Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars Game 1 odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8) hit the road to face the Dallas Stars (52-21-9) in Game 1 of their 1st-round series at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Golden Knights vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

In a matchup of last season’s Western Conference Finals, the Golden Knights march into Dallas, where they outscored the Stars 12-3 in 3 games in that series. The Knights have some injury questions with RW Mark Stone’s (abdomen) status unknown, and D Alex Pietrangelo (illness) missed some time down the stretch. One thing that holds true is they’re a big, physical team that is built for the playoffs.

The Stars live and die with G Jake Oettinger in net. He struggled in last year’s playoffs, allowing 3+ goals in 11 of 19 starts after a banner regular season. The team tapered his workload back from 62 to 54 games this season. C Joe Pavelski was a monster in last year’s postseason with 9 goals and 5 assists in 14 games. They’ll rely heavily on the veteran again this postseason run.

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Golden Knights at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:38 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Stars -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-225) | Stars -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Golden Knights at Stars projected goalies

Logan Thompson (25-14-5, 2.70 GAA, .908 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Jake Oettinger (35-14-4, 2.72 GAA, .905 SV%, 3 SO)

The one major hurdle the Knights will have to navigate this playoff run is the goaltending. G Adin Hill missed a lot of time this season after he went on a heater in last year’s playoffs. Thompson will have to prove he can do the same. He was 3-2-0 with a 3.22 GAA and .887 SV% in 5 April starts. He beat the Stars in his only start against them this season, stopping 19 of 20 shots he faced.

Oettinger was phenomenal down the stretch, going 5-1-0 with a 1.65 GAA and .941 SV% in 6 April starts. As mentioned, the team reduced his workload by 8 games this season after he seemingly wore down in last year’s playoffs. He was 0-1-1 with a 3.21 GAA and .885 SV% against Vegas this season. He went 2-4 with an .877 SV% in 6 games against the eventual Stanley Cup champs in last year’s playoffs.

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Golden Knights at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Golden Knights 4, Stars 2

Moneyline

The Stars lost all 3 Game 1’s last year, and 2 of those were at home. I think Vegas comes out and outmuscles them in this one. Vegas won all 3 matchups this season, and 2 came in the Stars’ building.

Take the value with the GOLDEN KNIGHTS (+115).

Puck line/Against the spread

There is a glaring prop bet ready for the picking. C Jack Eichel had 4+ SOG (shots on goal) in the final 3 games of the season. He also had 4, 4 and 8 SOG against Dallas this year.

Take JACK EICHEL OVER 3.5 SHOTS (+100).

Over/Under

The Knights beat the Stars in Vegas 4-3 and it required overtime in Game 1 last postseason. I’m thinking we see one team reach 4 in this one as well. VGK is 5-4-1 O/U in its last 10, and Dallas was just 2-8. I look for a high-scoring opener before the jitters and adrenaline evens out.

Take the OVER 5.5 (-120).

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Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Winnipeg Jets (48-24-6) take on the Dallas Stars (50-20-9) Thursday at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Jets vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Jets are in, but they trail the Colorado Avalanche by 2 points for 2nd in the division. They have reeled off 4 straight wins after a 6-game losing streak. They took out the surging Nashville Predators 4-3 in overtime Tuesday. LW Kyle Connor hit the game-winner, which gave him goals in 2 straight.

The Stars have all but locked up the top spot in the Central Division with a 5-point lead on the Avalanche with 3 games to go. Any sort of point in this game locks that up. They’re also up 4 points on the Vancouver Canucks for the top seed in the West, and they could lock that up as well. The Stars are 9-1 over their last 10 games.

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Jets at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Jets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Stars -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Jets +1.5 (-200) | Stars -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Jets at Stars projected goalies

Connor Hellebuyck (35-19-4, 2.42 GAA, .920 SV%, 4 SO) vs. Jake Oettinger (33-13-4, 2.81 GAA, .903 SV%, 3 SO)

Hellebuyck was awesome in the overtime win in Nashville Tuesday, stopping a season-high 45 of 48 shots fired his way. Due to the heavy work, it’s possible the Jets sit him in order to face the Avs, whom they’re chasing, Saturday afternoon. Hellebuyck is 0-3 with a 2.73 GAA and .906 SV% against the Stars this season.

