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NLCS Game 6: New York Mets at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets and LA Dodgers meet Sunday in Game 6 of the best-of-7 NLCS. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 8:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Dodgers lead 3-2; LA won regular-season series 4-2

Facing elimination, the Mets roared back with a dominant performance Friday in Game 5. Their offense, which had managed just 9 total runs in the 1st 4 games, erupted for a dozen runs to win 12-6. 1B Pete Alonso led the way, going 2-for-3 with a 3-run HR and 4 runs scored. RF Starling Marte had a huge day as well, going 4-for-5 with 3 doubles and 3 RBIs.

The Dodgers had a rough Game 5 as starter Jack Flaherty (3 IP, 8 ER, 8 H, 4 BB, 0 K) and reliever Brent Honeywell (4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 0 K) were torched by the Mets. CF Andy Pages went 3-for-4 with 2 HR and 4 RBIs while RF Mookie Betts added a solo HR.

Mets at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. Undecided

Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) made 32 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 181 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 7-3 victory at the Dodgers Monday in Game 2 of NLCS
  • 2024 postseason stats: 2-0, 2.65 ERA (17 IP, 5 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 3 starts
  • 2024 regular-season road stats: 6-3, 3.17 ERA (88 IP, 31 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 2-5, 6.75 ERA (52 IP, 39 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 12 appearances (9 starts) including the postseason

At publishing, the Dodgers had not named a starter and manager Dave Roberts said it will be “all hands on deck.” RHP Ryan Brasier, who has started the Dodgers’ 2 postseason bullpen games, is an option as is LHP Anthony Banda.

  • Brasier regular-season stats: 1-0, 3.54 ERA (28 IP, 11 ER), 0.962 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 29 games (4 starts)
  • Banda regular-season stats: 3-2, 3.08 ERA (49 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 48 games (2 starts)

Mets at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 7, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

Backing the Mets on the moneyline looks like a solid bet, largely thanks to their momentum and the performance of Manaea, who has been New York’s most reliable arm this postseason, allowing just 5 ER across 3 starts.

Meanwhile, the Mets’ offense found its stride in Game 5 after a slow start in the NLCS. While the Dodgers will turn to their strong bullpen, with a 3.53 ERA this season, New York’s recent surge gives them the edge. Momentum can make all the difference in October, and the Mets have it right now.

BET METS (+120).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll keep my bet to the moneyline with the better odds.

Over/Under

Betting the Over in Game 6 between the Mets and Dodgers is a strong play. All 5 games in this series have surpassed the total, and the Over is 9-1 in their matchups this season. The Mets were red-hot in the divisional round, hitting .269, and even with a slight dip, they’re still batting .253 in the NLCS. With New York’s offense likely to challenge the Dodgers’ bullpen, expect another high-scoring game.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-120).

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NLCS Game 5: LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers and New York Mets meet in Game 5 of the best-of-7 NLCS Friday. First pitch from Citi Field is slated for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

NLCS: LA leads 3-1; LA won regular-season series 4-2

The Dodgers hoisted crooked numbers in 4 innings and won Thursday’s Game 4 by a score of 10-2. Across 10 combined games this season, LA has outscored New York 66-29.

The Mets outhit LA 12-10 Thursday but went 0 for 10 with runners in scoring position. New York also filed just 1 extra-base hit — a 1st-inning Mark Vientos HR — and has collected just 5 extra-base knocks in the series.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. LHP David Peterson

Flaherty (13-7, 3.17 ERA) made 28 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 162 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 9-0 home victory vs. Mets Sunday in Game 1
  • Career vs. Mets (regular season): 0-0, 1 road start (June 13, 2019), 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-4 win in 10 innings with St. Louis Cardinals
  • Owns 3.38 postseason ERA across 37 1/3 career playoff innings

