Lynch: Suspensions show PGA Tour needs to be all-in on transparency with gambling

The Tour should remember that in any enterprise trust is underpinned by transparency. The more of it, the better.

Vince India and Jake Staiano can testify that the PGA Tour’s new era of transparency extends beyond installing glass walls in its ‘Global Home’ headquarters. They’re the Korn Ferry Tour players suspended on Oct. 27 for betting on Tour events, though none in which they competed. That the Tour acknowledged the sanctions — and actually announced them — is a welcome departure from the time when disciplinary action was guarded with a secrecy worthy of Dear Leader’s cholesterol in a banana republic.

Still, the announcement itself was a reminder that promises of transparency are not unlike poker — eventually you have to go all-in. And the Tour just ain’t there yet.

Like every league eager to profit from legalized sports betting, the PGA Tour is open to charges of hypocrisy by people who think in binaries. While there’s no ambiguity in the Tour’s Integrity Program Manual prohibiting members from gambling on professional tournaments, the organization’s official partners include bet365, BetMGM, betParx, DraftKings, Fanduel and PointsBet — abuse of which might lead one to their other partners offering beer, vodka and tequila. Yet it’s necessary to distinguish commerce from common sense. No sports league can permit wagering by those with access to inside information that might impact a competitor’s performance — injury, illness, an untimely meeting of spouse and lover — or by those with the ability, however slight, to influence outcomes. That’s why the Integrity Program ban extends to anyone who obtains credentials to an event through a player, like caddies, agents, family members or trainers.

COLUMNS: Read more from Eamon Lynch

It’s clear-cut on paper, but awfully difficult to enforce. I asked one player how common it is for his peers to gamble on tournaments, regardless of whether they are competing themselves.

“Rare,” he replied.

How about caddies?

He laughed. “All they do is bet.”

A sweeping judgment? Perhaps. So I asked a caddie.

“So many do it,” he said. “On the events they are in.”

It’s unsurprising that the ban on betting is routinely flouted, but uneven enforcement doesn’t render the policy problematic, any more than DUI laws are undermined by the fact that many offenders get away with it. What is questionable is a lack of context in announcing violations.

On Oct. 11, the Tour made public that Ben An had been suspended three months for violating anti-doping policies. Its statement noted that the banned substance in question was contained in a cough medicine available over the counter in An’s native Korea. Breaches of anti-doping regulations come with the potential for significant reputational harm, so context is crucial. The same applies to charges of gambling on one’s own sport, but India and Staiano were not granted the courtesy of context, other than a one-line acknowledgment that they didn’t bet on tournaments in which they participated.

In one respect, that makes sense. An’s offense was accidental whereas the gambling was intentional. But the suspensions imposed on India (six months) and Staiano (three months) were presumably dictated by the particulars of their respective offenses, and the onus is on the Tour to explain how those penalties were reached. What events were wagered on? In what amounts? Was there a pattern or was it a one-off after a couple of beers? How did the rule breaches come to light? Instead, the Tour noted only the imposition of the suspensions, that there was no betting on events in which the men competed, and the duration of their benchings. It concluded with a phrase cut and pasted from the statement on An 16 days earlier: “The Tour will have no further comment on the suspensions at this time.”

It’s akin to declaring a man guilty and sentenced without presenting interested parties with a glimpse of the evidence, a judicial approach that at least won’t cost the Tour any goodwill with its new business partner in Riyadh. The “no further comment” dodge amounts to an abdication of obligation.

An wasn’t put in the position of having to offer context for his suspension — the Tour did it for him by explaining how he came to use a banned substance. It should not be left to India and Staiano to provide context that explains or seeks to excuse their actions. They violated rules and earned their penalties, that is clear. And while it should be welcomed that the PGA Tour is finally telling fans when such episodes occur, telling us exactly how it happened matters too.

The Tour’s statements on An, India and Staiano represent progress for an organization that historically appreciates sunlight about as much as vampires, but it’s not sufficient. Trust is a scarce commodity in the PGA Tour’s orbit right now. The suits in that glass-walled Global Home would do well to remember that in any enterprise trust is underpinned by transparency. The more of it, the better.

