Tag: Over/Under

Sports Info Solutions projects a surprising Saints win total

Sports Info Solutions projected a surprising Saints win total for 2024. A strong finish to 2023 and new offensive play caller could make a big difference:

There aren’t many outlets covering the NFL that are more widely-respected than Sports Info Solutions. The premium research and analytics service is known for its rigorous methods and consistent performance in studying pro football. And their model projects a surprising 2024 win total for the New Orleans Saints: 10.7, which is much higher than you’ll find at many sportsbooks.

Bryce Rossler, Alex Vigderman and James Weaver discussed the Saints and other teams their model favors on their “Off The Charts Football” podcast. SIS pointed to the Saints’ strong finish in 2023, having ranked among the league’s highest-scoring offenses and stingiest defenses through the last seven games. The arrival of Klint Kubiak as their new offensive coordinator could be big for them, too.

10 or 11 wins are certainly possible. The Saints have received the weakest strength of schedule in the NFL again this year, and they do enjoy the benefits of a weak NFC South. They tied the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 9-8 last season but lost out on tiebreakers for the division title. If Dennis Allen’s defense can remain consistent while Kubiak maintains the momentum they ended with in 2023, the Saints might surprise some people.

[lawrence-auto-related count=4]

POLL: How many games will the Broncos win in 2024?

The Broncos won eight games in 2023. Can they top that number in Sean Payton’s second season? Vote in our poll!

Oddsmakers don’t have much faith in the Denver Broncos going into the 2024 NFL season.

After going 8-9 and missing the playoffs last season, the Broncos now have an over/under win total line of 5.5 wins ahead of the 2024 campaign. Winning two fewer games than last year would be enough to hit the over on this year’s over/under line.

Most fans in Denver probably aren’t delusional enough to expect a Super Bowl run this fall, but many fans likely hope for improvement from last year. It would be a disappointment if the Broncos did not even match their record from coach Sean Payton’s first season.

A one-win improvement in 2024 would put Denver at 9-8, still not a great record, but a step in the right direction. Can they do it?

The quarterback competition is just getting started, but many fans and pundits expect rookie Bo Nix to win the job this summer. Will the Broncos be able to top eight wins if they have a rookie QB under center?

We want to hear your predictions! How many games will Denver win this season? Make your opinion heard by voting in the poll below:

For a refresher on Denver’s schedule, click here.

[vertical-gallery id=620142]

Wintry weather is causing some of the lowest NFL betting lines we’ve ever seen

Weather has caused the lowest point total in more than a decade, and the smallest passing prop ever.

A lot of NFL games are going to played in some awful conditions in Week 16.

Eight different games are expected to have below-freezing temperatures at kickoff, including a Week 16 low of nine degrees for the Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears game. The “feels like” temperature dips into the negatives for a few of the games. And there’s always the likelihood of temperature drops over the course of each game.

There’s even a chance of snow for the New Orleans Saints at Cleveland Browns game.

As a result of the frigid temperatures, bettors are seeing some of the lowest lines they’ve ever seen for point totals and player props.

The Browns-Saints total dipped as low as 31.5 at BetMGM and was 32.5 as of Thursday afternoon at many sportsbooks, including Tipico.

But even as the lowest total in more than a decade, bettors were still hitting the under at Caesars.

Seven other games in Week 16 also have a total of less than 40 points. The next lowest is 35.5 for the Texans at Titans and Falcons at Ravens games. Those teams are also expected to be playing in freezing weather, but quarterback play is another factor in the low totals. The Titans are likely to start rookie Malik Willis and the Falcons are starting rookie Desmond Ridder.

Ridder’s passing prop opened as the lowest ever for a starting quarterback before being passed by Justin Fields.

Willis’ prop isn’t available yet, but that one may open even lower than Fields and Ridder’s. Willis failed to eclipse 100 yards in two starts long before temperatures started dropping below freezing.

[mm-video type=video id=01gmtnhbhq9rfn94x8c3 playlist_id=none player_id=none image=https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/video/thumbnail/mmplus/01gmtnhbhq9rfn94x8c3/01gmtnhbhq9rfn94x8c3-b5f8b9eb49a756555f721464b9e08790.jpg]

[listicle id=1996280]

The chaotic energy of the Music City Bowl between Kentucky and Iowa makes it the perfect hate-watch

Sometimes a game looks so bad on paper you can’t help but tune in

I simply cannot sit here with a straight face and tell you to watch the Music City Bowl on New Year’s Eve.