Oettinger has won 8 straight starts after a 3-2 winner Tuesday against the Buffalo Sabres. He had a light 19-save performance. He has beaten the Jets twice this season, stopping 25 of 26 Feb. 29 and all 27 in a 2-0 shutout Nov. 28.

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Jets at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 3, Jets 2

Moneyline

As hard as it is to sweep 4 games from an NHL team, the ducks are in a row for Dallas to prevail unless they opt to sit Oettinger. They have beaten the Jets 4-1, 2-0 and 3-2 and have won 7 of the last 9 against them.

When Oettinger is confirmed in net, take the STARS -150. If they opt to sit him, though, abort.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Jets are far too expensive for the insurance, so let’s check out a prop.

Connor has been invisible against Dallas this season. In 3 games, he has 0 goals and 1 assist with just 5 shots on goal. He knows this, and he has 4+ shots on goal in 2 of his last 3 games. KYLE CONNOR OVER 2.5 SHOTS (-140) looks very tasty.

Over/Under

Unless one of these starters sits, we’re going Under. The 3 games they’ve played against one another yielded 5, 2 and 5 goals. I’m honestly surprised it’s not 5.5.

Take advantage with UNDER 6 (-120).

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Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Stars (48-20-9) take on the Colorado Avalanche (48-23-6) Sunday at Ball Arena. Puck drop is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stars vs. Avalanche odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Stars had an 8-game winning streak snapped with a 3-2 setback on the road against the Chicago Blackhawks Saturday. This will be their 6th road game in their last 7. Their itinerary has been Arizona, San Jose, Vancouver, Seattle, back home for Edmonton, Chicago and now Colorado. The heavy travel hasn’t bothered C Roope Hintz, who has goals in 3 of 4 games.

The Avs are just 2-3-1 in their last 6 games after dropping Friday’s tilt 6-2 in Edmonton. An even bigger problem was star RW Mikko Rantanen left with an upper body injury that may keep him out of this game. The Avs trail the Stars for the top spot in the Central Division by 3 points with 5 to go.

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Stars at Avalanche odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Avalanche -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars +1.5 (-250) | Avalanche -1.5 (+195)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Stars at Avalanche projected goalies

Jake Oettinger (31-13-4, 2.80 GAA, .903 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Alexandar Georgiev (37-16-4, 2.91 GAA, .900%, 2 SO)

“Otter” is coming off a 5-0 shutout over the mighty Oilers Wednesday. He stopped all 35 shots. He shut out the Seattle Kraken before that, turning aside all 17. He was great against Vancouver before that. In all, he has made 79 saves on 80 shots in his last 3 games. Colorado is a different story, though, as he has allowed 5 goals in both of his starts against them this season.

Georgiev has not been equally as steady, allowing 6, 4, 2 and 4 goals in his last 4 starts. He has been great against Dallas, though. He’s 3-0-0 with a 2.63 GAA and .915 SV% against the Stars this season. Last time he saw them, Feb. 27, he stopped 33 of 34 in a 5-1 win.

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Stars at Avalanche picks and predictions

Prediction

Avalanche 3, Stars 2

Moneyline

The Avs have won 4 straight against Dallas, and the Stars haven’t cracked the Avs at home since 2022. There are reasons to like each side here with the play of Oettinger alongside Rantanen’s potential absence. The heavy travel, the altitude and playing on consecutive days are why I’m going with the AVALANCHE -120.

The Avs are 29-7-1 at home this season and need this game if they want home-ice advantage.

Puck line/Against the spread

I’m not touching either side of the puck line here.

I like NATHAN MACKINNON OVER 4.5 SHOTS (-125).

He hit the mark in 2 of 3 matchups against Dallas this season, and if Rantanen is out, he’ll be even more aggressive.