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Billy Walters talks relationship with Phil Mickelson on No Laying Up podcast

Walters wants to set the record straight with regard to his insider trading conviction and his relationship with Lefty.

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The anticipation for the upcoming release of the book “Gambler: Secrets from a Life at Risk” from noted gambler Billy Walters hit a new high after a recent excerpt highlighted Phil Mickelson’s gambling habits.

On the latest episode of the No Laying Up podcast, Walters said he wanted to write the book because he thought he could help those who come from similar backgrounds and battle addiction like he does. He began betting on sports at an early age when there was an “ignorant perception” of those who gambled. Now that gambling is legal across a majority of the United States, Walters wanted to share everything he knows about handicapping and betting with sports fans.

“I wouldn’t have sold this information for $30 million 10 years ago, but I’m 10 years older and I want to share this with sports fans,” said Walters. “It’s my legacy so to speak.”

He also wanted to set the record straight with regard to his conviction in the Southern District of New York for insider trading and his relationship with the six-time major champion Mickelson.

Walters was once regarded as one of the most successful sports bettors in the country. He was sentenced to five years in prison for conspiring to commit insider trading from at least 2008 through 2014, was convicted on all 10 counts against him, fined $10 million and sentenced to five years in prison in 2017. His book, which also goes into greater detail on the insider trading charges related to Dean Foods that sent him to jail, will be released on Aug. 22. Mickelson was a relief defendant in the civil suit, and agreed to pay back $1.03 million, including profit and interest.

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Walters did partnerships with many people over the years both before and after Mickelson. The two met at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2006 and didn’t see each other again until two years later at the 2008 Wachovia Championship in Charlotte. Walters ran into Mickelson in the locker room and he asked him how his partnerships worked.

The pair began a five-year betting partnership – a simple 50-50 split where each put up the same money – and a friendship that lasted about eight years.

Walters said Mickelson had nothing to do with the selections and the pair were successful enough that the bookmakers closed their accounts. Walters became concerned when he learned Mickelson had previously done business dating back to 1995 with two other men that led to a money laundering investigation.

“I was completely unaware of that, if I had been aware of that prior to starting our partnership I never would have had a partnership with him,” said Walters, who claimed one of the men went to federal prison for a $2.8 million wire transfer sent as a favor for Mickelson. As Walters tells it, the money was a gambling debt. From the podcast:

My understanding is the banks wouldn’t wire the money to these offshore bookmakers, so he asked one of the men to wire the money to him and then he would pay the offshore bookmakers. The guy agreed to do it as a favor and he wired him $2.8 million. The bank turned it in as suspicious activity, and that led to an investigation which included federal authorities.

The partnership then ended when the case with Walters and his Dean Food stock was investigated. Walters said the SEC wanted to interview Mickelson about some stock he had purchased and he took the fifth amendment. Walters said he confronted Mickelson to ask why and claims Lefty said his lawyers were concerned there would be questions about the separate money laundering investigation.

Walters then said Mickelson hired an attorney in Washington, D.C., and a settlement was worked out that saw Mickelson’s money laundering investigation go away. The one man went to prison and a statement was issued that Mickelson gave back $1 million made in a stock transaction. Walters argues that made him look guilty.

“Why would someone give $1 million back in a financial transaction if you or someone hadn’t done something wrong?” he asked.

During interviews with the FBI Walters claimed Mickelson told him he denied Walters had ever given him insider information. Walters also alleges Mickelson said he would testify. He did not.

“In retrospect the biggest mistake I made is myself not testifying,” admitted Walters. “But if Phil had testified, I am as sure as I am looking at you that I would’ve never gone to prison.”

Walters ran his betting operation like a business and kept detailed records:

  • when a bet was made
  • who it was made with
  • who it was on
  • did they win or lose and how much

In the book he has detailed accounts of tens of thousands of six-figure bets. Part of the bets in the book are ones Mickelson made with his other two associates and the rest are with his partnership with Walters.

