Tag: ATS betting NFL

Betting the NFL Line: Divisional Round

The wisest wagers one should make for the upcoming NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs.

We have reached the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs and No. 1 seeds are getting their welcome to the dance on their home turf. For this week’s picks, we take two home teams covering the spread, one Over, and one Under.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Divisional Round

Jacksonville Jaguars (+360) at Kansas City Chiefs (-450)

When these teams met in Week 10, Kansas City had one of its worst games in terms of turnovers (minus-3), yet still dominated and won 27-17. When you overcame three turnovers, built a 20-0 lead at halftime, and kept the Jaguars at arm’s length in the second half, how bad was it? The Chiefs had only three offensive drives in the second half but ran 29 plays and held the ball for 9:39 of the fourth quarter to close things out.

The Chiefs are heavy favorites (9 points at -111 Jaguars, -109 Chiefs), and the weather forecast calls for a rain/snow mix with temperatures in the mid-30s at game time. That doesn’t sound like Jaguars weather. The Chiefs won by 10 with a minus-three turnover number. Imagine if they win the turnover battle? Take the Chiefs and lay 9 points.

New York Giants (+290) at Philadelphia Eagles (-350)

There is always something special about division rivals playing each other a third time in the postseason. They played in Week 18. In a twist of irony, the Giants knew their playoff seeding and the Eagles didn’t. As a result, Jalen Hurts shook off the rust against a Giants team resting numerous starters. The result? A 22-16 Eagles win that featured six field goals and three touchdowns.

In this rivalry, a score like that isn’t unusual, which is why the Over/Under number is a little puzzling (48 points at -109 Over, -111 Under). While the Eagles hammered the Giants in their first meeting this season, in their last six games these two have combined to hit Under this point five times – all by four points or more below this number. Familiarity will come into play and every point will be safeguarded, which again could lead to as many or more field goals as touchdowns. Take the Under (-111).

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Cincinnati Bengals (+195) at Buffalo Bills (-230)

The Damar Hamlin tragedy abruptly ended the regular-season meeting, which had huge postseason ramifications. The Bengals were ahead 7-3 and driving when the game stopped. Had they won, this rematch would be in Cincinnati. As much motivation as Hamlin is going to provide pregame to the Bills Mafia, the Bengals have their own motivation – revenge.

The Over/Under acknowledges points will be scored (48 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). Both defenses have playmakers, but the straw that stirs for both teams is their offenses. Their defenses can struggle and still win games. If their offenses struggle, it’s a lot harder to win. I see both offenses taking chances downfield and enough splash plays will happen that there are too many scenarios (good, bad or hideous for the losing team) that hit the Over to avoid. Take the Over (-112).

Dallas Cowboys (+160) at San Francisco 49ers (-190)

This is an ideal betting matchup, because the Cowboys have a dedicated fan base that has surrendered January money for pushing 30 years. America’s Torn Betting Slip. Fresh off their win against an aging core of a Buccaneers roster, the Cowboy Swagger is back in play and dreams of punching the 49ers in their Purdy mouth are afoot.

The result is that the 49ers are small home favorites (3.5 points at -112 Cowboys, -108 49ers). It isn’t the San Francisco offense that has the team in this position – even though it has been weaponized since Christian McCaffrey arrived. It’s the league’s top-ranked defense. Dallas has a lot of talent, but it doesn’t take many mistakes – in any of the three phases of the game – for a team like the 49ers to take advantage of and exploit. Take the 49ers and lay 3.5 points (-108).

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Betting the NFL Line: Wild Card Weekend

All of the key bets you should make for the NFL’s Wild Card Weekend.

The 2022 playoffs begin with a six-pack of games featuring three games pitting division rivals and three games with teams that met earlier in the season. This week, we take three home favorites to cover, one road team to come away with a win, and two games hitting the Under due in large part to injuries at quarterback.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Wild Card Weekend

Seattle Seahawks (+410) at San Francisco 49ers (-525)

The 49ers are the hottest team in the NFL, because they are the most complete team in the league. They have won 10 straight games, have scored more than 30 points eight times (including the last three and five of the last six), and allowed 17 or fewer in 12 of the last 16 games (including eight of the last 10).

That is likely why the 49ers are such huge favorites against their division rival Seahawks (9.5 points at -105 Seahawks, -115 49ers). The 49ers swept the season series by scores of 27-7 and 21-13. There will be some who aren’t willing to give away this many points, but the 49ers’ home wins have come by totals of 20, 15, 6, 13, 16, 28, 17 and 15 points. They’ve covered this number in seven of nine home games, so there’s no reason to think Seattle can buck this trend. Take the 49ers and lay 9.5 points (-115).

Los Angeles Chargers (-125) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+105)

The Chargers and the Jacksonville Jaguars met in Week 3 when Jacksonville went on the road and pounded Los Angeles 38-10, dominating on both sides of the ball. However, after that win, the Jaguars lost seven of their next nine games and needed to win their last five games to finish above .500 and with the AFC South.

The Chargers played about as poorly as they could in the first meeting. While they’re the most unpredictable team in this year’s playoff field, when they’re on, they can win games with their offense and their defense. Yet, they are road favorites (2 points at -111 Chargers, -109 Jaguars). While you always take a risk investing in the Chargers, this time around, Los Angeles won’t make the same mistakes and come away with a win. Take the Chargers and lay 2 points (-111).

Miami Dolphins (+575) at Buffalo Bills (-850)

Tua Tagovailoa has been ruled out. Teddy Bridgewater isn’t expected to be available with a pinky injury on his throwing hand. That leaves seventh-round rookie Skylar Thompson in line to start for the Dolphins. In seven games in which Thompson played, he threw 105 passes. In those games, he completed just 57 percent of his passes for 534 yards with one touchdown, three interceptions and a passer rating of 62.2.

The Dolphins split with the Bills this year, but both those games were with Tagovailoa at quarterback. Thompson has had very little work with the first-team offense this season, because the plan was never to start him until other options weren’t available. This O/U number (43.5 points at -111 Over, -109 Under) needs both teams to put up points to hit the Over, and I don’t believe this version of the Dolphins can do their part. Take the Under (-109).

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New York Giants (+140) at Minnesota Vikings (-165)

It seems like everyone looking for an upset pick is jumping on the Giants. Minnesota beat the Giants 27-24 in Week 16 at US Bank Stadium by scoring 17 points in the fourth quarter to pull out yet another improbable win, which explains why they’re such small home favorites (3 points at -110 for both teams).

I don’t expect the Vikings to make a deep playoff run, but this is a game where if their offensive line holds up, the Giants defense will have a lot of difficulty slowing them down and keeping pace. Laying three points isn’t a lot for a team that posted an 8-1 record in front of the home fans this season. Take the Vikings and lay 3 points (-110).

Baltimore Ravens (+360) at Cincinnati Bengals (-450)

The Bengals played their starters in their 27-16 win last week while the Baltimore Ravens were without some of their key players. If Lamar Jackson was coming back, it might be a different story, but he didn’t practice Wednesday – the 16th straight practice he has missed.

As a result, the line for the Bengals keeps going higher (8 points at -108 Ravens, -112 Bengals). I don’t like giving away a more touchdown against a division rival – much less in the playoffs – but the Ravens are going to struggle to score 17 points, which doesn’t leave a lot for the Bengals to make up to win this game and this bet. Take the Bengals and lay 8 points (-112).

