North Carolina Tar Heels betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets – Page 4

ACC Tournament: Boston College vs. North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Boston College vs. North Carolina odds, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Boston College Eagles (16-16) and North Carolina Tar Heels (19-12) meet Wednesday in a second-round matchup in the ACC Tournament. Tip from Greensboro Coliseum is at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Boston College vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Eagles smashed Louisville 80-62 as 6-point favorites as the Over (134) connected in the first round Tuesday. BC closed the regular season on a roll and has won 4 out of the past 5 outings while going 4-1 ATS during the span.

The Tar Heels had won 3 in a row from Feb. 22-27 before wrapping up the regular season with a 62-57 loss to Duke in the Battle of the Blues. UNC likely needed that victory against the Blue Devils, and probably needs to at least play into the weekend to have a shot at an at-large bid for the NCAA Tournament.

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Boston College vs. North Carolina odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Boston College +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | North Carolina -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
Against the spread: Boston College +10.5 (-110) | North Carolina -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Boston College vs. North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 74, Boston College 69

Moneyline

North Carolina (-600) will be highly motivated to come away with a win Wednesday and it wrapped up the regular season playing decent basketball. However, you should never risk 6 times your potential return on a moneyline wager — even in a parlay this pick would suck out all the value.

PASS.

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Against the spread

The play is BOSTON COLLEGE +10.5 (-110).

The Eagles are playing their best basketball of the season, going 4-1 straight up and ATS across their last 5 games. That run includes an impressive 63-48 win over Virginia as a 9.5-point underdog on Feb. 22.

North Carolina needs to stack victories and likely get to the weekend, if not the ACC Final, to gain enough steam to grab an at-large bid for the NCAA Tournament. UNC topped BC 72-64 in Chapel Hill on Jan. 17, but the Eagles easily covered as 14-point underdogs as the Under cashed. Look for BC to make UNC sweat before the Tar Heels pull out a win in the end.

Over/Under

OVER 138.5 (-110) is a strong play in Wednesday’s battle in Greensboro.

The Over has cashed in 18 of the past 25 games overall for Boston College, while going 7-2 in the past 9 after a cover and 8-3 in the past 11 after a straight-up victory.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games on a neutral floor for North Carolina, too.

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Duke at North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Duke at North Carolina odds and lines, with expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Duke Blue Devils (22-8, 13-6 ACC) finish the season against the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 11-8) Saturday in Chapel Hill. Tip from Dean E. Smith Center is at 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. UNC odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

After these rivals, located just 7 miles apart, met in the Final Four in 2022, no one would have imagined their 2023 regular-season finales possibly being for a return trip to the tournament.

UNC came into the season ranked No. 1 in the nation with 4 returning starters and an excellent incoming freshman class. Legendary coach Mike Krzyzewski retired following 2022, but this was not supposed to happen.

The Tar Heels will likely miss the tournament unless they can win Saturday and make a deep run in the ACC Tournament. Duke is more solid in its position, but it would love nothing better than to be the final nail in its rival’s coffin.

Duke has dealt with injury and had touted freshmen not live up to the hype. While the Blue Devils are normally a good 3-point shooting team, they have only hit 33.0% on the season (245th nationally).

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Duke at UNC odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Duke +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | UNC -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Duke +3.5 (-105) | UNC -3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Duke at UNC picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 74, UNC 71

Moneyline

BET DUKE (+150).

UNC has everything on the line at home in this game and coach Hubert Davis will have the Tar Heels ready to go. But in this season and with this team, it won’t be enough.

Duke topped UNC 63-57 as a 2.5-point home favorite as the Under (145.5) connected on Feb. 4.

This will be another close battle, but the underdog Blue Devils will win.

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Against the spread

This is a PASS for me, but if you would rather take the points with Duke (or do a split moneyline/against the spread wager), that’s a reasonable strategy as well.

However, I think Duke will be able to pull off the upset over its rivals and I would rather make the moneyline play and forego the less lucrative spread.

Over/Under

BET OVER 143.5 (-110).

Saturday should give us a close game with a solid pace.