“The reason I put that in the book was I wanted to, to me, life’s all about one that and that’s credibility. You either have it or you don’t. Either you’re truthful or you’re not truthful,” he said. “(Alan Shipnuck’s) book came out and disclosed the fact he had lost $40 million, and then later on (Mickelson said) ‘yeah I lost $40 million,’ but clearly he didn’t come clean about the entire thing. I felt we needed to set the record straight and tell the truth.”

The biggest revelation from the excerpt was where Walters alleged that Mickelson wanted to bet on the 2012 Ryder Cup, of which he was a member of the U.S. team.

“I couldn’t believe it,” said Walters. “Up until that time there had never even remotely been any kind of discussion about betting on golf.”

“I’m fairly confident he came to his senses and probably never made the bet. I didn’t say he ever made the bet, I just said he called me and attempted to make the bet,” he added. “I think he just got carried away in the moment and was so sure they were going to win.”

After initially declining to comment when approached during the LIV Golf Bedminster event, Mickelson released a statement saying he never bet on the Ryder Cup.

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Jordan Spieth catches fans gambling on his putt in Hawaii: ‘I’d be doing the same thing’

Clearly, the University of Texas product could hear some bystanders wagering on whether he would make his putt.

Soft breezes and picturesque views make Kapalua the perfect venue to kick off the new year, as the top players in the world look to get back in the swing of things at the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

But gamblers? They’re always in midseason form, as was evidenced by an exchange Jordan Spieth had with a pair of fans off the back of the 12th green during Thursday’s opening round.

Spieth was visibly angry with himself after leaving a short approach on the 432-yard par 4 well shy of the stick, and, as he often does, he mused aloud that he’d given himself a difficult two-putt for par.

As soon as Spieth hit his first putt from just inside 54 feet away, he started following it, obviously unhappy with the line, which was well off. But the result was good, and he had less than three feet to save his four.

Spieth stood for a second over the par putt, and calmly drilled it, to remain at 4 under at the time.

But clearly, the University of Texas product could hear some bystanders wagering on whether he would make his putt.

As soon as he sank it, he walked to the back of the green and told the pair that he overheard what they were up to.

“I appreciate the exchange of money and I’d be doing the same thing, but I could just hear you guys gambling, right off the back of the green,” Spieth said.

He smiled, gave each of the two a fist bump and walked on his way.

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Golf gambling: LIV Golf players have been unappetizing to bettors this U.S. Open

The LIV Golf backlash and slumping performances led bookmakers to establish McIlroy, Thomas and Scheffler as favorites.

Bookmakers and bettors took sides ahead of the U.S. Open, overwhelmingly backing PGA Tour golfers over those who joined the new Saudi-backed LIV Golf league.

And they were vindicated after the first round concluded Thursday at Brookline Country Club in Massachusetts.

The 15 LIV Golf entrants, including Phil Mickelson, combined to shoot 53-over par. Only one of those players, Dustin Johnson, finished the day ranked within the top 14.

Tipico Sportsbook opened Johnson as a 30/1 longshot to win before the tournament began. Following his 2-under-par 68, he’s become a 20/1 sixth choice. He sits behind favored vocal LIV Golf critic Rory McIlroy (+550), PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas (+900), defending U.S. Open champion Jon Rahm (+1000), Masters champion Scottie Scheffler (+1300) and another 2-under player, Matthew Fitzpatrick (+1500).

McIlroy, 33, said earlier this week some of his peers who pursued the lavish LIV Golf compensation — backed by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who, according to the U.S. government, authorized the murder of Washington Post journalist Jamal Khashoggi in 2018 — likely did so because “their best days are behind them.”

McIlroy talked the talk and then walked the walk during Thursday’s opening round, shooting a 3-under 67 to stand in a five-way tie for second place behind leader Adam Hadwin (21/1) of Canada at -4.

McIlroy’s knock was aimed mostly at six-time major winner Mickelson, who started as a staggering 200/1 longshot to win this weekend and finds himself in danger of being cut Friday after his opening-round 8-over 78. Mickelson, 52, also finished distantly in last week’s inaugural LIV Golf event, behind fellow Masters winner Charl Schwartzel, 37.

As for the other LIV Golf members near their peak, including Johnson and big-driving Bryson DeChambeau, McIlroy said: “That’s where it feels like you’re taking the easy way out.”

