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Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) face the Denver Broncos (2-5) Sunday in Week 8 NFL action. Kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Chiefs vs. Broncos odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Chiefs won their 6th straight game in Week 7, beating the Los Angeles Chargers 31-17 and covering as 6-point home favorites. QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 424 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. He connected 12 times with TE Travis Kelce for 179 yards and a score while Kelce’s girlfriend, 12-time Grammy Award winner Taylor Swift, cheered him on from a suite.

Denver won its 2nd game of the season in Week 7, taking down the Green Bay Packers 19-17. QB Russell Wilson passed for 194 yards and 1 touchdown. The TD went to WR Courtland Sutton, who caught 6 balls for 76 yards. The Broncos rushing attack showed signs of life with 82 yards from RB Javonte Williams, which is his highest total of the season.

Kansas City has won 16 consecutive head-to-head matchups against the Broncos dating back to Sept. 17, 2015. The Chiefs won and covered the 10.5-point spread in their 1st game against Denver on Oct. 12.

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Chiefs at Broncos odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:43 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Broncos +280 (bet $100 to win $280)
Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -7 (-110) | Broncos +7 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Chiefs at Broncos key injuries

Chiefs

LB Nick Bolton (wrist) out

Broncos

WR Brandon Johnson (hamstring) questionable

Chiefs at Broncos picks and predictions

Prediction

Chiefs 27, Broncos 13

Moneyline

PASS.

The Chiefs will win this game, but I’m not going to take them at their -350 odds and nor should you. Look to the spread and total to make a bet on this one.

Against the spread

BET CHIEFS -7 (-110).

While I am confident the Chiefs will cover this number, I’d personally take the alternative line on BetMGM of -6.5 at -130 odds.

While the Chiefs did not score a lot, they did cover the 10.5-point spread in the 1st head-to-head meeting this season. Mahomes threw for 306 yards, and 124 of those went to Kelce.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 46 (-110).

These teams only scored a combined 27 points in their 1st meeting 2 weeks ago. They won’t score under 30 again, but they do not go over this total either. In general this season, the Under is hitting at an alarming rate.

Kansas City has gone under the total in 3 straight games coming into this one. Denver gave up 36.4 points per game over its 1st 5 but has cut that in half over its last 2.

The Chiefs offense has not been as prolific this season. This is the 1st year since 2017 that it is averaging fewer than 26 points per game.

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New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New Orleans Saints at Indianapolis Colts odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The New Orleans Saints (3-4) face the Indianapolis Colts (3-4) Sunday in Week 8 NFL action. Kickoff at Lucas Oil Stadium is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Saints vs. Colts odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Saints fell for the 4th time in their last 5 games with a 31-24 home loss against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday Night Football in Week 7. They failed to cover as 2.5-point favorites but easily went over the total of 41.5. QB Derek Carr completed 33 passes, 12 of which went to his RB Alvin Kamara for 91 yards.

The Colts lost a heartbreaker at home in Week 7 to Cleveland, 39-38, after Browns RB Kareem Hunt plunged across the goal line with 15 seconds remaining. QB Gardner Minshew threw for over 300 yards and 2 touchdowns, 1 of which went to WR Josh Downs who led all receivers with 125 yards.

The Saints have won the last 4 head-to-head meetings between these teams. The last time they met was Dec. 16, 2019, and the Saints easily covered as 8-point home favorites in a 34-7 victory.

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Saints at Colts odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:55 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Saints -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Colts +110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Saints -1.5 (-115) | Colts +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Saints at Colts key injuries

Saints

LB Demario Davis (knee) questionable
QB Taysom Hill (chest) questionable
TE Juwan Johnson (calf) questionable
S Tyrann Mathieu (foot) questionable
OG Andrus Peat (ankle) questionable

Colts

DT Eric Johnson II (ankle) questionable
RB Zack Moss (elbow/heel) questionable
TE Kylen Granson (concussion) out
CB JuJu Brents (quad) out

Saints at Colts picks and predictions

Prediction

Saints 20, Colts 17

Moneyline

PASS.

