Take that, Craig Carton: Broncos hit the over on 2024 wins

This summer, Craig Carton said the Broncos’ over/under win line should be 2.5. They just hit the over on the actual line of 5.5 wins.

Oddsmakers had low expectations for the Denver Broncos going into the 2024 NFL season, setting their over/under win total at 5.5 this spring.

NFL experts — Craig Carton among them — also had low expectations.

“The Broncos are going to stink,” Carton said in August. “There’s no talent on that team … I’m looking at the Denver Broncos going, that over/under should be 2.5! Where are the wins coming from?”

Eleven weeks into the season, the Broncos secured their sixth win with a convincing 38-6 victory over the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday. With six games remaining on the schedule, Denver should finish well above the “over” line in 2024.

This, of course, is no surprise to Broncos coach Sean Payton.

In an offseason interview with Jeff Duncan of The Times-Picayune, Payton was told about the team’s 5.5 over/under win line for the 2024 campaign.

“I love being the underdog. The next time I only win six games in a season will be the first,” Payton said in August.

Payton has never finished with fewer than seven wins in a season, a streak Denver will aim to continue when the Broncos go on the road to face the Las Vegas Raiders (2-8) in Week 12.

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Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 11

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 11 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 11.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 11

OFF = No odds currently listed.


Odd flip as Jets now favored over Cardinals in Week 10

After the Cardinals opened Week 10 as home favorites, the odds and lines have shifted.

The Arizona Cardinals will face the New York Jets Sunday afternoon in Week 10 at State Farm Stadium. Kickoff is at 4:25 p.m. ET (2:25 p.m. Arizona time) and the game will air on CBS.

After initially beginning the week as home favorites, the point spread and betting odds have shifted so that the Cardinals are now underdogs.

So let’s have a look at the betting odds and lines for the Jets vs. Cardinals Week 10 game, according to BetMGM Sportsbook.

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Jets at Cardinals Week 10 betting odds and lines

Odds updated as of Friday at 11:09 a.m. ET. 

Moneyline

  • Jets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Cardinals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)

These odds imply the Jets are about 7% more likely to win than the Cardinals.

This is a change. When the week opened, the Cardinals were -120 favorites with the Jets at +100. The line moved to both being -110 and now the Jets are favored.

According to BetMGM, 55% of bets are on the Cardinals to win the ML.

Spread

  • Jets -1.5 (-110)
  • Cardinals +1.5 (-110)

This is a full three-point shift in the odds. The Cardinals were 1.5-point favorites to start the week. Up until Thursday afternoon, they were favored by one point and then they moved again in favor of the Jets. 56% of the bets are on the Cardinals to cover.

The Jets are 3-6 ATS and the Cardinals are 6-3 ATS on the season.

Total

  • Over 46.5 (-110)
  • Under 46.5 (-110)

Even the total has increased. It began the week at 45.

Both teams are 4-4-1 O/U this season.

Get more Cardinals and NFL coverage from Cards Wire’s Jess Root and others by listening to the latest on the Rise Up, See Red podcast. Subscribe on SpotifyYouTube or Apple podcasts.

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Rams’ midseason odds to make playoffs, win Super Bowl and other awards

At the midway point in the season, here are the Rams’ latest odds to win the Super Bowl, make the playoffs and more

It looked like the Los Angeles Rams were in for another season similar to 2022 after they started 1-4 with a litany of injuries. However, they’ve turned things around in a hurry and look like a team that could make some noise in the second half of the season.

Through nine weeks, they’re 4-4 and just a half-game back of the division-leading Cardinals in the NFC West. Matthew Stafford is playing well, Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are back and the defense is meshing under Chris Shula after some growing pains.

At the midway point, we’re looking at the Rams’ latest odds to win the Super Bowl, reach the playoffs and updates on a few AP awards. All odds courtesy of BetMGM.

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Win Super Bowl LIX: +5000

The Rams’ Super Bowl odds have shortened considerably in the last month. After five games, they were +15000 to win it all following their 1-4 start, but they’re now +5000 – 15th-best in the NFL, which is close to where they started the year.

Win NFC title game: +2500

The Rams’ odds to reach the Super Bowl have also improved significantly. They now have the eighth-best odds to represent the NFC in the big game.

Make the playoffs: Yes (+225) | No (-275)

Before the season began, the Rams were -115 to make the playoffs. At 4-4 through nine weeks, their odds are now longer at +225. It’s certainly not impossible, but they still have a lot of work to do in order to complete this turnaround.

After Week 5, they were +750 to make the playoffs.

Over/under win total: Over 8.5 (+100) | Under 8.5 (-120)

Before the season began, the Rams’ over/under win total was set at 8.5. After eight games, that number remains the same, though the line is slightly juiced to the under.