Dallas Cowboys (-140) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+120)

Two of the more puzzling teams in the league as the Buccaneers won the NFC South with an 8-9 record, and a Cowboys team that looked awful in their final game of the season when there was still an outside chance of locking down the No. 1 seed. That is why the most interesting bet here is the Over/Under (45 points at -112 Over, -108 Under).

The Buccaneers are averaging just 11.2 points through the first three quarters, while the Cowboys have been adept at shutting down teams late when they have a lead – allowing just 4.5 points a game in the fourth quarter and overtime. This one could go either way, but expect a low-scoring game from the two teams that combined to score 22 points when they met in Week 1. Take the Under (-108).

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Betting the NFL Line: Week 18

A wise wager from every contest in the regular-season finale.

The tragic events of Monday night have created more questions than answers at the top of the AFC, but there are a lot more seeds to be filled in the final week of the regular season.

When one thinks of divisional matchups, you envision games that are played closer to the vest than most because of the innate familiarity the teams have playing twice a year. But nine of the 16 games have one team favored by six or more points, clearly giving the impression that there should be some blowout games on the weekend schedule. When some teams have a lot to play for and others have nothing, strange things happen.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 18

Kansas City Chiefs (-425) at Las Vegas Raiders (+350)

This game has the highest Over/Under of this week’s games (52.5 points at -110 for both the Over and Under). The Chiefs need to win to have a chance for the No. 1 seed in the AFC. These two teams have gone Over this point in their last five meetings, and the Raiders have been a thorn in the Chiefs side. They won’t let up if they get a big lead. Take the Over (-110).

Tennessee Titans (+220) at Jacksonville Jaguars (-260)

The Jaguars are on the precipice of locking down the division title and are heavy favorites (6 points at -112 Titans, -108 Jaguars). While I think they will find a way to win, the potential of Derrick Henry running 30 or more times gives me cause for pause to give away that many points to an upstart to their throne. Take the Titans plus 6 points (-112).

Cleveland Browns (+125) at Pittsburgh Steelers (-145)

The Steelers haven’t hit above this O/U (40 points at -110 for both) in their last five games (four wins) and the last time they went Over, 41 points were scored. The Browns have been under this number the last four games, and 41 points were scored the last time they hit the Over. That sounds like a trend to me. Take the Under (-110).

New England Patriots (+280) at Buffalo Bills (-340)

The Bills will be playing for Damar Hamlin and emotion is an unsung factor that motivates teams. Buffalo is a big favorite (7.5 points at -112 Patriots, -108 Bills), but they entered Week 17 as the No. 1 seed in the AFC and are going to force the issue to resume the Bengals game at some point out of competitive fairness. Take the Bills and lay 7.5 points (-108).

Baltimore Ravens (+270) at Cincinnati Bengals (-330)

Like the Bills, the Bengals still have a chance to be the No. 1 seed. They’re big favorites (7 points at -111 Ravens, -109 Bengals). If Lamar Jackson was playing, I’d see this much differently, but he hasn’t practiced in a month and the Ravens are already in the playoffs. A rematch could be coming in the first week of the playoffs … with Jackson under center. Take the Bengals and lay 7 points (-109).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+170) at Atlanta Falcons (-200)

The Bucs are talking tough about playing all their starters. I’m not buying it and was looking at getting 3.5 points. However, the best tactic is assuming Todd Bowles is lying or will treat this like a preseason game and pull the starters after one quarter. The Over/Under is decent (40.5 points at -110 Over, -110 Under). The Bucs backups can keep Atlanta in check, and the backup Tampa offense will keep their punter busy. Take the Under (-110).

Houston Texans (+125) at Indianapolis Colts (-145)

I’m no fan of the Colts, but the Texans need to lose to assure the No. 1 pick in the 2023 draft. When Houston was trying, they can’t beat the Colts. Indy is 4-0-1 in their last five meetings. The Colts are given the standard home-field advantage (3 points at -108 Texans, -112 Colts). Given the gravity of winning this game and potentially losing the No. 1 pick to Chicago, shady things may take place. Take the Colts and lay 3 points (-112).

New York Jets (-115) at Miami Dolphins (-105)

Miami is likely relegated to seventh-round rookie Skyler Thompson against a strong Jets defense. New York has lost five straight with point totals of 12, 17, 3 and 6 in their last four. The O/U is the lowest of the week (38.5 points at -110 for both). Not low enough. Take the Under (-110).

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Minnesota Vikings (-350) at Chicago Bears (+290)

The Vikings are healthy road favorites (7 points at -116 Vikings, -104 Bears), primarily because Justin Fields is out. Given the circumstances, the Bears could land the No. 1 overall pick and have a lot of trade capital. Minnesota likely won’t move out of the No. 3 seed, but they should have enough to handle this number. Take the Vikings and lay 7 points (-116).

Carolina Panthers (+155) at New Orleans Saints (-180)

The Over/Under is low (41.5 points at -110 Over, -110 Under). The Saints haven’t hit Over this number in their last five games. The Panthers and Saints haven’t hit Over this number in their last four meetings. There’s a whole lot of trending going on. Take the Under (-110).

Dallas Cowboys (-370) at Washington Commanders (+305)

Technically, Dallas can lock down the No. 1 seed if the Eagles falter. Not likely, but possible. As such, the Commanders are big home underdogs (7.5 points at -106 Cowboys, -114 Commanders). There may be scoreboard watching going on that pull starters, but until that happens, let the beating commence. Take the Cowboys and lay 7.5 points (-106).

Los Angeles Chargers (+105) at Denver Broncos (-125)

The Chargers are going to know before they start if they need to win to lock down the No. 5 seed (which gets the AFC South winner). That is huge. Because I’m convinced the Bengals will win, they’ll be locked in at 5 and have no reason to play. The O/U reflects that (39.5 points at -111 Over, -109 Under). The Broncos can’t score and neither can the Chargers’ junior varsity against a good Denver defense. Take the Under (-109).

Los Angeles Rams (+235) at Seattle Seahawks (-280)

All the Seahawks can do to make the playoffs is win and hope Detroit beats Green Bay. They’re good favorites (6.5 points at -111 Rams, -109 Seahawks). The Rams are limping out of 2022 with their rings in hand from the previous year. They’re going to be evaluating the back end of their roster talent in this one. Take the Seahawks and lay 6.5 points (-109).

New York Giants (+700) at Philadelphia Eagles (-1000)

The Giants are locked into their playoff spot at No. 6. The Eagles need to win to earn a bye they blew last week. Philadelphia has been installed as a massive favorite (13.5 points at -108 Giants, -112 Eagles). One team has everything to play for. The other has nothing. I’d lay more than this under the current scenario. Take the Eagles and lay 13.5 points (-112).

Arizona Cardinals (+800) at San Francisco 49ers (-1200)

The 49ers have won nine straight, the last few with Mr. Irrelevant 2022. While it’s unlikely the Eagles lose, anything is possible when they all kick off at the same time. Arizona is mailing it in with an offense not built for a No. 3 QB, and they’re giant dogs as a result (14 points at -110 for both teams). The 49ers will play their starters as long as the out of town scoreboard requires. Take the 49ers and lay 14 points (-110).

Detroit Lions (+190) at Green Bay Packers (-220)

The NFL wants Green Bay in the playoffs, which scares me a little bit because ref-related shenanigans have been known to take place. If Seattle wins, Detroit is eliminated. All they can do is keep Green Bay out. The Packers are solid favorites (4.5 points at -112 Lions, -108 Packers). While I think the Lions have a shot, things will take place that they lose – but not by five points. Take the Lions plus 4.5 points (-112).

