Tag: NFL Draft odds

DraftKings’ odds on Graham Barton gives a clue to where he’s going to get picked

A closer look at Graham Barton’s draft night odds on DraftKings Sportsbook could give some hints as to where the former Duke lineman is going to go.

Former Duke offensive lineman Graham Barton will hear his name called on Thursday night during the NFL draft. The two-time First-Team All-ACC nominee feels like as much of a lock as someone can get. Where exactly will he go though?

Well, if Duke fans take a closer look at Barton’s prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook, there are two likely culprits.

Barton played offensive tackle for the past three seasons, but between his slightly undersized frame and a remarkably deep offensive tackle class, he’s expected to play as a guard or a center in the NFL. The shift from combing through teams who need an offensive lineman to teams who need help on the inside cuts down the options.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″]

The two teams Barton is linked to the most are the Pittsburgh Steelers, who have the 20th overall pick, and the Miami Dolphins, who have the 21st pick. Both teams lost their starting centers from a season ago after the Steelers cut Mason Cole and the Dolphins’ Connor Williams walked away in free agency.

DraftKings offers a prop for whether a player will be picked before or after a certain number on the board. Barton’s odds overwhelmingly indicate he’ll be chosen before the 22nd pick — meaning he’ll likely be off the board by the time the Dolphins are off the clock.

Graham Barton’s Draft Position Odds
Will Graham Barton go under 21.5? -245
Will Graham Barton go over 21.5? +190

The Steelers also have -350 odds to draft an offensive lineman with their first pick in the 2024 NFL draft, and the Dolphins have -140 odds to make the same choice.

If Duke fans are circling a spot in the draft to start paying attention, it’s the 20th and 21st picks.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″]

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire

Marvin Harrison still overwhelming favorite to be 1st receiver drafted

He is -700 to be the first receiver drafted this week.

The 2024 NFL draft begins in a few days and the betting lines and odds for some of the picks have not changed much.

The wide receiver class is talented and there are three players who could all be the best one.

However, only one is viewed by sportsbooks as the likely first receiver off the board.

According to BetMGM Sportsbook, that is Ohio State’s Marvin Harrison Jr., who has mostly been connected to the Arizona Cardinals.

Harrison is the heavy favorite to be the first receiver drafted at -700 odds. Those odds are such they aren’t really worth a wager, as you would win only $1.42 for every $10 wagered. He has 87.5% implied odds of being the first receiver taken.

The other receivers are LSU’s Malik Nabers at +350 and Washington’s Rome Odunze at +3000.

Even at +350, that is only 22.22% implied odds, more than 60% less likely to be the first receiver selected than Harrison.

Draft analysts have said many times that there are teams who like Nabers or Odunze more than Harrison, but the betting markets aren’t swayed.

The first team likely to take a receiver are the Arizona Cardinals, who own the fourth pick. Harrison figures to be the pick and the first non-quarterback to be drafted.

Is betting on Harrison worth it? Not really, but it also isn’t worth betting anyone else at this point because of Harrison’s odds.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

Listen to the latest from Cards Wire’s Jess Root on his podcast, Rise Up, See Red. Subscribe on Apple podcasts or Spotify.

 

Check out Graham Barton’s chances to be one of the first names off the board, per DraftKings

Graham Barton seems like a surefire first-round pick, but does DraftKings think he has a chance to be one of the top 10 picks?

Former Duke offensive lineman Graham Barton seems like a lock for one of the first 32 spots in next week’s NFL draft, but how high can the Blue Devil go?

According to the DraftKings Sportsbook, Barton shouldn’t hold his breath for the first 10 picks, but the odds don’t rule out the idea that he could go early.

The four-year starter and two-time First-Team All-ACC nominee played offensive tackle for the past three seasons, but this upcoming draft features one of the deepest tackle classes in memory. With names like Joe Alt of Notre Dame, Olu Fashanu from Penn State, and JC Latham from Alabama, experts are routinely predicting six or more tackle prospects to get picked on opening night.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″]

Despite Barton’s experience on the perimeter, he’s expected to move to guard or center in the NFL where his smaller frame (315 pounds) won’t be as vulnerable. The move also makes him one of the best prospects available as he recorded one of the highest relative athletic scores of any guard prospect ever during testing, moving him way up the board.

DraftKings has position props on which players will be the first offensive linemen selected. Alt, Fashanu, Latham, and Oregon State’s Taliese Fuaga are the heaviest favorites, but Barton’s not entirely off the list. The former Blue Devil also has an outside chance at a top-10 selection, currently sporting +3000 odds.

Here’s the full list of Barton’s available prop bets with more than a week left until NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell takes the stage.

