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NLDS Game 4: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets clash Wednesday in Game 4 of their best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch at Citi Field is set for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Mets lead 2-1; Phillies won 7-6 in regular-season series

The Phillies lost 7-2 in Tuesday’s Game 3. Since their final series of the regular season, Philadelphia has slashed a mere .198/.287/.313 (.600 OPS) over its last 6 games.

The Mets went 3-of-8 with runners in scoring position on Tuesday. In its 2 wins this series, New York has gone 7-of-15 (.467) in such situations.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Suarez made 27 starts in the regular season. He went 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 150 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 9-1 loss at Washington Nationals Sept. 27
  • Career vs. Mets: 4-3, 3.52 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 53 H, 22 BB, 40 K in 16 appearances (9 starts)
  • Owns a 1.62 ERA across 33 1/3 IP in career postseason play

Quintana made 31 starts in the regular season, clocking a 10-10 mark with a 3.75 ERA. He logged a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 170 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-2 win at Milwaukee Brewers Thursday in NL Wild Card Series
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 3.53 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 59 H, 17 BB, 75 K in 12 starts
  • Owns a 2.92 ERA across 24 2/3 IP in postseason play

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

New York is 4-1 over its last 5 games against Philadelphia.

Suarez has scuffled of late. With a drop in velocity and alongside too many walks, the veteran lefty logged a 6.04 ERA in September. And how will he handle the 11-day layoff between starts? In his career Suarez has allowed a .694 OPS; on rest of 6 days or more, that figure balloons to .750.

Quintana, who pitches in front of a rested New York bullpen, is coming off a solid Wild Card start, has a good October history and per ESPN has held current Philadelphia batters to an aggregate .644 OPS.

The Mets are a lean but would be more of a full-value one with a better price. Consider a partial-unit play on the METS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: No interest here.

Over/Under

With the pitching in this game, including the way both clubs figure to play out relief frames in high-leverage mode, look for runs to be at a premium on a cool, autumn evening in New York.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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NLDS Game 3: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets battle in Game 3 of their best-of-5 NLDS Tuesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1; Phillies won regular-season series 7-6

Philadelphia evened the series with a 7-6 win in Game 2 Sunday, covering as a -136 home favorite with the Over (8.5) hitting. After Mets 3B Mark Vientos tied it at 6-all with a 1-out, 2-run homer in the top of the 9th, Phillies RF Nick Castellanos won it with a walk-off RBI single bottom of the inning.

Castellanos (3-for-5, 2 runs) finished with 2 RBIs as did 1B Bryce Harper and 2B Bryson Stott. Harper (2-run shot) and Castellanos connected for back-to-back HRs in the bottom of the 6th to tie it at 3-3.

The Mets, who were +125 underdogs, received 4 RBIs from Vientos (3-for-4, 2 runs), who also homered in the 3rd inning, a 2-run shot for a New York 2-0 advantage. 1B Pete Alonzo (solo homer in 6th for 3-0 lead) and LF Brandon Nimmo (solo HR in 7th for 4-3 lead) also homered for the Mets.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Nola (14-8, 3.57 ERA) made 33 starts with a 1.20 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 199 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 6-3 victory at Washington Nationals Sept. 29
  • 2024 vs. Mets: 1-1, 4.05 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 15 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 10-9, 3.46 ERA (164 IP, 63 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in in 28 starts
  • Last start vs. Mets: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 7 K in 11-3 home defeat Sept. 13
  • Career postseason: 5-3, 3.70 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 9 starts — all for Phillies

Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) made 32 starts in the regular season with a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 181 2/3 innings. This is his 2nd start in the playoffs.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-3 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday in Game 2 of NL Wild Card Series
  • 2024 vs. Phillies: 1-1, 5.40 (16 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 14 H, 4 HR, 2 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-2, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 24 H, 6 BB, 24 K in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Last start vs. Phillies: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-3 home victory Sept. 21
  • Career postseason: 0-3, 10.66 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 19 H, 7 HR, 3 BB, 13 K in 3 starts and 1 relief outing for Oakland A’s (2019 and ’20), San Diego Padres (2022) and Mets (2024)

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-115).