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Betting the NFL Line: Week 17

A wise wager from each contest heading into NFL’s Week 17.

With two weeks to go in the 2022 regular season, there is shockingly only one game – Arizona at Atlanta – that doesn’t have some kind of playoff implications. Every other game has some postseason significance – some more than others – making the penultimate week of the regular season one of the most exciting to follow.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 17

Dallas Cowboys (-575) at Tennessee Titans (+430)

The Cowboys are massive 12-point favorites, and the Titans are without eight key starters, including their starting quarterback, running back, and best defensive player. The bet I’m looking at is the Over/Under (40 points at -110 Over, -110 Under). Dallas has hit the Over on this point in eight straight games, and I think the Titans will score enough points to do their part. Take the Over (-110).

Jacksonville Jaguars (-210) at Houston Texans (+180)

Depending on the outcome of the Cowboys-Titans game, the Jaguars could clinch the AFC South with a win. They’ve been installed as reasonable road favorites (4.5 points at -109 Jaguars, -111 Texans). Although Houston has been playing better, their division rivals know them better than most and how to exploit their weaknesses. Take the Jaguars are lay 4.5 points (-109).

Arizona Cardinals (+155) at Atlanta Falcons (-180)

Both teams are on quarterbacks they didn’t expect to play, yet they have a respectable Over/Under (42.5 points at -108 Over, -112 Under). I don’t have faith in either offense generating touchdowns and it might take a defensive or special teams TD to top this number. Take the Under (-112).

Indianapolis Colts (+200) at New York Giants (-240)

The Colts have become a running joke and now they take their show on the road where the Giants are solid favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Colts appear to be playing out the string, and the Giants can lock down a playoff spot. I always go with the more motivated team at home in these scenarios. Take the Giants and lay 5.5 points (-110).

New Orleans Saints (+220) at Philadelphia Eagles (-260)

The Saints have played six games against teams that are currently in the playoffs. They’ve lost all six and are facing the best team in their conference. The Eagles are solid favorites (6 points at -109 Saints, -111 Eagles). The Eagles need one more win to rest their starters for the next two weeks. I like those odds. Take the Eagles and lay 6 points (-111).

Carolina Panthers (+145) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-170)

The Buccaneers have been incredibly disappointing this season, but they’re still just one win away (at home) from heading back to the playoffs. They’re small home favorites (3 points at -104 Panthers, -116 Buccaneers). Neither team has a win against a team with a winning record. As much as they’ve put bettors through, I still can’t turn my back on Tom Brady. Take the Buccaneers and lay 3 points (-116).

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Denver Broncos (+550) at Kansas City Chiefs (-800)

The Broncos are broken and players are more concerned about who their next boss will be for next season. They’re making business decisions. The Chiefs are looking to lock down the No. 1 seed in the AFC and need to win out. They’re huge favorites (12.5 points at -110 for both teams). With so much at stake, if the Chiefs get a lead, they will keep the pressure on – and Denver doesn’t have the answer offensively. Take the Chiefs and lay 12.5 points (-110).

Chicago Bears (+210) at Detroit Lions (-250)

It’s rare when a point spread on a Bears-Lions game has been this high for one team (6 points at -110 Bears, -110 Lions). Detroit is a different team at home. They’re 3-1 in the last four home games and have lost to both the Eagles and Bills by just three points. Chicago can’t hold a candle to them. Take the Lions and lay 6 points (-110).

Miami Dolphins (+135) at New England Patriots (-155)

I don’t like this game at all because the Dolphins are in a brutal road location again, and the Patriots are frighteningly inconsistent. As such, the only bet I’ll touch is the Over/Under (41.5 points at -107 Over, -113 Under). I don’t think Miami’s offense will thrive, and I have no faith in New England’s offense. Take the Under (-113).

Cleveland Browns (+110) at Washington Commanders (-130)

The Browns are one of the more disappointing teams in the league, but are minimal road underdogs (2 points at -108 Browns, -112 Commanders). Washington is currently in the playoffs and needs this game to likely make it a reality. Take the Commanders and lay 2 points (-112).

New York Jets (-125) at Seattle Seahawks (+105)

The Jets have lost four straight that have strengthened the winner’s playoff positioning each time. Seattle is at the top of the glut of 7-8 teams in the NFC and are home dogs in front of the “12th Man.” They have issues on defense, but I’m not letting that stop me. Take the Seahawks on the moneyline (+105).

San Francisco 49ers (-475) at Las Vegas Raiders (+360)

The NFL’s hottest team faces a team that just gave up on its franchise quarterback. The 49ers would have been huge favorites anyway, but it’s bigger now (10 points at -111 49ers, -109 Raiders). Derek Carr will be the No. 3 QB and likely in street clothes. He was the only chance they remotely had to derail the Niner Train. Take the 49ers and lay 10 points (-111).

Minnesota Vikings (+150) at Green Bay Packers (-180)

The belief here is that the Packer magic is back, and the ghosts of Lambeau Field will rise up and carry the Packers to the playoffs. It makes for good copy and allows the TV talking-head cliche professionals to dabble in their art. What Minnesota has accomplished this season is improbable to say the least. The only complete win the Vikings have had all season came in Week 1 in a beatdown of the Packers. Take the Vikings on the moneyline (+150).

Los Angeles Rams (+235) at Los Angeles Chargers (-280)

One L.A. team is ready to go to the playoffs. The other L.A. team can look at those Super Bowl rings and remember what used to be. The Chargers are strong favorites (6.5 points at -111 Rams, -109 Chargers). Both teams are at home, so there’s no advantage other than two teams headed in different directions. Take the Chargers and lay 6.5 points (-109).

Pittsburgh Steelers (+125) at Baltimore Ravens (-150)

This is typically a bloodbath when both are at full strength. Neither one is this time around. The Ravens are small favorites (2.5 points at -109 Steelers, -111 Ravens). These games always seems to be close and come down to the final few minutes. I’ll take my chances with Justin Tucker kicking the winning field goal at home. Take the Ravens and lay 2.5 points (-111).

Buffalo Bills (-110) at Cincinnati Bengals (-110)

Monday night games usually look good on paper when the schedule comes out and can be awful in real time. The Bills have won six straight games. The Bengals have won seven straight. Both teams will come out slinging and probably not stop. The Over/Under is high (49.5 points at -111 Over, -109 Under). This may top this number late in the third quarter. Take the Over (-111).

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Betting the NFL Line: Week 16

Help pay for some of your holiday spending by making bank on these bets.

It’s been hard to avoid the discussion about a second massive weather system in two weeks that could impact a ton of games this week. As many as eight games could be played at or below freezing with wind and rain/snow potential for many of them.

As a result, nine of this Week’s 16 games have an Over/Under of 40 points or less. The oddsmakers are convinced we’re not going to see a lot of points and if wind is involved, they may well be right.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 16

Jacksonville Jaguars (+105) at New York Jets (-125)

The Jets will have a big advantage in playing at home, but the Jaguars are on a roll after posting wins against the Baltimore Ravens, Tennessee Titans and Dallas Cowboys. This battle between the No. 1 and No. 2 picks of the 2021 draft should go to Trevor Lawrence. Take the Jaguars on the moneyline (+105).

