Tag: NHL money line against the spread ATS Over Under total

Boston Bruins at LA Kings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Boston Bruins at LA Kings odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Bruins (30-32-9) make the third stop on a 5-game road trip against the LA Kings (38-21-9) at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. Puck drop is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Bruins vs. Kings odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Bruins lead 1-0

Boston won the first meeting 2-1 in overtime back on Oct. 12 at TD Garden as -159 favorites with the Under (5.5) cashing. RW David Pastrnak beat G Darcy Kuemper for the OT game-winning goal. The B’s have won 3 of the past 4 in this series, with the Over going 3-1 in the past 4 meetings — and 7-3 in the previous 10 in the series.

The B’s have been struggling to score goals lately, scoring just 9 goals in the last 5 outings while going 0-4-1. That’s 1.8 goals per game (GPG). Meanwhile, the defense and goaltenders have allowed 23 goals for a 4.6 GPG average. The Over has a 3-2 edge in the 5-game span despite the power outage.

The Kings humbled the visiting Carolina Hurricanes 7-2 Saturday, improving to 7-1-1 in the past 9 games. LA was a slight -105 underdog, while the Over result (5.5) halted a 5-game Under run for the Kings. The Kings had 7 different goal scorers, with C Anze Kopitar accounting for the only power-play goal.

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Bruins at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bruins +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Kings -235 (bet $235 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Bruins +1.5 (-135) | Kings -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: +105 | U: -125)

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Bruins at Kings projected goalies

Jeremy Swayman (20-24-6, 3.04 GAA, .896 SV%, 4 SO) vs. Darcy Kuemper (23-9-7, 2.13 GAA, .919 SV%, 4 SO)

Swayman has been terrible lately, allowing 4 or more goals in each of his past 3 starts, including 4 goals on 15 shots March 13 in a 6-3 loss at Ottawa. He was pulled in that game after just 20 minutes. He is 2-5-0 with a 3.36 GAA and .889 SV% with 1 SO in 7 starts in March.

Kuemper allowed just a single goal on 17 shots in Thursday’s 3-1 win in Chicago. He took a seat in Saturday’s win over the Hurricanes, so he is likely to start Sunday against the B’s. He is 5-2-1 with a 1.36 GAA and .941 SV% and 2 shutouts in 8 starts in March.

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Bruins at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 4, Bruins 2

Moneyline

The Kings (-235) will cost more than 2 times the potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.

AVOID and look to the puck line instead.

Puck line/Against the spread

The KINGS -1.5 (+110) are a much better play on the puck line, especially at plus-money.

Los Angeles won 3-1 in Chicago Thursday, covering the puck line as a favorite, and it is 3-2 in the past 5 tries when favored. At home, the Kings are 10-0-3 in the past 13 games, posting a plus-19 goal differential.

The Bruins have been outscored 23-9 in the past 5 games, and the Kings have their No. 1 goaltender starting.

Over/Under

OVER 5.5 (+105) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

At plus-money, it’s a good play based on how poorly Swayman and the Bruins have been playing. The Over is 3-2 in the past 5 games for Boston, but be careful, as it is having trouble lighting the lamp.

In addition, while the Kings cashed Over Saturday, they had gone Under in the previous 5 outings.

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Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Florida Panthers (42-24-3) visit the Washington Capitals (46-15-8) Saturday with puck drop from Capital One Arena set for 5 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Panthers vs. Capitals odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Capitals lead 2-0 with 4-1 victory in Sunrise, Florida, Nov. 25 and 6-3 win at home Feb. 4

The Panthers broke a scoreless tie just 29 seconds into overtime, as C Aleksander Barkov buried a power-play goal to lift Florida past the Columbus Blue Jackets 1-0 Thursday. It marked his 19th goal of the season, securing the win as -171 road favorites. The Under (6) hit with ease, while G Sergei Bobrovsky posted his fifth shutout of the year.

