Check out the odds, predictions and picks for the PGA Tour’s 2021 Valspar Championship.
Individual stroke play returns on the PGA Tour this week with the Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort’s Copperhead course in Palm Harbor, Florida. Below, we look at the 2021 Valspar Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.
This tournament was canceled in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Paul Casey returns in 2021 looking for a record third consecutive win at Copperhead.
He’ll be challenged by a strong field fronted by Golfweek/Sagarin’s third and fourth-ranked golfers (as of April 19) in Dustin Johnson and Viktor Hovland, respectively.
The Valspar Championship follows last week’s Zurich Classic of New Orleans partner event. Australians Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman won in a playoff over the South African duo of Louis Oosthuizen and Charl Schwartzel.
Casey won by a single stroke in both 2018 and 2019 at 10- and 8-under par, respectively. The two-time defending champ’s odds are inflated by the top-heavy strength of this field. He’s just sixth by the odds.
The Englishman has averaged 1.34 strokes gained on the field per round over his 20 career rounds played at Copperhead. He led the field with 2.81 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green per round in 2019.
Casey won the European Tour’s Omega Dubai Desert Classic in late January and has four top-10 finishes in eight PGA Tour events this year. His irons and ball-striking are in great form as he goes for the three-peat.
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Contender
Gary Woodland (+8000)
Woodland has played 28 rounds at Copperhead with an average of 0.83 strokes gained per round. He won here in 2011 and tied for eighth in 2014 but missed the cut in each of his last two appearances at the Valspar Championship.
The former major winner has been showing much better form of late after dealing with injuries for the better part of the last year. He tied for sixth in a quality field at the Valero Texas Open and tied for 40th at the Masters after missing the cut in three of his previous four events.
He remains a strong value after taking the last two weeks off.
Champ and playing partner Tony Finau tied for 17th at last week’s Zurich Classic. The lower-ranked half of the duo tied for 26th at the Masters and for 34th at the Valero Texas Open in his previous two solo events.
Golfweek’s 149th-ranked golfer makes his debut at Copperhead. He’s seemingly a good fit for the course with 0.81 SG: Off-the-Tee through 32 measured rounds on the 2020-21 PGA Tour season.
He’s losing 1.01 strokes per round with the putter, but his stroke has been better of late and won’t be tested as much at this venue.
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Check out the best odds, predictions and picks for the PGA Tour’s 2021 Valero Texas Open.
World No. 1 Dustin Johnson highlights a surprisingly strong field at TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open. Corey Conners returns to defend his 2019 title after this event was canceled last year due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Below, we look at the 2021 Valero Texas Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.
Johnson, who’s first in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings, is this week’s betting favorite at +650 as he makes his final preparations for the 2021 Masters Tournament next week. He’ll defend his green jacket and his questionable motivation for this week makes him a risky bet at the low odds.
Billy Horschel and Joel Dahmen, who won last week’s WGC-Match Play and Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship, respectively, are both off this week.
Conners won by two strokes at minus-20 in 2019. That followed a T-26 finish in 2018, and he ranks second to only Johnson in this field with an average of 2.55 strokes gained per round at TPC San Antonio.
While the venue typically requires excellent play around the greens, Conners won here in 2019 with 2.89 Strokes Gained: Approach and 3.59 SG: Tee-to-Green per round, while losing 0.38 strokes per round around-the-green. He’s averaging 0.04 SG: Around-the-Green with 0.80 SG: Approach and 1.47 SG: Tee-to-Green on the 2020-21 PGA Tour season.
The Canadian finished third and seventh in strong fields at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship, respectively. He tied for 10th at the 2020 Masters in the fall and will return to Augusta National Golf Club in strong form.
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Valero Texas Open picks – Contender
Andrew Putnam (+6600)
Putnam has been off for two weeks following a missed cut at The Players Championship. He had previously tied for fifth at the Puerto Rico Open and for fourth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and has three top-10 finishes in eight events this year.
He played in each of the past two runnings of this event with a T-8 finish in 2018 and a T-36 in 2019. Putnam excelled on the greens in each of those two events, and he’s averaging 0.59 strokes gained per round with the flat stick this season.
Woodland has slipped to No. 127 in the Golfweek rankings while battling injuries for most of the past two years but this is still a disrespectful price for the former US Open champ. He tied for 16th against a comparable field at The American Express in January.
His main struggles this season have been with his putter and driver, but he’ll be able to rely on his still-above-average iron play this week.
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Sportsbookwire’s Esten McLaren breaks down the betting odds ahead of the 2020 Bermuda Championship.
The PGA Tour schedule hits a bit of a two-week lull ahead of this year’s unique Masters, Nov. 12-15 at Augusta National Golf Club.
