3 O/U on the season. Both pitchers are 3.00 ERA or better on the season, and each have trended on the season towards the Under.

The Braves, who have gone Under in Fried’s last 3 starts, are 0-3 O/U in their last 3. They are 1-5 O/U in their last 6 and 30-47-3 O/U on the season. Back UNDER 7.5 (-114).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Braves (44-35) welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-41) to Truist Park on Friday for the 1st game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Pirates lead 2-1

The Braves lost to the Chicago White Sox 1-0 Thursday in a make-up game. Atlanta has lost 2 straight and is just 2-4 over its last 6 games. It will return home after a 7-game road trip and the Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 home games and 24-13 for the season. The Braves are 37-42 against the spread (ATS).

The Pirates, who are 20-21 on the road, have won 2 straight games and are 5-4 in their last 9. Pittsburgh is coming off a 6-1 road win over the Cincinnati Reds Wednesday, closing as +121 on the moneyline. It is 4-4 over its last 8 on the road. The Pirates are 42-38 ATS on the season.

Pirates at Braves projected starters

LHP Martin Perez vs. RHP Charlie Morton

Perez (1-3, 4.71 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 K in an 8-1 home loss to the Atlanta Braves on May 26
  • 2024 away splits: 1-1, 4.88 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 6 HR, 5.5 K/9 in 5 starts
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-1, 3.48 ERA (10 1/3 IP,4 ER), 1.84 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 2 starts

Morton (4-4, 4.20 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 79 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 5 BB, 4 K in an 8-3 road loss to the New York Yankees Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-2, 4.12 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 3 HR, 8.9 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Pirates: 0-0, 6.00 ERA (6 IP, 4 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 18.0 K/9 in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Braves odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:58 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Braves -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-134) | Braves -1.5 (+112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -124 | U: +102)

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Pirates at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

PASS.

While the Pirates could pull off the upset, the better play here is to back the road side on the run line.

The Braves haven’t been playing well enough over the last week to back here and aren’t worthy of a play as it will cost you almost 2x your bet in potential return.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PIRATES +1.5 (-130).

The Pirates are a streaky team and have been both incredible for betters on the run line after a win and as an underdog. They are 32-15 ATS as an underdog this season, the 4th-best record in the MLB, and they are 24-14 ATS following a win.

Meanwhile, while Atlanta has 1 of the best home records in the MLB, it is just 17-20 ATS at home. Without much difference in the strength of the starting pitcher, take PIRATES +1.5 (-130) to keep the game close.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (+102).

The Braves have gone Under in 2 straight games and in 4 of their last 5. Atlanta has scored 3 or fewer in 5 of its last 6 games as well. It is 30-46-3 O/U on the season.

Pittsburgh’s offense has been better as of late, but it still has scored 3 or fewer in 4 of its last 8 games and has tallied 5 or fewer in 6 of those. The Pirates are 37-40-3 O/U on the season. Take UNDER 8.5 (+102).

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pittsburgh Pirates (65-75) and Atlanta Braves (91-48) begin a 3-game series at Truist Park Friday. First pitch is slated for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Pirates hit the road after taking 2 of 3 at home against the Milwaukee Brewers. In splitting their 4-games against the Braves this season, both teams have scored 25 runs. Pittsburgh is 10-10 against the NL East on the season.

Atlanta lost 2 of 3 to the St. Louis to began their 6-game homestand. They nearly allowed 10 runs per game in that series. The Braves are 45-24 at Truist Park this season and have scored the 2nd-most runs per game at home (5.87).

Pirates at Braves projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Bryce Elder

Keller (11-8, 3.93 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 169 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 4-2 win at St. Louis Cardinals last Friday
  • Last start vs. Braves: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 8-6 home loss on Aug. 8
  • 2023 road stats: 5-5, 4.62 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 45 ER), .262 OBA in 15 starts

Elder (11-4, 3.42 ERA) will make his 29th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 173 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 4-2 loss at the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday
  • Only start vs. Pirates: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 7-5 road loss on Aug. 10
  • 2023 home stats: 6-1, 3.02 ERA (80 1/3 IP, 27 ER), .232 opponent batting average (OBA) in 14 starts

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Pirates at Braves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pirates +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Braves -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-105) | Braves -1.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pirates at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I believe the Braves get the victory but not enough to put down more than 2 units to win 1 back. Atlanta is in a bit of a lull especially after losing at series at home to 1 of the worst teams in baseball. Just let this bet go and look toward the total in this game.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Again, as stated, I am just not as confident as usual when it comes to the Braves at home. I’ll stay away from this and look to the total.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

This will be a tight low-scoring affair. The Pirates have their All-Star pitcher on the mound and while his results have been very mixed on the road, I believe he keeps this struggling offense in check. Keller has allowed more than 3 ER just once in his last 7 starts.

Elder has had a fantastic 1st full season up with the big club. After a bit of a mid-season slump, it seems like he has righted the ship allowing more than 1 ER in just one of his last 4 starts.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (18-27) and Atlanta Braves (22-24) cap off a four-game set Sunday at 1:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Pirates vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP JT Brubaker is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 3-3 with a 3.27 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 2.5 BB/9 in 44 IP over 8.

Brubaker was roughed up in his last (May 18 at St. Louis: 5 runs in 5 2/3 IP), but he went into that start with a fine 2.58 ERA. Control has been a bit of an issue of late. Brubaker has walked 7 batters in his last 16 2/3 IP.

LHP Max Fried is the projected starter for the Braves. He is 1-2 with a 5.46 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 10.3 K/9, and 3.5 BB/9 in 28 IP over 6 starts.

Fried exited the last game due to cramping in his left hand, but he is expected IL stint in April; he has since logged a 1.59 ERA in 17 IP.

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Pirates at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Pirates +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+100) |  Pirates +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Braves 5, Pirates 4

Money line (ML)

Highlighted by a 20-1 victory on Friday, the Braves have taken the first two games of this series. The Pirates lost Friday and Saturday and are 1-5 in their last six games and 6-16 in their last 22.

A price of 170-plus would make for more confidence in the play, but PITTSBURGH +165 is the lean here. Underlying batted-ball analytics indicate that Brubaker has been good enough to warrant a go, and there is enough gray area in Fried’s fitness and enough bullpen leverage on the Pirates side to warrant a play on the underdog.

The Pirates are 4-2 over their last six road-park get-away days.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The PIRATES +1.5 (-120) should be a slight lean for bettors who want a bit of “Pittsburgh-is-a-bad-team” insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

Looking at Statcast numbers and some batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures in key situations, both sides are undercooked a bit with their offensive numbers.

The weather forecast calls for temps in the high-80s and an outward breeze (which figures to impact Fried’s fly-ball stuff more than Brubaker’s ground-ball stuff).

BACK THE OVER 8 (-110).

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