This is the biggest day of the college football season, after all, with playoff semifinals kicking off and a Sugar Bowl featuring Alabama and Kansas State. Yet as much fun as it’ll be to watch Nick Saban play a game he (probably) doesn’t care about against a team he recently trashed in a futile effort to boost the Crimson Tide’s playoff resume, I cannot devote my full attention to that contest.

Not when Iowa and Kentucky will be playing one of the most chaotic games of the season in Nashville.

The powers that be at the Music City Bowl may have banked on attracting two rabid fanbases to their exhibition game by selecting the Hawkeyes and Wildcats, but in doing so they entered pure Sickos territory: pitting two of the worst offenses in the Power 5 against each other, on network television, as starters for both teams continue to opt out or enter the transfer portal.

With a few weeks to go before kickoff, the rosters are already looking pretty lean. Kentucky quarterback Will Levis is sitting out to prep for the NFL Draft and his top running back, Chris Rodriguez, won’t play either.

On the Iowa side, quarterback Spencer Petras (shoulder) has been ruled out following surgery and backup Alex Padilla has entered the transfer portal.

No other QB on the roster has recorded any stats for the Hawkeyes this season.

All of that leads to a point total over/under that has hovered around 31 since the matchup was announced.

It may get even lower before kickoff the way things are going. The lowest point total in college football history also included this year’s Iowa team during a November game at Minnesota. The line was set at 31.5. The final score was 13-10, hitting the under by more than a touchdown.

Now consider the Under has hit in four of Kentucky’s last five games. Iowa’s last five games have produced the same result for the Under.

The Music City Bowl might even make the Army-Navy game look like an offensive showcase.

Of course I’m going to be glued to this game. How could you not be?

Iowa and Kentucky emptying their playbooks with second- and third-stringers leading the way is exactly the energy I want to take into the new year.

Will I enjoy this game? To be determined! But I know for sure I won’t be able to look away.

[listicle id=1991517]

[mm-video type=video id=01gksemztb6thgyknjb9 playlist_id=none player_id=01evcfkb10bw5a3nky image=https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/video/thumbnail/mmplus/01gksemztb6thgyknjb9/01gksemztb6thgyknjb9-9507ad6dce24df5889caa0ad7c283c9a.jpg]

NFL Week 9 betting recap: It’s long past time to stop betting the over

Scoring is way down in the NFL this season.

If you’re still betting on the over in NFL games this season, my only question is why?

Entering Week 9, only seven of the 26 teams in action had played in more games that hit the over than games that hit the under. Of those teams, only the Philadelphia Eagles played in a game that went over again this past week.

In fact, only four of 13 games crossed their over thresholds in Week 9.

Scoring is way down in the NFL this year, at its lowest since 2017. And now that we’ve crossed the midpoint of the season, it’s time to accept lower scoring as the new normal. Bet the under.

Jets and Seahawks become the surprising first teams to eclipse their win total over/unders

Who saw this coming at the start of the season?

Congratulations to anyone who bet on the New York Jets or Seattle Seahawks to win more than 5.5 games at the start of the season.

Your payout is on the way.

Just barely past the halfway mark of the season, and both teams have already eclipsed their preseason win totals at Tipico Sportsbook, the first teams in the NFL to do so. Week 9 wins continued surprising starts for both teams, as each improved to 6-3 on the season.

The Jets were the most improbable to get their sixth win this week as a double-digit underdog to the Super Bowl favorite Buffalo Bills. But they pulled off the miraculous upset, just as the Seahawks found a way to win as two-point underdogs against the Arizona Cardinals.

On one hand, it shouldn’t be surprising that teams with lower preseason win totals are the first to hit their overs. On the other hand, those numbers were small for a reason. Neither team was expected to be as good as they’ve turned out to be — just look at For The Win’s preseason over/under predictions.

The Atlanta Falcons are the next team with a chance to eclipse their preseason win total, which was set at 4.5 wins.

[mm-video type=video id=01gh88k34r8xf3rj3bnz playlist_id=none player_id=none image=https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/video/thumbnail/mmplus/01gh88k34r8xf3rj3bnz/01gh88k34r8xf3rj3bnz-6d95bac449f0d84751c1739f5e871fec.jpg]

[listicle id=1981120]

Best bets on win total over/unders for all 30 NBA teams

Our win total over/under picks for the 2022-23 NBA season.

With the start of the 2022-23 NBA season just a week away, it’s time to start looking at win totals for all 30 teams.