This game is basically a coin flip in my mind. The Colts offense has been producing 25.4 points per game, but their defense has allowed the 3rd-most PPG (27.5) in the NFL. The Saints defense has kept them in games by holding opponents to just 18.1 PPG, but the offense has struggled with consistency. I’d rather stay away and look to the total in this one.

Against the spread

AVOID.

I am going to target the total with my bet.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 43.5 (-110).

These 2 teams have gone under the total in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matchups. New Orleans has been Under in 9 of their last 10 games because of their defensive prowess. I know that Minshew will be under a lot of pressure — the Colts allow nearly 3 sacks per game.

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Atlanta Falcons at Tennessee Titans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at Tennessee Titans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Tennessee Titans (2-4) welcome the Atlanta Falcons (4-3) to Nissan Stadium Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Falcons vs. Titans odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Titans lost to the Baltimore Ravens 24-16 in London. They failed to cover as a 5.5-point underdog. Tennessee had a Week 7 bye but has failed to cover 3 of its last 4 games, losing all 3 of those games. The Titans are led by RB Derrick Henry, who could be traded in the coming weeks. He has 425 rushing yards through 6 games this season.

The Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-13 in Week 7, covering as a 3-point road underdog. They snapped a streak of 5 straight games in which they were they did not cover. Atlanta is just 2-5 against the spread (ATS) this season. This will be just its 3rd true road game as well. Atlanta is led by QB Desmond Ridder, who has 1,630 passing yards and 9 total touchdowns.

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Falcons at Titans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Falcons -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Titans +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Falcons -3 (-105) | Titans +3 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 35 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Falcons at Titans key injuries

Falcons

LB Bud Dupree (groin) questionable

Titans

CB Roger McCreary (hamstring) out
QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle) out
TE Josh Whyle (concussion) out

Falcons at Titans picks and predictions

Prediction

Titans 20, Falcons 17

Moneyline

BET TITANS (+120).

The Titans are 2-0 at home this season, beating the Cincinnati Bengals 27-3 in Week 4 and the Los Angeles Chargers 27-24 in Week 2. The Falcons are 1-2 away from home this season with both losses coming by multiple scores.

The Falcons main weapon is RB Bijan Robinson, who they drafted in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft. The Titans should be able to snuff the star back. They sit 7th in opponents rushing yards per attempt at 3.6.

Given the trends and Tennessee’s home strength, take TITANS (+120).

Against the spread

PASS.

Take the better value on the moneyline as the Titans have made Nissan Stadium a fortress this season.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 35 (-110).

The popular pick here is going to be Under 35.5. Not having Tannehill mixed with a less-than-potent Falcons offense is the main reasons why. However, QB Malik Willis will be in his 2nd season, and QB Will Levis could surprise with the little tape for the Falcons to scout.

The Titans have scored at least 16 points in 3 straight games, and the Falcons defense has allowed 20 or more in 5 of their last 6 games. Take OVER 35 (-110).

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Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Minnesota Vikings (3-4) rekindle their divisional rivalry with the Green Bay Packers (2-4) when they meet at 1 p.m. ET Sunday at Lambeau Field in a game broadcast on FOX. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Vikings vs. Packers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Vikings were left for dead at 0-3, but have won 3 of their last 4 games and, if the playoffs started today, Minnesota would be the last Wild Card team in the NFC. The Vikings got themselves back in the playoff conversation Monday night with a 22-17 upset win over the San Francisco 49ers.

The Packers are on the other side of the coin. After starting 2-1, Green Bay has lost 3 straight – the most recent being a 19-17 loss to the Broncos. Key injuries on both sides of the ball have taken a toll on the NFL’s youngest team, and the Packers’ record reflects its lack of depth.