Over/Under

This number is 2-0-1 in the 3 matchups this year, but there is reason to like the Under. Dallas is 3-7 O/U in their last 10. Colorado is 5-4-1 but could be missing one of the best players in the league. This total would be 1-2-1 in the last 4 in Colorado.

It’s the playoff push, and goals are usually at a premium.

Take the UNDER 6 (+100).

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Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Florida Panthers at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Florida Panthers (44-17-4) and the Dallas Stars (40-17-9) meet Tuesday at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers roughed up the Calgary Flames 5-1 Saturday, improving to 7-1-0 in the past 8 games. The Panthers were -210 home favorites and the Over/Under (O/U) pushed at 6. Florida, which begins a quick 2-game road trip in Dallas, has been lights out on the road. The Panthers are 14-1 in their last 15 road games, including a current 3-0 streak.

The Stars won their 5th consecutive game with a 4-1 victory as +103 underdogs in Los Angeles Saturday. Dallas is 5-0-2 in the past 7 outings on home ice dating back to Jan. 16. The Under has cashed in 8 of the past 10 contests.

These teams met in South Florida Dec. 6 when the Panthers came away with a 5-4 victory as slight -120 favorites as the Over (6) easily cashed. The home team has won 5 of the past 6 head-to-head meetings, while the Over is 5-1 in that stretch.

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Panthers at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Panthers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Stars -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-250) | Stars -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under: 6 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Panthers at Stars projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (31-12-2, 2.29 GAA, .918 SV%, 4 SO) vs. Jake Oettinger (25-11-4, 2.95 GAA, .900 SV%, 1 SO)

Bobrovsky allowed just 2 goals on 26 shots in a 2-1 home loss Thursday to the Philadelphia Flyers in his last start. Despite the setback, Bob is 2-1-0 with a sparkling 1.34 GAA and .947 SV% with 1 shutout (SO) in 3 starts in March.

Oettinger allowed just 2 goals on 27 shots in a 6-2 road win at the Anaheim Ducks, improving to 3-0-0 with a 3.21 GAA and .857 SV% in March. He has won each of his past 4 starts, allowing 2 or fewer goals in 3 of those outings.

Bobrovsky turned aside 29 of the 33 shots he faced in the 5-4 win over Dallas Dec. 6. Oettinger was on the losing end, allowing 5 goals on 31 shots.

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Panthers at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 4, Panthers 3

Moneyline

The STARS (-115) are worth a look on home ice. The home team has been successful in this series, winning 5 of the past 6 meetings, although they’ve all been high-scoring games with plenty of lead changes. Play Dallas lightly and expect a nail-biter.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Panthers +1.5 (-250) will cost 2½ times the potential return. That’s if you prefer some insurance instead of backing Florida straight up. The -250 is just too much risk for not enough reward.

Playing the Stars -1.5 (+200) is a tempting play, but the favorite is just 2-8 on the puck line in the past 10 meetings in this series.

AVOID and just play the moneyline lightly.

Over/Under

OVER 6 (-110) is the best play on the board.

The total has gone high in 5 of the past 6 meetings, including a combined 9 goals in the 1st meeting this season. Florida has scored 4 or more goals in 5 of the past 6 games, while going for 3 or more goals in 13 of the past 15 outings.

The Dallas offense has been on fire in its 5-game win streak, averaging 4.8 goals per game. Expect each of these high-powered offenses to shine.

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Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Dallas Stars at Calgary Flames odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Stars (5-1-1) play the first game of a home-and-home set with the Calgary Flames (2-6-1) Wednesday at Scotiabank Saddledome. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Stars vs. Flames odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Stars topped the visiting Columbus Blue Jackets 5-3 on Monday, rebounding from a 4-1 setback against the Toronto Maple Leafs last Thursday. That was the lone loss of the season for the Stars in regulation. The Under has cashed in 5 of 7 games to date, while going 2-0-1 in 4 games against Western Conference teams.