Philadelphia started the playoffs slow scoring only 2 runs in its 1st game — a 4-run loss to New York in Game 1 Saturday. But the bats showed up in Game 2 with 7 runs, the type of run production that led Philly to one of MLB’s best records this season (95-67).

Heading on the road, in what will surely be a loud October environment in New York, expect the Phillies offense to play a major role in its success Tuesday.

The Phillies have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games, including 6 or more runs in 4 of those games. The Mets have allowed 4 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games and 6 of their last 10. Even with this being their 1st home game of the postseason, the Mets will struggle against Nola and the Philly offense Tuesday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The odds are better on the Philadelphia moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-120).

The Mets have hit the Over in 4 of their 5 postseason games so far and have scored 6 runs in back-to-back games. The Phillies have cashed 7 Overs in a row are with an O/U of 8-1-1 in the last 10 games. They have scored 6 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games.

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NLDS Game 2: New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in Game 2 of the best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 4:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Mets lead 1-0; Regular-season series: Phillies won 7-6

The Mets were down 1-0 heading into the 8th inning, but scored 5 runs with some good old-fashioned small ball — 3 singles and 2 sac flies — to get the job done. The 6-2 win was their 3rd comeback victory in 4 postseason games.

The Phillies showed some rust after their bye, managing only 2 runs on 5 hits, including a leadoff homer from DH Kyle Schwarber. Starter Zack Wheeler delivered with 9 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings, but the bullpen and offense fell short, resulting in the loss of home-field advantage in this 5-game series.

Mets at Phillies projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Severino (11-7, 3.91 ERA) made 31 starts in 2024 with a 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 182 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-4 victory at Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday in the NL Wild Card Game 1
  • 2024 road splits: 4-5, 5.00 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 49 R (47 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-0, 2.84 ERA (19 IP, 6 ER), 14 H, 3 HR, 3 BB, 21 K in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 2-4, 5.07 ERA (53 IP, 29 R (28 ER), 29 H, 8 HR, 23 BB, 47 K in 12 games (11 starts)

Sanchez (11-9, 3.32 ERA) made 31 starts in 2024 with a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 181 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 9-6 victory against Chicago Cubs Sept. 25
  • 2024 road splits: 7-3, 2.21 ERA (110 IP, 32 R (27 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-2, 3.62 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 41 K in 9 games (6 starts)
  • Career postseason stats: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 2 R, 1 ER), 2 H, 0 HR, 1 BB, 1 K in Game 4 relief appearance of the 2023 NLCS

Mets at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Phillies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mets at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I’ve got the Phillies (-155) evening the series on Sunday afternoon, but I’ll take my bet to the run line with better odds.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+135).

Saturday’s Game 1 loss was the spark the Phillies needed after a rusty performance following their week off. They can’t afford to go down 0-2 before heading to New York, and with this roster’s deep playoff experience, they know how to respond under pressure.

Sanchez has been lights out at Citizens Bank Park this season, and although Severino has plenty of postseason experience, he’s struggled to find consistent success. Harper’s track record against Severino is also worth noting—2 career hits, both HRs, in just 5 at-bats.

Expect a more focused Phillies team to come out strong, cover the run line, and even up the series before heading to Queens.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

Game 1 started off slow offensively, with just 1 run scored through 7 innings, but things changed quickly when the bullpens got involved, resulting in 7 runs in the final 2 frames. The Phillies are primed to get to Severino early, and their bats have been strong at home all season, averaging 5.02 runs per game—the 2nd-best mark in MLB.

The Over has also hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings, including Game 1. With both teams’ bullpens looking vulnerable, expect another high-scoring affair.

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NLDS Game 1: New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet in Game 1 of their best-of-5 NLDS Saturday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 4:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Phillies won 7-6

The Mets put together an impressive 40-27 run after the All-Star break to secure a spot in the postseason. Their momentum carried them into an NL Wild Card Series with the Milwaukee Brewers. In dramatic fashion, 1B Pete Alonso delivered a clutch 3-run homer in the top of the 9th inning, pushing New York to a thrilling victory. With the win, the Mets advanced to the divisional round for the first time since 2015, reigniting hopes of a deep playoff run.