The Capitals kept rolling Thursday, edging out the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 for their eighth win in 9 games. They cashed as -226 home favorites, while the Under (5.5) also hit. RW Brandon Duhaime made an impact with a goal, a blocked shot, and 4 hits to help secure the victory.

Capitals LW Alex Ovechkin scored his 888th career goal Thursday to move just 7 away from tying Wayne Gretzky’s NHL record. Ovechkin scored a goal in his most recent game against the Panthers, which puts him at 45 goals in 73 games played against Florida. He is +140 to be an anytime goalscorer Saturday at BetMGM Sportsbook.

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Panthers at Capitals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Panthers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Capitals -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-285) | Capitals -1.5 (+210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Panthers at Capitals projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (29-15-2, 2.45 GAA, .908 SV%, 5 SO) vs. Logan Thompson (30-4-5, 2.29 GAA, .917 SV%, 2 SO)

Bobrovsky blanked the Blue Jackets Thursday, stopping all 25 shots for his third shutout in March. He’s been on fire lately, posting a 5-2 record with a 1.30 GAA and .943 SV% over his last 7 starts.

Thompson picked up a win Tuesday against the Detroit Red Wings, stopping 24 of 25 shots. He’s been solid in March, posting a 5-1 record with a 2.31 GAA and .905 SV%.

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Panthers at Capitals picks and predictions

Prediction

Capitals 3, Panthers 2

Moneyline

BET CAPITALS (-110).

The Capitals have dominated the season series, outscoring the Panthers 10-4 in 2 meetings. Thompson was solid in both starts, stopping 50 of 54 shots, while Bobrovsky allowed 4 goals on 24 shots in their last matchup. Washington has won 8 of its last 9 games, including 5 straight at home. With momentum on their side, the Capitals are in a strong position to keep rolling.

Puck line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Capitals have covered the puck line in both meetings, but I’ll play it safe on the moneyline. If you want the better odds, I have no problem taking Washington on the puck line.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 5.5 (+100).

Two elite goalies go head-to-head Saturday, both playing well in March. Florida has hit the Under in 8 of its last 10 games, while Washington is 3-0-1 to the Under in its last 4. Their last meeting finished with just 5 total goals.

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Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Vancouver Canucks (32-25-11) take on the St. Louis Blues (34-28-7) Thursday. Puck drop from Enterprise Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+ / Hulu / Disney+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Canucks vs. Blues odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1 with each team picking up road victories

While most eyes in the sporting world will be on March Madness, this game is possibly the most meaningful game the NHL has seen this season. These teams are tied for the second Wild Card spot at 75 points, but Vancouver has played 1 fewer game than STL. This is the final time these teams meet this season.

The Canucks rolled the Winnipeg Jets 6-2 Tuesday to snap a string of 3 losses in 5 games. RW Brock Boeser, who was rumored to be on the trade block a month ago, scored his 19th and 20th goals of the season. They won 5-2 in St. Louis Jan. 27, and the Blues won in OT 4-3 in Vancouver Dec. 10.

The Blues have been playing playoff hockey all month and are one of the best teams in the league since the Four Nations break at 9-2-2. They’ve won 3 straight after a 4-1 road win over the Nashville Predators Tuesday. RW Jordan Kyrou scored his 28th and 29th goals of the year, and LW Dylan Holloway had 3 assists. Holloway has points in 4 straight with 2 goals and 5 assists, and Kyrou has 8 points in his last 3 games with 5 goals and 3 assists.

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Canucks at Blues odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Canucks +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Blues -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Canucks +1.5 (-225) | Blues -1.5 (+185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5 (O: -145 | U: +120)

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Canucks at Blues projected goalies

Kevin Lankinen (24-13-7, 2.53 GAA, .904 SV%, 4 SO) vs. Jordan Binnington (21-21-4, 2.81 GAA, .897 SV%, 3 SO)

Lankinen was in net for the 6-2 win over the Jets Tuesday, stopping 20 of 22. He is 4-4-0 with a 2.63 GAA and .888 SV% in 8 March starts. This will be his fifth start in 9 days, so we’ll see if fatigue becomes an issue. He was in goal for the 5-2 win in St. Louis Jan. 27, stopping 24 of 26.