Detroit Lions (-140) at Carolina Panthers (+120)

The Lions are steamrolling having won six of their last seven games. The Panthers have inconsistent, which helps explain why the Lions are small road favorites (2.5 points at -118 Lions, -102 Panthers). Dan Campbell has this team playing well and the Panthers offense can’t fully exploit Detroit’s defensive weaknesses. Take the Lions and lay 2.5 points (-118).

New York Giants (+170) at Minnesota Vikings (-200)

Minnesota is 11-3 but has had a horseshoe in its pocket that covers the Vikings’ mistakes. The only thing consistent about this team is it scores a lot of points and give up a lot as well. The Over/Under is high (48 points at -113 Over, 107 Under), but I’m willing to take my chances based on past performance that no lead is safe for either team. Take the Over (-113).

Buffalo Bills (-400) at Chicago Bears (+325)

The Bears kept things close with the Eagles last week, but their defense isn’t up for the challenge coming from Buffalo. The Over/Under on this game is low (40 points at -112 Over, -108 Under), but neither team is intimidated or limited by inclement weather, and the Bills should be able to take care of 30 of these points by themselves. Take the Over (-112).

Seattle Seahawks (+400) at Kansas City Chiefs (-500)

I’m leery of double-digit spreads, because I tend to take the team predicted to roll, but with this one I can’t help myself. The Chiefs are double-digit favorites (10 points at -111 Seahawks, -109 Chiefs). The No. 1 seed in the AFC is on the line, and nobody wants to get a scare like the Texans put in the Chiefs last week. They’ll be playing to knock out Seattle early. Take the Chiefs and lay 10 points (-109).

Atlanta Falcons (+280) at Baltimore Ravens (-340)

Lamar Jackson is not expected back, and the Ravens still have been established as a big favorite (7 points at -109 Falcons, -111 Ravens). I’m unconvinced the Falcons can generate enough offense to keep pace and, if they fall behind, a bad situation gets worse. Take the Ravens and lay 7 points (-111).

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New Orleans Saints (+130) at Cleveland Browns (-150)

This game a microscopic O/U (32.5 points), but dome teams heading into the kind of brutal weather anticipated for Cleveland on Saturday rarely succeed. The Browns are a modest favorite (3 points at -116 Saints, -104 Browns), and the number is begging people to bet on Cleveland’s running game and run defense. Count me in. Take the Browns and lay 3 points (-104).

Cincinnati Bengals (-170) at New England Patriots (+145)

The Bengals have won six straight and 10 of their last 12, and they’re up against a nondescript Patriots team that will struggle to control time of possession. The Pats are getting respect on the line as the Bengals are small road favorites (3 points at -118 Bengals, -102 Patriots). Cincinnati is capable of blowing out the Patriots. New England isn’t capable of doing the same. Take the Bengals and lay 3 points (-118).

Houston Texans (+140) at Tennessee Titans (-160)

The Titans are expected to be without Ryan Tannehill, so they are minimal favorites (3 points at -105 Texans, -115 Titans). Tennessee needs to win every game to assure they repeat as division champions, which means Derrick Henry will be saddled up and ridden as far as he can take them, which should be enough against Houston. Take the Titans and lay 3 points (-115).

Washington Commanders (+270) at San Francisco 49ers (-330)

Despite being on their third QB of the season, the 49ers have won seven straight games and are deservedly big favorites (7 points at -115 Commanders, -105 49ers). Washington has been a feel-good story this season, but the 49ers have a deep playoff run in front of them, and the Commanders won’t slow that down. Take the 49ers and lay 7 points (-105).

Philadelphia Eagles (+190) at Dallas Cowboys (-220)

With Jalen Hurts expected out, the line has jumped in favor of the Cowboys. The number I’m looking at the Over/Under (47 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). Gardner Minshew is among the better backup QBs in the league and shouldn’t prevent the Eagles from putting up points. Take the Over (-112).

Las Vegas Raiders (+120) at Pittsburgh Steelers (-140)

The Steelers are looking to prevent their first losing season under Mike Tomlin. They’re modest home favorites (2.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Pittsburgh fans are going to make life miserable, especially after the 50th anniversary honoring of Franco Harris takes place, and the Steelers will respond. Take the Steelers and lay 2.5 points (-110).

Green Bay Packers (+170) at Miami Dolphins (-200)

With all of the low Over/Under numbers this week, this is tied for the highest (49 points at -110 for both). It’s high for a reason. The Packers defense doesn’t have an answer for the explosive Dolphins receivers, and if you force Aaron Rodgers to pass 40 times, he will produce points. Take the Over (-110).

Denver Broncos (-135) at Los Angeles Rams (+115)

This is one of the lowest O/U numbers (36.5 points at -109 Over, -111 Under) of the week, but both defenses are stout and both offenses are not. When it number gets this low, it dares you to take the Over, but I’m not biting … or watching this train wreck. Take the Under (-111).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-350) at Arizona Cardinals (+280)

The Buccaneers have been a joke much of this season for the talent they have but are still massive road favorites (7.5 points at -110 for both teams). It looks like Arizona will down to its third quarterback (Trace McSorley). Seeing as their top two QBs struggled to put up points, it’s hard to imagine McSorley will be different. Take the Buccaneers and lay 7.5 points (-110).

Los Angeles Chargers (-210) at Indianapolis Colts (+180)

The Chargers are road favorites (4.5 points at -111 Chargers, -109 Colts). That isn’t enough. In their last two games, Indianapolis allowed Dallas to score 33 points in the fourth quarter and blew the biggest lead in NFL history against the Vikings. The Chargers are willing to pass every down, and the Colts are bad enough that it will succeed. Take the Chargers and lay 4.5 points (-111).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

Betting the NFL Line: Week 15

Miss out on the fantasy playoffs? Place a few of these bets to cheer up.

With four weeks left in the regular season, we’re starting to see more teams get eliminated from playoff contention. To date, only three teams have been officially nixed — Houston, Chicago and Denver. However, starting this week, a lot of those teams on life support are going to run out of time.

While NFL teams don’t “tank,” what we will start seeing are teams making business decisions with some of their veteran players and seeing what they have in young talent. This will make betting a little dicier, because some teams will make decisions that won’t improve their chances of winning.

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NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 15

San Francisco 49ers (-170) at Seattle Seahawks (+145)

After a 3-7 start, the 49ers have won six straight, while Seattle has lost three of their last four, including their last two at home. The 49ers are a small favorite (3.5 points at -101 49ers, -119 Seahawks). Five of the 49ers’ six wins have been by double digits. If Brock Purdy just manages the offense, this point is too small. Take the 49ers and lay 3.5 points (-101).

Indianapolis Colts (+170) at Minnesota Vikings (-200)

The Vikings’ pass defense is the worst in the league, but the Colts are their own worst enemies. They have more interceptions (14) than TD passes (13) and have fumbled a whopping 30 times (losing 12 of them). Minnesota is small favorite (4 points at -108 Colts, -112 Vikings). The Vikings should have all their key injured players back and, while they always play close, they should have enough here. Take the Vikings and lay 4 points (-112).

Baltimore Ravens (+125) at Cleveland Browns (-150)

The Ravens will be without Lamar Jackson, which explains a very low Over/Under (37 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). The Browns have hit Over this number in 12 of 13 games and, if the Cleveland offense can get a score or two on the board early, they can force the Ravens’ hand and make them keep up. Take the Over (-112).