The Phillies enjoyed an outstanding first half of the season. They posted a 62-34 record before the All-Star break, fueled by an impressive team batting average of .257. Unfortunately, a 33-33 finish after the break let the LA Dodgers surpass them for the best record in baseball. Still, Philadelphia has now reached the divisional round for the third year in a row, showing their consistent competitiveness. They’ll aim to rediscover their early-season success as they push for a deeper playoff run.

Mets at Phillies projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Senga made 1 start this season. He allowed 2 ER on 2 hits and 1 walk with 9 K’s in 5 1/3 innings in an 8-4 home win over the Atlanta Braves July 26.

  • Strained his left calf during his 2024 season debut
  • Missed 1st half of season due to shoulder and triceps injuries
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-1, 1.46 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.73 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Has never pitched in postseason

Wheeler (16-7, 2.57 ERA) made 32 starts this season. He posted a 0.96 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 200 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 11 K in 6-3 loss at Washington Nationals Sept. 28
  • 2024 vs. Mets: 0-1, 1 road start (Sept. 22), 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 2-1 loss
  • Career vs. Mets: 5-5, 3.56 ERA (96 IP, 38 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career postseason stats: 4-3, 2.42 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 36 H, 5 HR, 10 BB, 68 K in 11 games (10 starts)

Mets at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-145) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Orioles 2

Moneyline

BET METS (+155).

Momentum is everything in the postseason, and right now, the Mets are riding a wave of it.

Philadelphia, on the other hand, has been idle for a week, which could leave it a bit rusty for Game 1.

The Mets have been battling with their backs against the wall for much of the second half, and they’ve proven time and again that they thrive under pressure. Their Game 3 win against the Brewers was nothing short of impressive; teams entering the 9th inning trailing in winner-take-all postseason games were 7-105 and just 2-82 when down multiple runs. The Mets turned those odds on their head.

While the Phillies did edge the regular-season series 7-6, the Mets had the edge down the stretch, taking 3 of the last 4 matchups. They even managed to beat Wheeler in his lone start against them this season.

With momentum on their side, grit, and something that feels like destiny, the Mets look primed to take Game 1. Plus, getting them at favorable odds makes this pick even more appealing.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll keep my bet to Mets ML getting plus odds.

Over/Under

PASS.

Betting the total feels risky with the line set at 7 runs. Despite the Over hitting in 5 of the last 7 meetings and the Phillies ending the regular season on a streak of Overs, the playoffs are a different story. Postseason games tend to be tense, low-scoring affairs.

While my lean might be toward the Under given the circumstances, it’s not worth the gamble. I’d rather avoid the total altogether and stick to betting the ML.

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Nationals (70-90) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (94-66) to Nationals Park Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 8-3

The Phillies are 2 games behind the LA Dodgers for the top spot in the National League — Philadelphia has the breaker. The Phillies lost to the Nationals 9-1 to open the series Friday. They have lost 4 of their last 6 games. They are just 40-39 on the road this season and 79-81 against the spread (ATS) overall. Philadelphia beat the Chicago Cubs in 2 of 3 games prior to this series.

The Nationals snapped their 4-game losing streak with the win Friday. They were swept in a 3-game home series by the Kansas City Royals and dropped 3 of 4 games to the Cubs prior to that. Washington is 37-42 at home this season and 87-73 ATS overall.