The Flames opened the season with a 2-1-1 mark, but it is in the midst of a 5-game skid, lightning the lamp just 6 total times during the slide. That includes a 5-2 loss against the rival Edmonton Oilers in the Heritage Classic at Commonwealth Stadium on Sunday in front of 55,411 fans.

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Stars at Flames odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:47 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Flames +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars -1.5 (+188) | Flames +1.5 (-230)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -128 | U: +104)

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Stars at Flames projected goalies

Jake Oettinger (4-0-1, 1.74 GAA, .940 SV%) vs. Jacob Markstrom (1-5-1, 2.88 GAA, .901 SV%)

Oettinger has picked up 3 straight wins in regulation after splitting a pair of shootout decisions in his 1st 2 outings. He has allowed a total of 9 goals on 151 shots overall, good for a sparkling .940 SV%. That including 22 saves on 25 shots last time out in a 5-3 win against the Jackets.

Markstrom has a sub-3 GAA this season, but he has just a single regulation win in 7 starts. That’s mostly due to a lack of offensive support, with the Flames providing just 4 total goals in the past 4 outings, and 8 goals in the past 6 contests.

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Stars at Flames picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 3, Flames 2

Moneyline

The STARS (-130) are a solid road favorite, as they’re just playing much better hockey than the Flames (+108).

Dallas has been getting tremendous goaltending and defense, but the offense is pretty solid, too. The Stars have lit the lamp 4 or more times in 3 of the past 4 outings.

Calgary has had a power outage, and ultimately that will be its undoing in this contest, especially since Oettinger is so difficult to solve.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Flames +1.5 (-230) will cost more than 2 times your potential return if you need a little bit of insurance.

The Stars -1.5 (+188) just cannot be trusted to cover the puck line, although it has covered the past 2 as a favorite. Dallas is still 2-4 in 6 games on the puck line as a favorite overall.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 5.5 (+104) is worth playing lightly at plus-money.

The total has gone low in 4 of the past 5 road games for the Stars, while cashing in 6 of the past 8 meetings against Western Conference foes.

The Under is also 3-1-2 in the past 6 meetings between these teams at the Scotiabank Saddledome.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Toronto Maple Leafs (4-2-0) play the 4th contest of a 5-game road trip against the Dallas Stars (4-0-1) Thursday at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+/TSN4). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Maple Leafs have won the past 2 games at Tampa and Washington after opening the road trip with a 3-1 setback at Florida. The Leafs have managed to score 4 or more goals in 4 of 6 games overall.

The Stars picked up a 4-1 win against the Pittsburgh Penguins last time out on Tuesday, cashing on the puck line as favorites for the 1st time in 5 tries after 4 consecutive games decided by a single goal.

The Leafs swept the regular-season series from the Stars in 2022-23, including a 4-0 win Dec. 6, 2022 in the last trip to Dallas. The Under is 4-1 in the past meetings in this series.

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Maple Leafs at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Stars -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225) | Stars -1.5 (+185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Maple Leafs at Stars projected goalies

Ilya Samsonov (2-1-0, 4.34 GAA, .831 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (3-0-1, 1.44 GAA, .952 SV%)

Samsonov was pulled last time out after allowing 3 goals on just 4 shots in Tampa Bay. G Joseph Woll relieved him, and the Leafs ended up rallying for the 4-3 win in overtime. Samsonov has allowed 3 or more goals in 3 of his 4 starts this season.

Oettinger kicked aside 38 of the 39 shots he faced against the Penguins, and he has allowed just 6 total goals on 126 shots this season, firing out of the chute. He won his only home start of the season, topping the Blues in a 2-1 shootout with 23 saves on 24 shots.

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Maple Leafs at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 3, Maple Leafs 1

Moneyline

The STARS (-125) might have been swept by the Maple Leafs (+105) last season, but Dallas is playing much better hockey right now.

Samsonov cannot be trusted in Big D, as he was tattooed in Tampa last time out. Oettinger has been tremendously consistent, and he and Dallas are worth playing while he remains red hot.

