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The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Week 11.
This week’s bets are based on history, including the continuance of a pair of one-sided division rivalries, two matchups of preseason playoff hopefuls now trying to save their seasons with one going Over and one staying Under, and getting the undefeated defending champs plus points.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 11 action.
This week if the official beginning of the 2024 big point spreads as the unofficial tanking may or may not begin in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions are this year’s first 14-point favorite over the hapless/hobbled Jacksonville Jaguars. To bet on the Lions to win outright, your investment is 10-to-1 against the return. As franchises start looking more to 2025 while they limp through the remainder of 2024, this won’t be the last time we see a 14-point spread (or higher).
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The Eagles are light betting investment favorites (3.5 points at -115 Commanders, -105 Eagles). The Eagles have the chops to make a home statement. If they don’t? Then the temperature changes. Take the Eagles and lay 3.5 points (-105).
The Packers are healthy favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). This isn’t a rivalry. It’s a statement. Green Bay has dominated since 2019 and by more than 5.5 points every time. Take the Packers and lay 5.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is pretty high (47 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Not touching 14 points on an official bet. The Lions might score 40 out of saltiness, but if the Jags defense shows up, Detroit will run to prevent Jared Goff yips and an easy win. Take Under 47 points (-110).
The Vikings are solid road favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). The Vikings played down to the competition last week and almost lost – almost. This time, they get it right and dominate. Take the Vikings and lay 6 points (-110).
The Over/Under is low (44 points at -110 for both). The Raiders give up a lot of points. When the band is together is at home, the Dolphins can score a lot of points. Take Over 44 points (-110).
The Rams are good road favorites in the early window (4.5 points at -115 Rams, -105 Patriots). Matthew Stafford takes the Patriots to school. Drake Maye will have to keep pace. Stafford wins this one. Take the Rams and lay 4.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is suspicious (44.5 points at -110 for both). These are the two most disappointing offensive teams in the league and suddenly someone is going to light up the scoreboard? Hard pass. Take Under 44 points (-110).
The Over/Under is pedestrian (44 points at -110 for both). Anthony Richardson is back from being benched. Aaron Rodgers is having his legacy questioned. Two guys with a lot to gain and not as much to lose. Take Over 44 points (-110).
The Ravens are given road respect as favorites (3 points at -115 Ravens, -105 Steelers). This has classic trap-game repercussions, but take Lamar Jackson vs. Russell Wilson every day – much less on Sunday. Take the Ravens and lay 3 points (-115).
The Broncos are mild home favorites (2.5 points at -110 for both teams). Two teams that don’t beat playoff teams … but, thanks to being in NFC South, the Falcons are a playoff team. Take the Falcons plus 2.5 points (-110).
The 49ers are robust home favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). For a divisional rivalry, the Niners own this one and being less than a TD favorite will be viewed as insulting. Take the 49ers and lay 6.5 points (-110).
Anyone who gives Patrick Mahomes points does so at his own peril. Historically, it doesn’t end well. Until further notice, any time you get the Chiefs in addition to points you jump. Take the Chiefs on the moneyline (+115).
The Bengals are on the brink of legitimate extinction as 1.5-point underdogs in LA in prime time. Cincinnati has more firepower than the Chargers, and this isn’t Big Ten football. Take the Bengals on the moneyline (+105).
The Texans are huge road favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Texans haven’t earned being this type of favorite on the road. If the Cowboys don’t cover this point, they should start firing now. Take the Cowboys plus 7.5 points (-110).
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 10.
This week’s picks include a pair of teams currently destined to make a deep playoff run padding their resumes, one high number going Over, one low number going Under, and a three-point underdog making more noise against a division leader.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 10 action.
The demarcation between the good teams, struggling teams, and bad teams is playing itself out this week for those looking to wager on point spreads.
Only three of the 14 games have a current point spread of three points or fewer on the Week 10 slate, while six games have a spread of 6.5 points or more.