Following Patrick Cantlay’s victory at the Zozo Championship last week, it’s a bit of a weaker field in Southampton, Bermuda this week for the second Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course. The field is fronted by defending 2019 champion Brendon Todd and also features a pair of brothers, Ollie and Luke Schniederjans.
Below, we’ll look for the best value bets in the 2020 Bermuda Championship betting odds with tournament matchups, placings and first-round leader (FRL) picks and predictions.
Stenson is a fairly heavy favorite in this tournament head-to-head. Big names such as him are often highly risky plays in smaller events like this, especially just two weeks ahead of the Masters.
Lewis has played predominantly on the PGA Tour in 2020 with a top result of T-2 at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. Stenson has played a much lighter schedule than usual and missed the cut in three of his last four events with a top result of T-21 in a weak field at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship. Take the value over the name here and BET TOM LEWIS (+110).
Harold Varner III vs. Doc Redman (-106)
Varner is a modest favorite coming off a T-13 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Redman’s a risky play with two missed cuts but two T-3s in his last five events. Redman can be backed in the head-to-head matchup after a T-35 finish in the inaugural running of this event last year. Varner will be playing here for the first time. TAKE DOC REDMAN (-106).
Placing bets
Top 5: Will Zalatoris (+250)
Zalatoris is the outright tournament favorite at +1100. The recent Korn Ferry Tour graduate is the top golfer in attendance by the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings at No. 11; however, he remains in search of his first PGA Tour win. Get the insurance of a top-5 placing, after he finished in the top 10 in three of his last four events.
Top 10: Josh Teater (+800)
Teater has struggled of late with a missed cut in three of his last four events before dropping down to the Korn Ferry Tour’s Orange County National Championship for a T-27 finish. The veteran has regularly shown well in these small events, including a runner-up at the Puerto Rico Open in February and a T-11 in this event last year. He’s even worth a long-shot bet at +10000 to win outright.
Top European: Rasmus Hojgaard (+800)
Hojgaard will play in North America for just the second time this year following a missed cut at the US Open. He has four top-10 finishes and a victory in strong events on the European Tour this year.
First-round leader bets
Stewart Cink (+5500)
Cink was a surprise winner at the Safeway Open. Port Royal is similar to that host venue (Silverado Resort & Spa), and the Bermuda Championship will be another scoring fest with Todd winning at minus-24 last year. Look for another strong start from the 47-year-old.
Luke Schniederjans (+25000)
The younger brother of Ollie Schniederjans, Luke recently shot a round of 59 in a mini-tour event in North Carolina. A long-shot bet on him to stay hot for just one more round in his leap to the PGA Tour amid favorable scoring conditions returns a profit of $2,500 on a $10 wager.
Here are golf betting odds for the PGA Tour Safeway Open at Silverado Resort & Spa in Napa, California.
Following Dustin Johnson’s Tour Championship and 2019-20 FedEx Cup victory, the 2020-21 PGA Tour season starts up Thursday with the Safeway Open at Silverado Resort and Spa. Below, we look at the betting odds to win the 2020 Safeway Open and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets.
The event serves as a bridge between the Tour Championship and next week’s U.S. Open. As a result, this is one of the weakest fields we’ve seen since the PGA Tour returned to play in mid-June. Mark Hubbard is the top golfer in attendance by the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings at No. 23.
2020 Safeway Open Championship Betting Picks – Favorite
Phil Mickelson grabs a club during the final round of the 2020 PGA Championship. (Photo Credit: Kelvin Kuo – USA TODAY Sports)
Mickelson went without a PGA Tour victory in the 2019-20 season and his FedEx Cup Playoffs run ended with a missed cut at the opening Northern Trust. He used his time off to go wire-to-wire for victory in his debut on the over-50 PGA Tour Champions.
He returns to one of the weaker PGA Tour fields in which he has played in quite some time. It’s an event where he finished eighth in 2016 and third in 2017 but missed the cut last year. He ranks fourth among those in attendance with 1.60 strokes gained per round at Silverado Resort, according to Data Golf. He’s the rightful betting favorite.
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2020 Safeway Open Betting Picks – Contender
Luke List plays his shot from the second tee during the third round of The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club. (Photo: Aaron Doster – USA TODAY Sports)
Luke List (+6000)
List has played 14 career rounds at this venue with an average of 1.03 strokes gained per round. He missed the cut last year but was fourth in 2018. Like Mickelson, his 2019-20 PGA Tour season ended with a missed cut at The Northern Trust roughly two months after he won the Korn Ferry Challenge on the secondary tour. He finished T-10 in a loaded PGA Tour field at the Memorial Tournament.