DeChambeau was +1 and is cast as an 85/1 longshot.

The LIV Golf backlash and slumping performances from many of the golfers participating in that tour led bookmakers to establish McIlroy, Thomas and Scheffler as favorites to win the U.S. Open. Bettors embraced that decision by making those three players the leaders in total tickets and dollars wagered at Caesars Sportsbook.

Rahm generated five wagers of at least $1,000 before posting his 1-under 69 Thursday, and PGA players Will Zalatoris, Cameron Smith and Sam Burns were top-five plays at Caesars. A Nevada bettor placed a $3,000 wager on Burns with potential winnings of $54,000.

Oddsmakers certainly accounted for the feuding between PGA and LIV Golf players. Still, Caesars Sportsbook lead golf trader Anthony Sallerori said he was stunned watching Johnson fall from an opening 25/1 to 40/1 at Caesars before he teed off Thursday.

“He is out of public favor at the moment, that’s just how it stands,” Sallerori said.

Unrelenting criticism of LIV Golf moved two-time U.S. Open champion Brooks Koepka, whose brother, Chase, played in last week’s LIV stop, to criticize journalists for asking hard questions that he said formed “a black cloud” over the event.

“I’m tired of the conversations. I’m tired of all this stuff,” Koepka said.

Thus, the PGA-LIV rivalry opened earnestly, with the PGA loyalists headed by McIlroy yearning to flex their superiority over those who fled.

MORE: How LIV Golf players fared during the first round of the U.S. Open

A betting battle

Oddsmakers were quick to identify LIV players’ uphill battle in the U.S. Open by first making Johnson the ninth favorite to win and attaching a slew of longshot 80/1-and-beyond tags on others, including Talor Gooch, Sergio Garcia, Kevin Na and Patrick Reed, who each finished over par Thursday.

At one point late Thursday afternoon, the 15 LIV Golf players were a combined +54 — an uncanny occurrence tied to the 54 entrants who play in LIV’s 54-hole tournaments.

Golf, by its nature, is tense. Adding in personal beefs fanned by widespread criticism and a new rivalry transforms this U.S. Open Father’s Day tradition into an unprecedented, must-see event.

Despite the distaste for Johnson’s LIV Golf defection, veteran golf journalist Thomas Bonk saw him as a viable contender even before his first round justified the opinion.

“Dustin is uniquely suited to play in an Open at Brookline,” Bonk said. “He can hit the ball straight and putt.”

As Mickelson played to muted support from Thursday’s crowd, Bonk said he didn’t expect the pressure and criticism to crack the LIV Golf players because “golfers are pretty insular in their thinking.”

But with the stiffness of the course and the hard feelings palpable, Bonk surmised, “Being nerveless here will help.”

Golfweek’s Adam Schupak said the dynamic of the players’ friction is less of an issue than the shoddy results Johnson, Mickelson and Reed displayed prior to Brookline.

“Most of the LIV golfers haven’t shown much form on the PGA Tour of late,” Schupak said. “Johnson, other than a stellar performance at last year’s Ryder Cup, has been a shadow of the player who won the 2020 Masters.

“But nothing rattles D.J. Same goes for Patrick Reed, who seems to thrive when he’s the center of controversy.”

Patrick Cantlay plays his shot from the third tee during the first round of the U.S. Open golf tournament at The Country Club. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

A worthwhile wager

Respected golf handicapper Rufus Peabody ran all of the entrants through a battery of more than 100,000 simulations and said Johnson is a 43/1 underdog.

“Whether you can find a good bet depends on the price you can find,” Peabody said cryptically because he likes to keep his picks to himself.

Schupak named 30/1 choice Burns (+1), reigning PGA player of the year and FedEx Cup champion Patrick Cantlay (+2) and 39/1 Max Homa (-1) as his three pre-tournament favorites to win. Burns has won three PGA events this season, including two weeks ago. Homa has won twice.

“My top choice is the under-appreciated Burns … he currently ranks No. 9 in the world, possesses a complete game and is just starting to come into his own,” Schupak said. “He watched his best friend, Scottie Scheffler, win the Masters in April and he’s thinking: ‘Why not me?’