Binnington stopped 23 of 25 in the 7-2 win over Anaheim Sunday. He is 6-2-0 with a .903 SV% since the Four Nations break. One of those losses came in relief, and one was a stinker against Pittsburgh, but he has been really good since winning Gold with Canada. He was pulled in the Jan. 27 loss to the Canucks after allowing 3 goals on 18 shots in 1½ periods.

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Canucks at Blues picks and predictions

Prediction

Blues 4, Canucks 3

Moneyline

The Blues’ forecheck is the best it has been in 3 years right now, and they are winning via goal suppression. It’s a lot like the suffocation Vancouver exhibited to make it into the playoffs last year. I could see this one hitting OT, and when that happens, I’m taking Binnington every time.

Take the BLUES (-145).

Puck line/Against the spread

The Canucks are too expensive to take here. Instead, I’ll take BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE 2+ GOALS (-115). The last 3 results have been 5-2, 4-3 and 4-3.

Over/Under

I alluded to this a bit in the last section, but I’m taking the OVER 5 (-145). The Over has cashed in 3 straight meetings and is 5-4-1 overall in the last 10. Each team is 6-4 O/U in their last 10.

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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Flyers (28-33-8) take on the Washington Capitals (45-15-8) Thursday. Puck drop from Capital One Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Flyers vs. Capitals odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Caps lead 3-0 with 4-3, 6-3 and 4-1 victories

The Flyers have been shut out in 2 straight games with a 5-0 loss to Carolina Saturday and a 2-0 loss at the Tampa Bay Lightning Monday. They have scored 1 or fewer goals in 5 of 7 games. Star RW Travis Konecny hasn’t scored a goal since Feb. 8, and rookie winger Matvei Michkov is on a 6-game goalless drought. The Flyers are just 2-7-1 in their last 10.

The Caps have won 2 straight after a 4-1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings Tuesday. LW Alex Ovechkin didn’t have to do much as he had an assist and just 1 SOG, and he remains 7 goals from tying Wayne Gretzky’s all-time record. RW Tom Wilson netted his 30th goal Tuesday.

From BetMGM Sportsbook:

Ovechkin goal:
Anytime goal +100; First goal: +750, Last goal: +750

Ovechkin to top Gretzky with his 895th goal this season:
Yes: -145, No: +115

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Flyers at Capitals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Flyers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Capitals -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (-120) | Capitals -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Flyers at Capitals projected goalies

Sam Ersson (19-13-4, 3.02 GAA, .886 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Charlie Lindgren (15-11-3, 2.65 GAA, .899 SV%, 1 SO)

Ersson has allowed 3+ goals in all 5 starts this month. He lost 5-0 to Carolina Saturday, allowing 5 goals on 30 shots. He faced Washington once this year, suffering a similar fate, allowing 4 goals on 29 shots.

Chuckie Sideburns lost 3-0 to the LA Kings Thursday, stopping 24 of 27 fired his way. He’s still 2-1-0 with a 2.28 GAA and .908 SV% in 3 March starts. He’s 2-0-0 with a 2.00 GAA and .900 SV% against Philadelphia this season.

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Flyers at Capitals picks and predictions

Prediction

Capitals 5, Flyers 1

Moneyline

There’s no bet on the ML here as this is a tail of 2 teams going in different directions, and Washington is priced out at -250.

You should take ALEX OVECHKIN ANYTIME GOAL (+100). He’s scoring Thursday. This Flyers team looks cooked, and he has scored in 2 of 3 games against the Flyers this year. He scored in 2 of 3 against them last year.