Peterson (10-3, 2.90 ERA) registered 21 starts in the regular season. He authored a 1.29 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 across 121 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 2 1/3 relief IP, 2 ER (3 R), 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in Sunday’s loss
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-0, 5.74 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts)
  • Has registered 2.53 ERA in 10 2/3 postseason IP in his career (2.08 ERA in 8 2/3 this October)
  • Friday’s start would mark the 1st of his career in postseason (previous October innings all in relief)

Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Mets +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Mets 3

Moneyline

LA’s 6.60 runs per game against the Mets (regular season plus playoffs) is intriguing, and the return on the run line is high enough to take a crack at a Dodgers RL play.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers looked dialed in on Peterson when he tossed 2 1/3 innings in Game 1 of this series. LA filed 4 line drives, 4 hits and a walk in plating 3 runs (2 ER) against him. The Dodgers logged the league’s best OPS against left-handers (.795) in the regular season, and they’re a club that has had its offense in high gear since mid-September (7.09 RPG, .855 OPS since Sept. 15).

New York pitching had been so good for long stretches this year, but the Mets don’t have their best foot forward in this one. It’s baseball, and they can certainly pull off the upset and force a return trip to California. Or a taut 1-run game could develop. But the risk-reward here is worth the solid return on a borderline-great club playing well of late.

BACK THE DODGERS -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

All 4 games of this series have hit the Over, and the Over is 8-2 across 10 LA-New York games this season.

A sunny day with the early start (potential shadows and batter’s-eye difficulties) and a likely inward breeze are factors that work against run scoring. But peg Peterson’s good numbers as being not supported by skill-based analytics. And throw in a pair of bullpens not fully available for late-inning work.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-105).

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NLCS Game 4: LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers and New York Mets meet in Game 4 of the best-of-7 NLCS Thursday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

NLCS: Dodgers lead 2-1; Dodgers won regular-season series 4-2

The Dodgers kicked off the series with a 9-0 win Sunday and followed that up with a 7-3 home loss Monday. LA’s 8-0 win in Game 3 Wednesday almost mirrored Game 1, as the Dodgers started scoring early and never let up.

The Dodgers beat the San Diego Padres 3-2 in their NLDS, going 1-1 on the road. LA has tallied at least 5 runs in 5 of 8 postseason games. The Dodgers finished the regular season 98-64 straight up and 81-81 against the spread (ATS).

The Mets, who finished the regular season 3rd in the NL East, advanced to the NLCS by taking down the Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers, the winners of the NL East and NL Central, respectively. New York beat Milwaukee in 2 of 3 games and Philadelphia in 3 of 4. It was 89-73 straight up and 84-78 ATS during the regular season.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Yamamoto (7-2, 3.00 ERA) made 18 regular-season starts. The rookie ended with a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 90 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 2-0 home victory vs. Padres in Game 5 of NLDS Friday
  • 2024 postseason stats: 1-0, 5.63 ERA (8 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 2 starts
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 4-1, 2.06 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-0, 1 home start (April 19), 6 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 7 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 9-4 win

Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA) made 31 regular-season starts. He finished with a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 170 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-1 home victory in Game 4 of NLDS vs. Phillies Oct. 9
  • 2024 postseason stats: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (11 IP), 0.82 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 5-5, 3.64 ERA (84 IP, 34 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 1 home start (May 28), 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 3-0 loss
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 3-2, 2.04 ERA (61 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 13 appearances (10 starts)
  • Career postseason stats: 0-1, 2.43 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 7 appearances (6 starts)

Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Mets +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

BET METS (+115).

The Dodgers haven’t performed well in the postseason when coming off an electric night offensively. Against the Padres, they scored 7 or more runs twice and followed those performances up by scoring 2 both times. Against the Mets, they put up 9 runs in Game 1 and then scored just 3 in Game 2.

Quintana has also been electric on the mound during his 2 postseason starts. In those 2 games, the Mets allowed just 3 runs. They are 3-0 after a loss in the playoffs as well. That said, back METS (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value on the run line. Each of the games have had a decisive winner, so if there is a play, it would be on the Dodgers as run-line favorites. However, the Mets’ moneyline is the preferred route for this one.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-120).