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Vikings at Packers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Vikings -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Packers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Vikings -1.5 (-110) | Packers +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Vikings at Packers key injuries

Vikings

G Ezra Cleveland (foot) questionable
WR Justin Jefferson (hamstring) out

Packers

CB Jaire Alexander (back) questionable
LB De’Vondre Campbell (ankle) questionable
TE Luke Musgrave (ankle) questionable
C Josh Myers (ankle) questionable

Vikings at Packers picks and predictions

Prediction

Vikings 20, Packers 16

Moneyline

PASS

This is insurance in the event of a tie (these two tied at Lambeau Field in 2018). The Vikings have played more 1-score games since the start of 2022 (18) than any team in the league.

1.5 points isn’t a lot to give away, and it’s cheaper to take the spread.

Against the spread

TAKE VIKINGS -1.5 (-110)

The Vikings are 3-3-1 against the spread and the Packers are 3-3 ATS, so there isn’t a clear indicator here.

When this line opened Monday, the Packers were favored despite losing to the struggling Broncos. That changed after the Vikings beat the 49ers and vaulted themselves back into playoff contention.

The Vikings have played their best defensively when facing young quarterbacks and defensive coordinator Brian Flores unleashing blitz pressure. Their 3 wins have all come against young QBs (Bryce Young, Justin Fields and Brock Purdy). Jordan Love will have to play extremely well not to be the next victim.

Over/Under

TAKE UNDER 42 (-110)

The Vikings haven’t scored more than 22 points in their last 4 games, which includes all 3 of their wins this season. The Packers have just 68 points in their last 4 games with weekly totals of 18, 20, 13 and 17.

Hitting Over 42 points is going to require both teams to approach or surpass 20 points. Given the status of both of these offenses, for this game not to stay Under will likely require at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown.

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NFL player props: 5 best bets for Week 8

NFL handicapper John Holler looks at the NFL Week 8 slate and tabs the 5 best NFL player props to cash in on.

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Whether it’s because of competing with the World Series this weekend or just coincidence, the NFL has all 32 teams playing — taking a 1-week break from bye weeks. That won’t be repeated until Week 15 when the bye weeks are over.

Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 8 player prop bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

This week our picks include a hot quarterback not reaching an Over/Under number he has blown past more times than not, a pair of running backs showing why they’re the centerpieces of their respective offenses, an unheralded wide receiver continuing the roll he’s been on since mid-September and a big-name receiver burning one of the best pass defenses in the league for a touchdown.

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NFL Week 8 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.

Jaguars WR Christian Kirk OVER 54.5 receiving yards (-120)

– At Steelers, 1 p.m. (CBS)

The Steelers are allowing 260 passing yards a game and most of those yards are to wide receivers.

Kirk was overshadowed by teammate Calvin Ridley when he arrived in the offseason, but Kirk has maintained his role as the No. 1 wide receiver in the Jaguars’ offense.

Kirk has topped this number in 3 of the last 4 games and will get every opportunity to get 8 or more targets, which should be more than enough to hit the Over.

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Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins UNDER 252.5 passing yards (-115)

– At Packers, 1 p.m. (FOX)

In Minnesota’s first 2 wins, Cousins threw for less than 200 yards. The Vikings chose to have a balanced offense against the Panthers and Bears because they were never far behind and could keep mixing in the run to control game tempo and shorten the game.

In 6 games, the Packers have scored just 26 first-half points, giving their opponents the opportunity to get an early lead and control the momentum.

Cousins has blown past 300 yards in 4 games this season, but this one should be more of a ground-based game plan that will keep him short. Plus the number has swelled up 2 yards Saturday.

Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase SCORES A TOUCHDOWN (+120)

– At 49ers, 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

The 49ers have only allowed 7 touchdown passes in 7 games, but the Bengals are going to need to throw to win, and that means a lot of Chase.

The Bengals have been digging out of a hole after a 1-3 start and are starting to get their footing with Joe Burrow getting healthier and the anticipated return of Tee Higgins to limit constant double-teams of Chase.