2020 Safeway Open Betting Picks – Long shot
Kristoffer Ventura tees off during the final round of the Barracuda Championship. (Photo: Andrew Wevers – USA TODAY Sports)
Kristoffer Ventura (+8000)
Ventura is representative of the betting value we haven’t seen since the PGA Tour returned to play. Marquee events loaded with the PGA Tour’s best golfers have capped the range bettors could look at when betting outright winners.
The two-time winner on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2019 will play this event for the second straight year following a 62nd-place finish in 2019. He’s an excellent putter and should improve on a career-best PGA Tour result of T-18 at last year’s Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.
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Here are golf betting odds for the PGA Tour’s season finale, the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club.
The winner of the 2019-20 FedEx Cup will be decided with this week’s Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia.
Starting strokes are assigned based on the season-long FEC standings; Dustin Johnson begins the tournament at 10-under par and holds an opening two-shot lead over BMW Championship winner Jon Rahm. As such, they’re commanding betting favorites for the outright win.
Below, we look at the betting odds to win the 2020 Tour Championship and FedEx Cup and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets.
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2020 Tour Championship Betting Picks – Tier 1
Webb Simpson is presented with the trophy and the sport coat after winning the RBC Heritage. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Tournament winner (bonus strokes not applied): Webb Simpson (+1100)
Simpson is the only member of the field who sat out last week’s BMW Championship, citing rest for the Tour Championship and 2020 US Open in two weeks. He remains fourth in the FedEx Cup Standings and will start Thursday’s round at 6-under par.
A two-time winner this season with eight top 10s, he can certainly make up a four-shot deficit. He’s first on Tour this season in Birdie or Better Percentage and second in Stroke Differential Field Average.
His odds drop to +1000 with starting strokes factored in, so get the added value while he’s trailing Johnson at the outset.
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2020 Tour Championship Betting Picks – Tier 2
Daniel Berger hits his tee shot on the 16th hole during the first round of the BMW Championship. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Winner: Daniel Berger (+2800)
One of the best players since the Tour returned to play, Berger has moved up to fifth in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings and sits sixth in the FEC standings. He’ll begin the tournament 4-under par but is fully capable of making up the six-stroke deficit.
His T-25 finish last week was his second-worst result in seven events. He has a win and three other top 10s in that span. He has gained an average of 1.51 strokes per round across 12 career rounds at East Lake, according to Data Golf.
2020 Tour Championship Betting Picks – Long shots
Marc Leishman lines up a putt on the green of the 6th hole during the first round of the 2020 PGA Championship. (Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)
Winner (bonus strokes not applied): Marc Leishman (+15000)
Leishman had a week to forget last week in Illinois, finishing dead last at plus-30. The worst part of his game for the week was his putter, as he lost 2.67 strokes per round on the greens.
He’s still a five-time PGA Tour winner, including this year’s Farmers Insurance Open and has played 16 career rounds at East Lake. Take a shot on the longest bet on the board in the 30-man field.
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Analyzing the best fantasy golf picks for the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational at TPC Southwind.
Nine of the top 10 golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings are part of the 78-man field at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, this week for the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. We’ve looked at the best bets to win, and below is my Top 30 fantasy golf power rankings for the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational at TPC Southwind.
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational: Fantasy Golf Top 30
Jul 19, 2020; Dublin, Ohio, USA; Sergio Garcia plays his shot from the fifth tee during the final round of The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Aaron Doster – USA TODAY Sports)
Garcia is coming off back-to-back T-32 finishes in similar strengths of fields at the Travelers Championship and the Memorial Tournament. He’s second on Tour in the 2019-20 season in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green.
29. Paul Casey (+6600)
Casey is coming off consecutive missed cuts, but he has performed well in two trips to TPC Southwind with an average of 1.10 total strokes gained per round across eight rounds, according to Data Golf.
28. Michael Thompson (+12500)
Thompson cruised through a much weaker field at last week’s 3M Open en route to his first PGA Tour win since the 2013 Honda Classic. He’ll need to be a little sharper off-the-tee and around the greens against the stiffer competition this week.
27. Shane Lowry (+12500)
The reigning Champion Golfer of the Year has missed three of five cuts since play resumed, but his lone other PGA Tour victory was at the 2015 WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. He didn’t play this event last year.
26. Jordan Spieth (+4500)
Spieth is a much better fantasy selection than he is for bettors. The no-cut nature of WGC events allows him a full 72 holes of scoring opportunities and doesn’t penalize him nearly as badly for his blow-up holes. He can take his risks here.