Both teams have been on fire offensively. The Mets have scored at least 6 runs in 5 of 10 postseason games and are 8-2 O/U, having allowed at least 7 runs in 3 of their last 6.

The Dodgers are 6-1-1 O/U in their 8 playoff games. They have allowed at least 5 runs in 4 of the 8 games and are still 2-1 O/U after scoring 7 or more runs. Take OVER 7 (-120).

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NLCS Game 3: LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers and New York Mets play Game 3 of their best-of-7 NLCS Wednesday. First pitch from Citi Field is set for 8:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1

New York won 7-3 in Los Angeles on Monday to tie the series while covering as a +140 road underdog. SS Francisco Lindor opened up the scoring with a solo HR in the top of the 1st and the Mets made it 6-0 before the end of the 2nd when 3B Mark Vientos hit a grand slam.

The Dodgers run of 3 straight shutouts and record-tying 33 consecutive scoreless innings in the playoffs ended on Lindor’s HR. LA was doubled-up in hits (10-5) and home runs (2-1) and trailed 18-8 in total bases.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Walker Buehler vs. RHP Luis Severino

Buehler (1-6, 5.38 ERA) made 16 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.55 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 75 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 0 K in a 6-5 loss Tuesday at San Diego Padres in Game 3 of the ALDS
  • 2024 postseason stats: 0-1, 10.80 ERA, 1.60 WHIP in 5 IP
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-1, 5.00 ERA (27 IP, 15 ER), 24 H, 8 BB, 28 K in 5 starts

Severino (11-7, 3.91 ERA) made 31 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 182 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 7-6 loss at Philadelphia Phillies on Oct. 6 in Game 2 of the ALDS
  • 2024 postseason stats: 1-0, 4.50 ERA, 1.33 WHIP in 12 IP
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 10.50 ERA (6 IP, 7 ER), 10 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 2 appearances (1 start)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Dodgers 5

Moneyline

LEAN METS (-110).

New York has won both of its home games this postseason and is 3-1 in its last 4 playoff games. But this is only a lean because the Dodgers were the better team this season and because LA has won its last 3 games vs. the Mets in New York.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Mets will cover here as +1.5 (-190) underdogs, but they are not worth the risk. I advise passing on this bet and playing the ML and/or total instead, but if you are comfortable playing the spread here then you can divvy up units between the run line and ML.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in each of the 1st 2 games this series and is 5-1 in New York’s last 5 games this postseason, also being 7-2 in all of its 9 games this playoffs. For LA, the Over is 5-1-1 in its 7 games during the postseason.

The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 NY-LA matchups.

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NLCS Game 2: New York Mets at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Mets at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets and LA Dodgers meet Monday in Game 2 of the best-of-7 NLCS. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 4:08 p.m. ET (FOX/FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Dodgers lead 1-0 | Regular-season series: Dodgers won 4-2

After winning back-to-back games against the Philadelphia Phillies to clinch the NLDS, the Mets struggled mightly in a 9-0 loss at the Dodgers in Game 1 Sunday as +144 underdogs. New York was held to just 3 hits, and SP Kodai Senga allowed 3 earned runs on 2 hits and 4 walks with no K’s in 1 1/3 innings to pick up the loss.

The Dodgers have won 3 games in a row after Sunday’s victory as -157 home favorites. RF Mookie Betts led the way on offense with 3 RBIs, 1 of 5 LA players to drive in at least 1 run. SP Jack Flaherty allowed just 2 hits and 2 walks with 6 K’s in 7 scoreless innings to pick up the win.

Mets at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Sean Manaea vs. TBD

Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) made 32 starts in the regular season. He had a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 181 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-2 home victory vs. Phillies Tuesday in Game 3 of NLDS
  • 2024 postseason stats: 1-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 2 starts
  • 2024 regular-season road stats: 6-3, 3.17 ERA (88 IP, 31 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 16 starts
  • 2024 vs. LA: 0-0, 1 road start (April 19), 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 9-4 win
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 1-5, 7.09 ERA (47 IP, 37 ER), 1.51 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 11 appearances (8 starts)

LA had not yet announced a starter, but RHP Ryan Brasier (1-0, 3.54 ERA in regular season) is expected to serve as the opener. He had a 0.96 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 28 innings in 29 regular-season appearances (4 starts).