Phillies at Nationals projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore

Wheeler (16-7, 2.56 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 193 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 2-1 road loss to New York Mets Sunday
  • 2024 away stats: 6-4, 2.83 ERA (92 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 0.99 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Nationals: 14-15, 4.50 ERA (202 IP, 101 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 in 34 starts

Gore (10-12, 4.04 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 160 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 3 BB, 9 K in 5-1 road win over Cubs Sept. 21
  • 2024 home stats: 7-6, 3.99 ERA (88 IP, 39 ER), 1.63 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 in 18 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-4, 5.72 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 8 appearances (7 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Nationals +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Phillies -1.5 (-115) | Nationals +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Phillies at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value here. Wheeler is an ace, and the Phillies (-200) should come out on top. They are unplayable at these odds, though.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

The Phillies have dominated with Wheeler on the mound this season. They have won and covered in 3 of his last 5 starts, having outscored opponents 28-7. Philadelphia has a much steadier offense as well, having scored 4 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games.

The Nationals have been held scoreless in 3 of their last 5 games and lost 6 of their last 10 by multiple runs. With those trends in mind, back PHILLIES -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Nationals have gone Over in 2 straight games and 5 of their last 10. They have scored 13 runs over their last 2 games, so there has been some life in their offense.

Similarly, the Phillies are 6-1-1 O/U in their last 8 games. They have scored at least 6 runs in 4 of their last 8 as well. Take OVER 7.5 (-110).

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Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) visit the Washington Nationals (69-90) Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 8-2

Philadelphia beat the Chicago Cubs 9-6 Wednesday while covering as a -213 home favorite. The Phillies are locked into a tight battle with the LA Dodgers for the top seed in the NL playoff with Philadelphia a half-game back.

Washington lost 7-4 to the Kansas City Royals Thursday as a +150 home underdog. The Nationals have lost 9 of their last 10 games.

Phillies at Nationals projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Trevor Williams

Suarez (12-7, 3.15 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 148 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 6-3 loss at the New York Mets Saturday
  • Career vs. Washington: 7-1, 3.64 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 8 appearances (1 start)

Williams (5-1, 2.19 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 3-1 outing vs. the Chicago Cubs Friday
  • Career vs. Philadelphia: 2-4, 5.29 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 11 appearances (9 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:08 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -125)

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Phillies at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Nationals 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The Phillies will pick up the win as -185 favorites, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites.

While I do recommend passing here and betting on the spread and/or total instead, because I expect the Phillies to win by such a healthy margin, it is okay if you choose to divvy up units between this bet and the spread.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-110).

Philadelphia has dominated Washington winning 8 of 10 meetings and only allowing the Nationals to finish within 1 run in 2 of those 8 wins.

The Nationals are also only 1-9 in their last 10 overall and have only finished within 1 run of their opponent in 3 of those 9 losses.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-125).

The Under has hit in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games and is 2-1 in its last 3 at home. The Under has also hit in each of the last 3 Philadelphia-Washington meetings in the Nation’s Capital.

This is a lean because the Over is 5-3-2 in Philly’s last 10 overall.

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Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (93-65) welcome the Chicago Cubs (81-77) to Citizens Bank Park Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 6:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Cubs vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 3-2

The Phillies, who have clinched the NL East, lost to the Cubs 10-4 Tuesday yet beat them to open the series 6-2 Monday.

Philadelphia has been a dynamic 53-27 at home this season. It is just 2-5 over its last 7, dropping 3 of 4 to the New York Mets in the series prior. The Phillies are 78-80 against the spread (ATS) this season and still battling the LA Dodgers for the best record in the NL.

The Cubs have won 4 of their last 6 games, beating the Washington Nationals in 3 of 4 prior to visiting the City of Brotherly Love. Chicago is 39-41 on the road this season and 75-83 ATS overall. It has been eliminated from the playoffs.

Cubs at Phillies projected starters

RHP Javier Assad vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Assad (7-5, 3.34 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 142 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 7-6 home win over Nationals Thursday
  • 2024 away stats: 4-3, 4.17 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 1.38 WHIP, 5.6 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)

Sanchez (11-9, 3.25 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 177 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 5 BB, 7 K in 12-2 road victory over Mets Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 7-3, 2.05 ERA (105 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Cubs: 0-1, 1 road start (July 4), 4 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 10-2 defeat

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-135) | Phillies -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cubs at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Cubs 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no great value on the moneyline. The Phillies (-190) have something to play for and should come out on top. However, they aren’t worth taking at these odds. Avoid a moneyline play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).