The offseason wasn’t without drama, and big names on the move like Dejounte Murray, Rudy Gobert and Donovan Mitchell are sure to tilt a few games in their new teams’ directions. But just how much of an impact will these players have on records, and how do their former teams fare without them. How much do fresh starts matter for teams like the Brooklyn Nets and Los Angeles Lakers?

The NBA brain trust at Bet For The Win sorted through all of that to make over/under predictions for each team’s win total.

[betwidget_betmgm]

Dak Prescott’s injury prompted a sportsbook to pay out Cowboys win total bets after Week 1

One sportsbook wasted no time writing off Dallas’ season.

Adding insult to injury, one sportsbook is already writing off this season as a lost cause for the Dallas Cowboys following news that quarterback Dak Prescott will miss several weeks with a thumb injury that requires surgery.

Prescott suffered the injury in Dallas’ season-opening loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday night. Now a game in the hole and without its starting QB, Dallas’ fate is sealed as far as PointsBet Sportsbook is concerned.

PointsBet announced Monday that it will settle all Cowboys win total under bets as wins. Bettors who picked Dallas to finish with fewer than 10.5 wins will receive an early payout, which is is incredible and unprecedented because we’re only one week into the season. There’s still another 16 games left for Dallas to get to 11.

According to VSiN’s Ben Fawkes, about 70% of win total bets on the Cowboys were on the under. Depending on how many bets it received, PointsBet is potentially giving away a lot of money way sooner than it needs to — before even knowing if it needs to. There’s still a chance the book would’ve won.

Knowing sportsbooks are in this game to make money, there’s obviously an angle here for PointsBet. What exactly? Who knows. Maybe the book is hoping people put that money right back into other bets with better chances of resulting in losses.

[mm-video type=video id=01gcr3g006jces3wxb4z playlist_id=none player_id=none image=https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/video/thumbnail/mmplus/01gcr3g006jces3wxb4z/01gcr3g006jces3wxb4z-7088a00d0537401a5640c25ac3e0a6bf.jpg]

[listicle id=1960037]

Poll: How many wins do you predict for the Lions in 2021?

Vote inside for how many wins you expect from the Detroit Lions in the 2021 season

The 2021 season is almost here. The new-look Detroit Lions have a new GM in Brad Holmes, a new head coach in Dan Campbell, a new quarterback in Jared Goff and a new overall attitude.

The changes have been almost universally welcomed by Lions fans who were apathetically repulsed by the uninspiring prior tenure and years of underachieving results. But it might not breed immediate success in Detroit. The Lions feature one of the NFL’s youngest rosters and must replace several longtime franchise stalwarts at key positions.

So tell us, Lions fans, how many wins do you see for the team in 2021?

[polldaddy poll=10916231]

For reference, the national sportsbooks generally feature the Lions at either 4.5 or 5 wins as the over/under total.

[listicle id=65344]

Tuesday betting odds for Florida vs LSU, per BetMGM

Floria Gators football takes on the LSU Tigers this weekend and UF carries a hefty favorite in this one by more than three touchdowns.

[jwplayer YRs3jkxx-er0jUifI]

The final game of the 2020 regular season schedule is rapidly nearing, as the Florida Gators get set to host the LSU Tigers in a matchup that was originally scheduled for October but pushed back due to coronavirus concerns.

UF is considered a strong favorite against the floundering former national champions in a story of two programs headed in opposite directions this year. Possessing both a superior roster as well as the home-field advantage, it is pretty easy to project a Gators victory on Saturday.

BetMGM oddsmakers dropped the Gators a point to a 23.5-point favorite while the over/under remains at 68.5.

The game will kick off at 7 p.m. EST on Dec. 12 in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Florida. The game will be broadcast on ESPN, can be live-streamed on the ESPN app and can be heard on the Gators Radio Network.

Odds courtesy of BetMGM, The King of Sportsbooks.

FOLLOW ALL OF OUR BETMGM ODDS HERE

2020 Florida Football Schedule

9/26 at Ole Miss (Won, 51-35)

10/3 vs. South Carolina (Won, 38-24)

10/10 at No. 7 Texas A&M (Lost, 41-38)

10/31 vs. Missouri (Won, 41-17)

11/7 vs. No. 5 Georgia (Won 44-28)

11/14 vs. Arkansas (Won 63-35)

11/21 at Vanderbilt (Won 38-17)

11/28 vs. Kentucky (Won 34-10)

12/5 at Tennessee (Won 31-19)

12/12 vs. LSU

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

[lawrence-related id=29956,29939,29856,29852,29842]

[listicle id=29947]

[vertical-gallery id=29731]