That also means this is your best chance to take Ovechkin to top Gretzky with his 895th goal this season: Yes (-145). The price went from -225 to -145 after he failed to score in the last game. The Caps are so far ahead of everyone in the standings, their sole focus will be on feeding Ovi. He needs 8 goals in 14 games, and if he stays healthy, there’s no reason he shouldn’t do it this year.

Puck line/Against the spread

CAPITALS -1.5 (+100) feels like free money here. They’re 22-7-6 at home and have outscored the Flyers 14-7 in 3 games thus far. The Caps are 5-1-0 in their last 6 games, and all 5 of those W’s were by multiple goals.

Over/Under

This is my least-favorite bet of the bunch, but I’ll LEAN OVER 5.5 (-120). This is predicated on the Flyers actually being able to hit the back of the net with something other than their face. The Caps have 4+ goals in 5 of 6 games and should carry this one just over the threshold.

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Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Colorado Avalanche (41-24-3) open a 3-game Canadian road trip against the Toronto Maple Leafs (40-24-3) at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto Wednesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TNT/Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Avalanche lead 1-0

The Avalanche won 7-4 in the first meeting this season in Denver March 8 as moderate favorites (-150) as the Over (6.5) easily connected. F Valeri Nichushkin deposited one into the empty net at 18:06 of the final period for the hat trick, while F Nathan MacKinnon had a pair of third-period goals. For the Maple Leafs, Forwards Mitch Marner and John Tavares scored 2 goals apiece.

Colorado picked up a 4-3 OT win against old friend Mikko Rantanen and the Dallas Stars Sunday, improving to 8-0-1 across the past 9 outings. The Over has hit in 2 in a row, but the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games on the road.

After going 1-4-1 in a 6-game span from March 3-15, including the loss to the Avs, Toronto bounced back with a 6-2 win over the Calgary Flames wearing the St. Pat’s jerseys Monday night.

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Avalanche at Maple Leafs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Avalanche -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Maple Leafs +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Avalanche -1.5 (+200) | Maple Leafs +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Avalanche at Maple Leafs projected goalies

Mackenzie Blackwood (24-16-6, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Joseph Woll (23-12-0, 2.75 GAA, .905 SV%, 1 SO)

Blackwood allowed a single goal on 23 shots in a 2-1 SO win in Minnesota last time out on March 11. He had been dealing with an illness, so Scott Wedgewood started games for the past week.

Woll allowed 2 goals on 26 shots in Monday’s 6-2 victory over the Flames, improving to 3-1-0 with a 3.90 GAA and .870 SV% in 4 starts in March. He did not face the Avalanche earlier in the month, and this will be his first career NHL appearance against Colorado.

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Avalanche at Maple Leafs picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 4, Maple Leafs 3

Moneyline

The AVALANCHE (-120) are worth a look as slight favorites on the road.

Colorado has been red-hot lately, going 8-0-1 in the past 9 games, while the Maple Leafs (+100) are a dismal 2-4-1 in the previous 7 outings, although they did blast the Flames last time out.

Colorado has won the past 2 visits to Toronto, too, with the Leafs last winning at Scotiabank against the Avs Dec. 1, 2021.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Maple Leafs +1.5 (-250) will set you back 2½ times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk and not enough reward for a little bit of insurance.

If you like Toronto, just play it straight up, although that’s an extremely risky bet against a red-hot Colorado team.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 6 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The total easily cashed high March 8 in the first meeting, while going 5-1-1 in the past 7 battles in this series. The Over is 7-2-1 in the previous 10 installments, too.

The Over has hit in the past 2 games for the Avs, going 6-3 across the past 9 outings as well.

For the Maple Leafs, the Over is 4-1-1 in the past 6 games. Toronto has had trouble on defense and in goal, allowing 43 goals across the past 12 outings.