“Homa is another player who is riding a hot hand. He has the iron play and putting ability to be a factor in a major. When he gets in the hunt, he’s shown he knows how to find the winner’s circle. Cantlay has been an enigma at majors with just two top-10 finishes in 21 starts in majors, but I’m still convinced it’s a matter of when, not if, he’s going to win a major.”

Bonk sided with Collin Morikawa (-1), who’s now 20/1 at Tipico.

Following the U.S. Open, the LIV Golf players will part from their former brethren again to next play in Portland, Oregon June 30.

U.S. betting shops, including Tipico, have yet to receive approval from multiple state gambling regulators to offer betting on the LIV Golf tour, although it is allowed in Nevada and Arizona.

“Being a new league is part of it, but with the Saudi impact, I don’t think (regulators) like the look of it, either,” Tipico spokesman Sunny Gupta said. “It seems like there’s the potential for (states) to take an arbitrary stance on this because of the Saudis.”

Gupta said the only thing Tipico’s New Jersey and Colorado regulators have said is LIV Golf betting is “still under review.”

“I understand why they wouldn’t be ready for the first stop (last week in London), but I’d be shocked if it won’t go through for the next time,” Gupta said.

In lieu of that, Tipico and other shops are offering head-to-head and four-versus-four proposition betting matchups pitting PGA players against the LIV Golf entrants. At BetMGM, for instance, Johnson was an even-money underdog versus -120 favorite Hideki Matsuyama.

Johnson birdied No. 17 Thursday to edge Matsuyama by two strokes, creeping within the lead.

As for the staying power of the PGA-LIV rivalry, Bonk said he isn’t sure how long the fire, and verbal strife, will burn.

“Unless Dustin Johnson wins,” he said.

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LPGA fans will soon have more options for online gambling

The LPGA is taking steps toward making a bigger splash in the sports betting world.

As the LPGA takes steps toward making a bigger splash in the sports betting world, IMG Arena has secured the tour’s official sports betting data and live streaming distribution rights.

Starting in early 2022, the tour’s hole-by-hole, daily stats and limited streaming will be made available to casinos and sportsbooks through initial partners such as bet365, BoyleSports and Tipsport. The LPGA does not have a ShotLink-type system, so fans will not be able to bet on specific shots in real time, as they can on the PGA Tour.

This is a separate initiative from the previously announced KPMG Performance Insights, which includes strokes gained data that is currently sent to players weekly on an Excel file.

“We are delighted to partner with the LPGA and boost the Golf Event Centre with another elite sports competition,” said Max Wright, SVP Commercial, IMG Arena. “Bringing women’s golf to the Event Centre has long been an ambition of IMG Arena. The LPGA Tour features some of the most talented athletes in the world and weekly tournaments of the finest quality, which will deliver a vast and compelling range of data-led sports betting content for operators and their players.”

IMG Arena works with more than 470 leading sportsbook brands worldwide to deliver live streaming video and data feeds for more than 45,000 sports events annually, as well as for on-demand virtual sports products including the UFC Event Centre. IMG Arena’s clients include the ATP, UFC, European Tour, PGA Tour, EuroLeague, MLS and the FA.

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2021 John Deere Classic odds, predictions and PGA Tour picks

Feeling lucky this week? These are the bets to keep an eye on.

TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, hosts this week’s John Deere Classic as the last tune-up to the 2021 British Open next week. A rather weak field is in attendance ahead of the final men’s major championship of the 2020-21 PGA Tour super season. Below, we look at the 2021 John Deere Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.

Brian Harman is the top player in the field at No. 8 in the Golfweek/Sagarin ranking. Daniel Berger, at No. 9, is the only other golfer from the top 10 in attendance. Cam Davis comes in off his first career PGA Tour victory at last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic.

TPC Deere Run measures 7,268 yards and plays to a par of 71. Five of the last six winning scores of the John Deere Classic were minus-20 or better. The 2020 tournament was canceled amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Favorite

Russell Henley (+1800)

Henley was off last week after a T-19 finish at the Travelers Championship followed by his T-13 showing at the US Open. He returns to TPC Deere Run off of a runner-up finish in 2019 in which he averaged 2.11 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and 1.93 SG: Approach per round.