Jul 18, 2020; Dublin, Ohio, USA; Billy Horschel plays his shot from the fairway on the ninth hole during the third round of The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Aaron Doster – USA TODAY Sports)
25. Billy Horschel (+4500)
Horschel tied for ninth in this event last year, and he posted the same result at the WGC-Mexico Championship earlier this year. He’s averaging 0.79 SG: Tee-to-Green in 2020.
24. Corey Conners (+10000)
Conners held his own in the difficult conditions of the Memorial and finished T-22 for his fourth made cut in five events since play resumed. He tied for 27th last year in his first WGC event.
23. Marc Leishman (+7000)
Leishman finished alone in third at this event last year at minus-12 while averaging 1.63 SG: Approach per round. He tied for 40th at the Memorial for his best finish since the restart.
22. Dustin Johnson (+3300)
Johnson withdrew from the weak field at the 3M Open following an opening-round 78. It came on the heels of his 80-80 start and missed cut at the Memorial, but he is just a month removed from his Travelers Championship victory.
21. Abraham Ancer (+5000)
Ancer is in the top 25 of the Tour in SG: Approach; SG: Tee-to-Green; and Par 4 Performance. He tied for fourth at the WGC-HSBC Champions last fall and tied for 12th in the WGC-Mexico Championship this spring.
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20. Tommy Fleetwood (+3300)
Fleetwood returned from his prolonged layoff to miss the cut last week as one of the top betting favorites. He was oddly poor with the irons and lost 0.87 strokes per round on approach.
19. Hideki Matsuyama (+3300)
Matsuyama typically excels among these stronger fields, but he missed the cut at both the RBC Heritage and the Memorial. He has two career WGC victories and a T-6 at this year’s Mexico Championship.
18. Jason Day (+3300)
Day has shown some of his best form in several years with a T-7 at the Workday Charity Open and a T-4 at the Memorial. He’ll try to transition to a course with which he’s less familiar than Muirfield Village GC.
17. Tony Finau (+3300)
It was disappointing to see Finau struggle late in Round 4 against a weak field at the 3M Open. He was eighth at the Memorial in a field stronger than this week and is consistently getting top results, even without victory.
Jul 23, 2020; Blaine, Minnesota, USA; Brooks Koepka walks with his caddie Ricky Elliott on the 9th hole during the first round of the 3M Open golf tournament at TPC Twin Cities. (Photo Credit: David Berding – USA TODAY Sports)
16. Brooks Koepka (+3300)
What to do with Brooks? He has two missed cuts and a T-62 in his last three events and was outperformed by brother Chase last week. Still, the PGA Championship is next week. He may repeat at both events despite entering this week outside the FedExCup Playoff picture.
15. Sungjae Im (+9000)
Im took a rare break while skipping the 3M Open last week. He has struggled mightily since a T-10 at the Charles Schwab Challenge, and the oddsmakers have clearly soured on him.
14. Gary Woodland (+4500)
Woodland has been inconsistent off-the-tee and shaky around the greens of late, but he’s still averaging 0.95 strokes per round on approach. He finished just 55th here a year ago but sets up for better results this time.
13. Patrick Reed (+3300)
Reed, who has eight PGA Tour victories, won his first WGC event at the Mexico Championship in late February. He has been inconsistent since the midseason suspension of play, but he’s coming off a T-10 at the Memorial as he preps for the major season.
12. Viktor Hovland (+2800)
Hovland’s T-48 at Muirfield Village was his worst result since the restart, but he took last week off for his first break. He’ll be playing his first WGC event and ranks T-8 in SG: Approach; and 12th in SG: Tee-to-Green this season.
11. Matthew Fitzpatrick (+3000)
Fitzpatrick tied for fourth last year at minus-11 while gaining 1.26 strokes per round from tee-to-green. His third-place finish at the Memorial was his best PGA Tour result since coming second at the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational.
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10. Xander Schauffele (+2200)
Schauffele hasn’t won a full-field PGA Tour event since the 2017 Greenbrier Classic, but he won the 2018 WGC-HSBC Champions and went to a playoff against Rory McIlroy last year in that same event. He tied for 27th in this tournament in 2019.
9. Patrick Cantlay (+2000)
Cantlay hasn’t finished worse than his T-32 at the Memorial since returning to tournament play. He tied for 12th in his first visit to TPC Southwind last year.
8. Daniel Berger (+2800)
Berger missed the cut at the Memorial after winning the Charles Schwab Challenge and finishing T-3 at the RBC Heritage. He’s gaining 1.14 strokes from tee-to-green in 2020.
7. Collin Morikawa (+2800)
Morikawa won last year’s Barracuda Championship as the alternate event to the WGC. He got his second career win at the Workday Charity Open and will play his second WGC event following a T-42 in Mexico.