Miami Dolphins (+280) at Buffalo Bills (-350)

Buffalo is still a Super Bowl favorite, but when they win, it tends to be convincingly – seven of 10 wins by eight or more points. They’re a solid home favorite (7.5 points at -115 Dolphins, -105 Bills). I expect this to drop to 7, but Buffalo needs to start playing postseason ball now and take control of the AFC East. Take the Bills and lay 7.5 points (-105).

Detroit Lions (-110) at New York Jets (-110)

I would take the Lions on the money line, but you actually get a better investment rate taking Detroit on the spread (.5 points at-109 Lions, -111 Jets). Even against good defenses, the Lions are finding ways to put up solid point totals, and I’m not sure the Jets can get into a back-and-forth with them if the Lions score touchdowns instead of field goals. Take the Lions plus 0.5 points (-109).

Dallas Cowboys (-200) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+170)

The Jags are going to be a team to contend with in 2023 but are still missing a couple of key pieces. Dallas is a small road favorite (4 points at -112 Cowboys, -108 Jaguars). This may be an overreaction to their struggles last week against the Texans. Look for Dallas to be focused and go for the knockout punch early. Take the Cowboys and lay 4 points (-112).

Pittsburgh Steelers (+130) at Carolina Panthers (-150)

The Panthers are still in the playoff hunt, and the Steelers aren’t going to the playoffs. The offenses haven’t been brutal, which is why such a low O/U (37.5 points at -110 Over, -110 Under) seems a little too low. A defensive or special teams touchdown will make this very difficult to keep under 38 points. Take the Over (-110).

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Atlanta Falcons (+180) at New Orleans Saints (-210)

The Falcons have been a difficult team to figure out because, despite a quarterback change and a lack of elite players, they stay in games. The Saints are solid home favorites (4.5 points at -113 Falcons, -107 Saints). The Saints seem to be mailing it in and don’t play with any consistency, which is asking a lot to five away those points. Take the Falcons plus 4.5 points (-113).

Philadelphia Eagles (-390) at Chicago Bears (+320)

The Eagles are the best all-around team in the NFL and tend to beat up lesser teams. They’re a solid favorite (8 points at -112 Eagles, -108 Bears). The Eagles are putting up huge points, and the Bears don’t have the horses on offense to get into that kind of fight. Take the Eagles and lay 8 points (-112).

Kansas City Chiefs (-900) at Houston Texans (+600)

The Chiefs are huge favorites (14 points at -106 Chiefs, -114 Texans). There’s a reason for that. I’ve tended to avoid giant spreads, because a team takes its foot off the gas with a 20-point lead and gives up a score at garbage time. The Chiefs need to keep winning, because they don’t have the tie-breaker with Buffalo. Give me Patrick Mahomes on a dry track any day. Take the Chiefs and lay 14 points (-106).

New England Patriots (-115) at Las Vegas Raiders (-105)

The Patriots are adept at playing field position games when the opponent is ripe for that. The Over/Under is a little high (45 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). In six of their seven wins, the Patriots have hit under this O/U. The Raiders may win this game, but they’re going to play the Patriots’ style. Take the Under (-108).

Arizona Cardinals (+125) at Denver Broncos (-145)

There are certain numbers that are a breaking point for me. An Over of 55 or above gets serious consideration. An Under of less than 38 does the same. The Over/Under here is 36 (-111 Over, -109 Under). Not much needs to happen for that to go Over. Unless there are 20 punts, I can’t resist. Take the Over (-111).

Tennessee Titans (-112) at Los Angeles Chargers (-108)

The worst thing anyone can do is bet on the Chargers consistently, because they’re so inconsistent. They are a standard home favorite (3 points at -112 Titans, -108 Chargers). The stat standing out is that the Chargers allow 5.4 yards a carry to all runners. If Derrick Henry comes anywhere close to that number, he’ll have 30 carries. Take the Titans plus 3 points (-112).

Cincinnati Bengals (-200) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+170)

The Bengals are road favorites (3.5 points at -112 Bengals, -108 Buccaneers). The problem with Tampa Bay this season is that the offense stagnates for long periods of time. You can’t do that against the Bengals and expect a positive outcome. Take the Bengals and lay 3.5 points (-112).

New York Giants (+180) at Washington Commanders (-210)

The Giants and Commanders are division rivals, making them very familiar with each other’s personnel. Washington has been established as a significant divisional favorite (4.5 points at -113 Giants, -107 Commanders). I think Washington will win, but I’m not willing to give away the required five points for two teams that tied two weeks ago. Take the Giants plus 4.5 points (-113).

Los Angeles Rams (+250) at Green Bay Packers (-300)

When this game was scheduled, they didn’t expect what they’re getting. A California team going to Wisconsin the week before Christmas is never good, which is why the Packers are a touchdown favorite. But the number here is the O/U (39 points at -110 for both). There are a lot of ways this game can play out. Aaron Rodgers wants to make a point, and the Rams are on fumes. One team scores 24 or more points. It doesn’t need much left. Take the Over at 39 points (-110).

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Betting the NFL Line: Week 14

All of the smartest wagers to make from around the NFL ahead of Week 14.

In a week that has just 13 games with six teams on bye, it is a strange week that sees almost half of the games with spreads of six points or more, a pair of teams currently in a playoff spot (Seattle and Tennessee) as minimal home favorites against a pair of 4-8 teams, and a 5-7 team favored to beat a team that is 10-2.

Just when you think you’ve seen enough craziness, the NFL finds a way to throw you yet another curve.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders (-250) at Los Angeles Rams (+210)

The Raiders are a solid road favorite (6 points), but the Rams are the losers of five straight and seeing one star after another drop. The Over/Under is solid (44.5 points at -107 Over, -113 Under). My question is how many points can the Rams’ depleted offense score? Not enough for this number. Take the Under (-113).

Houston Texans (+900) at Dallas Cowboys (-1400)

I’m not touching a 16-point favorite bet (I think Dallas will surpass it, but I never give away that many points). However, I’m down with the Over/Under (45.5 points at -111 Over, -109 Under) The Cowboys defense is a chore for good offenses, much less a pedestrian one. The Texans may not hit 10 points. The Cowboys will run enough to kill clock. Take the Under (-109).

Baltimore Ravens (+125) at Pittsburgh Steelers (-145)

This is always a bloodbath and the Steelers have had the upper hand when Lamar Jackson is available. He won’t be this week, which explains why the Steelers are small favorites (2.5 points at -101 Ravens, -119 Steelers). A lopsided spread bet like this means that it is likely to go to 3 points. I’m about getting my ticket in when the opportunity is better. Take the Steelers and lay 2.5 points (-119).

Cleveland Browns (+210) at Cincinnati Bengals (-250)

Joe Burrow has been dominated by the Browns in his career, but Cincinnati has won eight of its last 10 games after an 0-2 start – including the last four. The Browns have won their last two and Deshaun Watson is getting his legs under him. The Over/Under is big (47 points at -111 Over, -109 Under). The thing about this rivalry is even if one of them gets a big lead, they don’t take their foot off the gas. Take the Over (-111).

Philadelphia Eagles (-310) at New York Giants (+255)

The Eagles are given respect as a road favorite (7 points at -105 Eagles, -115 Giants). Before game time, this is going to go to 7.5. In their last 10 wins, the Eagles have covered this number eight times. The Giants haven’t seen this year’s version of Philly yet. It may be a rude awakening. Take the Eagles and lay 7 points (-105).