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Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Kraken (30-34-5) visit the Minnesota Wild (38-25-5) Wednesday in Minneapolis. The opening face-off at the Xcel Energy Center will be at 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Kraken vs. Wild odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Kraken are playing for a second straight night. On Tuesday, they routed the Chicago Blackhawks 6-2. That contest lifted the lid on a 4-game road trip for a Seattle club that had been 1-4-0 over its previous 5 road tilts.

The scuffling-of-late Wild are continuing a 7-game home stand, doing so on the heels of a 3-1 triumph over the LA Kings Monday. That victory, earned with 2 goals in the final 5 minutes, marked just the fourth in Minnesota’s last 11 games (4-6-1).

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Kraken at Wild odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Kraken +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Wild -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Kraken +1.5 (-165) | Wild -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Kraken at Wild projected goalies

Philipp Grubauer (7-15-1, 3.61 GAA, .872 SV%) or Joey Daccord (22-18-4, 2.68 GAA, .909 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Filip Gustavsson (26-15-4, 2.57 GAA, .915 SV%, 4 SO)

Grubauer figures to get the nod after Daccord toiled in Tuesday’s contest in Chicago. The veteran netminder has struggled this season and spent all of February in the AHL. In 2 turns since returning, Grubaer has stopped 46 of 49 pucks.

Gustavsson made 28 saves in Monday’s 3-1 win. In 7 March games, the 26-year-old netminder has registered a .929 SV%. In 2 career starts against the Kraken, he has logged a .950 mark.

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Kraken at Wild picks and predictions

Prediction

Wild 4, Kraken 2

Moneyline

No interest: PASS.

Puck line/Against the spread

Minnesota is 5-1-1 across its last 7 games against Seattle. When playing the back half of twin games in as many days, the Kraken are 0-10-0, scoring 1.50 goals per game while yielding 3.80.

The Wild offense has been undone of late by a low shooting percentage on 5-on-5 high-danger looks. And an improved Minnesota power play is 4 for its last 8 and 11 for its last 32 (34.4%).

Look for a fighting-for-important-points Wild team to get by with a cushion in this tilt on home ice.

BET MINNESOTA -1.5 (+140).

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in each of the 2 meetings this season and has hit in 4 straight Seattle-Minnesota tilts.

The expected-vs.-actual goals and puck-possession analytics are bullish on the upside of this total being the value side.

TAKE THE OVER 5.5 (-120).

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Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Red Wings (32-29-6) take on the Washington Capitals (44-15-8) Tuesday. Puck drop from Capital One Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Red Wings vs. Capitals odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1 with each team winning on home ice

The Wings are starting to break their cold spell after a 3-0 shutout over the Vegas Golden Knights Sunday. LW Lucas Raymond scored his 23rd goal of the year, and G Petr Mrazek stopped all 18 fired his way for Detroit, which won as a +109 home underdog with the Under (6.5) hitting. The Wings, who sit 2 points out of a Wild Card spot, have won 2 of 3 after losing 6 straight.

The Capitals remain firmly atop the Eastern Conference with 96 points, which is 10 more than the second-place Carolina Hurricanes. Washington smoked the San Jose Sharks 5-1 Saturday, covering as a -240 road favorite with the total (6) pushing. LW Alex Ovechkin scored his 34th goal of the season and 887th of his career to pull within 7 of Wayne Gretzky’s all-time record of 894 goals.

From BetMGM Sportsbook:

Ovechkin goal:
Anytime goal -110; First goal: +800, Last goal: +750

Ovechkin to top Gretzky with his 895th goal this season:
Yes: -225, No: +180

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Red Wings at Capitals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Red Wings +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Capitals -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Wings +1.5 (-170) | Capitals -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Red Wings at Capitals projected goalies

Petr Mrazek (12-20-2, 3.33 GAA, .892 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Logan Thompson (29-4-5, 2.32 GAA, .916 SV%, 2 SO)

Mrazek has ran as the top goalie since he was acquired from Chicago earlier this month, going 2-1-0 with a 2.01 GAA and .920 SV% in 3 games. This has pushed G Cam Talbot to the bench, and Mrazek has been confirmed for this one. Mrazek faced the Caps once last season in a 4-1 road loss, stopping 22 of 26 shots.