Puck line/Against the spread

The STARS -1.5 (+185) are worth playing lightly for the chance to nearly double up.

There is risk, as Dallas covered on the puck line as a favorite last time out for the first cover in 5 times.

The Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225) can’t be trusted due to uneven goaltending so far this season, especially on the part of Samsonov. Until he irons out his problems, stay away.

Over/Under

The UNDER 6 (+100) is the lean, but go lightly.

The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 meetings in this series, while going 3-0-1 in the past 4 games overall for the Maple Leafs. The Under is 4-1 in 5 games overall for the Stars, too, allowing 3 or fewer goals in 4 of 5 outings, as well.

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Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Dallas Stars (1-0-0) and Vegas Golden Knights (3-0-0) meet Tuesday at T-Mobile Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stars vs. Golden Knights odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

We get a rematch of last season’s Western Conference semifinals series, which went in favor of the Golden Knights in 6 games.

We’ve seen the Stars just once this season, an underwhelming 2-1 home victory in a shootout against the St. Louis Blues.

The Golden Knights have won all 3 of their games to date, winning by the same exact 4-1 score in all of the contests. Vegas has wins over the Seattle Kraken, San Jose Sharks and Anaheim Ducks, cashing the Under in each of the outings.

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Stars at Golden Knights odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Golden Knights -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars +1.5 (-250) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Stars at Golden Knights projected goalies

Jake Oettinger (1-0-0, 0.92 GAA, .958 SV%) vs. Adin Hill (2-0-0, 1.01 GAA, .964 SV%)

Oettinger was sharp in his first and only appearance of the new season, turning aside 23 of the 24 shots he faced against the Blues. He was dominant against the Golden Knights in the regular season in 2022-23, going 3-0-0 with a 0.96 GAA and .967 SV% with a shutout.

Hill, the Stanley Cup hero, has picked up right where he left off. He has allowed just 2 goals on 56 shots with a tremendous save percentage. Hill didn’t face the Stars in the regular season in 2022-23, but he did win 4 of 6 starts in the playoff series, so there’s that.

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Stars at Golden Knights picks and predictions

Prediction

Golden Knights 3, Stars 2

Moneyline

The GOLDEN KNIGHTS (-115) are worth a play, as Vegas looks to stay perfect on the season. It’s a tall order against the Stars (-105), who dominated the regular-season series in 2022-23.

However, VGK has been consistent so far in the new season, and they have plenty of momentum, while the Stars got things started, then due to a scheduling quirk, they have had time off. That’s hard to develop early-season chemistry.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Stars +1.5 (-250) will cost you 2½ times your potential return, and that’s just way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. If you like Dallas, particularly due to its 3-game dominance in the regular season, just play it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 6 (-120) is the best play on the board in this playoff series rematch.

Oettinger picked up right where he left off in the playoffs, shutting down the Blues in the opener, allowing just a single goal. Hill has also allowed just 2 total goals in his 2 starts to date. We have seen a lot of offense around the NHL, but goals should be at a premium in this battle.

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St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The St. Louis Blues and Dallas Stars open their 2023-24 seasons at American Airlines Arena Thursday. Puck drop is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blues vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Blues vastly underachieved last year and finished 37-38-7, missing the playoffs for the first time since 2018. They had some guys that were on expiring deals that didn’t make the locker room the most fun place to be, and the Blues cut bait and began a retool.

General manager Doug Armstrong said a couple of days ago he intends for this team to compete for one of the final playoff spots in the Western Conference. They added C Kevin Hayes to add some size in the middle and brought back fan-favorite C Oskar Sundqvist.

The Stars pushed the eventual Stanley Cup Champs Vegas Golden Knights to 6 games in the Western Conference finals last season before running out of gas. C Joe Pavelski had a monster postseason with 9 goals and 5 assists in 14 games. G Jake Oettinger struggled at times but was also a man possessed at other times between the pipes. His presence makes Dallas one of the favorites to win the Central Division.