Prop Odds
Will Graham Barton be a first-round pick? -2000
Will Graham Barton be a top-10 pick? +3000
Will Graham Barton be the third OL drafted? +10000
Will Graham Barton be the second OL drafted? +10000
Will Graham Barton be the first OL drafted? +12000
Will Graham Barton be the first non-QB selected? +20000

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″]

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire

What are Graham Barton’s odds to be a first-round pick, according to Fanduel?

Graham Barton is a heavy favorite to be a first-round draft pick, according to Fanduel Sportsbook.

The NFL draft is no sure thing, especially with more than a week left before the first team is officially on the clock. However, according to Fanduel Sportsbook, former Blue Devils offensive lineman Graham Barton won’t need to fall asleep before his name is called.

Barton, who played left tackle in Durham for the past three years and started along the offensive line ever since he was a freshman, has some of the strongest odds available to be a first-round pick in next week’s NFL draft. Fanduel has him listed at -2000 to be one of the first 32 selections.

Despite Barton’s experience on the perimeter, he’s expected to move to guard or center where his smaller frame won’t be as vulnerable. The move also makes him one of the best prospects available as he recorded one of the highest relative athletic scores of any guard prospect ever during testing.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″]

The heavy odds make sense considering Barton has been mocked in the first round almost constantly since the start of the year. With playoff teams that need interior help littering the bottom of the board, from the Miami Dolphins to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, it seems unlikely that the Blue Devil will last until day two.

Barton would be Duke’s third first-round NFL draft pick since 1987 after offensive lineman Laken Tomlinson in 2015 and quarterback Daniel Jones in 2019.

Odds
Will Graham Barton be a first-round pick -2000

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″]

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire

Vikings, Raiders have top odds to draft Washington QB Michael Penix Jr.

Where will Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. be drafted? Raiders are the No. 2 favorite per oddsmakers.

Many teams will be looking for their next franchise quarterback in the draft at the end of this month. But only a select few are in good position to get one of the top prospects. For the rest of the teams, they must take a bit of a risk if they want a QB.

Few other quarterbacks in this year’s draft are considered more of a risk-reward player than Washington’s Michael Penix Jr. He has tantalizing arm talent and an impressive resume, but also a worrisome injury history. And he’ll turn 24 in May.

For which jersey the oddsmakers have him holding up on draft night, we go to BetMGM, which has the Vikings and Raiders as the most likely destinations.

The Vikings are the first QB-needy team outside the top 10. They pick at No. 11. Adding to the likelihood is that they have a second pick in the first round (No. 23). So if Penix were not selected in the top half of the first round, they may have another shot at him on Day 1.

Next up are the Broncos at No. 12, but the oddsmakers don’t like them to land Penix as much as the Raiders at No. 13. Then it’s the Seahawks at No. 16, which would make him a local favorite.

What I read from this is the oddsmakers think Penix will come off the board in the top half of the first round. And if that were the case, a trade down by the Raiders, or an attempt to trade back up into the bottom part of the first round to get Penix, may mean they miss out on him.

The only other QB in this draft after Penix who is considered a fringe first-round pick is Oregon’s Bo Nix.

2021 NFL Draft: When will Florida TE Kyle Pitts be selected?

Analyzing NFL Draft odds around where Florida TE Kyle Pitts will be drafted with NFL Draft picks and predictions.

History figures to be made Thursday with the fourth pick in the NFL Draft.

One way or the other.

It could be the first time quarterbacks are selected with the first four picks, or we could see a tight end selected at the highest position in common draft history (since 1967).

The Atlanta Falcons, owners of that fourth pick, currently hold the cards (or draft card). And Florida standout Kyle Pitts is the tight end who could make history.

So let’s dive into the 2021 draft odds and betting lines for Pitts, who has a BetMGM draft position Over/Under of 5.5 and listed in several other intriguing proposition wagers on the board.

NFL Draft odds: Kyle Pitts draft position

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at noon ET.

Quarterbacks are all but locked into the first three picks — held by the Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Jets and San Francisco 49ers — but the Falcons seem unlikely to follow suit with QB Matt Ryan under contract for three more seasons.

A trade then, of course, comes into play but, while there has been talk of the Falcons dealing the fourth pick, the chances seemed to have cooled with teams seemingly content to let QBs Justin Fields and Trey Lance (most likely) slide a few spots.

The Cincinnati Bengals (fifth overall pick) and Miami Dolphins (sixth) don’t need a QB, and trading up into the seventh (Detroit Lions) or eighth spot (Carolina Panthers) would be a lot less cost-prohibitive than moving up to No. 4.