6. Webb Simpson (+2200)
Simpson was the runner-up in Memphis last year, and he has since picked up two victories at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and RBC Heritage. He’s looking to move past a rare missed cut at the Memorial.
5. Justin Thomas (+1200)
Thomas, fourth in the Golfweek rankings, enters the week third by the betting odds to win in Memphis. He won the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational in 2018 and tied for 12th at TPC Southwind last year.
Jun 21, 2020; Hilton Head, South Carolina, USA; Tyrrell Hatton reacts on the tenth hole during the final round of the RBC Heritage golf tournament at Harbour Town Golf Links. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
4. Tyrrell Hatton (+2200)
Hatton tied for 43rd in this event a year ago while losing 1.37 strokes per round on the greens. Flip forward a year, and he leads the Tour in SG: Putting through 16 measured rounds in the 2019-20 season. Also, he has finished outside the top 20 in just one of his last 10 international events with two victories and two top 5’s.
3. Bryson DeChambeau (+1400)
DeChambeau’s run of four consecutive finishes of T-8 or better, including his victory at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, was snapped with a missed cut at the Memorial. He has lost 0.08 strokes per round over 10 trips around TPC Southwind, but his results prior to the 2020 midseason break aren’t worth much.
2. Rory McIlroy (+1100)
Since 2014, McIlroy has won three WGC events (including match play), with 11 other top-10s and seven top-5’s, including a fifth-place finish in Mexico in February. He’s second by the betting odds.
1. Jon Rahm (+1000)
Rahm’s the betting favorite following his dominant win over an even stronger field at the Memorial. He was seventh here last year and T-3 in Mexico.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Barracuda Championship with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
The 2020 Barracuda Championship serves as the alternate event to this week’s WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and returns to Montreaux Golf & Country Club in Truckee, Calif. Below, we look at the BetMGM outright betting odds, and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets for the Barracuda Championship.
Note: This tournament uses Modified Stableford scoring. Collin Morikawa and Andrew Putnam won in 2019 and 2018, respectively, with 47 points.
Jun 20, 2020; Hilton Head, S.C.; Alex Noren plays his shot from the 18th tee during the third round of the RBC Heritage golf tournament at Harbour Town Golf Links. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Noren, a 10-time winner on the European Tour, fell just shy of his first PGA Tour victory at last week’s 3M Open. He went 5-under par in his final round but finished T-3 at minus-16 and three shots back of champion Michael Thompson.
He gained 1.71 strokes putting per round over the tournament, according to Data Golf, but was also steady on approach, off-the-tee and from tee-to-green. He was able to move to 98th in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings with the performance and will try again for his first victory against an even weaker field.
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Matthias Schwab (+2800)
Schwab tied for 32nd last week at minus-10 despite losing a dreadful 1.70 strokes putting per round on the putting surfaces. He led the field with 2.76 SG: Tee-to-Green per round and was second with 2.05 SG: Approach. Bank on the more repeatable swings and get him at a number much higher than he should have against this competition.
Jul 16, 2020; Dublin, Ohio; Sebastian Munoz plays his shot from the fairway on the ninth hole during the first round of The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Aaron Doster – USA TODAY Sports)
Sebastian Munoz (+6600)
Munoz tied for 48th in a strong field amid difficult conditions at the Memorial Tournament before taking last week off. He had previously missed three straight cuts following a T-28 showing at the RBC Heritage. His victory at the Sanderson Farms Championship earlier in the 2019-20 season was in a field more comparable to what he’ll face this week.
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Bronson Burgoon (+8000)
Burgoon finished alone in fifth last year at minus-13 despite losing 0.44 strokes per round on the greens. He averaged 2.50 SG: Tee-to-Green over the tournament. He missed three consecutive cuts before finishing T-61 at the Workday Charity Open and T-41 last week and finally seems to be trending in the right direction.
2020 Barracuda Championship Betting Picks – Long shots
Mar 1, 2020; Palm Beach Gardens, Fla.; Robby Shelton lines up his putt on the eighth green during the final round of the 2020 Honda Classic golf tournament at PGA National (Champion). (Photo Credit: Reinhold Matay – USA TODAY Sports)
Robby Shelton (+10000)
Shelton’s price is a mystery after he fired a Sunday round of 7-under to finish T-3 at minus-16 in a stronger field last week. He averaged 2.66 SG: Tee-to-Green per round, 1.42 SG: Approach and 1.13 SG: Off-the-Tee. He’s one of the top values on the board in an open competition.