Thompson has rebounded in March from a disastrous February. He’s 4-1-0 with a 2.57 GAA and .894 SV% in 5 March starts. He has been hit-or-miss, though, as you can tell from that shoddy SV%. He was in goal for a 5-2 home win against Detroit March 7, allowing 2 goals on 19 shots.

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Red Wings at Capitals picks and predictions

Prediction

Capitals 4, Red Wings 3

Moneyline

Detroit (+140) needs this game a lot more than Washington (-165), and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a Wings victory here. They’re just a bad road team against a great home team.

BET CAPITALS (-165).

Puck line/Against the spread

I would consider Detroit +1.5 here, but -170 is too expensive for me.

Instead, I’ll take ALEX OVECHKIN ANYTIME GOAL (-110). Ovi finished with 3 shots but didn’t score on Mrazek when the Caps faced the then-Blackhawks goalie last season. However, Ovechkin had a hat trick against Mrazek in a 2022-23 meeting with the Blackhawks — a 7-3 Capitals rout.

FYI: There’s a 20% NHL Odds boost token in some BetMGM accounts that takes this -110 to +109.

Over/Under

I’ll take OVER 6 (-120), but there is some push potential. Both teams are 4-4-2 O/U in their last 10. I’m basing this on Washington’s ability to score 4 goals to push this Over. The Caps have scored 4+ in 4 of 5 games.

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Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Stars (42-21-2) make the final stop on a 4-game road trip Sunday against the Colorado Avalanche (40-24-3) at Ball Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (TNT / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Stars vs. Avalanche odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Home team and favorite is 2-0 in 2 meetings this season. In the most recent meeting, Colorado won 6-3 at home Jan. 18 as D Cale Makar notched 2 goals, including a power-play marker. LW Jason Robertson also had 2 goals, including a power-play score, and an assist.

Dallas lost 4-1 at the Winnipeg Jets on Friday as the Under (5.5) cashed. The Stars dropped 2 of the first 3 games on the trip, and Dallas is 1-3-0 in the past 4 road outings. The Under is 3-1 in the past 4 games, too.

Colorado doubled up the Calgary Flames 4-2 Friday as heavy favorites (-195) as the Over (5.5) connected. The Avs are 7-0-1 in the past 8 outings, with only a 2-1 shootout loss to the Wild in Minnesota Monday as the lone blemish.

Stars RW Mikko Rantanen, who scored a goal in Dallas on Nov. 29 as a member of the Avalanche, makes his first appearance in Denver since being traded to the Carolina Hurricanes, and then to Dallas, prior to the NHL trade deadline.

That’s one of a few storylines in this matchup. These teams are also angling for second-place in the Central Division, with Dallas ahead by 3 points with 2 games in hand.

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Stars at Avalanche odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Avalanche -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars +1.5 (-220) | Avalanche -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Stars at Avalanche projected goalies

Jake Oettinger (30-15-2, 2.52 GAA, .907 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Mac Blackwood (24-16-6, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%, 3 SO)

Oettinger has struggled since the 4 Nations Face-off Tournament break, allowing 3 or more goals in 5 of 7 starts. He has coughed up 9 goals on 49 shots in the past 2 games, and he is 2-2-0 with a 3.47 GAA and .882 SV% in 4 starts in March.

Oettinger allowed 3 goals on 32 shots in a 5-3 victory against the Avalanche in a meeting Nov. 29 in Dallas.

Blackwood allowed just a single goal on 23 shots in a 2-1 SOW in Minnesota in his most recent appearance Tuesday. He is 2-0-1 with a 2.61 GAA and .897 SV% in 3 starts in March.