The Over is 5-1 in the Blue Devils’ last 6 games against a team with a winning record. UNC has a similar streak going as it is 7-1 to the Over in its last 8 against a team with a winning record.

A close game at the end means trips to the free throw line will also be in store. This will help propel the game OVER 143.5 (-110).

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North Carolina at Florida State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s North Carolina at Florida State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (18-11, 10-8 ACC) and Florida State Seminoles (9-20, 7-11) tangle Monday in Tallahassee. Tip from Donald L. Tucker Center is at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Florida State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

North Carolina defeated Virginia 71-63 Saturday as a 4.5-point favorite, winning back-to-back games for the first time since Jan. 21-24. UNC had struggled on defense in going 1-5 from Feb. 1-19, but the Tar Heels have held opposing shooters to a 39.7% mark over the last 2 games.

The Seminoles won 85-54 at Miami Saturday but are just 2-7 across their last 9 games. The FSU defense has also had trouble of late: the ‘Noles have yielded a 45% shooting mark or higher in 8 of those 9 games.

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North Carolina at Florida State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: North Carolina -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Florida State +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina -7.5 (+100) | Florida State +7.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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North Carolina at Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 77, Florida State 71

Moneyline

Too much juice here. PASS.

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Against the spread

UNC is 6-1-2 ATS across the last 9 meetings in this series.

Figure the Tar Heels as being due for some positive shooting regression. FSU is just reeling, especially defensively. UNC is the lean here but only an actionable one -6 or maybe -6.5

STEER CLEAR.

Over/Under

The Under has gone 5-2 in this series since 2018. The Under is 6-1 in the Tar Heels’ last 7 games following a straight-up win.

Both teams have top-100 pace numbers, but UNC is coming off a couple of its slower games in some time. The Tar Heels figure to get to the line quite a bit and get a fair number of 2nd-chance buckets. But overall, the scoring spiral factors are not out of control in matching up the analytics on each side.

The margin here is small, though: consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 151.5 (-110).

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Virginia at North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Virginia at North Carolina odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 6 Virginia Cavaliers (21-5, 13-4 ACC) battle the North Carolina Tar Heels (17-11, 9-8) at Dean E. Smith Center. Tip is set for 6 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Virginia vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Cavaliers beat the Tar Heels 65-58 at home on Jan. 10, covering as 4.5-point favorites as the Under (132.5) connected.

Virginia is coming off a 63-48 loss at Boston College Wednesday, failing to cover as a 9.5-point underdog. The Cavaliers are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 3 games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games. They are 10-15-1 ATS on the season.

The Tar Heels are an ACC-worst 8-19-1 ATS this season. They are 0-3 over their last 3 contests and 1-7 ATS over their last 8. They are coming off a 63-59 road win over Notre Dame Wednesday, failing to cover as 6-point favorites.

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Virginia at North Carolina odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Virginia +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | North Carolina -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Virginia +2.5 (-105) | North Carolina -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Virginia at North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 66, Virginia 62

Moneyline

PASS.

I like North Carolina (-150) to win at home, but the current odds do not represent a good enough value to wager it as a straight-up pick.

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Against the spread

BET NORTH CAROLINA -2.5 (-115).

While the Tar Heels haven’t been good for bettors, they are 6-7 ATS at home this season which is far better than Virginia’s 2-7-1 ATS road record. The Cavaliers are also just 7-9-1 ATS against conference opponents and 1-3 ATS following a loss as well, so they do not bounce back well.

The Tar Heels have the individual shotmakers to score with G RJ Davis and G Caleb Love as their starting backcourt. If they can make timely buckets, which seems more likely from the duo at home, they should be able to keep separation over the top-10 side.

Back the team with the more dynamic offensive creators and bet NORTH CAROLINA -2.5 (-115).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 130.5 (-110).

The Tar Heels are 2-10 O/U in their last 12 games — a span that started with a 58-point effort against the Cavaliers. Virginia has also gone Under in 3 straight games, scoring 61 or fewer points in all 3. These teams are a combined 14-20 O/U in conference play.