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Blues at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blues +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Stars -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blues +1.5 (-135) | Stars -1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Blues at Stars projected goalies

Jordan Binnington (27-27-6, 3.31 GAA, .894 SV%, 2 SO last season) vs. Jake Oettinger (37-11-11, 2.37 GAA, .919 SV%, 5 SO last season)

Binner had his worst season as a pro last year, but the defense in front of him was atrocious. Night after night, they were beaten by backdoor tap-ins, and the team didn’t do a lot to remedy that outside of making changes to the coaching staff.

Binnington is known to be money in the playoffs, but his GAA and SV% have deteriorated over the last 4 years. He was 0-2 with a 2.04 GAA and .930 SV% against the Stars last year.

Oettinger was a dominant force in net last season at just 24 years old. He started 61 games for them and maybe became a little gassed in the postseason. His GAA and SV% ballooned to 3.06 and .895 in the playoffs, and he’ll be chomping at the bit to rectify that. He faced the Blues once last season and stopped all 25 shots in a shutout.

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Blues at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 5, Blues 4

Moneyline

The Blues could make some bettors serious money this season because they could be a surprise team contending for a playoff spot. They have good, young talent they’re waiting to take the next step, and there are reinforcements on the way in the next couple of years. However, Dallas is clearly on a level ahead of them. The Stars won all 3 meetings last season, and they should take this one. However, we’re not going to risk -225 on it.

I will take STARS ML + OVER 4.5 GOALS (-131) at a more reasonable rate. Two of the 3 games last season had 5 goals. The Blues are a rush team that will have to outscore teams to win.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Blues allowed a ton of empty netters last season. It was almost a running joke as to how long after they pulled the goalie would the other team score. So I don’t trust them to stay within 1.

PASS.

Over/Under

I generally don’t like betting Over 6.5, and this is one that could definitely eclipse that number. So I’m going to stay away from this total.

There is a prop bet I like, though. JORDAN KYROU OVER 2.5 SHOTS (-155) is a good bet. He had at least 3 SOG in all 3 games against Dallas last year, and his number was generally 3.5. So take advantage of this smaller number while it lasts. The offense will go through him, and he has a shot at 40 goals if he stays healthy.

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Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars Game 6 odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Vegas Golden Knights meet the Dallas Stars in Game 6 of their Western Conference Final playoff series Monday. Puck drop at American Airlines Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Golden Knights vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Golden Knights lead the series 3-2 after dropping Game 5 at home Saturday 4-2. Vegas looked a little complacent. Coach Bruce Cassidy highlighted the team’s 24 giveaways in Game 5, and captain Mark Stone said the team needs a better effort and to be a little more desperate. That all showed as Dallas stole this one.

Midway through the 3rd period, C Ty Dellandrea struck for 2 goals in just over 90 seconds to put the Stars ahead to stay. It was the 1st 2-goal game of his playoff career for a guy who was a healthy scratch at times this postseason. Stars LW Jamie Benn will return from a 2-game suspension for Game 6.

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Golden Knights at Stars odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Golden Knights +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Stars -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Golden Knights +1.5 (-250) | Stars -1.5 (+190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Golden Knights at Stars projected goalies

Adin Hill (16-7-1, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%, 0 SO – regular season) vs. Jake Oettinger (37-11-11, 2.37 GAA, .919 SV%, 5 SO – regular season)

Hill stopped 30 of 34 shots in Game 5 as he has now made at least 30 saves in all but 1 game this series. The Stars might be onto something, though, as he has allowed 7 goals in the last 2 games after allowing just 5 in the first 3 games. Hill is 6-3 with a 2.30 GAA and .932 SV% these playoffs.

Oettinger was good again in Game 5 with 27 saves on 29 shots. Over the last 2 games, he has stopped 64 of 68 for a .941 SV%. It really has been a tale of 2 series for Otter, who allowed 10 goals combined in the 1st 3 games and 4 the last 2. He’s 10-8 with a 2.89 GAA and .901 SV% these playoffs.