Sahith Theegala (+15000)
We’re going back to Theegala yet again to try to capitalize on his high odds and college pedigree in a weaker field. He has begun his professional career with three straight missed cuts but will look to follow suit of Morikawa (2019 Barracuda Championship) and Viktor Hovland (2020 Puerto Rico Open) as top college golfers to get their first wins in these alternate events.
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Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.
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The 2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational serves as the final tune-up for the PGA Championship, and the top six golfers in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings head to TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee. Below, we look at the BetMGM outright betting odds and make our PGA Tour picks and best bets to win the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational.
The 78-man field includes 2019 champion Brooks Koepka, plus the reigning winners of the Memorial Tournament (Jon Rahm) and the 3M Open (Michael Thompson).
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 1
Jul 5, 2020; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Tyrrell Hatton putts on the third green during the final round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic golf tournament at Detroit Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
Hatton has been on a tear since winning the European Tour’s Turkish Airlines Open near the end of 2019. He picked up his first PGA Tour win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March and has come out of the break with a T-3 at the RBC Heritage and a T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He tied for sixth at the WGC-Mexico Championship earlier this season, as well.
The 12th-ranked golfer in the world ranks second on Tour this season in Strokes Gained: Approach; fifth in SG: Tee-to-Green; fifth in Par 4 Performance; and first in SG: Putting.
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Collin Morikawa (+2800)
Morikawa followed up his victory at the Workday Charity Open at Muirfield Village Golf Club with a T-48 result in the more challenging Memorial Tournament the following week. He won last year’s Barracuda Championship as the alternate field event to the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational but has now been invited to the bigger stage with two PGA Tour wins under his belt.
He’s eighth in the field by the Golfweek rankings and ninth by the odds to win at BetMGM.
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Picks – Tier 2
Jun 14, 2020; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; Sungjae Im plays his shot from the third tee during the final round of the Charles Schwab Challenge golf tournament at Colonial Country Club. (Photo Credit: Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)
Abraham Ancer (+5000)
Ancer was in strong form out of the break prior to a T-58 finish at the Memorial. He’s in the top 25 on Tour in SG: Approach, SG: Tee-to-Green; and Par 4 Performance.
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Sungjae Im (+9000)
Im, the winner of The Honda Classic, has been in poor form since a T-10 at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He missed the cut at the RBC Heritage and the Memorial while finishing outside the top 50 in his three other events.
He’s coming off a rare one-week break and has much higher odds than we’ve seen for much of the last two years.
2020 WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational Betting Picks – Long shots
Jul 26, 2020; Blaine, Minnesota, USA; Max Homa hits a tee shot on the 11th hole during the final round of the 3M Open golf tournament at TPC Twin Cities. (Photo Credit: David Berding – USA TODAY Sports)
Max Homa (+12500)
Homa ranked sixth and seventh, respectively, in last week’s field in SG: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach, according to Data Golf. He lost a woeful 2.31 strokes per round putting but was still able to finish T-3. He’ll face much stiffer competition this week, but his odds remain ripe for the picking.
Mackenzie Hughes (+15000)
Hughes has a T-3 at the Travelers Championship and a T-6 at the Memorial as his best results in five events since returning to play. He has been much better in SG: Putting and SG: Around-the-Green than in approach and from tee-to-green, but his flat stick is absolutely worth backing at this high of a number.
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Analyzing prop bets for the 2020 3M Open, with PGA Tour odds, picks and best bets for the top matchup, placing and FRL options.
TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., hosts the 2020 3M Open with the opening round Thursday. Matthew Wolff tries to defend his 2019 victory in the inaugural event against the weakest field we’ve seen since the PGA Tour returned to play. As a result, there’s plenty of betting value beyond the top names of Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Tony Finau and Tommy Fleetwood. Below, we look at the best prop bets for the 3M Open, including matchups, placings and first-round leader picks.
Johnson and Koepka are the first and fourth betting favorites at +1000 and +1600, respectively. They’re the class of a weaker field, but there’s no value in betting them outright in what’s likely their final preparations for the PGA Championship.
Johnson missed the cut last week at plus-16 after opening 80-80 in the tough conditions at Muirfield Village Golf Club. He’ll bounce back on a much easier course following his weekend off.
Tony Finau (-125) vs. Tommy Fleetwood
Finau collapsed last week at the Memorial Tournament as Jon Rahm went on to win by three strokes over Ryan Palmer and Finau finished eighth. Finau will recover in easier scoring conditions and against a weaker field as Fleetwood makes his first appearance since The Players Championship was canceled.
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2020 3M Open: Placing bets
Top 5: Ryan Armour (+1600)
Armour finished T-6 at the Travelers Championship and T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before a missed cut at the Workday Charity Open. He finished at minus-15 and minus-16 in his two top results and should have little trouble lighting up TPC Twin Cities.