Special NFL Draft betting promotion: BET $1 on any NFL Draft line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if a quarterback is selected No. 1 overall. New customer offer available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN and WV. IA, PA, VA residents, don’t miss BetMGM’s risk-free first bet offer! Terms and conditions apply. Place all of your sports bets with BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. Bet now!

So if not a quarterback at No. 4, why Pitts?

Quite simply, it’s not just because he’s the top-rated tight end in the 2021 draft. Pitts is a generational tight end talent who’s ranked behind only locked-in No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence on esteemed draft analyst Mel Kiper’s Big Board.

In addition, Kiper says the hyper-athletic, wide receiver-esque Pitts is the best NFL tight end prospect he’s ever graded since beginning to hand them out in the late 1970s.

That makes Pitts a draft unicorn and a real threat to usurp Riley Odoms (No. 5 overall to the Denver Broncos in 1972) as the highest drafted tight end since ’67. Odoms is the only tight end selected in the common draft era’s top five and one of the 14 at his position selected in the top 10 during that 53-year span.

If the Falcons somehow bypass Pitts, the Bengals, owners of No. 5 pick — and even more tight end needy — are sure to pounce.

Wagering recommendation

While Pitts is a slam dunk to be the first tight end drafted, few of us have the bankroll to pay the crazy -10000 juice on that wager.

It’s the same deal with Pitts -5000 as a top-10 pick, and even the Falcons to select a tight end with their first pick is steep at -350.

Going with Pitts under his draft position of 5.5 still costs -300, but instead go to the “Other” tab on the BetMGM draft wagering page and you can find Pitts at -225 to be a top five pick.

So, it’s the same pick at reduced juice. That’s your play on Pitts to make draft history Thursday.

Want some action on the NFL Draft? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @kenpomp on Twitter (link). Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | WashingtonFootballWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | TheListWire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1367]

2021 NFL draft odds: When will Alabama WR DeVonta Smith be drafted?

Analyzing NFL Draft odds around DeVonta Smith with NFL Draft picks and predictions.

When it comes to wide receivers in this year’s NFL Draft class, it’s all about the top three: DeVonta Smith, Jaylen Waddle and Ja’Marr Chase. Most have Chase as the best receiver in the NFL Draft, but Smith and Waddle are both elite prospects, too.

Smith is the reigning Heisman Trophy winner after catching 117 passes for 1,856 yards and 23 touchdowns last season, proving to be the best wideout in college football. But where will he be drafted Thursday evening when the first round of the NFL Draft begins?

Let’s dive in on Smith’s projected landing spot based on NFL Draft odds and betting lines.

NFL Draft odds: DeVonta Smith draft position

  • Over 11.5: -140
  • Under 11.5: +110

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.

If not for size concerns, Smith would have a much stronger case to be the first wide receiver drafted. But at 166 pounds, teams might be worried about durability and how well he’ll hold up over the course of a 17-game season. That shouldn’t preclude them from taking him early, though. Smith dominated the last two years at Alabama, scoring 37 touchdowns and racking up more than 3,100 yards receiving.

Special NFL Draft betting promotion: BET $1 on any NFL Draft line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if a quarterback is selected No. 1 overall. New customer offer available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN and WV. IA, PA, VA residents, don’t miss BetMGM’s risk-free first bet offer! Terms and conditions apply. Place all of your sports bets with BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. Bet now!

His Over/Under is sandwiched between the Giants and Eagles, both of whom could take him at No. 11 and 12, respectively. If the Eagles want him, they might even consider trading up into the top 10. The Giants are a great landing spot for Smith, too, especially if both CB Patrick Surtain II and Jaycee Horn are gone. I’m taking the UNDER at 11.5 with Smith, as he has a good chance to go in the top 10 with Chase and potentially even Waddle.

Smith will have a successful NFL career thanks to his hands, route running and speed on the outside, and teams will look past his weight early in the draft.

Want some action on the NFL Draft? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | WashingtonFootballWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | TheListWire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1367]

2021 NFL draft odds: Who will be the first running back drafted?

Analyzing NFL Draft odds around the first running back selected with NFL Draft picks and predictions.

Running backs have been devalued a bit in recent years with many teams opting not to use their early NFL Draft picks on tailbacks. That should remain the case this year, with a running back unlikely to go in the top 15.

There could be as many as three selected in the first round, however. Najee Harris, Travis Etienne and Javonte Williams are the top running back prospects in the class, well ahead of the rest of the group. It’s almost certain that at least one will go in Round 1, but all three could sneak into the first 32 picks, too.

Let’s dive in on running back NFL Draft odds and betting lines.