He appeared in a start with the San Jose Sharks in Dallas on Nov. 20, allowing 3 goals on 29 shots prior to him being acquired by the Avalanche in early December. He also stopped 36 of 38 shots in a 3-2 SOW in Dallas on Oct. 15 with the Sharks.

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Stars at Avalanche picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 4, Stars 3

Moneyline

The AVALANCHE (-135) are a solid play on home ice in this clash of Western titans. Colorado is looking to spoil the homecoming of Rantanen, who is now Public Enemy No. 1 after signing a long-term contract extension with the Stars (+115).

The home team and favorite has cashed in each of the first 2 meetings, and that trend is expected to continue in a close one Sunday.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Stars +1.5 (-220) will cost you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. If you like Dallas, just play it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

OVER 6 (+100) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.

The total has cashed high in each of the first 2 meetings, with 8.5 combined goals.

The Over is 6-2-1 in the past 9 meetings in this series, too. There is plenty of firepower on both sides, so expect at least 7 total goals.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Vegas Golden Knights (39-19-8) visit the Detroit Red Wings (31-29-6) Sunday at Little Caesars Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (TNT / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Golden Knights vs. Red Wings odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; tied 1-1 in 2023-24

The Golden Knights suffered a 4-3 shootout loss in Buffalo Saturday afternoon behind G Adin Hill, who was tasked with making 34 saves on 37 shots. C Jack Eichel scored against his former team in regulation.

The Red Wings were doubled up 4-2 in Carolina Friday as the total (6) pushed at most shops. Detroit has won just once in the past 8 games. The Over is 8-3-2 in the past 13 games since Feb. 4. RW Alex DeBrincat scored in Carolina, and he had 2 goals and 5 points in the past 2 outings.

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Golden Knights at Red Wings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Red Wings +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights -1.5 (+150) | Red Wings +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Golden Knights at Red Wings projected goalies

Ilya Samsonov (15-8-3, 2.81 GAA, .889 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Cam Talbot (17-15-3, 2.96 GAA, .901 SV%, 2 SO)

Samsonov allowed 3 goals on 17 shots in a 3-2 overtime loss in Pittsburgh Tuesday. He’s 1-0-1 with a 1.51 GAA and a .923 SV% this month with a 22-save shutout against the Penguins March 7.

Talbot allowed just 2 goals on 23 shots in a 2-1 loss Monday in Ottawa, slipping to 0-3-0 with a 3.74 GAA and an .845 SV% in 3 March starts. He has lost 4 consecutive starts, allowing 4 or more goals in 3 of the past 4 outings and 5 of the previous 7 starts.

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Golden Knights at Red Wings picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Wings 4, Golden Knights 3

Moneyline

The RED WINGS (+135) are worth a roll of the dice as moderate underdogs on home ice.

Detroit faces a Golden Knights (-160) team that suffered a shootout loss in Buffalo and now has a quick turnaround with no rest and a backup goaltender.

Detroit has won 5 of the past 8 meetings in this series, including 3 of the previous 4 in the Motor City.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Red Wings +1.5 (-185) will set you back nearly twice your potential return, making it quite a bit of risk for not nearly enough reward. As a straight bet, it’s too risky, but it would be acceptable to include in a multi-leg parlay.

AVOID it as a standalone bet.

Over/Under

OVER 6.5 (+100) is the lean, but don’t get carried away.

The Over hit in both meetings last season, with an average of 7.5 combined goals per game in those 2 matchups. The Over is also 4-2 in the past 6 games.