  • Last start: No-decision, 1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 8-0 victory at San Diego Padres Wednesday in Game 4 of NLDS
  • 2024 postseason stats: 1-0, 4.91 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 3 appearances (1 start)
  • 2024 regular-season home stats: 0-0, 3.24 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 17 appearances (3 starts)
  • 2024 vs. Mets: 0-0, 10.80 ERA (1 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 2 relief appearances
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 6.14 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 8 relief appearances

Mets at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Monday at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-185) | Dodgers -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -125 | U: -105)

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Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

BET DODGERS (-145).

LA has shut out its opponent in 3 straight games.

In Game 1, the Mets struggled to drive in runs while the Dodgers had their best offensive performance of the postseason. Manaea has struggled against LA in his career, and with the DODGERS (-145) winning back-to-back home games, their moneyline is the best wager.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Dodgers’ moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-125).

The Dodgers are 4-1-1 O/U in their last 6 games and have scored 8 or more runs in 2 of their last 3.

The Mets have hit the Over in 3 of their last 5 games and should be expected to bounce back from Sunday’s poor offensive performance. They have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games.

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NLCS Game 1: New York Mets at LA Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at LA Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets and LA Dodgers open up the National League Championship Series Sunday. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is slated for 8:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: 0-0 | Regular-season series: Dodgers won 4-2

The Mets stunned the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 in their NLDS matchup. SS Francisco Lindor reestablished himself as a superstar this season, and he crowned that jewel with a go-ahead grand slam in the 6th inning of Game 4 to lift the Mets in a series they were dogs in.

The Dodgers came back from a 2-1 deficit to dispatch the San Diego Padres in 5 games. Yes, they have the best team money can buy, but give them credit. They won the final 2 games by a combined score of 10-0 with an injury-ridden pitching staff. OF Teoscar Hernandez was 6-for-18 (.333) with 2 homers and 7 RBIs in the series.

Mets at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. RHP Jack Flaherty

Senga (1-0, 3.38 ERA) made 1 start in the regular season. He had a 0.56 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 15.2 K/9 across 5 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-2 win at Phillies Oct. 5 in Game 1 of NLDS
  • 1 career start vs. Dodgers: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 5-1 home loss July 15, 2023

Flaherty (13-7, 3.17 ERA) made 28 starts in the regular season with the Detroit Tigers and Dodgers. He had a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 162 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 10-2 home loss vs. Padres Oct. 6 in Game 2 of NLDS
  • 1 career start vs. Mets: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-4 road win in 10 innings June 13, 2019, with St. Louis Cardinals

Mets at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:13 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-165) | Dodgers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mets at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Dodgers 5

Moneyline

The Mets took 2 of 3 in LA early in the year, but the Dodgers won the last 4 meetings by a combined 28-5. The Dodgers could go with Flaherty or RHP Walker Buehler here, and neither of them provide much confidence. The Dodgers could absolutely win a slugfest, but for the price, I’m taking the METS +135.

The 2 games the Padres won against the Dodgers last series? Buehler allowed 6 ER, and Flaherty was dropping F bombs on the way to a 10-2 loss. Flaherty has been very pedestrian in his postseason career at 1-4 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 30 1/3 IP.

Run line/Against the spread

I’m taking FRANCISCO LINDOR OVER 1.5 H+R+RBIs (-120). He is 0-for-5 lifetime against Flaherty and 1-for-2 with a homer off Buehler. The way he’s swinging the bat, that feels like a bargain.

Over/Under

With this pitching matchup, we’re going Over. The Dodgers are 6-3-1 O/U in their last 10 and 3-1-1 in their last series. The Mets went 3-1 O/U in their division series. The wind is also slated to be blowing out at 9 mph.