The 49ers aren’t the best team to expect a big day from, but one of the 49ers’ few weaknesses is the ability to get beat over the top by opponents willing to take the risk.

Seattle Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker OVER 66.5 rushing yards (-120)

– Host Browns, 4:05 p.m. (FOX)

The Browns have a strong run defense, but they’re facing a Seattle team that doesn’t abandon the run even when it falls behind.

Walker has topped this number in 3 of the last 4 games (and came with 4.5 yards in the one he didn’t) because of the consistent run volume he gets. In his last 5 games, Walker’s rushing attempt totals have been 17, 18, 17, 19 and 26.

The Browns won’t be pushovers, but if Walker has what has become an average week – 17 carries or more – it will be very difficult for Cleveland to hold him under this number.

Los Angeles Chargers RB Austin Ekeler OVER 31.5 receiving yards (-120)

– Host Bears, 8:20 p.m. (NBC)

The Chargers have been struggling to win games, and when that happens, teams often revert to what has made them successful in the past. In the case of the Chargers, that is making Ekeler a 2-way threat as a runner and receiver.

Having missed 3 games this season, Ekeler hasn’t been able to get in a groove quite yet, but a primetime game against one of the worst teams in the league is a way to get healthy in a hurry.

Getting Ekeler in space in the pass game should be a priority for quarterback Justin Herbert, and 5 receptions should be about the baseline given the shorthanded nature at the top of the Chargers’ receiving corps. All it will take is one splash play and he tops this number.

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Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Los Angeles Rams (3-4) are on the road this week against the Dallas Cowboys (4-2), a marquee NFC matchup at AT&T Stadium. Kickoff will be at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rams vs. Cowboys odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Rams fell to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 7, 24-17, after blowing a 4th-quarter lead at home. They have yet to win back-to-back games this season, missing that opportunity last week against Pittsburgh. The Rams are just 1-2 since WR Cooper Kupp returned from injury and they remain in 3rd place in the NFC West after 7 weeks.

The Cowboys were off for their bye last week, so they’re well-rested coming into this matchup. In their most recent game, they beat the Los Angeles Chargers, 20-17, at SoFi Stadium. Dallas ranks 5th in points scored and 4th in points allowed, but red zone struggles and penalties have been costly this season.

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Rams at Cowboys odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:42 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rams +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Cowboys -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Rams +6.5 (-110) | Cowboys -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rams at Cowboys key injuries

Rams

RT Rob Havenstein (calf) questionable
LB Ernest Jones (knee) probable

Cowboys

None

Rams at Cowboys picks and predictions

Prediction

Cowboys 24, Rams 20

Moneyline

The Cowboys are understandably big favorites in this one, coming off their bye against a Rams team that just lost to the Steelers to drop below .500. However, as impressive as Dallas has looked against teams like the New York Giants and New York Jets, it also played terribly against the Cardinals and 49ers.

At -275, it’s hard to feel confident taking that line against a resilient Rams team that has kept games close, for the most part, this season. PASS.

Against the spread

The Rams are 4-2-1 ATS in 2023, with their 2 losses coming against the Eagles and Steelers. They blew leads to both teams and collapsed in the 2nd half of each game, gaining just 20 net yards in the 4th quarter last week.

Though 3 of the Cowboys’ 4 wins were blowouts, this game doesn’t have the makings of a lopsided affair. The Rams play a conservative style of defense that tries to prevent big plays, and the offense has enough playmakers with Kupp and WR Puka Nacua to challenge the Cowboys secondary.

BET RAMS +6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

With the Rams offense struggling, the total has only gone Over in 2 of their 7 games so far. Dallas’ inconsistency, as well as its lesser opponents, has caused the total to go Over in just half of its games (3 of 6).

With the way both teams are playing at the moment, each struggling in the red zone at times, LEAN UNDER 45.5 (-110) on Sunday.