New York Jets (+360) at Buffalo Bills (-450)

One of Buffalo’s three losses was a 20-17 loss to the Jets on the road. The Bills had won the previous four and covered the point spread for this week (9.5 points at -109 Jets, -111 Bills) in three of them (and won by eight in the other). The Jets have been a cute story, but this is where Buffalo draws the line. Take the Bills and lay 9.5 points (-111).

Jacksonville Jaguars (+170) at Tennessee Titans (-200)

Ryan Tannehill is battling another ankle injury, which helps explain the small home favorite number (4 points at -113 Jaguars, -107 Titans).  Even with a bad ankle he can turn and hand the ball to Derrick Henry. In the last four meetings (all Titans wins), Henry has rushed 99 times for 488 yards and 7 touchdowns. What should change that? Take the Titans and lay 4 points (-107).

Minnesota Vikings (+115) at Detroit Lions (-135)

Minnesota has 10 wins and has only scored 10 more points than their opponents. The Lions have won four of their last five and gave Buffalo all it could handle in the loss. The Lions are favored by 2.5 points. The Vikings two losses have come to the Eagles and Cowboys. The Lions aren’t close to them. The Vikings win ugly, but they win. Take the Vikings on the money line (+115).

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Kansas City Chiefs (-425) at Denver Broncos (+350)

The Chiefs are stinging from a loss to the Bengals, but remain huge road favorites (9.5 points at -111 Chiefs, -109 Broncos). I’ve seen enough of Russell Wilson stealing money in Colorado. I’m not convinced the Broncos will score 17 points. I’m much more confident in the Chiefs’ ability to score 27. Take the Chiefs and lay 9.5 points (-111).

Carolina Panthers (+170) at Seattle Seahawks (-200)

The Seahawks’ running game is banged up, but it doesn’t change the fact the the Panthers are winless on the road and have lost the last two by double digits. Seattle is a modest favorite (4 points at -112 Panthers, -108 Seahawks). If Seattle has to pass 50 times, so what? The Panthers should be closer to a touchdown dog, not 4 points. Take the Seahawks and lay 4 points (-108).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+155) at San Francisco 49ers (-180)

Tom Brady and Brock Purdy isn’t a matchup anyone expected to ever see. It is what it is. The Bucs offense goes dormant for long stretches, especially against good defenses. The Purdy-led offense will struggle against a Bucs defense that is injury-depleted but deep. The Over/Under is extremely low (37 points at -109 Over, -111 Under). Despite their records, this is a playoff game in early December. Field position is king. Take the Under (-111).

Miami Dolphins (-170) at Los Angeles Chargers (+145)

These are two teams capable of putting up a lot of points. As such, the Over/Under is high (52 points at -112 Over, -108 Under). I’m unconvinced either team will try to run, because this game could have serious implications. If the Chargers lose, they’re likely dead. I’m not picking a winner here. I’m picking a mindset. Take the Over (-112).

New England Patriots (-125) at Arizona Cardinals (+105)

The Patriots are slight road favorites (2 points at -110 for both teams). The Cardinals have stunk it out at 4-8 (on top of their epic collapse at the end of the 2021 season). I’m not willing to make an East Coast team heading back to the West Coast and being given that kind of status, because the Patriots aren’t a team at this point built to hand out butt-whoopings on the road. Take the Cardinals on the money line (+105).

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Betting the NFL Line: Week 13

A spin around the NFL for the smartest wagers to make in Week 13.

There are a ton of games this week in which both teams are either currently in the playoffs or within a game of a playoff spot.

This week we’re focusing a lot more on the Over/Under numbers, which have some that make too much sense not to jump on.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 13

Buffalo Bills (-180) at New England Patriots (+155)

The Patriots have a tendency to keep games close, which is why the Bills are such small favorites (3.5 points at -107 Bills, -113 Patriots). Viewed by many as the clear favorite to win the AFC, right now Buffalo would be a wild-card team. This is a statement game for the Bills to get back into the Super Bowl discussion. Take the Bills and lay 3.5 points (-107).

New York Jets (+130) at Minnesota Vikings (-150)

The Vikings are winning all their games close, but this spread seems a point or two off for Minnesota (3 points at -112 Jets, -108 Vikings). Minnesota is at home going up against another backup quarterback (their fifth of the season) and will create an environment that will make it very difficult for White to replicate his numbers from last week. Take the Vikings and lay 3 points (-108).

Green Bay Packers (-190) at Chicago Bears (+160)

I wouldn’t even have this game on the board with both starting quarterbacks banged up and not certain to play. The only bet I would consider at this point is the Over/Under (43.5 points at -109 Over, -111 Under). Two months ago many circled this game as a battle of the quarterbacks, but nobody expected the realistic prospect of Jordan Love vs. Nathan Peterman. Take the Under (-111).

Pittsburgh Steelers (-115) at Atlanta Falcons (-105)

Some may be surprised that the Steelers are the slightest of road favorites (1 point at -109 Steelers, -111 Falcons). Pittsburgh is 4-7 for the first time in a long time (Mike Tomlin has never had a losing record). However, the Steelers are 2-0 against the teams from the pathetic NFC South and haven’t played Carolina yet. Take the Steelers and lay 1 point (-109).

Tennessee Titans (+190) at Philadelphia Eagles (-220)

I have a difficult time with this one – if I was to completely avoid one game knowing who’s in and out on Sunday morning, this is it. They both win by beating people up. As such, my only bet is the Over/Under (44.5 points at -111 Over, -109 Under). The Eagles are expected to roll, but the Titans thrive when they’re written off. It may take two A.J. Brown revenge TDs to do it, but take the Over (-111).

Jacksonville Jaguars (-115) at Detroit Lions (-105)

The Lions defense is garbage, but this Over/Under is way too high for my liking (51.5 points at -107 Over, -113 Under). The Chiefs-Bengals game is only one point higher and Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow won’t be in Motown. This game will likely require seven touchdowns to surpass the point. Take the Under (-113).

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Cleveland Browns (-320) at Houston Texans (+260)

Deshaun Watson is finally back, and who does he get for his first game? His old team. The Browns are a solid favorite (7 points at -109 Browns, -111 Texans). Of their nine losses, the Texans have been beaten by seven of more points in eight of them. Combine that with the Revenge Play of the Year, if Watson is on his game, Cleveland could win by 20. Take the Browns and lay 7 points (-109).

Denver Broncos (+320) at Baltimore Ravens (-400)

This is the lowest Over/Under on the board (38.5 points at -110 for both). Given Denver’s offense, I’m unconvinced they head east for an early-window game against a good team and score more than 10 points. That gives you 28 points for Baltimore to score. That’s a lot of points against an unheralded Denver defense and gives you wiggle room on the lowest number you can get. Take the Under (-110).

Washington Commanders (-130) at New York Giants (+110)

The Commanders are clearly the hotter team, winning five of their last six and their last four road games. That helps explain why they’re road favorites (2.5 points at -111 Commanders, -109 Giants). The Giants have lost two straight, but they stacked up a lot of wins early to recover from that. If the Commanders aren’t error-free, they lose. Take the Giants plus 2.5 points (+110).

