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A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 10 sports betting and DFS action.
A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 10.
These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.
Note: Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
OFF = No odds currently listed.
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The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.
Sometimes the best thing to do when making prop bets is to go against the grain. So, this week, we do just that – we go against one of the top quarterbacks and the league’s most prolific fantasy scorer not hitting their numbers, a dynamic yet underachieving running back having his best game in a month, a running back who needs just seven yards to hit the Over, and midlevel tight end scoring a touchdown.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 10.
The second half of the 2023 season games began Thursday with the Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears – not a matchup the NFL was particularly proud of, but it was on the schedule.
As the stretch run begins, this week’s picks spread across the board – a game to go Over, a game to stay Under, a road favorite taking care of business, the smallest home favorite making a stand, and the most under-the-radar Super Bowl favorite continuing to hand out beatings.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 10 action.
In Week 1, every NFL team had a plan and much of which revolved around the quarterback. But 2023 has been a strange animal, and players not expected to be starters have become them at an alarming rate.
Nine weeks into the 2023 season, the list of starting quarterbacks includes Joshua Dobbs, Clayton Tune, Taylor Heinicke, Andy Dalton, Tyson Bagent, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, PJ Walker, Brett Rypien, Brian Hoyer, Aidan O’Connell, Jaren Hall, Tyrod Taylor and Tommy DeVito. This list doesn’t include four highly touted rookies, who have started part of all of the season, or Jordan Love, who was handed the starting job after the Green Bay Packers traded Aaron Rodgers.
We’re only halfway through the season and the carnage at QB has been pronounced.
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These teams have combined for just three wins, which is why the Bears are small home favorites (2.5 points at -115 Panthers, -105 Bears). Carolina has been competitive at home but has been crushed on the road, losing by 14, 10, 18 and 21 points. It won’t be a blowout, but the Bears should have enough to cover vs. an injury-ravaged defense. Take the Bears and lay 2.5 points (-105).
The Patriots have been awful, because they average allowing their opponent to have the ball for seven more minutes a game. The Colts are a slight road favorite (1.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Patriots have been brutal and nondescript on both sides of the ball, and I’m giving up on them. Take the Colts and lay 1.5 points (-110).
The Bengals are on a roll after winning four straight games, including beating playoff favorites Seattle, San Francisco and Buffalo. None of those games went past this Over/Under (47.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Houston has showed a lot of improvement, but the only way this games hits the over will require a shootout, which is unlikely. Take Under 47.5 points (-110).
The Vikings have won four straight but remain home underdogs (2.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Saints have been erratic, but have won their last two games and their last three wins have been by 34, 11 and 7 points. The Vikings are improved on defense, but the Saints have the weapons to do damage. Take the Saints and lay 2.5 points (-110).
The Packers broke a four-game losing streak last week, but they’re still brutal and have been outscored 91-36 in the first half this season. The Steelers are a small favorite (3 points at +100 Packers, -120 Steelers). The Steelers have been outgained by almost 100 yards a game but find ways to win and will do it again against a rebuilding Packers team. Take the Steelers and lay 3 points (-120).
The Buccaneers are the smallest of favorites (1 point at -115 Titans, -105 Buccaneers). The Buccaneers have lost four straight, but all of them have been close games they could have won. The key here is that Tennessee is 0-4 on the road and hasn’t scored more than 16 points in any of them. That should play in the Bucs’ favor. Take the Buccaneers and lay 1 point (-105).
Despite three straight losses, the 49ers are road favorites (3 points at -110 for the 49ers and Jaguars). San Francisco has scored 17 points in each of its last three games. The Jaguars have won five straight games and, while the 49ers have the deeper roster, the Jaguars don’t deserve to be a home underdog at 6-2. Take the Jaguars plus 3 points (-110).
The Ravens have been hammering opponents, which explains being a big home favorite (6 points at -110 for both teams). Baltimore is hitting on all cylinders, outscoring its opponents 106-33 in the last three games. In their first meeting, the Ravens won 28-3 and a blowout win is possible in this one, too. Take the Ravens and lay 6 points (-110).