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Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Houston Texans (3-3) square off against the Carolina Panthers (0-6) on Sunday at Bank of America Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Texans vs. Panthers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Texans are coming off of their bye week having defeated the New Orleans Saints 20-13 in Week 6 to cover as 2-point home underdogs, and the Under (42) cleared. Rookie QB C.J. Stroud has been tremendous thus far, and Houston is hoping he can continue to thrive after the bye.

The Panthers are also exiting their bye week following a 42-21 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 6 in which they failed to cover as 14-point road underdogs, and the Over (47) easily connected. Carolina has named offensive coordinator Thomas Brown the new play-caller as rookie QB Bryce Young and the offense have struggled thus far.

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Texans at Panthers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:36 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Texans -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Panthers +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread (ATS): Texans -3.5 (-105) | Panthers +3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texans at Panthers key injuries

Texans

WR Tank Dell (concussion) probable
OT Tytus Howard (knee/hand) questionable
DT Sheldon Rankins (knee) probable
OT Laremy Tunsil (knee) questionable
WR Robert Woods (foot) doubtful

Panthers

S Vonn Bell (quad) questionable
OLB Brian Burns (elbow) questionable
G Austin Corbett (knee) questionable
LB Frankie Luvu (hip) questionable
OT Taylor Moton (knee/rest) questionable
RB Miles Sanders (shoulder) probable

Texans at Panthers picks and predictions

Prediction

Texans 27, Panthers 20

Moneyline

The Texans should earn their 4th win of the season on Sunday, but I’ll PASS on taking their moneyline against the Panthers. While I’m fine using Houston’s moneyline in a parlay, backing the Texans at the current odds (-185) isn’t advised.

Against the spread

TEXANS -3.5 (-105) is the play even though both teams had an extra week to prepare for the game. In a battle between the 1st 2 picks in the 2023 NFL draft, Stroud and Houston’s offense have looked much more comfortable entering Week 8.

The Texans are 4-2 ATS (2-1 ATS on the road) and the Panthers are 0-5-1 ATS so far this season.

Over/Under

OVER 43.5 (-110) is the lean here as the Texans’ offense has looked formidable thus far, and the Panthers should receive a boost from having a new play-caller. While Carolina is averaging only 18.7 points per game, Houston is putting up 22.5.

The Panthers have hit the Over in back-to-back games, and Stroud should move the ball with ease against a shorthanded secondary.

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NFL Week 8 parlay: Let’s make some money

Analyzing NFL Week 8 betting odds and lines, with predictions and picks for the best parlay bet to make.

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We were perfect in Week 7. Unfortunately, it was on the wrong side as we went 0-4.

The Washington Commanders (-2.5), Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5), Green Bay Packers (-1) let us down, losing by a combined 12 points. Plus, we came up short on our bonus play, being the Over (52) in the Miami Dolphins–Philadelphia Eagles game.

Not to be discouraged, we’re back at it.

After looking at BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL Week 8 odds, here’s our latest “Let’s make some money” NFL parlay bet to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL Week 8: Let’s make some money parlay

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:55 a.m. ET. All games on Sunday and ET unless noted.

Leg 1: EAGLES -6.5 (-110) at Commanders – 1 p.m. (FOX)

This, as always, is a tough matchup.

As 10-point home favorites in Week 4, the Eagles (6-1) barely prevailed 34-31 after being taken to overtime by the Commanders in their 1st meeting of the season.

Washington (3-4) is coming off a gutting 14-7 loss as a 3-point road favorite at the New York Giants. The Commanders defense allowed the Giants offense to score its first TD in the last 4 games in posting its first 2-TD home game this season.

Washington QB Sam Howell has been sacked a league-high 40 times for 267 yards, also an NFL worst. Howell is the first QB since David Carr in 2002 to be sacked at least 40 times in the first 7 games of a season.