Top 10: Bernd Wiesberger (+850)
The golf betting community missed on Wiesberger last week, as he missed the cut at plus-7. Typically playing only majors and World Golf Championship events while dominating the European Tour, the 3M Open will feature one of the easiest courses and weakest fields of any PGA Tour event he has played.
Top British/Irish: Tommy Fleetwood (+120)
Fleetwood doesn’t hold much value at +1500 to win the first tournament he has played in four months. He is +100 to be the top English player, but his odds rise with only Russell Knox (+900) and Seamus Power (+1600) being added as competition.
Top player from the rest of the world: Emiliano Grillo (+1400)
Grillo is priced sixth in this group led by South African Erik Van Rooyen at +600. Grillo missed the cut last week while losing 2.46 strokes per round putting, but he gained 0.88 strokes off-the-tee. The latter is the much more important statistic at TPC Twin Cities, and he’ll be able to contend without needing to worry as much about the flat stick.
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2020 3M Open: First-round leader bet
Derek Ernst (+17500)
Ernst, a former PGA Tour winner, returns to a PGA Tour event for the first time since a T-52 finish at the Puerto Rico Open in February. He has dominated the Korn Ferry Tour of late with three straight finishes of T-12 or better and looks to carry his top form to the next level.
Lucas Glover (+4500)
Glover finished T-7 last year at minus-16 after firing a Sunday round of 62. His T-38 finish last week was his worst result in five events since returning to play, as he has been one of the most consistent in the strong fields. He’s ready to break through against softer competition.
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Analyzing the best fantasy golf picks for the 2020 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities.
The 2020 3M Open will see Matthew Wolff try to defend his 2019 victory at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minn., against Tommy Fleetwood, Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka and the rest of a rather lackluster field. Fleetwood makes his first appearance since the midseason pause and is the top-ranked player in attendance at No. 17 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities
Oct 26, 2017; Jackson, MS, USA; Derek Ernst chips the ball from a 18th hole bunker during the first round of the Sanderson Farms Championship golf tournament at Country Club of Jackson. (Photo Credit: Spruce Derden – USA TODAY Sports)
Ventura tied for 21st at the Rocket Mortgage Classic amid a strong stretch of play on the Korn Ferry Tour which included a T-8 finish at the TPC San Antonio Challenge at the Canyons. He should be able to earn a quality finish in a soft field this week.
29. Charley Hoffman (+7000)
Hoffman picked up a T-7 at the Workday Charity Open but didn’t play in the Memorial Tournament. He missed the cut in this event last year but lost a woeful 1.71 strokes per round putting, according to Data Golf.
28. Chase Seiffert (+10000)
Seiffert was off last week following his breakout fourth-place finish at the Workday Charity Open. He relied heavily on his putter in that performance but also managed to gain 0.92 strokes per round on approach.
27. Derek Ernst (+30000)
Like Ventura, Ernst is on a heater on the KFT and looks to take the next step in a soft field on the PGA Tour. He tied for fifth at the TPC San Antonio Championship at the Oaks following a T-12 at the Canyons. He won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2013 but made the cut in just three PGA Tour events since the beginning of 2019.
26. Emiliano Grillo (+10000)
Grillo’s struggles with the flat stick won’t be as much of a concern at TPC Twin Cities with a much stronger emphasis on the driver and approach game. He tied for third on a similar course for the Puerto Rico Open in February.
Feb 27, 2020; Palm Beach Gardens, Fla., USA; Roger Sloan lets go of his grip in the 16th tee box during the first round of the 2020 Honda Classic golf tournament at PGA National (Champion). (Photo Credit: Reinhold Matay – USA TODAY Sports)
25. Roger Sloan (+20000)
Sloan finished T-15 here last year while gaining 1.22 strokes per round tee-to-green. He tied for 27th at the Workday Charity Open for his best result since play resumed.
24. Wyndham Clark (+9000)
Clark tied for fifth last year while leading the field in Driving Distance at 327.9 yards and gaining 1.33 strokes tee-to-green. His missed cut at the Memorial last week doesn’t carry much weight with easier conditions and a weakened field on hand this week.
23. Charles Howell III (+9000)
Howell tied for 23rd in 2019 in a neutral putting performance. He has two missed cuts since play resumed with a T-49 at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T-48 last week.
22. Matthias Schwab (+8000)
Schwab missed the cut last week in his first PGA Tour event since the WGC-Mexico Championship. He previously tied for 21st at the European Tour’s Qatar Masters and can certainly compete in fields like these.