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Kyler Murray is back, so the Over/Under is higher than expected (44 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Cardinals are 1-8 and have scored just 53 points in their last four games. In four road games this season, the Falcons have scored just 52 points. Too many things add up to this being a low-scoring contest. Take Under 44 points (-110).
The Chargers have won two straight to get back to .500, but the Lions are road favorites (3 points at -110 for both). Both teams are capable of putting up big points, but the Lions are coming off their bye week and are looking to cement their position as one of the top NFC teams. Take the Lions and lay 3 points (-110).
The Giants are massive 16.5-point underdogs, but the Over/Under is the bet here (38.5 points at -110 for both). In their last seven games, the Giants have scored just 70 points and were shut out 40-0 in their first meeting with the Cowboys. Dallas should roll in this one and keep the Giants’ score extremely low. Take Under 38.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under here is a little high (45.5 points at -110 for both), but Washington has scored 20 or more points in seven of nine games, and the Seahawks have scored 20 or more in five of their last seven. But Seattle has hit under this number in each of the last five games, and Washington has hit under this point threshold in three of the last four. Take Under 45.5 points (-110).
The Over/Under is the lowest of the week (36 points at -110 for both). This comes despite the Raiders hitting over this number in each of their last four games, while the Jets have been under in their last three games (including two wins). It may take a defensive/special teams TD to go Over, but this point is just too low. Take Over 36 points (-110).
Denver has won two straight games, and Buffalo has been erratic, losing three of its last five games. But, the Bills remain a big favorite (7.5 points at -110 for both). The Bills are 4-1 at home and don’t struggle there as they do on the road. Look for the Bills to play up-tempo and get back to what they do best. Take the Bills and lay 7.5 points (-110).
Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.
NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.
Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.
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Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey
The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.
There are times when deadlines kill those who are trying to proffer betting advice. This is one of those weeks. Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen hasn’t “officially” been ruled out of Sunday’s game against the Minnesota Vikings. The fact the line in the game didn’t go “off the board” when it dropped from Buffalo being a 9.5-point favorite to 3.5 points instantly on Wednesday and bets were being taken should have churched some up into belief that Allen isn’t playing.
Regardless of that, Case Keenum and Stefon Diggs are in for a revenge play. The thrower and the recipient of the Minneapolis Miracle get their chance to exact some organizational revenge. Win or lose, Diggs is going to get the ball in his hands at least 10 times. I don’t care what the Over/Under is, he’s getting his. However, at this time, I can’t make that bet.
Deadlines suck, but that number will come out at some point. Take the Over.
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook
Five of the smartest wagers to make for NFL Week 10 action.
This week we focus on the point spread favorites. Of the five best bets for this week, four are taking favorites – three home and one road – including the biggest point spread of the week as well as one Over/Under that could be the shootout 2022 is sorely lacking in.
There’s revenge. There’s being in a bad neighborhood on a Monday night where the locals are looking to beat somebody down. There’s a knockout punch for teams transitioning division title dreams into wild-card hopes. It has it all.
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook
The smartest wagers from around the NFL entering Week 10.
Week 10 in the NFL could be a big week for home cookin’. Of the 14 games on the schedule, only three road teams are favored – two because they’re playing the hapless Carolina Panthers and Pittsburgh Steelers, and the Dallas Cowboys on the road against the reeling Green Bay Packers, who have lost five straight.
This may be the biggest week of the season to date to focus on the point spread, because that’s where the best bets are going to be found.
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook
The Falcons somehow find themselves in first place in this brutal division, so it makes sense that they a mild road favorite (2.5 points at -120 Falcons, +100 Panthers). It’s not that I have any faith whatsoever in the Falcons, I just have less faith in the Panthers. Take the Falcons and lay 2.5 points (-120).
The Seahawks are one of the most surprising teams in the NFL this season, and the Buccaneers are a very modest favorite playing in Munich (2.5 points at -120 Buccaneers, -101 Seahawks). I still have a hard time laying off the Bucs as being done, because I believe they have the talent to flip the switch and roll off four or five straight wins when they’re right. Geno Smith takes a beating, and the Bucs try to get things moving in the right direction. Take the Buccaneers and lay 2.5 points (-120).