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Win NFC West: +375

The Rams’ odds to win the division are actually much better than they are to be a wild-card team (+1000). That’s because the NFC West is wide open, with he 5-4 Cardinals currently leading. The Rams’ path to the playoffs will likely have to come as a division champ.

Matthew Stafford to win MVP: +8000

Stafford has played well this season but his numbers aren’t in line with being an MVP. He’s still a long shot to win the award at +8000, significantly longer than the co-favorites of Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson at +300.

Jared Verse to win Defensive Rookie of the Year: -125

Verse was tied for the third-best odds to win Defensive Rookie of the Year before the year started, coming in at +1000. Eight games into his career, he’s now the odds-on favorite at -125. The next-closest player is Laiatu Latu at +700.

Braden Fiske to win Defensive Rookie of the Year: +2500

Fiske is coming off his best performance of the season where he had two sacks against the Seahawks, so he’s making a charge up the board for Defensive Rookie of the Year. However, unless Verse completely cools off, it’s highly unlikely Fiske will overtake his teammate.

Sean McVay to win Coach of the Year: +3000

McVay is a phenomenal coach and he’s getting a lot out of a young team with a ton to prove and more injuries than just about anyone in the NFL. Dan Quinn is starting to pull away as the favorite to win this award, though, with +180 odds as of now. The Rams will need to go on a serious run in the second half for McVay to have any chance.

Updated odds for Bears at Cardinals in Week 9

A look at the BetMGM Sportsbook odds and lines for the Bears at Cardinals Week 9 game a few hours before kickoff.

The Arizona Cardinals face the Chicago Bears in Week 9. They kick off Sunday afternoon from State Farm Stadium. The Bears are 4-3 and the Cardinals are 4-4.

The Cardinals opened the week as slight favorites in the contest.

According to BetMGM Sportsbook, not much has changed. Let’s have a look at the updated odds.

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Bears at Cardinals Week 9 updated odds, lines

Moneyline

  • Bears +110
  • Cardinals -130

When the week began, it was Bears -105 and the Cardinals -115, where the Cardinals were viewed to be only about 2% more likely to win. With these updated odds, the Cardinals are given about 9% higher implied odds of winning.

In terms of bets made, 56% are betting the Bears to win.

Spread

  • Bears +2 (-110)
  • Cardinals -2 (-110)

When we checked the odds to start the week, the Cardinals were favored by one point. The line has moved a point in favor of the Cardinals.

In spread bets, 52% are on the Cardinals to cover.

Total

  • Over 44.5 (-110)
  • Under 44.5 (-110)

The projected total is the same as the start of the week, although it did briefly move to 43.5 before moving up to 44.5 again on Sunday morning.

Get more Cardinals and NFL coverage from Cards Wire’s Jess Root and others by listening to the latest on the Rise Up, See Red podcast. Subscribe on SpotifyYouTube or Apple podcasts.

 

Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 9

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 9 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 9.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 9

OFF = No odds currently listed.


Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 8

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 8 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 8.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 8

OFF = No odds currently listed.


Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 7

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 7 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 7.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 7

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 6

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 6 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 6.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 6

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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Rams’ updated playoff, division and Super Bowl odds after 5 games

At 1-4 entering the bye, the Rams have longer odds to make the playoffs than the Chiefs’s odds to win the Super Bowl

At one point this year, the Los Angeles Rams were seen as a dark horse Super Bowl contender. In February, they had the 13th-best odds to win it all but they’ve quickly tumbled down the board after a 1-4 start to the season.

Now, they’re looking like a team that may not even make the playoffs unless they turn things around in a hurry. Entering the bye week, here are the Rams’ updated odds from BetMGM to make the postseason, win the NFC West, reach the Super Bowl and win it all.

  • Playoffs: +750 ($100 bet wins $750)
  • NFC West: +1600
  • Reach Super Bowl: +6600
  • Win Super Bowl: +15000

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Those are all very long odds and while they obviously haven’t been eliminated from contention after only five games, they may need to go 10-2 the rest of the way to make any noise in the NFC.

Looking at their Super Bowl odds, only five teams are bigger long shots than the Rams: Giants (+20000), Titans (+20000), Raiders (+25000), Patriots (+50000) and Panthers (+75000). The Rams have the same Super Bowl odds as the Browns, who are an even bigger mess because of Deshaun Watson’s inability to do much of anything at quarterback.

The Rams’ playoff odds of +750 are actually longer than the Chiefs’ odds (+475) to win the Super Bowl after their perfect 5-0 start to the season. The Ravens and 49ers each have Super Bowl odds of +750, too.

As of now, the Rams’ over/under win total is 6.5 (+115 over, -145 under), so the oddsmakers don’t see them winning very many games down the stretch. The schedule doesn’t get much easier, either, with the most favorable games being against the Raiders and Patriots – and potentially a Tua Tagovailoa-less Dolphins team.