While the shotmakers will make a difference, the Virginia pace will slow this game up and limit transition opportunities. Considering the Cavaliers rank 331st in shots per game (53.2), do not expect many chances to score — mainly due to the tempo.

With that in mind, back the UNDER 130.5 (-110).

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North Carolina at Notre Dame odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s North Carolina at Notre Dame odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (16-11, 8-8 ACC) face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-17, 2-14) in South Bend Wednesday at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Notre Dame odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

This will be a rematch of an 81-64 home win for the Tar Heels as 12-point favorites on Jan. 7. Since then, both teams have struggled.

UNC is 5-6 since beating the Irish and is 1-5 in February. It has lost its last 2 games by 8 points each to Miami and N.C. State after defeating Clemson by 20 on Feb. 11.

Notre Dame is on a 5-game losing streak and is 2-9 since the loss to UNC. Despite the losses, the Irish have been keeping games close. Only 1 of the 5 losses in the current streak was by more then 6 points and despite their struggles, Notre Dame is 10-7 at home. UNC is 2-7 on the road.

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North Carolina at Notre Dame odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:51 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina -290 (bet $290 to win $100) | Notre Dame +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina -6.5 (-105) | Notre Dame +6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 148.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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North Carolina at Notre Dame picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 73, Notre Dame 68

Moneyline

PASS.

UNC on the moneyline might just be the safest play in this game. The spread is tough and so is the total. But I am not willing to risk -290 to bet on it. Nor should you. If you want to make a play on this number, add it in as part of a larger parlay to get better value.

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Against the spread

NOTRE DAME +6.5 (-115).

Only 1 of Notre Dame’s last 5 losses would have been larger than this spread.

All the trends favor Notre Dame. UNC is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 overall games, 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 road games against teams with winning home records and are 0-7 ATS in its last 7 Wednesday games.

The Tar Heels have not been covering and they will fail to do so again Wednesday on the road.

Over/Under

UNDER 148.5 (-115).

Both teams come into this game struggling to score. UNC has gone Under in 5 of its last 6 road games. Notre Dame is 7-1-1 to the Under in its last 9 games following an ATS victory.

Both UNC and Notre Dame are terrible on defense. UNC ranks 261st at 72.6 points per game while Notre Dame is 247th at 72 PPG. It will not matter in this game as both will find it difficult to find the basket and the 148.5 number will not be threatened. As long as this total stays above 145.5, I like the Under.

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Miami at North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami at North Carolina odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 20 Miami Hurricanes (20-5, 11-4 ACC) face the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-9, 8-6) Monday at Dean E. Smith Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Miami vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Hurricanes beat Louisville 93-85 Saturday but failed to cover as 20-point home favorites. Miami has won 4 games in a row and 7 of its last 10 contests.

The Tar Heels cruised to a 91-71 victory over No. 24 Clemson on Saturday and covered as 7-point favorites at home. North Carolina snapped a 3-game losing skid with the win.

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Miami at North Carolina odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Miami +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | North Carolina -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Miami +4.5 (-110) | North Carolina -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 155.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Miami at North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

Miami 78, North Carolina 74

Moneyline

Even though they are on the road against a North Carolina squad that is 11-1 at home, MIAMI (+155) is the better team. The Tar Heels made 15 three-pointers (45.5%) in their win over Clemson and that doesn’t seem like it’ll happen again for a team converting only 31.6% (303rd in the nation) of their 3-pointers this season.

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Against the spread

If you’re not comfortable taking the moneyline, then MIAMI +4.5 (-110) is the ideal choice in this ACC matchup. The Hurricanes are a perfect 3-0 ATS this season when they are road underdogs.

Miami is also 21-6 ATS in its last 27 road games while North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall.

Over/Under

UNDER 155.5 (-110) is the lean despite these teams averaging a combined 157.4 points per game.

The Hurricanes have gone 10-3-1 to the Under in their last 14 road games. The Tar Heels have gone Under in each of their last 5 games following an ATS win.