The Eagles pass rush has been able to get to opposing quarterbacks early and often, tied for 3rd in the NFL with 24 sacks. With the Eagles having the No. 1-ranked rush defense, holding opponents to 62.9 yards per game, the Commanders will be forced to move the ball through the air.

In the Week 4 game, Howell threw for 290 yards as the Eagles were dealing with injuries to their secondary. Philadelphia is healthier now. Plus, it acquired S Kevin Byard from the Tennessee Titans for even more re-enforcement.

Philadelphia’s offense, which just put up 31 points against Miami in a 14-point win as a 3-point favorite, is starting to find itself after a slow start to the season. Even if Philly only scores 24 Sunday, it could still win a game like the 24-8 victory it had last season at Washington.

The Philly defense will be the key unit vs. Washington. If it can get to Howell the way all other defenses have in 2023, laying 6.5 points will not be a sweat to start off our parlay.

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Leg 2: Saints at Colts OVER 43.5 (-110) – 1 p.m. (FOX)

In a season of Under plays hitting, we’re bucking the trend and going with the Over in New Orleans (3-4) at Indianapolis (3-4).

The Saints offense has been less than good. It only averages 19.0 points per game, ranking 21st in the league. But the cure should be facing a Colts defense that has allowed 27.3 PPG, which ranks 30th.

On the other side of the tape, the Saints defense has been elite. It ranks 7th in least points allowed per game (18.1) The Colts offense, though, has been scoring at will, averaging 25.4 PPG to rank 6th.

This will be an offensive game as the host Colts and the visiting Saints are used to playing indoors. Expect a track meet with the home team leading the way to an Over.

Don’t worry about New Orleans’ 1-6 O/U record. The Colts are 5-2 O/U, including last Sunday when it was able to torch a top-ranked Cleveland Browns defense in a 39-38 loss — Cleveland leads the NFL in least yards allowed at 243.0 yards per game.

The O/U line has climbed a point since Tuesday. If it stays below 44, TAKE THE OVER.

Leg 3: RAMS +6.5 (-110) at Cowboys – 1 p.m. (FOX)

The Cowboys (4-2) return after a bye week following a mediocre 20-17 win — as 1.5-point road favorites — at an equally mediocre Los Angeles Chargers team in Week 6. While it was a much-needed win following a 42-10 loss at the San Francisco 49ers in Week 5, it did nothing to install confidence in Dallas or in QB Dak Prescott.

While the Rams (3-4) come in after a bad 24-17 home loss as 3.5-point favorites to the Steelers, QB Matthew Stafford has proved himself healthy in 2023. With WR Cooper Kupp also now healthy, the Rams offense will rely on the pass game.

Despite CB Trevon Diggs out for the season, the Cowboys pass defense has remained stellar, ranking 3rd in the NFL at 177.0 yards per game allowed. For the Rams, Stafford has led the team to 253.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 7th.

With Kupp and rookie WR Puka Nacua turning into one of the elite receiving duos in the NFL, Dallas will find it tough to limit L.A’s explosive pass game. If the Rams can get anything out of a battered and bruised run game, they will win the game outright. Getting them at +6.5 POINTS is excellent value.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $59.58 (payout = $69.58).

Try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator.

Leg 4-*: RAVENS -8.5 (-110) at Cardinals – 4:25 p.m. (CBS)

*-If you want to add a 4th play to this parlay.

The Ravens (5-2) defeated the Detroit Lions 38-6 in a game which was not even that close in Week 7 — Baltimore was a 3-point home favorite. QB Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offense dominated the entirety of the game and left no doubt by leading 28-0 at halftime.

Arizona (1-6) started the season 3-0 against the spread and 1-2 straight up, but the Cardinals are 0-4 ATS and SU in their last 4 games, losing each by 10 points or more. QB Kyler Murray, out since the start of the season as he recovers from an ACL injury, has been activated to practice but will not return this week.

