Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 10

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 10 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 10.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Note: Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 10

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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The 5 best prop bets for Week 10

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

Sometimes the best thing to do when making prop bets is to go against the grain. So, this week, we do just that – we go against one of the top quarterbacks and the league’s most prolific fantasy scorer not hitting their numbers, a dynamic yet underachieving running back having his best game in a month, a running back who needs just seven yards to hit the Over, and midlevel tight end scoring a touchdown.

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

The 5 best bets for Week 10

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 10.

The second half of the 2023 season games began Thursday with the Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears – not a matchup the NFL was particularly proud of, but it was on the schedule.

As the stretch run begins, this week’s picks spread across the board – a game to go Over, a game to stay Under, a road favorite taking care of business, the smallest home favorite making a stand, and the most under-the-radar Super Bowl favorite continuing to hand out beatings.

Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the NFL line: Week 10

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 10 action.

In Week 1, every NFL team had a plan and much of which revolved around the quarterback. But 2023 has been a strange animal, and players not expected to be starters have become them at an alarming rate.

Nine weeks into the 2023 season, the list of starting quarterbacks includes Joshua Dobbs, Clayton Tune, Taylor Heinicke, Andy Dalton, Tyson Bagent, Dorian Thompson-Robinson, PJ Walker, Brett Rypien, Brian Hoyer, Aidan O’Connell, Jaren Hall, Tyrod Taylor and Tommy DeVito. This list doesn’t include four highly touted rookies, who have started part of all of the season, or Jordan Love, who was handed the starting job after the Green Bay Packers traded Aaron Rodgers.

We’re only halfway through the season and the carnage at QB has been pronounced.

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Carolina Panthers (+145) at Chicago Bears (-175)

These teams have combined for just three wins, which is why the Bears are small home favorites (2.5 points at -115 Panthers, -105 Bears). Carolina has been competitive at home but has been crushed on the road, losing by 14, 10, 18 and 21 points. It won’t be a blowout, but the Bears should have enough to cover vs. an injury-ravaged defense. Take the Bears and lay 2.5 points (-105).

Indianapolis Colts (-120) at New England Patriots (+100)

The Patriots have been awful, because they average allowing their opponent to have the ball for seven more minutes a game. The Colts are a slight road favorite (1.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Patriots have been brutal and nondescript on both sides of the ball, and I’m giving up on them. Take the Colts and lay 1.5 points (-110).

Houston Texans (+240) at Cincinnati Bengals (-300)

The Bengals are on a roll after winning four straight games, including beating playoff favorites Seattle, San Francisco and Buffalo. None of those games went past this Over/Under (47.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). Houston has showed a lot of improvement, but the only way this games hits the over will require a shootout, which is unlikely. Take Under 47.5 points (-110).

New Orleans Saints (-145) at Minnesota Vikings (+120)

The Vikings have won four straight but remain home underdogs (2.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Saints have been erratic, but have won their last two games and their last three wins have been by 34, 11 and 7 points. The Vikings are improved on defense, but the Saints have the weapons to do damage. Take the Saints and lay 2.5 points (-110).

Green Bay Packers (+145) at Pittsburgh Steelers (-175)

The Packers broke a four-game losing streak last week, but they’re still brutal and have been outscored 91-36 in the first half this season. The Steelers are a small favorite (3 points at +100 Packers, -120 Steelers). The Steelers have been outgained by almost 100 yards a game but find ways to win and will do it again against a rebuilding Packers team. Take the Steelers and lay 3 points (-120).

Tennessee Titans (-105) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-115)

The Buccaneers are the smallest of favorites (1 point at -115 Titans, -105 Buccaneers). The Buccaneers have lost four straight, but all of them have been close games they could have won. The key here is that Tennessee is 0-4 on the road and hasn’t scored more than 16 points in any of them. That should play in the Bucs’ favor. Take the Buccaneers and lay 1 point (-105).

San Francisco 49ers (-160) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+135)

Despite three straight losses, the 49ers are road favorites (3 points at -110 for the 49ers and Jaguars). San Francisco has scored 17 points in each of its last three games. The Jaguars have won five straight games and, while the 49ers have the deeper roster, the Jaguars don’t deserve to be a home underdog at 6-2. Take the Jaguars plus 3 points (-110).

Cleveland Browns (+200) at Baltimore Ravens (-250)

The Ravens have been hammering opponents, which explains being a big home favorite (6 points at -110 for both teams). Baltimore is hitting on all cylinders, outscoring its opponents 106-33 in the last three games. In their first meeting, the Ravens won 28-3 and a blowout win is possible in this one, too. Take the Ravens and lay 6 points (-110).