A week ago, Buffalo was an early 9.5-point favorite. With news of Josh Allen‘s elbow injury it has dropped like a rock (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). If Allen can’t go, backup Case Keenum is reunited with Stefon Diggs against the team in which they performed the Minneapolis Miracle. The Bills will miss Allen is he doesn’t play, but I would still have the spread closer to 7 points than 3.5. Take the Bills and lay 3.5 points (-110).
Neither offense has been able to consistently move the ball, which explains the low Over/Under (40.5 points at -105 Over, -115 Under). I’m convinced this number will rise a point or two before game time, which is fine by me because I think the first team to 20 wins. Take the Under (-115).
The Bears are a much different team since they’ve opted to let Justin Fields run more, but O/U is too high (48.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Both teams have shaky pass offenses and not a ton of big-play guys, so I see running as being the primary way of moving the ball. Two or three field goals at the end of long drives makes this number really hard to hit. Take the Under (-110).
The Browns are coming off their bye, and Miami’s offense is posting gaudy numbers. The Over/Under here is the same point as the Lions-Bears game (48.5 points at -110 for both). Both teams are capable of putting points on the board and neither tends to let up if an opposing defense can’t stop what they’re doing. Take the Over (-110).
I’ve been on record that I believe the success the Giants have had is not sustainable. They’re a solid favorite (5 points at -110 for both teams). It’s showing respect for a team at home against one of the league dregs. While you won’t catch me on the G-Men bandwagon, I’m hopping a ride this week. Take the Giants and lay 5 points (-110).
This game features the highest Over/Under of any game on the Week 10 slate (50.5 points at -110 Over, -110 Under). The biggest problem I have here is that I’m not convinced the Jaguars can score more than 17 points and their defense is good enough to keep the Chiefs to 35 or less. Take the Under (-110).
While I’m intrigued by the pee-wee Over/Under on this one (37 points), I’m more interested in the Titans being less than a touchdown favorite (2.5 points at -105 Broncos, -115 Titans). This has the cliche “trap game” written all over it – Broncos coming off their bye and Titans coming off a tough loss on Sunday night to the Chiefs. Tennessee has been underestimated all year. If Ryan Tannehill is back, the offense can be two-dimensional, which allows Derrick Henry to do his thing. Take the Titans and lay 2.5 points (-115).
The Colts are in disarray, which helps explain why the Raiders are such a big favorite (6 points at -115 Colts, -105 Raiders). The Colts set the standard when they “sucked for Luck” and threw a QB to the wolves for an entire season to get a QB in the draft. I think we’re witnessing S4L 2.0 with their recent decisions. Take the Raiders and lay 6 points (-105).
The Cowboys are 6-2 Against the Spread, which means they beat the teams they’re supposed by the amount they should. The Packers are again a big underdog (5 points at -110 Cowboys, -110 Packers). Green Bay has struggled against marginal defenses. The Cowboys are rested coming off their bye week and not intimidated by Lambeau Field, much less for a host on a five-game losing streak. The conventional wisdom is that the Packers will find a way. If they can’t do it against the Commanders or Lions, what makes you think Dallas will lay an egg? Take the Cowboys and lay 5 points (-110).
Both teams are extremely banged up and a lot of big-time players didn’t practice Wednesday. That can help explain why the Over/Under is so low (41.5 points at -110 for both). Seeing as neither team has been able to run consistently or effectively, I see too many passes being thrown to keep this one that low scoring. Take the Over (-110).
The 49ers are a big favorite because the Chargers are so unpredictable from week to week. However, the Over/Under is interesting (45 points at -115 Over, -105 Under). The 49ers at their best control the clock and force teams to play their style. Justin Herbert will get his, but this has the feel of a 23-20 type game with as many or more field goals than touchdowns. Take the Under (-105).
The last time the Eagles were huge home primetime favorites, they dominated but took their foot off the gas long enough not to cover. They’re big favorites again (10.5 points at -108 Commanders, -112 Eagles). Against a division rival on its backup QB, if there’s blood in the water, the Eagles should attack. Take the Eagles and lay 10.5 points (-112).
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