Take the OVER 8 (-120).

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NLDS Game 4: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets clash Wednesday in Game 4 of their best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch at Citi Field is set for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Series: Mets lead 2-1; Phillies won 7-6 in regular-season series

The Phillies lost 7-2 in Tuesday’s Game 3. Since their final series of the regular season, Philadelphia has slashed a mere .198/.287/.313 (.600 OPS) over its last 6 games.

The Mets went 3-of-8 with runners in scoring position on Tuesday. In its 2 wins this series, New York has gone 7-of-15 (.467) in such situations.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

LHP Ranger Suarez vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Suarez made 27 starts in the regular season. He went 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 150 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 2 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 9-1 loss at Washington Nationals Sept. 27
  • Career vs. Mets: 4-3, 3.52 ERA (53 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 53 H, 22 BB, 40 K in 16 appearances (9 starts)
  • Owns a 1.62 ERA across 33 1/3 IP in career postseason play

Quintana made 31 starts in the regular season, clocking a 10-10 mark with a 3.75 ERA. He logged a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 170 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 4-2 win at Milwaukee Brewers Thursday in NL Wild Card Series
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-2, 3.53 ERA (66 1/3 IP, 26 ER), 59 H, 17 BB, 75 K in 12 starts
  • Owns a 2.92 ERA across 24 2/3 IP in postseason play

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

New York is 4-1 over its last 5 games against Philadelphia.

Suarez has scuffled of late. With a drop in velocity and alongside too many walks, the veteran lefty logged a 6.04 ERA in September. And how will he handle the 11-day layoff between starts? In his career Suarez has allowed a .694 OPS; on rest of 6 days or more, that figure balloons to .750.

Quintana, who pitches in front of a rested New York bullpen, is coming off a solid Wild Card start, has a good October history and per ESPN has held current Philadelphia batters to an aggregate .644 OPS.

The Mets are a lean but would be more of a full-value one with a better price. Consider a partial-unit play on the METS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: No interest here.

Over/Under

With the pitching in this game, including the way both clubs figure to play out relief frames in high-leverage mode, look for runs to be at a premium on a cool, autumn evening in New York.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-115).

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NLDS Game 3: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets battle in Game 3 of their best-of-5 NLDS Tuesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1; Phillies won regular-season series 7-6

Philadelphia evened the series with a 7-6 win in Game 2 Sunday, covering as a -136 home favorite with the Over (8.5) hitting. After Mets 3B Mark Vientos tied it at 6-all with a 1-out, 2-run homer in the top of the 9th, Phillies RF Nick Castellanos won it with a walk-off RBI single bottom of the inning.

Castellanos (3-for-5, 2 runs) finished with 2 RBIs as did 1B Bryce Harper and 2B Bryson Stott. Harper (2-run shot) and Castellanos connected for back-to-back HRs in the bottom of the 6th to tie it at 3-3.

The Mets, who were +125 underdogs, received 4 RBIs from Vientos (3-for-4, 2 runs), who also homered in the 3rd inning, a 2-run shot for a New York 2-0 advantage. 1B Pete Alonzo (solo homer in 6th for 3-0 lead) and LF Brandon Nimmo (solo HR in 7th for 4-3 lead) also homered for the Mets.

Phillies at Mets projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. LHP Sean Manaea

Nola (14-8, 3.57 ERA) made 33 starts with a 1.20 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 199 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 6-3 victory at Washington Nationals Sept. 29
  • 2024 vs. Mets: 1-1, 4.05 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 15 K in 2 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 10-9, 3.46 ERA (164 IP, 63 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 11.3 K/9 in in 28 starts
  • Last start vs. Mets: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 7 K in 11-3 home defeat Sept. 13
  • Career postseason: 5-3, 3.70 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 20 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 9 starts — all for Phillies

Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA) made 32 starts in the regular season with a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 through 181 2/3 innings. This is his 2nd start in the playoffs.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 5-3 loss at Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday in Game 2 of NL Wild Card Series
  • 2024 vs. Phillies: 1-1, 5.40 (16 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 14 H, 4 HR, 2 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-2, 5.19 ERA (26 IP, 15 ER), 24 H, 6 BB, 24 K in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • Last start vs. Phillies: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 2 HR, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-3 home victory Sept. 21
  • Career postseason: 0-3, 10.66 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 19 H, 7 HR, 3 BB, 13 K in 3 starts and 1 relief outing for Oakland A’s (2019 and ’20), San Diego Padres (2022) and Mets (2024)

Phillies at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:13 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Phillies -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+150) | Mets +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Phillies at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 4

Moneyline

BET PHILLIES (-115).

Philadelphia started the playoffs slow scoring only 2 runs in its 1st game — a 4-run loss to New York in Game 1 Saturday. But the bats showed up in Game 2 with 7 runs, the type of run production that led Philly to one of MLB’s best records this season (95-67).

Heading on the road, in what will surely be a loud October environment in New York, expect the Phillies offense to play a major role in its success Tuesday.

The Phillies have scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games, including 6 or more runs in 4 of those games. The Mets have allowed 4 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 games and 6 of their last 10. Even with this being their 1st home game of the postseason, the Mets will struggle against Nola and the Philly offense Tuesday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The odds are better on the Philadelphia moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-120).

The Mets have hit the Over in 4 of their 5 postseason games so far and have scored 6 runs in back-to-back games. The Phillies have cashed 7 Overs in a row are with an O/U of 8-1-1 in the last 10 games. They have scored 6 or more runs in 2 of their last 3 games.

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NLDS Game 2: New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in Game 2 of the best-of-5 NLDS. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 4:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoff series: Mets lead 1-0; Regular-season series: Phillies won 7-6

The Mets were down 1-0 heading into the 8th inning, but scored 5 runs with some good old-fashioned small ball — 3 singles and 2 sac flies — to get the job done. The 6-2 win was their 3rd comeback victory in 4 postseason games.

The Phillies showed some rust after their bye, managing only 2 runs on 5 hits, including a leadoff homer from DH Kyle Schwarber. Starter Zack Wheeler delivered with 9 strikeouts over 7 shutout innings, but the bullpen and offense fell short, resulting in the loss of home-field advantage in this 5-game series.

Mets at Phillies projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez

Severino (11-7, 3.91 ERA) made 31 starts in 2024 with a 1.24 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 182 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 8-4 victory at Milwaukee Brewers Tuesday in the NL Wild Card Game 1
  • 2024 road splits: 4-5, 5.00 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 49 R (47 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-0, 2.84 ERA (19 IP, 6 ER), 14 H, 3 HR, 3 BB, 21 K in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 2-4, 5.07 ERA (53 IP, 29 R (28 ER), 29 H, 8 HR, 23 BB, 47 K in 12 games (11 starts)

Sanchez (11-9, 3.32 ERA) made 31 starts in 2024 with a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 181 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 9-6 victory against Chicago Cubs Sept. 25
  • 2024 road splits: 7-3, 2.21 ERA (110 IP, 32 R (27 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 17 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-2, 3.62 ERA (37 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 41 K in 9 games (6 starts)
  • Career postseason stats: 0-0, 3.86 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 2 R, 1 ER), 2 H, 0 HR, 1 BB, 1 K in Game 4 relief appearance of the 2023 NLCS

Mets at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Phillies -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-175) | Phillies -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mets at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I’ve got the Phillies (-155) evening the series on Sunday afternoon, but I’ll take my bet to the run line with better odds.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PHILLIES -1.5 (+135).

Saturday’s Game 1 loss was the spark the Phillies needed after a rusty performance following their week off. They can’t afford to go down 0-2 before heading to New York, and with this roster’s deep playoff experience, they know how to respond under pressure.

Sanchez has been lights out at Citizens Bank Park this season, and although Severino has plenty of postseason experience, he’s struggled to find consistent success. Harper’s track record against Severino is also worth noting—2 career hits, both HRs, in just 5 at-bats.