21. Ryan Armour (+8000)
Armour is 47th on Tour this season in Birdie or Better Percentage. He finished T-6 at the Travelers Championship and T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic before a missed cut at the Workday.
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20. Brian Harman (+5000)
Harman is tied for the 14th-best odds to win this event despite entering off of three straight missed cuts. He tied for seventh last year with just 0.85 SG: Putting per round.
19. Carlos Ortiz (+6600)
Ortiz finished T-5 in 2019 with 2.32 SG: Tee-to-Green and 1.29 SG: Approach per round. He has made the cut in three of five events since play returned.
18. Rafa Cabrera Bello (+7000)
Cabrera Bello has just two made cuts in five events since the midseason suspension was lifted. He has slipped all the way to 139th in the Golfweek rankings but will benefit from the weaker competition.
17. Dylan Frittelli (+6600)
Frittelli’s best result since play returned was a T-8 at the RBC Heritage. He missed his next two cuts but tied for 22nd last week. He’s tied for 34th on Tour this season in Par 5 Performance and will be able to take advantage of the easier holes here.
16. Harris English (+3300)
English is the second-best player in attendance by the Golfweek rankings at No. 19 in the world. He finished T-17 at the RBC Heritage and T-13 last week.
Jul 4, 2020; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Sepp Straka tees off on the 2nd during the third round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic golf tournament at Detroit Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)
15. Sepp Straka (+6600)
Straka finished 61st at plus-11 last week, but he had done no worse than 10-under in his previous three events in which he made the cut. He can go low over four rounds and should easily make the cut in this field.
14. Max Homa (+6600)
Homa missed the weekend in each of his last three events, but he gained 1.28 strokes around the greens and 1.63 strokes tee-to-green at the 2019 3M Open before withdrawing during the third round.
13. Sam Burns (+4500)
Burns’ T-7 here last year was one of his best results of 2019 and he returns with three straight made cuts in tougher fields.
12. Bubba Watson (+3300)
Watson has more than enough distance for this course and should take advantage of the weaker field in a tune-up for the 2020 PGA Championship.
11. Luke List (+4000)
List averaged 1.21 SG: Off-the-Tee and 1.75 SG: Tee-to-Green last week. Normally held back by his putter, he’ll benefit from the easier putting surfaces of TPC Twin Cities.
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10. Brooks Koepka (+1400)
Koepka is running out of time to correct the issues with his driver and short game ahead of the PGA Championship. The fact he’s still playing in a tournament like this just two weeks out is at least a sign he’s trying to fix the problems.
9. Will Gordon (+7000)
Gordon followed up his surprising T-3 result at the Travelers with a missed cut at the Rocket Mortgage Classic but returns after two weeks off. His long game is well suited for this course.
8. Doc Redman (+5000)
Redman missed the cut last year with a horrendous performance from tee-to-green, but he returns while averaging 0.76 SG: T2G in 2020. He came out of the break with four straight weekend appearances before a missed cut last week.
7. Erik Van Rooyen (+3300)
Rooyen shares the eighth-best odds to win the tournament. He’s tied for 20th on Tour this season with 0.539 SG: Approach. He’ll face one of the weaker PGA Tour fields he has played against.
Mar 12, 2020; Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla., USA; Tommy Fleetwood watches his tees shot on the 11th hole during the first round of the 2020 edition of The Players Championship golf tournament at TPC Sawgrass – Stadium Course. (Photo Credit: Adam Hagy – USA TODAY Sports)
6. Tommy Fleetwood (+1400)
Fleetwood is the top-ranked golfer in attendance by the Golfweek rankings but will play for the first time since The Players Championship was canceled after the opening round. He’s 10th on Tour while averaging 0.610 SG: Off-the-Tee through 10 measured rounds.
5. Matthew Wolff (+2500)
The defending champ has the sixth-best odds to win. He was the runner-up at the RMC in a similar-caliber field.
4. Paul Casey (+2200)
Casey has had a disappointing return to golf with a T-32 at the Travelers and a missed cut last week. He still enters the week 25th in the Golfweek rankings as the fourth-best golfer in the field.
3. Dustin Johnson (+900)
Johnson, the winner of the Travelers Championship, missed the cut at plus-16 last week while losing 3.12 SG: Putting per round. He enters as the betting favorite following his weekend of rest.
2. Lucas Glover (+3300)
Glover has been one of the best and most consistent golfers since play resumed. His T-38 finish last week was his worst result in five events. He’s 26th in SG: Approach and 36th in Birdie or Better Percentage on Tour this season.
1. Tony Finau (+1200)
Finau suffered a Sunday collapse with a final round of 78 last week to finish in eighth place. The weaker field and softer conditions will allow for a quality bounce-back performance.
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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