Numbers like scream that could be a lot of blowouts this week … or at least the perception that beat-downs are coming is clear.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The Ravens are big favorites (6.5 points at -120 Bengals, -110 Ravens). Divisional games between playoff-hardened teams is rarely this high, but Baltimore is clicking – winning their last four games and seven of nine games this year by eight points or more. Take the Ravens and lay 6.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is low (40.5 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). There is a reason. Both teams have hit Under this number in six of their nine games. They play field-position games that have field goals deciding them. Take Under 40.5 points (-105).
The Bears are strong home favorites (6.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Patriots are in rebuild mode and that shows up on the road. Their last four losses included deficits of 21, 17, and 16 points. Take the Bears and lay 6.5 points (-110).
The Bills are road favorites (4 points at -110 for both teams). The Colts are teetering on irrelevance, while the Bills are looking to stay with the other AFC big dogs. Buffalo has scored 30 or more points in six of nine games and the Colts aren’t equipped to compete with that. Take the Bills and lay 4 points (-110).
Once again, the Chiefs are big favorites (8.5 points at -110 for both teams). We’ve been down this road before. The Chiefs win, but they don’t cover because their number is too high. I’ve taken the bait before. I am again. Take the Chiefs and lay 8.5 points (-110).
The Falcons are decent road favorites (3.5 points at -115 Falcons, -105 Saints). The Saints fired their head coach, and the Falcons have won five of the last six. Don’t buy into the “new coach bump” routine here. Take the Falcons and lay 3.5 points (-115).
The Chiefs are stiff road favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Bucs are likely without their top two receivers on a short week after going five quarters against the Chiefs, and Christian McCaffrey may be back. Take the 49ers and lay 5.5 points (-110).
If you at the hindsight strength of the opponents both teams have played, there hasn’t been a “signature win” among any of them. The Steelers defense is legit and make plays against those who take risks. Jayden Daniels takes risks. Take the Steelers on the moneyline (+120).
The Vikings are an impressive road favorite (4.5 points at -110 for both teams). Minnesota still needs to make some believers, and the banged-up Jaguars are starting to book January vacation destinations. Take the Vikings and lay 4.5 points (-110).
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The Chargers are prohibitive favorites (7.5 points at -105 Titans, -115 Chargers). In all six Tennessee losses, the Titans have scored 17 or fewer points. The Chargers’ five wins have come by 12, 23, 7, 18, and 7 points. Those are a good combination. Take the Chargers and lay 7.5 points (-115).
The Eagles are huge road favorites (7.5 points at -105 Eagles, -115 Cowboys). These may be the most overrated teams in the league. Dak Prescott is out, but it’s hard to give a home team on the brink of disaster more than a TD cushion at home. Take the Cowboys plus 7.5 points (-115).
The Cardinals are favored by only one point at home. The Jets are on life support, so they will take more risks. Aaron Rodgers in a death match works here, because one more loss kills their season. Take the Jets on the moneyline (-110).
Detroit is a road favorite (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Lions are not only beating people, they’re beating up people. The Texans are a good team but can’t trade punches with a heavyweight from Detroit. Take the Lions and lay 3.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is huge (50 points at -110 for both Over and Under). It took until Week 10 for both teams to have all their star offensive players together on the same field, and they’re going let it fly under the primetime lights. Take Over 50 points (-110).
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.
This week’s picks have a couple wide receivers showing why they were first round fantasy draft picks, a maligned quarterback lighting it up and two of the best at their respective positions going under their projections because of defensive attention.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 9 sports betting and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 9.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
OFF = No odds currently listed.
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for the Week 9.
This week’s picks include Ohio standing tall, New York having another bad day, a couple young quarterbacks lighting up the scoreboard, and a division dagger being plunged.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 9 action.
It’s only Week 9 in the NFL, but it can be argued the season could be done for teams like the New York Jets, Dallas Cowboys, Cincinnati Bengals, Miami Dolphins and Seattle Seahawks if they lose this week.