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North Carolina at Duke odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina at Duke odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (15-7, 7-4 ACC) travel across town to take on the Duke Blue Devils (16-6, 7-4) at Cameron Indoor Saturday at 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Duke game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

This has been a strange season in many ways. UNC and Duke opened the season ranked in the top 5, and both have fallen out of the ranks entirely. But some things remain the same including the hatred in this rivalry – one of the best rivalries in all of sports.

Duke, who comes in after beating Wake Forest 75-73 as 8-point favorites will look to defeat UNC and remain ahead of the Tar Heels in the ACC standings.

While Duke comes into this important matchup on a winning streak, UNC comes in after losing a close 65-64 loss to Pitt as 8.5-point favorites. This game will be a matchup between a North Carolina offense ranked 36th at 78.5 points going against a Duke defense ranked 38th at 63.7 points.

Duke, normally a solid 3-point team, ranks 270th this season making just 32.5% of its shots from behind the ark. These struggles have made the Blue Devils one-dimensional, and if North Carolina can exploit this, the Tar Heels will come out of Cameron with a victory.

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North Carolina at Duke odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Duke -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina +3.5 (-115) | Duke -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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North Carolina at Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 70, Duke 67

Moneyline

North Carolina is coming off a tough loss to Pitt in its last game while Duke is coming off a 2-point win over Wake Forest and a 43-point decision over Georgia Tech. Despite this, Duke will be playing its first true competition against North Carolina without Dariq Whitehead in the lineup. This will finally be the game where his absence makes a difference, and North Carolina will be able to take advantage where the other teams were not talented enough to do so.

Look for a hard, physical battle as it always is in this rivalry. But the Tar Heels will come out on top, and getting them at +130 is good value.

Take NORTH CAROLINA +130.

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Against the spread

PASS on the spread in favor of the ML in this one.

Over/Under

UNDER 145.5 (-115) is the total side here.

UNC is 6-0 to the Under in its last 6 games, and it is also 4-0 to the Under in its last 4 against teams with a winning % over .600.

Duke, for its part is 4-0 to the Under in its last 4 Saturday games. Both teams have been hot and cold on the offensive side while Duke has been able to remain consistent on the defensive side. This makes me feel a lower-scoring battle will be coming in this one Saturday.

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North Carolina at Syracuse odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s North Carolina at Syracuse odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (14-6, 6-3 ACC) battle the Syracuse Orange (13-7, 6-3) Tuesday. Tip from JMA Wireless Dome is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Syracuse odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Tar Heels beat NC State 80-69 Saturday as a 6.5-point home favorite formits 3rd straight win. North Carolina is 5-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games and 7-12-1 ATS on the season. The Tar Heels’ offense ranks 31st in the nation in points per game (79.6).

The Orange beat Georgia Tech 80-63 Saturday as 3-point road favorites. Syracuse is 11-9 ATS this season and has covered 4 of its last 5 games. Its offense ranks 96th in the nation in points per game (75.6).

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North Carolina at Syracuse odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Syracuse +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina -4.5 (-105) | Syracuse +4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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North Carolina at Syracuse picks and predictions

Prediction

Syracuse 81, North Carolina 78

Moneyline

PASS.

The Orange are 9-3 at home, and the Tar Heels are 1-4 on the road. Given the points, I’d rather play the spread, but the moneyline may be worth a sprinkle.

Against the spread

BET SYRACUSE +4.5 (-115).

The Orange, simply put, have been far more truth worthy for bettors this season. They have covered 4 of their last 5 and 6 of their last 9.

They are also 7-4-1 ATS at home. The real catch is their success against conference opponents. Syracuse is 6-2-1 ATS in ACC games while North Carolina is just 4-5 ATS.

Given the Tar Heels are just 1-4 on the road this season and Syracuse has success in conference play and at home, back SYRACUSE +4.5 (-115).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 149.5 (-115).

The Orange rank 56th in the nation in opponents’ FG percentage (40.9), but it struggles to rebound. That will be exposed against C Armando Bacot. He should abuse them and get easy second-chance opportunities.

The Orange have scored at least 78 in 4 straight games and have gone Over the projected total in their last 8 in a row. North Carolina has gone Under in 4 in a row but went Over in the 6 prior. It is 10-10 O/U this season and plays at an ultra-fast tempo which should aid the Over here.