Henley’s 46th on Tour in driving accuracy and tied for 14th in par 4 efficiency from 400-450 yards. His most recent of three PGA Tour wins to date was at the 2017 Houston Open, but he enters the week in strong form and is one of the top-ranked players in the field at No. 34 in the Golfweek rankings.

The weaker field should allow for a top finish after his late collapse against the world’s best at the U.S. Open.

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Contender

Beau Hossler (+6600)

Hossler has rung up three straight top-25 finishes with a T-19 at the Palmetto Championship, a T-10 at the Travelers Championship and a T-25 at last week’s Rocket Mortgage Classic. Once ranked as high as 64th in the Official World Golf Ranking, he enters this week at No. 288 but has been trending in the right direction in 2021.

He tied for 26th at the 2019 John Deere Classic with 1.48 SG: Putting per round. His putter has been the best part of his game this season.

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Long shot

Bronson Burgoon (+12500)

Burgoon has averaged 0.85 strokes gained on the field per round over 12 career rounds at TPC Deere Run. Those three appearances include a distant runner-up finish to Michael Kim in 2018. He tied with three others that year, including 2018 Open champ Francesco Molinari.

The 34-year-old has missed three straight cuts, but he previously tied for 13th against quality fields at both the AT&T Byron Nelson and the Valspar Championship.

His two professional wins were on the Adams Pro Tour in 2012, but he has played well at this course and this is one of the weakest fields of the 2021 schedule.

Get some action on the 2021 John Deere Classic by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

Rocket Mortgage Classic predictions, odds and PGA Tour picks

Feeling lucky this week? We’ve got some picks.

The PGA Tour returns to Detroit Golf Club as it hosts the third running of the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Bryson DeChambeau returns as the defending champion and 2021 betting favorite. Below, we look at the 2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.

Detroit Golf Club measures 7,370 yards and plays to a par of 72. The Donald Ross design puts an emphasis on accuracy off the tee on the front nine, but the back nine is considerably more open and allows for plenty of scoring opportunities.

The two previous events have seen rather different fields and leaderboards. The inaugural 2019 tournament was won by Nate Lashley with Doc Redman as the runner-up. Last year’s edition was one of the Tour’s first events back from the COVID-19 pandemic with DeChambeau winning over Matthew Wolff.

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Favorite

Will Zalatoris (+2500)

Zalatoris, 24, is 15th in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings but remains in need of a win for full PGA Tour status and eligibility for the FedExCup Playoffs.

His missed cut at the U.S. Open was just his second through 15 events in 2021. That and a prior missed cut at the Wells Fargo Championship, have boosted his odds for this week. He’s third in this field by the Golfweek rankings but shares the fifth-best odds to win as a quality value play.

Zalatoris has a runner-up finish at the Masters and three other top-10 finishes on the year, including a T-8 at the PGA Championship. He’s still averaging 1.51 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and 1.00 SG: Approach per round for the 2020-21 season.

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Contender

Doc Redman (+5500)

Redman has fallen to No. 131 in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) with six missed cuts through 15 events this year, but he tied for second against a weaker field at the Palmetto Championship and for 61st at last week’s Travelers Championship.

Course history is on his side with his runner-up finish in 2019 and a T-21 in the stronger field last year.

His approach game has been sharp this season, and he has been better with the putter of late. He also averaged 1.23 SG: Around-the-Green per round at the Palmetto as a considerable improvement on the weakest part of his game.

Long shot

Mackenzie Hughes (+15000)

Hughes tied for 76th last week following his Sunday collapse and T-15 finish at the U.S. Open. He lost a woeful 0.84 strokes per round off the tee last week; however, he remained strong around the greens and has been one of the Tour’s most consistent putters this season.

He didn’t play this event last year after a T-21 finish in 2019. He averaged 1.26 SG: Tee-to-Green and 0.84 SG: Approach per round in that appearance.

Mainly, this number is far too high for someone who was recently in the top 50 of the OWGR and has begun showing signs of old form after a stretch of five straight missed cuts.