The Phillies have been the best team in MLB at home and also after a loss, both of which ring true in this game. They have won Sanchez’s last 5 starts and beat the Mets 12-2 in his last outing Sept. 20.

Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS in its last 7 home games. The Cubs are 4-3 in their last 7, but all 3 losses were by multiple runs. Chicago is just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 road games. At these odds and given the potential lack of motivation for the road side, back PHILLIES -1.5 (+110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-110).

The Cubs put up 10 runs on the Phillies Tuesday and have scored at least 5 in 2 of their last 3 games. They are 3-3-1 O/U in their last 7 games.

The Phillies are 4-1-1 O/U in their last 6 games and have scored at least 6 runs in 3 of the 6. Considering the recent trends, take OVER 8 (-110).

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Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Chicago Cubs (80-76) face the Philadelphia Phillies (92-64) in the Cubs’ final road series and the Phillies’ last homestand. First pitch Monday from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Cubs vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 2-1

The Cubs won 3 of 4 from the Washington Nationals. On Sunday Cubs LHP Shota Imanaga threw 7 innings (0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K) and the bullpen completed the 5-0 shutout. Chicago hit 3 HRs in the win.

The Phillies are playoff bound, but they lost 3 of their last 4 games to the New York Mets,including 2-1 on Sunday. RHP Zack Wheeler lowered his ERA to 2.56 (7 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 8 k), but the offense left 8 men on base and couldn’t score after a 1st inning RBI single by 3B Alec Bohm.

Cubs at Phillies projected starters

RHP Nate Pearson vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Pearson (2-2, 4.71 ERA) makes his 1st start after 57 relief appearances. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 63 IP.

  • 2024 road stats: 0-0, 5.20 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 11.1 K/9 in 26 appearances
  • Six of the 12 HRs he’s allowed have come on the 1st pitch
  • In his first 25 pitches he allows .838 OPS, then it drops to a .173 OPS later in the game.

Nola (12-8, 3.54 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 188 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 2-1 road loss to Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday.
  • 2024 home stats: 6-4, 3.31 ERA (98 IP, 36 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 16 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Cubs at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Monday at 3:58 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cubs +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cubs +1.5 (-125) | Phillies -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Cubs at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Cubs 1

Moneyline

After a loss, Philadelphia posts the highest win rate, tied with the Dodgers, at 61.9%. Also against the NL, the Phillies are a respectable 66-44 (60%). But at the current odds its best to PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs have been good on the road against the spread. However, coming off a win they have the worst record in baseball at 32-47 (40.5%). Given the fact their season is over and they are starting a reliever, I don’t have much confidence in Chicago.

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

The Cubs have a strong Under record at 42-34-2 (55.3%). And the Phillies lean Under as a home favorite going 39-29-3 (57.4%).

The Cubs pitchers may not help keep the score down, but Philadelphia’s pitching should do the trick. In their last homestand they kept their opponent’s offense below 3 runs in 3 of those 6 games.

LEAN UNDER 8 (-105).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies (92-63) and the New York Mets (86-68) wrap up a 4-game series Sunday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 7:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 7-5

The Phillies beat the Mets 12-2 on Friday night to clinch a postseason berth for the 3rd consecutive season. They lost 5-1 on Saturday. With a victory Sunday, Philadelphia can clinch its 1st NL East Division title since 2011.

Philadelphia is struggling lately, going 2-4 in the past 6 games, all on the road. The Over has cashed in the 1st 3 games of this series, averaging 7.0 runs per game (RPG), while allowing 6.0 RPG.