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Golden Knights at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Golden Knights 4, Stars 3

Moneyline

The Golden Knights are narrowly at plus-money for just the 2nd time this series. They closed at +120 for Game 3, up 2-0 in Dallas, and they’re at +110 here. So the books aren’t too convinced we’ll see a Game 7. This is truly a toss-up. Hill has been playing well above his pay grade, and maybe that prompted VGK to be a little lax with the puck. I look for a high-octane game here that may require a 7th overtime between the teams in the last 10 games.

LEAN GOLDEN KNIGHTS +110.

Puck line/Against the spread

No interest in either puck line here, but I expect a more-inspired Golden Knights team. They were beaten 29-25 in faceoffs, 24-21 in hits and 34-29 in shots in Game 5. I look for at least 30-32 shots in this one, and that means BET JAKE OETTINGER OVER 26.5 SAVES (-105).

Over/Under

The Under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings in Dallas and 15-5-2 in the last 22 overall. But I really look for Vegas to put up 4 here, which they did in the 4-0 win here in Game 3. Dallas should keep it close. This is just a hunch here because VGK’s coach publicly called out their effort, and Dallas is lighting the lamp enough to cash it. So PASS or LEAN OVER 5.5 (-110).

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Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 odds, picks, predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights Game 5 odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Stars have their backs against the wall against the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 5 of their Western Conference Final playoff series Saturday, trailing 3-1. Puck drop at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stars vs. Golden Knights odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Dallas made us look like prophets with a 3-2 overtime winner in Game 4 to extend the series, cashing all 3 wagers and nailing the final score. The Stars still trail 3-1 and will push Saturday to get back home for a Game 6.

The Stars will again be without captain LW Jamie Benn, who will serve the 2nd game of a 2-game suspension for a cross-check in Game 3. RW Evgenii Dadonov will also be out due to a lower-body injury.

Vegas played a solid game in Game 4, and G Adin Hill stopped 39 of 42 shots. Dallas just wanted that one more but now we’re back in Las Vegas for another possible clincher in Game 5. RW Jonathan Marchessault is on another planet right now with goals in 3 straight games and 6 goals in his last 5 games.

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Stars at Golden Knights odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stars +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Golden Knights -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Stars +1.5 (-225) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stars at Golden Knights projected goalies

Jake Oettinger (37-11-11, 2.37 GAA, .919 SV%, 5 SO – regular season) vs. Adin Hill (16-7-1, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%, 0 SO – regular season)

Oettinger stepped up in Game 4, stopping 37 of 39 shots in what was easily his best performance of the series. The win stopped a 3-game skid and he has lost 4 of his last 5 starts and needs to get right. He stopped 54 of 61 shots in the first 2 games in Vegas for a .885 SV%. He’ll need to be better than that to extend the series again.

Hill was great in Game 4, but Dallas got to him in overtime on the power play. He has a .943 SV% in the series, which is elite status. He also has the luxury of knowing that even if he gives up 3, his offense is firing on all cylinders and may still do enough to advance.

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Stars at Golden Knights picks and predictions

Prediction

Golden Knights 4, Stars 3

Moneyline

The Stars keep it tight, but the Golden Knights ultimately have too much ammo with Hill playing the best hockey of his life. Vegas’ motto for this one should be: “Score 4 and say no more”, because Dallas has yet to do that in the series.

Take the GOLDEN KNIGHTS (-145).

Puck line/Against the spread

No interest in either puck line here again, but I do see something I like in the Win/Total section.

Take GOLDEN KNIGHTS TO WIN AND OVER 4.5 GOALS (+125). That covers you in the event of yet another overtime, and we have had 5 goals in each game except the one Dallas was shut out in.

Over/Under

The Under has cashed in the last 3 games of the series, and it’s a toss-up whether we have a 3-2 or 4-3 finish on Saturday. My thought process is that these teams empty the tank, but Dallas is missing 2 key players and Oettinger doesn’t look right between the pipes. Someone will need to score 4, and Vegas has done it twice in the 4 games.

LEAN OVER 5.5 (-110).

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