Get some action on the 2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

PGA Championship sleepers and long shots at Kiawah Island’s Ocean Course

Feeling lucky this week? Here are some long shots and sleepers to consider at the PGA Championship.

Looking for a big payday with your PGA Championship bets? Sportsbook Wire has you covered as the world’s best golfers tee it up at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island in South Carolina this week. Below, we search for value in the odds and target five sleepers and long-shot picks to win the 2021 PGA Championship.

The PGA Championship has awarded the Wanamaker Trophy to many long-shot winners over the years. Past champs include YE Yang (2009), Keegan Bradley (2011) and Jimmy Walker (2016). The conditions of the Ocean Course this week are expected to help level the playing field as golfers contend with harsh wins off of the coast of the Atlantic.

Rory McIlroy begins the week at No. 15 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. He’s the pre-tournament favorite at +1100 after winning the 2012 PGA Championship at Kiawah by eight strokes. There were several forgotten names on that leaderboard who would’ve been worthy of a top-5 or top-10 placing bet.

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:05 a.m. ET.

Long-shot picks to target

Justin Rose (+8000)

Bet $100 to win $8,000

Rose showed at the 2021 Masters he can still contend in major championships with a seventh-place finish after holding the 18- and 36-hole leads. He finished ninth in last summer’s PGA Championship and tied for 23rd in the fall Masters.

He was one of four golfers to tie for third at the 2012 PGA Championship at the Ocean Course, albeit nine strokes back of McIlroy’s 13-under par. Rose’s game is well-suited to the howling, swirling winds and difficult conditions.

Top 5: +1400

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Bubba Watson (+9000)

Bet $100 to win $9,000

Watson tied for 11th at the 2012 PGA Championship. His 4-under par, 68, was one of the best rounds of the final day of the tournament when conditions were at their best.

The 42-year-old is still 40th on Tour in driving distance and the wide fairways of the Ocean Course will play to his favor.

Top 5: +1400

Matt Wallace (+10000)

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A four-time winner on the European Tour, Wallace has been playing more frequently on the PGA Tour this year. He made the cut in each of his last four stroke-play events, with finishes of third at the Valero Texas Open and T-6 at the Wells Fargo Championship.

Wallace is tied for 13th on Tour in Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 Yards and should be able to score on the 7,876-yard Ocean Course’s toughest holes.

Top 10: +750

Dylan Frittelli (+25000)

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Frittelli was one of several surprises at the 2020 Masters in November with a T-5 finish. He missed the cut in April and has slipped to No. 81 in the Official World Golf Ranking but the South African’s game is well-suited to the PGA Championship venue.

He’s third among qualified golfers with 0.54 Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green per round, and he’s 13th in driving distance.

Top 10: +1600

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Wyndham Clark (+25000)

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Clark gained a late entry to the 2021 PGA Championship after Vijay Singh withdrew Monday. He has never won on the PGA Tour, but he tied for eighth in a strong field at The Genesis Invitational earlier this year and made the cut in each of his last four events.

He averages 0.43 SG: Around-the-Green per round, is fourth in driving distance and 15th in sand save percentage.

Top 20: +700

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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2021 Valspar Championship odds, predictions and PGA Tour picks

Check out the odds, predictions and picks for the PGA Tour’s 2021 Valspar Championship.

Individual stroke play returns on the PGA Tour this week with the Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort’s Copperhead course in Palm Harbor, Florida. Below, we look at the 2021 Valspar Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.

This tournament was canceled in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Paul Casey returns in 2021 looking for a record third consecutive win at Copperhead.

He’ll be challenged by a strong field fronted by Golfweek/Sagarin’s third and fourth-ranked golfers (as of April 19) in Dustin Johnson and Viktor Hovland, respectively.

The Valspar Championship follows last week’s Zurich Classic of New Orleans partner event. Australians Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman won in a playoff over the South African duo of Louis Oosthuizen and Charl Schwartzel.

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:05 a.m. ET.

Favorite

Paul Casey (+2200)

Casey won by a single stroke in both 2018 and 2019 at 10- and 8-under par, respectively. The two-time defending champ’s odds are inflated by the top-heavy strength of this field. He’s just sixth by the odds.