NFL Draft odds: First RB drafted

  • Alabama RB Najee Harris: -250
  • Clemson RB Travis Etienne: +170
  • North Carolina RB Javonte Williams: +850

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.

After Williams, the next-closest running back on the list of odds to be drafted first is Tre Sermon at +5000, just to give you an idea of how far ahead this top trio is. The odds clearly favor Harris and rightfully so: He’s the best running back and most well-rounded player at the position this year. He’s a powerful runner who shows good balance and is dynamic as a receiver out of the backfield. Etienne is also a big-play slasher with receiving skills, while Williams is a compact runner who runs with excellent power.

Special NFL Draft betting promotion: BET $1 on any NFL Draft line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if a quarterback is selected No. 1 overall. New customer offer available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN and WV. IA, PA, VA residents, don’t miss BetMGM’s risk-free first bet offer! Terms and conditions apply. Place all of your sports bets with BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. Bet now!

The earliest any of these running backs is likely to go is at No. 18 to the Dolphins, who could use some backfield help. Then, the Jets, Steelers and Bills could consider taking a running back later in the first round, too. But in all likelihood, the Steelers or Jets will be the first to take one, and it’ll be Harris who has his name called. He’s been the best running back in the class all offseason and there’s little reason to believe that will change now. He would dramatically improve both the Steelers and Bills offenses and he might be too good for them to pass up late in the first round.

The Harris play is a bit pricey, though. New to sports betting? At -250 odds, it would take $250 to return a $100 profit if Harris does indeed go first among his peers.

Want some action on the NFL Draft? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | WashingtonFootballWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | TheListWire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1367]

PLAY: Free NFL Draft Pick’em Challenge – Round 1

Join our free NFL Draft pick’em challenge for your chance to win.

The NFL Draft is finally here and we’re offering a free-to-play NFL Draft Challenge based around Round 1 player props. Think you know how the NFL Draft will play out? Put your draftnik skills to work for your shot at winning first place.

How to play

[chalkline game=”nfl-draft-2021″]

NFL Draft Betting Offer

BET $1 on any NFL Draft line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if a quarterback is selected No. 1 overall.

New customer offer available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN and WV. IA, PA, VA residents, don’t miss BetMGM’s risk-free first bet offer!

Terms and conditions apply. Place all of your sports bets with BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. Bet now! 

Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1367]

2021 NFL Draft odds: How many wide receivers will be drafted in the first round?

Analyzing NFL Draft odds around how many wide receivers will go in Round 1 with NFL Draft picks and predictions.

Every year I find myself placing a wager on this particular NFL Draft bet and sweating it out on the final two or three picks.

Coming off a year when we saw the deepest, most talented wide receiver draft class in history, there is still a need – especially for some of the elite teams at the end of Round 1 – to add a playmaking wide receiver. However, this year, I get the feeling I’ll have to pass entirely because I don’t believe in taking irrational chances with my money and hate the Over/Under number.

Lets dive in on wide receivers NFL Draft odds and betting lines.

NFL Draft odds: Number of First-Round Wide Receivers

  • Over 4.5: -400
  • Under 4.5: +280

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:30 a.m. ET.

It begs the question as to why the Over/Undcr wasn’t 5.5? It would have made for a much more equitable number on both sides, not -400 and +280.

Whenever you’re taking a group bet, you analyze by one thing you know for sure – how many of that group are guaranteed to go? There is little chance that Ja’Marr Chase and Alabama’s DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle make it out of the top dozen picks, much less the first round. That means only two more wide receivers need to come off the board to hit the ugly Over number of -400.

Special NFL Draft betting promotion: BET $1 on any NFL Draft line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if a quarterback is selected No. 1 overall. New customer offer available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN and WV. IA, PA, VA residents, don’t miss BetMGM’s risk-free first bet offer! Terms and conditions apply. Place all of your sports bets with BetMGM, the King of Sportsbooks. Bet now!

From Pick No. 20 on, you could make a case that Chicago, Tennessee, Jacksonville, Baltimore, New Orleans and Green Bay all have a primary team draft need that has a difference-making wide receiver at or near the top.

Then you look at the players who could make immediate impacts as potential first-round selections – Rashod Bateman, Elijah Moore, Kadarius Toney and Terrace Marshall. All of them have been tied to specific teams late in the first round. To make money on the Under, only one of those four can be taken in the final 20 picks of the first round.

I think three of those four are going to go, so I would AVOID making a bet on this on principle, but, if you’re willing to accept just 25 percent return on investment on a relatively sure thing, I heartily endorse the OVER.

Want some action on the NFL Draft? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | WashingtonFootballWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | TheListWire

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1367]