March Madness: Penn State vs. Texas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Penn State vs. Texas odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 10-seed Penn State Nittany Lions (23-13) take on the 2-seed Texas Longhorns (27-8) Saturday in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament. Tip from Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, Iowa, is set for 7:45 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Penn State vs. Texas odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Penn State easily handled Texas A&M 76-59 in the 1st round of the tournament Thursday, covering as a 2.5-point underdog. It is 8-2 in its last 10 games losing both games by 5 points combined. In that span, the Nittany Lions are 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) to improve to 21-13-2 ATS on the season.

Texas destroyed Colgate 81-61 in the 1st round to cover as a 12.5-point favorite. It has now won 5 games in a row and is 7-3 in its last 10. The Longhorns are 7-3 ATS in that stretch and are 18-17 ATS this season.

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Penn State vs. Texas odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Penn State +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Texas -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Penn State +5.5 (-112) | Texas -5.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Penn State vs. Texas picks and predictions

Prediction

Texas 69, Penn State 65

Moneyline

PASS.

At 2.4 times the risk as the return, the moneyline does not present a profitable play on Texas.

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Against the spread

LEAN PENN STATE +5.5 (-112).

The Nittany Lions are 5-0 in their last 5 games, 4-0 in their last 4 games following an outright win, 4-0-1 in their last 5 Saturday games and 4-1 in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. While they have been streaky this season, they have hit a hot streak at the best time of year and will not go down without a fight.

Penn State is also 8-1 ATS this season during neutral site games while Texas is just 4-3 in such games.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 138.5 (-110).

The Under hit in both 1st round games for Texas and Penn State.

The Under is the Longhorns last 6 games overall, 5-0 in their last 5 games following a ATS win, and 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games.

For Penn State, the Under is 2-0 in their last 2 games and 5-4 when playing on neutral courts this season. As it stands, 138.5 points would be the 3rd-highest closing line in the Nittany Lions’ last 10 games.

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March Madness: Saturday’s best NCAA Tournament second-round upset picks and predictions

Analyzing NCAA Tournament betting odds for Saturday’s second round, with predictions and picks for the 3 best underdog bets.

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The first round of March Madness was filled with excitement and quite a few thrilling upsets. Thursday’s winners will play second-round games Saturday, while Friday’s winners will go at it Sunday.

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook’s NCAA Tournament odds and lines and list Saturday’s best second-round upset bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s expert college basketball picks and predictions.

There are a couple of unfamiliar faces still dancing with 13th-seeded Furman and No. 15 seed Princeton pulling off impressive upsets. Meanwhile, Duke, which is ranked 16th in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, has won 10 straight games after defeating Oral Roberts Thursday.

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Saturday’s NCAA Tournament upset picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:53 a.m. ET. All game times ET; ML = moneyline.

PRINCETON +6.5 (-110) vs. Missouri – 6:10 p.m.

Princeton impressively took down 2nd-seeded Arizona in the first round by limiting the Wildcats to only 55 points in a 4-point win. Could the Tigers, who were 15-point underdogs, advance again with another strong defensive performance?

Missouri averages 79.4 points per game (PPG) to rank 25th in the nation (according to NCAA.com), Arizona entered the NCAA Tournament 5th in the country at 82.7 points per game before facing Princeton. The Tigers are also a plus-6 in rebound margin (tied for 10th in the nation).

If Princeton can make it an ugly, low-scoring game (again) Saturday, it can certainly cover the spread or even beat a Missouri squad that is 346th in rebounds per game (30.33 per game).

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AUBURN +5.5 (-110) vs. Houston – 7:10 p.m.

Houston was largely uninspiring in its 63-52 win over Northern Kentucky in the first round as the Cougars were up only 5 points with a little under 4 minutes remaining — Houston was a 19.5-point favorite.

Cougars star G Marcus Sasser is battling a groin injury and only played 14 minutes — and scored 5 points — before exiting in the first half due to re-aggravating the injury. With their leading scorer out (16.7 PPG), the Cougars struggled to generate much offense, especially from beyond the 3-point line where they made only 4 of 16 attempts.

On the other hand, Auburn found a way to outscore a high-scoring Iowa team Thursday to win 83-75 as a 2.5-point favorite.

Houston is also 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games. This game should be closer than some expect.

PENN STATE ML (+200) vs. Texas – 7:45 p.m.

The 10th-seeded Nittany Lions may have the perfect recipe to upset the 2nd-seeded Longhorns. Texas relies on forcing its opponents into making mistakes (16.21 turnovers forced per game to rank 16th), while Penn State turns the ball over the 4th-fewest times per game (9.0).

Besides limiting mental errors, the Nittany Lions record 10.4 3-pointers per game (tied for 5th most) and convert them at a 38.52% clip (13th). After cruising to a win over No. 7 seed Texas A&M in the first round, Penn State could make things interesting in its upcoming bout with Texas.

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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