The Englishman has averaged 1.34 strokes gained on the field per round over his 20 career rounds played at Copperhead. He led the field with 2.81 Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green per round in 2019.

Casey won the European Tour’s Omega Dubai Desert Classic in late January and has four top-10 finishes in eight PGA Tour events this year. His irons and ball-striking are in great form as he goes for the three-peat.

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Contender

Gary Woodland (+8000)

Woodland has played 28 rounds at Copperhead with an average of 0.83 strokes gained per round. He won here in 2011 and tied for eighth in 2014 but missed the cut in each of his last two appearances at the Valspar Championship.

The former major winner has been showing much better form of late after dealing with injuries for the better part of the last year. He tied for sixth in a quality field at the Valero Texas Open and tied for 40th at the Masters after missing the cut in three of his previous four events.

He remains a strong value after taking the last two weeks off.

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Long shot

Cameron Champ (+10000)

Champ and playing partner Tony Finau tied for 17th at last week’s Zurich Classic. The lower-ranked half of the duo tied for 26th at the Masters and for 34th at the Valero Texas Open in his previous two solo events.

Golfweek’s 149th-ranked golfer makes his debut at Copperhead. He’s seemingly a good fit for the course with 0.81 SG: Off-the-Tee through 32 measured rounds on the 2020-21 PGA Tour season.

He’s losing 1.01 strokes per round with the putter, but his stroke has been better of late and won’t be tested as much at this venue.

Get some action on the 2021 Valspar Championship by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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2021 Valero Texas Open odds, predictions and PGA Tour picks

Check out the best odds, predictions and picks for the PGA Tour’s 2021 Valero Texas Open.

World No. 1 Dustin Johnson highlights a surprisingly strong field at TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open. Corey Conners returns to defend his 2019 title after this event was canceled last year due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Below, we look at the 2021 Valero Texas Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions to win.

Johnson, who’s first in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings, is this week’s betting favorite at +650 as he makes his final preparations for the 2021 Masters Tournament next week. He’ll defend his green jacket and his questionable motivation for this week makes him a risky bet at the low odds.

Billy Horschel and Joel Dahmen, who won last week’s WGC-Match Play and Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship, respectively, are both off this week.

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:20 a.m. ET.

Valero Texas Open picks – Favorite

Corey Conners (+2200)

Conners won by two strokes at minus-20 in 2019. That followed a T-26 finish in 2018, and he ranks second to only Johnson in this field with an average of 2.55 strokes gained per round at TPC San Antonio.

While the venue typically requires excellent play around the greens, Conners won here in 2019 with 2.89 Strokes Gained: Approach and 3.59 SG: Tee-to-Green per round, while losing 0.38 strokes per round around-the-green. He’s averaging 0.04 SG: Around-the-Green with 0.80 SG: Approach and 1.47 SG: Tee-to-Green on the 2020-21 PGA Tour season.

The Canadian finished third and seventh in strong fields at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship, respectively. He tied for 10th at the 2020 Masters in the fall and will return to Augusta National Golf Club in strong form.

Place your legal, online 2021 Valero Texas Open bets in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV at BetMGM. Risk-free first bet! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Valero Texas Open picks – Contender

Andrew Putnam (+6600)

Putnam has been off for two weeks following a missed cut at The Players Championship. He had previously tied for fifth at the Puerto Rico Open and for fourth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and has three top-10 finishes in eight events this year.

He played in each of the past two runnings of this event with a T-8 finish in 2018 and a T-36 in 2019. Putnam excelled on the greens in each of those two events, and he’s averaging 0.59 strokes gained per round with the flat stick this season.

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Valero Texas Open picks – Long shot

Gary Woodland (+10000)

Woodland has slipped to No. 127 in the Golfweek rankings while battling injuries for most of the past two years but this is still a disrespectful price for the former US Open champ. He tied for 16th against a comparable field at The American Express in January.

His main struggles this season have been with his putter and driver, but he’ll be able to rely on his still-above-average iron play this week.

Get some action on the 2021 Valero Texas Open by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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