Ultimately, considering the Orange’s style of defense and the Tar Heels’ strength, back the OVER 149.5 (-115).

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NC State at North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s NC State at North Carolina odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The NC State Wolfpack (15-4, 5-3 ACC) and North Carolina Tar Heels (13-6, 5-3) meet Saturday at the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill. Tip-off is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the NC State vs. North Carolina odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Wolfpack have come alive with 4-consecutive victories, including a rout of Triangle-rival Duke and an OT win over ranked Miami. NC State is 3-1 ATS during the win streak, and it has won 6 of the past 7 games overall to get on the cusp of the rankings. The Under is 5-1-1 in the previous 7 outings.

The Tar Heels opened as the preseason No. 1, but UNC fell on hard times in November and December. It has started to piece things together lately, however, winning 4 of the past 5 overall, with just a loss at ranked Virginia. The Under has cashed in 3 in a row for the Heels.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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NC State at North Carolina odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): NC State +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | North Carolina -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): NC State +5.5 (-110) | North Carolina -5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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NC State at North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 78, NC State 76

Moneyline

North Carolina (-250) playing on its home floor will be the difference here. The Tar Heels have won all 9 games at home this season.

NC State (+180) is a tempting play for a chance to nearly double up, but it’s hard to drop the Tar Heels at the Dean Dome.

PASS.

Against the spread

NC STATE +5.5 (-110) is worth a look here. While North Carolina -5.5 (-110) should get the job done at home, this will be a close game, and could be a one-possession game coming down to the bitter end.

The Wolfpack come with a little concern, as they’re just 4-9 ATS in the past 13 games on the road. just the same, the Heels are 2-5 ATS in the past 7 overall, and 1-4 ATS in the past 5 against teams with an overall winning mark.

Over/Under

OVER 152.5 (-115) is the lean, but go lightly, as the trends for both sides are completely opposite.

For NC State, it’s all about the Under, going 5-1-1 in the past 7 games overall, and 3-0-1 in the past 4 on the road. However, the Over is 5-0 in NC State’s past 5 against winning teams.

For UNC, the Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 in Chapel Hill, while going 4-1 in the past 5 against winning teams, too.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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North Carolina at Virginia odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s North Carolina at Virginia odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (11-5, 3-2 ACC) face the No. 12 Virginia Cavaliers (11-3, 3-2) in Charlottesville Tuesday at 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Virginia odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

After a rough start to the season North Carolina has won 6 of its last 7 games. The Tar Heels covered an 11.5-spread in beating Notre Dame 81-64 on Saturday.

Virginia beat Syracuse 73-66 on Saturday, but did not cover as 12.5-point favorites. That came after Virginia lost its previous game at Pitt 68-65.

While UNC is 23rd in the nation at 81.4 points per game, the Virginia defense is 15th in the nation allowing just 59.6 PPG while also playing at a slow pace which ranks in the bottom 5 in the country.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Kansas at West Virginia odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:04 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): UNC +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Virginia -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): UNC +4.5 (-110) | Virginia -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 131.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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In Colorado and New Jersey, claim your 100% Deposit Match up to $250 now. Bet now! 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions.

North Carolina at Virginia picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 73, Virginia 68

Moneyline

BET NORTH CAROLINA +155.

Virginia is 8-1 at home but UNC is coming into with momentum and the offense will be able to force Virginia to pick up the pace which the Cavaliers do not like to do. It will disrupt them enough to allow UNC to gain the victory.

Against the spread

NO WAGER on the spread is the best play here. We are already taking UNC on the ML so doubling down on the spread is not needed. If you prefer to take the spread, UNC is a good wager at +4.5 as Virginia is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games. The Cavaliers are also 0-5 in their last 5 games ATS on Tuesday.

Over/Under

BET OVER 131.5 (-110) in this game.

UNC is going to dictate the pace and this means a faster game then Virginia will want to play. This also means points will be scored. UNC games have gone Over the total in 6 straight and this game will make it 7.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Dominick Petrillo on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

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