The Ravens will be able to hold down Arizona QB Josh Dobbs after holding down Lions QB Jared Goff in Week 7.

Laying 8.5 points is a substantial number, but it will only go up before kickoff. Get it now and avoid the late rush.

Parlay payout: Bet $10 to profit $122.83 (payout = $132.83).

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Prince’s Picks: Back these 3 NFL plays in Week 8

BetFTW senior writer Prince J. Grimes has an NFL 3-pack ready to go in Week 8’s Prince’s Picks edition.

BetFTW senior writer Prince J. Grimes is “never scared of the tough games.”

In his Week 8 picks, Prince likes an AFC team coming off a bye and getting points on the road at an NFC division leader.

Prince’s 2nd selection involves an NFC East team hosting a conference foe out of the West.

To wrap it up, Prince likes a total in a bitter NFC East rivalry.

Check out USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of scores and odds.

Are the #49ers headed for a third straight loss? @pgprincej thinks it’ll be close. These are Prince’s Picks for Week 8 with @betwayusa #betting #nfl #bettingtips pic.twitter.com/VMgk0n4gsn

— For The Win (@ForTheWin) October 26, 2023

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3) and Buffalo Bills (4-3) meet for Thursday Night Football in Week 8 at Highmark Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Buccaneers vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Buccaneers are coming off a disappointing 16-13 setback at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa against the division rival Atlanta Falcons. The offense has had a power outage in the past 2 games, totaling just 19 points across the past 2 losses, spoiling a tremendous defensive effort.

Tampa has allowed just 18.0 PPG in the past 2 games, and the Bucs are allowing just 17.4 PPG overall, cashing the Under in 5 of 6 outings to date.

The Bills will also be happy to get back in action with a quick turnaround. Buffalo was stunned 29-25 on the road against a bad New England Patriots team. The Bills have dropped 2 of the past 3 games overall, while failing to cash against the spread (ATS) in 3 in a row. The offense has dropped off significantly, averaging just 19.7 PPG in the past 3 games after going for 41.0 PPG in the previous 3 contests.

Tampa hasn’t faced an AFC opponent so far this season. Buffalo is 2-0 straight up (SU) and ATS against the NFC in 2023.

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Buccaneers at Bills odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:33 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +320 (bet $100 to win $320) | Bills -405 (bet $405 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers +8.5 (-110) | Bills -8.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Buccaneers at Bills key injuries

Buccaneers

OG Matt Feiler (knee) out
WR Chris Godwin (neck) questionable
QB Baker Mayfield (knee) questionable
S Kaevon Merriweather (ankle) out
DT Vita Vea (groin) questionable

Bills

TE Dawson Knox (wrist) out
LB Von Miller (knee) available
TE Quintin Morris (ankle) out
DT Ed Oliver (toe) questionable
DT Jordan Phillips (back) available
LB Baylon Spector (hamstring) out

Buccaneers at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 23, Buccaneers 18

Moneyline

The Bills (-405) will cost you more than 4 times your potential return, and that’s risky business. Yes, Buffalo will be angry after a stunning loss against 1 of the worst teams in the NFL last weekend. However, the Bills offense, which has been struggling lately, faces a stiff test against one of the better defenses in the NFC.

PASS, and focus on the spread instead.

Against the spread

The BUCCANEERS +8.5 (-110) were my initial lean, but Mayfield was limited in practice. If he is ruled out, and backup QB Blaine Gabbert is entrusted with the start, then it’s all-in on the Bills -8.5 (-110). The line is likely to shift dramatically, too. Mayfield could very well be a game-time decision, as he tests his knee in pregame warmups, so be careful.

Over/Under

UNDER 42.5 (-105) is worth playing lightly, but again, be careful.

The Bills defense was dinged for 29 points by a shaky Patriots defense, so even the Bucs could get loose for some points here. That’s not expected, however. And the Bills offense has really had its issues lately, and that isn’t likely to be ironed out on a short week against a very good defensive unit.

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