Seattle Seahawks (-350) at Los Angeles Rams (+290)

I’m not a believer in the Seahawks, but the Rams are so decimated by injury that they’re kryptonite to me. The Over/Under is low (41 points at -113 Over, -107 Under). The defending champs are in full shutdown mode with an eye on reloading for 2023. I can’t see the Rams defense allowing a ton of points and can’t see L.A.’s offense doing much. Take the Under (-107).

Miami Dolphins (+170) at San Francisco 49ers (-200)

In my view, this is the game of the week. Miami is the new Kansas City in terms of offensive firepower, and the 49ers are stocked and locked since trading for Christian McCaffrey. Both teams can absorb a double-digit deficit and come back from. The Over/Under (46.5 points at -110 for both) should be three points higher. Take the Over (-110).

Kansas City Chiefs (-130) at Cincinnati Bengals (+110)

The Chiefs lost twice to the Bengals in January and this is a game they have been building toward. The line shows that Kansas City is the better team and is a road favorite (2 points at -112 Chiefs, -108 Bengals). That line is there for a reason. The Bengals won’t blow out the Chiefs. The Chiefs could blow the doors off the Bengals – and all you have to give is two points. Take the Chiefs and lay 2 points (-112).

Los Angeles Chargers (-120) at Las Vegas Raiders (+100)

I’m always hesitant to take the Chargers, because they’re the most overrated team in the NFL. They have elite talent on both sides of the ball and nothing to show for it. They’re a modest road favorite (1.5 points at -109 Chargers, -111 Raiders). Las Vegas has won two in a row, but the Raiders lost seven of their previous nine, including vs. the Chargers. One loss ain’t enough, Jack, you better make it two. Take the Chargers and lay 1.5 points (-109).

Indianapolis Colts (+450) at Dallas Cowboys (-600)

The Cowboys defense is better than Pittsburgh’s and the Colts couldn’t beat the Steelers at home in primetime. The Cowboys are double-digit favorites and I’m gun-shy on that. The Over/Under is low (43.5 points at -111 Over, -113 Under). I don’t believe the Colts will muster enough offense to keep this close, and Dallas can run for “death-by-paper-cut,” 12-play drives. Take the Under (-113).

New Orleans Saints (+170) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-200)

A Monday night game expected to be a battle of two playoff teams is now a battle of teams trying to get up to .500 (Tampa Bay) and trying to get within a half-game of the lead with a win (New Orleans). The Buccaneers are decent road favorites (4 points at -111 Buccaneers, -109 Saints). Six of the eight Saints losses have been by double this number or more – including a 10-point loss to the Bucs in Week 2. Take the Buccaneers and lay 4 points (-111).

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Betting the NFL Line: Week 12

The top bets to make from around the NFL during Week 12.

It’s Thanksgiving weekend and the NFL has all hands on deck – pausing the bye weeks to have all 32 teams in action.

There are four games in which a team is favored by a touchdown or more, but it’s the underdogs that make this interesting. The 7-3 New York Giants are 9.5 underdogs at Dallas. The Green Bay Packers are 7-point underdogs at Philadelphia, and the defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams are a whopping 14.5-point dog at Kansas City.

The Green Bay Packers and Rams were two of the favorites in the NFC to start the season, but both have the look of bottom feeders who will be virtually eliminated from playoff consideration in November. Strange days indeed.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 12

Buffalo Bills (-425) at Detroit Lions (+325)

This will be the second straight game the Bills will have at Ford Field after relocating last week’s game due to five feet of snow. The Bills are the heavy favorite (9.5 points art -110 for both the Bills and Lions). That’s a lot of points for a short week, but the Over/Under is 54, giving the impression the Lions will try to get into a track meet. That rarely ends well when it comes to Buffalo. Take the Bills and lay 9.5 points (-110).

New York Giants (+330) at Dallas Cowboys (-410)

The Giants have been largely disrespected all season and this spread is no exception as they’re a huge underdog (9.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Cowboys defense is very good, but their one weakness is stopping the run, which is the Giants strength. It may take a late Giants score to cover, but this is too many points to give away. Take the Giants plus 9.5 points (-110).

New England Patriots (+115) at Minnesota Vikings (-135)

The Vikings are coming are coming off a humbling loss and will be missing their left tackle, which explains why they’re such a small favorite (2.5 points at -105 Patriots, -115 Vikings). This should be another tight, one-score game that Minnesota thrives on. Take the Vikings and lay 2.5 points (-115).

Houston Texans (+510) at Miami Dolphins (-109)

The Dolphins have been one of the hottest offenses in the league and are coming off their bye week. The Texans are brutal and in line for the No. 1 pick in next year’s draft. The Over/Under is a little high (46 points at -111 Over, -109 Under). I just don’t believe the Texans can generate enough points to compete. Take the Under (-109).

Atlanta Falcons (+170) at Washington Commanders (-200)

I’m still not a believer in the Falcons, but they continue to keep games closer than they should. Washington is the favorite (4 points at -110 for both). While the Commanders are clearly capable of surpassing this number, I’m not convinced they’ll run away from Atlanta. The the Falcons plus 4 points (-110).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-180) at Cleveland Browns (+155)

The Bucs and Browns both have too much talent to be as big of underachievers as they’ve been this season. The Buccaneers are solid road favorites (3.5 points at -105 Buccaneers, -115 Browns). I’m always partial to home dogs that can play defense and run the ball. Take the Browns plus 3.5 points (-115).

Chicago Bears (+180) at New York Jets (-210)

The Jets are coming off one of their most brutal game of the season. Yet, they’re solid home favorites (4.5 points at -113 Bears, -107 Jets). The Jets defense is good, but Justin Fields should be able to make enough plays to get the Bears in scoring position enough times to cover. Take the Bears plus 4.5 points.

Cincinnati Bengals (-130) at Tennessee Titans (+110)

The Titans were the No. 1 seed in the AFC last years but still don’t get the respect they deserve. The Bengals have been hit and miss and this is the type of opponent they struggle with – one that can string together long drives by running 30 times a game. Take the Titans on the moneyline (+110).

Denver Broncos (-130) at Carolina Panthers (+110)

With an Over/Under of just 36 points, that bet is tempting. I could envision that game going under, which will take a lot. I prefer the betting line with Denver as a modest favorite (2 points at -112 Broncos, -108 Panthers). This should be a close game, but the Broncos have more talent on both sides of the ball. Take the Broncos and lay 2 points (-112).

Baltimore Ravens (-200) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+170)

The Ravens have shot themselves in the foot a couple times this season or they would have the best record in the AFC. They’re small road favorites (4 points at -109 Ravens, -111 Jaguars). Jacksonville is getting better, but they’re not in the Ravens’ class yet. Take the Ravens and lay 4 points (-109).

Los Angeles Chargers (-200) at Arizona Cardinals (+170)

The Chargers are underachievers (again), but the Cardinals are a complete mess that seems to be imploding. The Chargers are solid road favorites (3.5 points at -107 Chargers, -113 Cardinals). This is the type of game the Chargers must win if they expect to make the playoffs and the Cardinals are already cooked. Take the Chargers and lay 3.5 points (-107).

Las Vegas Raiders (+160) at Seattle Seahawks (-190)

I’ve struggled predicting the Seahawks, because they can look great and like a dumpster fire in the same game. The Raiders have struggled all season. That inconsistency makes the Over/Under (47.5 points at -114 Over, -106 Under) seem a little high. A lot of things have to happen for these two to combine for 48 points. Although the investment rate says otherwise, take the Under (-106).