New York has won 5 of the past 6 games while the Over has connected in 5 consecutive outings. The Mets have scored 38 runs in the 5-game span, or 7.6 RPG. They’ve allowed 7.0 RPG in the 1st 3 games of this set, too.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Wheeler (16-6, 2.56 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 186 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 5-1 road victory vs. Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday
  • 2024 road splits: 6-3, 2.85 ERA, 85 1/3 IP, 27 ER, 9 HR, 0.97 WHIP, .197 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 22 BB, 90 K in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 5-1, 1.84 ERA, 44 IP, 9 ER, 6 BB, 49 K, 0.80 WHIP
  • Career vs. Mets: 5-4, 3.64 ERA, 89 IP, 36 ER, 4 HR, 19 BB, 85 K, 1.17 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 14 starts

Megill (4-5, 4.08 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 68 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 10-1 home victory vs. Washington Nationals Tuesday
  • 2024 home splits: 2-3, 3.68 ERA, 44 IP, 18 ER, 4 HR, 1.20 WHIP, .221 OBA, 17 BB, 45 K in 9 appearances (8 starts)
  • Last 7 games: 2-1, 3.38 ERA, 34 2/3 IP, 13 ER, 12 BB, 34 K, 1.10 WHIP
  • Career vs. Phillies: 3-1, 2.54 ERA, 28 1/3 IP, 8 ER, 17 H, 7 BB, 28 K, 0.85 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 5 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: +100 | U: -130)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Mets 2

Moneyline

The PHILLIES (-160) are a solid play as moderate favorites, as they look to spray the champagne and celebrate a division title on national TV Sunday night.

The Mets (+135) have delayed the celebration as long as possible, but the pitching scales are slightly tipped in favor of the visitors with Wheeler on the bump.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little more adventurous, play PHILLIES -1.5 (+110) at plus-money rather than going with the moneyline.

Philadelphia has managed 10 victories in the past 17 games since Sept. 4, and 7 of those victories have come by 2 or more runs. So, if you like the Phils to get the win, you should like them to cover the run line, too.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (-130) is a solid play in this series finale, but it was a much better play when it opened at 7.5 at plus-money.

There is a lot on the line, and this should have a playoff feel in the Sunday Night Game of the Week. The Under is 5-1 in Wheeler’s past 6 starts for the Phillies. And, for the Mets, the total has gone low in 3 of Megill’s previous 5 starting assignments.

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (85-69) welcome the Philadelphia Phillies (92-62) to Citi Field Saturday for the 3rd of their 4-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 7-4

The Mets opened the series with a 10-6 win Thursday then dropped the second game 12-2 Friday. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and have tallied at least double figures in 3 of their last 4. New York is 44-35 at home this season and 80-74 against the spread (ATS). It sits 2nd in the NL East.

The Phillies got back to their winning ways Friday after losing 2 straight games. They lost 2 of 3 to the Milwaukee Brewers in their series before facing New York. Philadelphia is 40-36 on the road this season and 7-77 ATS. It sits atop the competitive NL East.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Suarez (12-7, 3.13 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 143 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6-2 road loss to the Milwaukee Brewers Monday
  • 2024 away stats: 7-5, 2.78 ERA (77 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 13 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 4-3, 3.51 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 15 appearances (8 starts)

Manaea (11-5, 3.26 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 171 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 2-1 home win over the Washington Nationals Monday
  • 2024 home stats: 5-3, 3.74 ERA (86 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 5.68 ERA (19 IP, 12 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 5 appearances (3 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+165) | Mets +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Phillies 3

Moneyline

BET METS (-115).

The Mets sit in the top half of the league following a loss with a 38-30 record. New York is 3-1 over its last 4 losses and has tallied 32 runs over its last 4 games, so it has the bats to be able to get on base against a solid pitcher in Suarez.

The Mets have won Manaea’s last 7 starts as well. The Phillies have struggled as of late and may have some fatigue as the season drags on and their playoff spot is secured. That said, they re 2-3 over their last 5.

Take METS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no good value here. The Phillies are too risky as a run-line favorite, and the Mets aren’t worth taking here as a run-line underdog. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (+100).

The Phillies have gone Over in 2 straight games and are 4-3-1 O/U in their last 8. Philadelphia has scored at least 5 runs in 3 of its last 4 games and are 4-1-1 O/U in Suarez’s last 6 starts.

The Mets have gone Over in 4 straight games and have allowed 18 runs in their last 2 combined. They are 7-2 O/U in their last 9 and 78-71-5 O/U on the season. Back OVER 7.5 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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