Expect a more focused Phillies team to come out strong, cover the run line, and even up the series before heading to Queens.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

Game 1 started off slow offensively, with just 1 run scored through 7 innings, but things changed quickly when the bullpens got involved, resulting in 7 runs in the final 2 frames. The Phillies are primed to get to Severino early, and their bats have been strong at home all season, averaging 5.02 runs per game—the 2nd-best mark in MLB.

The Over has also hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings, including Game 1. With both teams’ bullpens looking vulnerable, expect another high-scoring affair.

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NLDS Game 1: New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet in Game 1 of their best-of-5 NLDS Saturday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 4:08 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mets vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Regular-season series: Phillies won 7-6

The Mets put together an impressive 40-27 run after the All-Star break to secure a spot in the postseason. Their momentum carried them into an NL Wild Card Series with the Milwaukee Brewers. In dramatic fashion, 1B Pete Alonso delivered a clutch 3-run homer in the top of the 9th inning, pushing New York to a thrilling victory. With the win, the Mets advanced to the divisional round for the first time since 2015, reigniting hopes of a deep playoff run.

The Phillies enjoyed an outstanding first half of the season. They posted a 62-34 record before the All-Star break, fueled by an impressive team batting average of .257. Unfortunately, a 33-33 finish after the break let the LA Dodgers surpass them for the best record in baseball. Still, Philadelphia has now reached the divisional round for the third year in a row, showing their consistent competitiveness. They’ll aim to rediscover their early-season success as they push for a deeper playoff run.

Mets at Phillies projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Senga made 1 start this season. He allowed 2 ER on 2 hits and 1 walk with 9 K’s in 5 1/3 innings in an 8-4 home win over the Atlanta Braves July 26.

  • Strained his left calf during his 2024 season debut
  • Missed 1st half of season due to shoulder and triceps injuries
  • Career vs. Phillies: 1-1, 1.46 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 0.73 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 2 starts
  • Has never pitched in postseason

Wheeler (16-7, 2.57 ERA) made 32 starts this season. He posted a 0.96 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 200 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 11 K in 6-3 loss at Washington Nationals Sept. 28
  • 2024 vs. Mets: 0-1, 1 road start (Sept. 22), 7 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 2-1 loss
  • Career vs. Mets: 5-5, 3.56 ERA (96 IP, 38 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 15 starts
  • Career postseason stats: 4-3, 2.42 ERA (63 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 36 H, 5 HR, 10 BB, 68 K in 11 games (10 starts)

Mets at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Phillies -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-145) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 3, Orioles 2

Moneyline

BET METS (+155).

Momentum is everything in the postseason, and right now, the Mets are riding a wave of it.

Philadelphia, on the other hand, has been idle for a week, which could leave it a bit rusty for Game 1.

The Mets have been battling with their backs against the wall for much of the second half, and they’ve proven time and again that they thrive under pressure. Their Game 3 win against the Brewers was nothing short of impressive; teams entering the 9th inning trailing in winner-take-all postseason games were 7-105 and just 2-82 when down multiple runs. The Mets turned those odds on their head.

While the Phillies did edge the regular-season series 7-6, the Mets had the edge down the stretch, taking 3 of the last 4 matchups. They even managed to beat Wheeler in his lone start against them this season.

With momentum on their side, grit, and something that feels like destiny, the Mets look primed to take Game 1. Plus, getting them at favorable odds makes this pick even more appealing.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll keep my bet to Mets ML getting plus odds.

Over/Under

PASS.

Betting the total feels risky with the line set at 7 runs. Despite the Over hitting in 5 of the last 7 meetings and the Phillies ending the regular season on a streak of Overs, the playoffs are a different story. Postseason games tend to be tense, low-scoring affairs.

While my lean might be toward the Under given the circumstances, it’s not worth the gamble. I’d rather avoid the total altogether and stick to betting the ML.

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