From playoff expectations to desperation.
It won’t officially end their seasons, but it will put them in holes likely too deep to dig out from.
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
Somehow the Jets are favored (1.5 points). New York is overdue for a competent game, and the Texans are down their top two receivers. However, until New York doesn’t look like a dumpster fire, stay away from them. Take the Texans on the moneyline (+105).
The Cowboys are watching their season slip and are 2.5-point road dogs. If they lose this one, their path to a division title is all but dead, and being a playoff contender becomes more unlikely. If the Dallas defense can rattle Kirk Cousins, there a chance. Take the Cowboys on the moneyline (+120).
The Bengals are big favorites (7 points at -105 Raiders, -115 Bengals). If you look at Cincy’s last seven games, the Bengals beat the teams they’re supposed to and lose to the teams they should. All three of their wins are by seven points or more. Take the Bengals and lay 7 points (-115).
The Browns have struggled early but played their best game of the season last week and have their third straight home game. This should be a low-scoring game, and Browns defense is strong enough to limit the Chargers. Take the Browns on the moneyline (+105).
This game has a very low Over/Under (38 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Both teams have strong defenses and offenses that struggle. This should be a field-position game that may require a defensive touchdown to top this number. Take Under 38 points (-110).
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The Commanders are solid road favorites (4 points at -110 for both teams). Three of Washington’s last four wins have come by 11 points or more and, while the last four losses for the Giants have been by 5, 10, 25, and 12 points. Nothing should change. Take the Commanders and lay 4 points (-110).
The Saints are big favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). New Orleans has lost six straight games (the last four by a total of 78 points). But, the Saints trucked Carolina 47-10 in Week 1, and the Panthers are a worse team now. Begrudgingly take the Saints and lay 7.5 points (-110).
Baltimore is a huge favorite (9 points at -110 for both teams). The Broncos have won five of their last six games but haven’t beat a legitimate contender in any of them. The Ravens are stinging from a loss to Cleveland, but nine points is too many to give away. Take the Broncos plus 9 points (-110).
The Bills are pretty big home favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). Buffalo has been on the road four of their last five games, and the Bills’ last two home games have produced wins by 37 and 24 points. Buffalo knocked out Tua the first time they played and may force him to make business decisions on Sunday. Take the Bills and lay 6 points (-110).
The Eagles are huge favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Jaguars are 0-3 on the road (in the United States), and the Eagles have hit their stride with three straight wins, including W’s by 25 and 20 points on the road the last two weeks. The Jags can’t hang with the surging Eagles. Take the Eagles and lay 7.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under on this game is in the middle of the pack (44.5 points at -110 for both). The Bears haven’t won on the road this season, whereas the Cardinals are playing their third straight road game. Look for Arizona to score enough to surpass that number. Take Over 44.5 points (-110).
Detroit is a road favorite (3.5 points at -105 Lions, -115 Packers). The Lions are 3-0 on the road and have been imposing their will. The Packers have allowed two teams to score 30 points and lost both (Eagles and Vikings). The Lions have scored more than 30 points in each of their last four games. Take the Lions and lay 3.5 points (-105).
The Rams are road favorites (1.5 points at -110 for both teams). LA has won its last two games and has its starting wide receivers back. Seattle has lost four of its last five, including its last three games at home. The 12th Man isn’t a threat this season. Take the Rams and lay 1.5 points (-110).
The Vikings are solid home favorites (5.5 points at -115 Colts, -105 Vikings). Three of Indy’s four losses have come by three points and, while the Vikings should win, the game may be closer than having to lay that many points. Take the Colts plus 5.5 points (-115).
The Over/Under is middle of the road (45.5 points at -110 for both). The Bucs offense can still move the ball, and the Chiefs are due to have a big game offensively after struggling. If Kansas City gets an early lead, the Chiefs won’t let up. Take Over 45.5 points (-110).