For VGK, the total has gone Over in 5 of the past 9 games, while Detroit has seen the Over go 2-1-1 in the past 4 outings and 8-3-2 in the previous 13 contests.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Washington Capitals at San Jose Sharks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington Capitals at San Jose Sharks odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Washington Capitals (43-15-8) and San Jose Sharks (18-40-9) will square off in a Saturday tilt at the SAP Center. Opening face-off — followed by another round of Ovi Watch — will be at 5 p.m. (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Capitals vs. Sharks odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: Sharks lead 1-0

The Capitals are closing out a 3-game West Coast road swing. Washington is 1-1 on the trip They beat Anaheim 7-4 as -196 favorites Tuesday and were shut out 3-0 as +121 underdogs at the LA Kings 3-0 Thursday. C Alex Ovechkin has yet to score on the trip, though he did have 3 assists vs. the Ducks. Ovi, who last scored a goal 3 games ago — last Sunday at home vs. Seattle —  heads into Saturday needing 9 goals to pass Wayne Gretzky and claim the NHL’s all-time scoring record. Ovechkin has 886, while the Great One finished his career with 894 goals.

The Sharks own the NHL’s lowest point percentage (.336), but they are coming off a 4-2 home victory over the Chicago Blackhawks Thursday and are 3-3-0 over their last six contests. RW Collin Graf scored twice as San Jose covered as a -120 home favorite with the total (6) pushing. The Sharks will be playing the fourth game of an 8-game home stand.

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Capitals at Sharks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:42 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Capitals -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Sharks +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Capitals -1.5 (-102) | Sharks +1.5 (-118)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Capitals at Sharks projected goalies

Logan Thompson (28-4-5, 2.36 GAA, .916 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Alexandar Georgiev (13-22-1, 3.59 GAA, .876 SV%)

Even though he won, Thompson allowed 4 goals on 29 shots in the 3-goal win vs. Anaheim Tuesday. He was the losing goalie despite surrendering 1 regulation goal and an OT goal against 31 shots in a 2-1 setback at home to the Sharks Dec. 3 — San Jose was a +230 underdog. Thompson is 3-1-2 with a 1.81 GAA and a .937 SV% in 6 career outings vs. San Jose. There’s a chance Charlie Lindgren (15-11-3, 2.65 GAA, 8.99 SV%, 1 SO) could start. He stopped 24 of 27 shots in Thursday’s loss at the Kings. The Minnesota native owns a lackluster .874 SV% over his last 7 games.

Georgiev made 24 saves in the triumph over the ‘Hawks. The 29-year-old has struggled at home this season, allowing 13 goals over his previous 4 starts on home ice, and his SAP Center SV% is just .871. The Bulgarian is 7-5-1 with a 2.79 GAA and a .909 SV% in 13 career games vs. the Caps. G Mackenzie Blackwood, who was traded to Colorado in December, was the winning goalie in the Dec. 3 overtime victory.

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Capitals at Sharks picks and predictions

Prediction

Capitals 3, Sharks 2

Moneyline

No interest: PASS.

Puck line/Against the spread

Including the 2-1 Dec. 3 overtime win, the Sharks are 4-2-0 across their last half-dozen games against the Caps.

The Sharks have been solid since the 4 Nations break. They’ve been developing more quality 5-on-5 looks on offense while preventing the same at the other end. The Caps are playing well, but they appear to be too far out over their skis with expected goals and goals allowed compared to actual. Their 13% shooting percentage in 5-on-5 play figures to be ripe for regression.

A usually dangerous Washington power play is just 2-for-its-last-21, and the club is going through its first multi-game trip since late-January. The Sharks are 8-for-their-last-21 with the man advantage.

FanDuel Sportsbook has a value price here. Peg the SHARKS +1.5 (-114) as the value side of this one.

Over/Under

The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 Caps-Sharks games.

The numbers for this one are a mixed bag, but figure the UNDER 6.5 (-115) as being a slight lean.

Ovechkin: Anytime goal

FanDuel Sportsbook lists Ovechkin at -105 for scoring a goal Saturday. He was held shotless Thursday and has been held under-4 shots in 3 of his last 4 games. A price higher than -110 should be avoided.

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