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Atlanta Falcons (-120) at Arizona Cardinals (+100)

Kyler Murray is back, so the Over/Under is higher than expected (44 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Cardinals are 1-8 and have scored just 53 points in their last four games. In four road games this season, the Falcons have scored just 52 points. Too many things add up to this being a low-scoring contest. Take Under 44 points (-110).

Detroit Lions (-155) at Los Angeles Chargers (+130)

The Chargers have won two straight to get back to .500, but the Lions are road favorites (3 points at -110 for both). Both teams are capable of putting up big points, but the Lions are coming off their bye week and are looking to cement their position as one of the top NFC teams. Take the Lions and lay 3 points (-110).

New York Giants (+800) at Dallas Cowboys (-1400)

The Giants are massive 16.5-point underdogs, but the Over/Under is the bet here (38.5 points at -110 for both). In their last seven games, the Giants have scored just 70 points and were shut out 40-0 in their first meeting with the Cowboys. Dallas should roll in this one and keep the Giants’ score extremely low. Take Under 38.5 points (-110).

Washington Commanders (+220) at Seattle Seahawks (-275)

The Over/Under here is a little high (45.5 points at -110 for both), but Washington has scored 20 or more points in seven of nine games, and the Seahawks have scored 20 or more in five of their last seven. But Seattle has hit under this number in each of the last five games, and Washington has hit under this point threshold in three of the last four. Take Under 45.5 points (-110).

New York Jets (-120) at Las Vegas Raiders (+100)

The Over/Under is the lowest of the week (36 points at -110 for both). This comes despite the Raiders hitting over this number in each of their last four games, while the Jets have been under in their last three games (including two wins). It may take a defensive/special teams TD to go Over, but this point is just too low. Take Over 36 points (-110).

Denver Broncos (+290) at Buffalo Bills (-375)

Denver has won two straight games, and Buffalo has been erratic, losing three of its last five games. But, the Bills remain a big favorite (7.5 points at -110 for both). The Bills are 4-1 at home and don’t struggle there as they do on the road. Look for the Bills to play up-tempo and get back to what they do best. Take the Bills and lay 7.5 points (-110).


NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Week 10

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

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2023 Week 10 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2023 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2023 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,649-944-11 1,571-1,022-11 1,614-979-11 1,537-801-10 1129-698-9 699-364-5 178-104-2
accuracy (63.3%) (60.3%) (61.9%) (65.5%) (61.5%) (65.4%) (62.7%)

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,249-1,343-12 1,285-1,309-10 1,308-1,285-11 1,199-1,146-3 956-876-4 562-497-9 127-152-4
accuracy 48.0% 49.3% 50.2% 47.7% 52.1% 52.6% 44.9%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


Bruce Irvin on Seahawks being underdogs vs. Buccaneers: ‘We love it’

Bruce Irvin says they love it.

The Seahawks have been underdogs for most of their games this season. It wasn’t until Week 8 against the Giants that they finally started getting some respect from the oddsmakers. And yet, last week they were once again considered underdogs against the Cardinals, who they just beat by 10 points for the second time this season. For an encore, Seattle is once again not favored for this week’s matchup in Munich against the Buccaneers.

According to Tipico Sportsbook, the Bucs are favored by 1.5 points. However, if you haven’t figured it out by now these Seahawks kind of like being the underdogs. Bruce Irvin says they love it.

While Irvin’s arrival a few weeks ago can’t be credited with everything that’s gone right during this four-game winning streak, it doesn’t feel like a total coincidence, either. Despite a couple mistakes on Arizona’s first drive on Sunday, Seattle’s defense has done an absolute 180 since an awful start and now looks like a true top-10 unit. Some numbers back that up, as well.

As for the Bucs, they’re 4-5 and are considered one of the biggest disapppointments in the NFL this year. Still, by now we’ve learned never to count out Tom Brady, who just became the first player ever with 100,000 career passing yards and led Tampa on his 55th game-winning drive, passing Peyton Manning for the most all time.

If the playoffs were to begin today, Seattle would hold the third seed in the NFC and Tampa would be fourth. Expect a postseason type atmosphere.

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Panthers open as 6-point underdogs for Week 10 matchup with Buccaneers

According to the latest odds at BetMGM, Carolina has opened as a six-point underdog for this week’s matchup.

The Carolina Panthers are back at home this week to face another division rival. They’ll be hosting Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are fresh off an embarrassing loss in prime time to the New Orleans Saints.

According to the latest odds at BetMGM, Carolina has opened as a six-point underdog for this week’s matchup.

These teams played back in Week 2 and it started with a disaster. The Panthers fell behind 21-0 thanks to a couple of early turnovers by Teddy Bridgewater, who was still getting into a rhythm with his receivers at the time. The team rallied and made it interesting down the stretch, though. Ultimately, they lost, 31-17. A lot has changed since that game and Carolina will be playing at home this time around. An upset is certainly not out of the question.

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