Los Angeles Rams (+700) at Kansas City Chiefs (-1200)

The Rams are a mess and their offensive line is in shambles. The Chiefs are massive 14.5-point favorites, but I won’t touch that. I’m more interested in the Over/Under (44 points at -110 for both). I believe Kansas City is easily capable of scoring 31 points. That only leaves 14 for the Rams to score – even if one of the scores comes late against a prevent defense. Take the Over (-110).

New Orleans Saints (+325) at San Francisco 49ers (-400)

I was on the San Fran bandwagon prior to the acquisition of Christian McCaffrey and that has only grown stronger, despite their mediocre record. The 49ers are heavy favorites (8 points at -112 Saints, -108 49ers). The Saints have the ability to keep it close, but the 49ers grinding style on both sides of the ball will wear them down in the second half. Take the 49ers and lay 8 points (-108).

Green Bay Packers (+260) at Philadelphia Eagles (-320)

The Packers are on life support, and heading into Philadelphia doesn’t seem like a miracle cure. The Eagles are strong favorites (7 points at -111 Packers, -109 Eagles). Philadelphia has had a pair of subpar games in a row, falling from the ranks of the unbeaten in Week 10. This will be a statement game that puts the Packers out of their misery. Take the Eagles and lay 7 points (-109).

Pittsburgh Steelers (+115) at Indianapolis Colts (-135)

Far too many prime time games this season have been low-scoring affairs. The Over/Under suggests another one (39 points at -110 Over, -110 Under). These franchises are going their own upheaval with underachievement, but their defenses are the strengths. This has the makings of a field position game, not a back-and-forth scoring matchup. Take the Under (-110).

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Betting the NFL Line: Week 11

A spin around the NFL’s best wagers to make for Week 11.

Part of betting is learning from your losses and learning your weaknesses. I’ve done both.

My Achilles’ heel is double-digit favorites. They should slap the taste out of the mouth of their opponent. Over the past four weeks, there have been seven games in which team has been favored by double-digits.

I’m 1-6 in those games.

Suffice to say, I will be betting the Over/Under on the one double-digit game this week. Learn from your mistakes and don’t repeat them…even if you believe this is the week the curse ends.

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook

NFL Betting Odds and Lines: Week 11

Tennessee Titans (+145) at Green Bay Packers (-170)

The Packers saved their season by being desperate and throwing the ball. Given their banged up offensive line, that won’t continue for long. Tennessee is a three-point underdog at even money. I wouldn’t begrudge anyway effectively being given four points (three would be a push). The Titans’ only losses have been the Chiefs, Bills and Giants. The Packers aren’t in that class. Take the Titans on the moneyline +145)

Los Angeles Rams (+160) at New Orleans Saints (-190)

The Rams are getting Matthew Stafford back, but won’t have Cooper Kupp, which is why the Saints are a solid favorite (3.5 points at -113 Rams, -107 Saints). The Rams beat the teams they’re better than (see the schedule), but I’m willing to give the Saints a chance to win and get more than a field goal as a hedge. Take the Rams plus 3.5 points (-113).

Detroit Lions (+140) at New York Giants (-165)

It seems like the Giants refuse to get respect from the oddsmakers who seemingly keep expecting the other shoe to drop. The Giants are small favorites (3 points at -109 Lions, -111 Giants). The Lions have lost to every team they’ve played with a record of better than .500. I’ll lay a field goal on that. Take the Giants and lay 3 points (-113).

Chicago Bears (+145) at Atlanta Falcons (-170)

The Bears have been a different team the last month since letting Justin Fields cut loose and run. The Falcons are a fluky team at home, which is why they’re favored (3.5 points at -119 Bears, -101 Falcons). Chicago has a chance to win this game if they let Fields run the RPO, but given a nice cushion is easier. Take the Bears plus 3.5 points (-119).

Carolina Panthers (+500) at Baltimore Ravens (-700)

Seeing as I won’t touch 13 points (see above), all that leaves me is the Over/Under (42 points at -110 Over and Under). I believe the Ravens are capable of putting up 30. That doesn’t leave Baker Mayfield to do much late in the game. Take the Over (-110).

Philadelphia Eagles (-320) at Indianapolis Colts (+250)

The perfect season is done because the Eagles shot themselves in the foot (wing, thigh and leg) Monday night. They’re solid road favorites (7 points at -108 Eagles, -112 Colts). Indy is overmatched at far too many positions. This could get ugly. Take the Eagles and lay 7 points (-108).

Cleveland Browns (+310) at Buffalo Bills (-380)

Who plays football in four to six feet of snow? Nobody. Right now, the Over/Under is acceptable (43 points at -110 for both). As we’ve learned in the NFL, games can be delayed or relocated. Both options are currently in play. I’ve attended a Tuesday night NFL game. The field will be clean – one way or another – when the game begins. Take the Over (-110).

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Washington Commanders (170) at Houston Texans (+145)

I don’t like this game. The Commanders are on a short week. Neither team has a quarterback that’s NFL-worthy. The Over/Under is small (41 points at -109 Over, -111 Under). I see a game where running the ball and field position are at a premium to keep it close late. Take the Under (-111).

New York Jets (+145) at New England Patriots (-170)

This one could go either way. The only certainty is that a lot of points are not expected. The Over/Under is just 38 points – three points less than any other game. The Patriots are nominal favorites (3 points at -102 Jets, -118 Patriots). If a game is expected to be played tight to the vest, I tend to go Belichick in that scenario. Take the Patriots and lay 3 points (-118).

Las Vegas Raiders (+125) at Denver Broncos (-150)

Both teams have been disappointments, but the Broncos defense has allowed 20 points just once – a loss to the Raiders in Week 3. Denver is a minimal home favorite (2.5 points at -103 Raiders, -117 Broncos). The Raiders are on the brink of 2022 extinction, and the Broncos defense has revenge in mind. Take the Broncos and lay 2.5 points (-117).

Cincinnati Bengals (-200) at Pittsburgh Steelers (+170)

A Week 1 loss to the Steelers put the Bengals in a hole they’re still trying to climb out of – where every loss is a step backward that kills momentum. Cincinnati is a road favorite (4 points at -110 Bengals, -110 Steelers). At this point, the Bengals are better at too many positions to lay off the point spread. Take the Bengals and lay 4 points (-110).

Dallas Cowboys (-125) at Minnesota Vikings (+105)

Minnesota is 4-0 at home and winners of seven straight. The Cowboys are a coming off a road loss at Green Bay where they blew a 14-point lead. Yet, Dallas is favored (2 points at -110 for both teams). Call me nuts, but getting points for a home team with a loud crowd and an 8-1 record just makes too much sense. Take the Vikings on the moneyline (+105).

Kansas City Chiefs (-240) at Los Angeles Chargers (+200)

In my view, the Chargers are the most overrated team of the last two seasons. They lose games they should win. They lose games they should lose. The spread says the Chiefs should win (5.5 points at -112 Chiefs, -108 Chargers). I rarely shy away from a team that dominates its division or betting against a team that underachieves. Take the Chiefs and lay 5.5 points (-112).

San Francisco 49ers (-370) at Arizona Cardinals (+305)

The 49ers remain a favorite to go to the Super Bowl despite not showing it consistently on the field. The Cardinals are forced to pass by design. The Over/Under is low (43.5 at -111 Over, -109 Under). The combination of the 49ers looking to hit their stride and the Cardinals likely to throw 40 or more times makes this number seem too low. Take the Over (-111).

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