NFL player props: 5 best bets for Divisional Round Games

NFL expert John Holler looks at the NFL Divisional Round slate and tabs the 5 best NFL player props to cash in on.

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The Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs has 4 intriguing matchups with 6 legitimate Super Bowl contenders featuring lots of star players.

For this week, we pick one of the hottest touchdown scorers in the league to hit the end zone again, a Hall of Fame QB with an Over that is little too high and a running back and a pair of wide receivers that history says should surpass their respective O/U numbers

Below, we break down Tipico Sportsbook’s NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Divisional Round player prop bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.

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NFL Divisional Round prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:10 p.m. ET. All games ET.

San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle SCORES A TD (+125)

– Host Dallas Cowboys, Sunday 6:30 p.m. (FOX).

QB Brock Purdy has locked in on Kittle as his primary TD target since taking over as the 49ers starter. In the last 5 games, Purdy has thrown 12 TDs – 7 to Kittle and 5 to everyone else combined.

The Cowboys are known for taking chances defensively and leaving their back 7 to take receivers 1-on-1 in coverage. If Kittle gets locked into a footrace with someone like LB Leighton Vander Esch, it will be a mismatch that will result in points being scored.

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Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes UNDER 310.5 passing yards (-115)

– Host Jacksonville Jaguars, Saturday 4:30 p.m. (NBC).

Mahomes is 1 of the players I hate taking the Under against because he is so productive and explosive, and he topped this number in 10 of 17 regular-season games this season.

However, these are the playoffs and it’s been a different story when Mahomes is trying to win and not take unnecessary risks that can allow an opponent to stay within striking distance.

In 11 postseason starts, Mahomes has topped this high point just 4 times. This will be his 1st playoffs without WR Tyreek Hill, who played a big role in all 4 games when Mahomes did throw for more than 310 yards.

I wouldn’t blame anyone who takes the Over, but the Chiefs should be able to handle their business early enough that the run game will be used to drain the clock in the 2nd half instead of piling on.

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Cincinnati Bengals RB Joe Mixon OVER 47.5 rushing yards (-115)

– At Buffalo Bills, Sunday 3 p.m. (CBS).

This is a low number primarily because Mixon hasn’t topped this number in 4 of his last 6 games. But, the reason has been a lack of carries, not effectiveness.

In the 4 games he hasn’t hit 49-plus rushing yards, he has had 11 or fewer carries. With all of the passing that is expected in this game, it may well be the team that runs more effectively that comes away with the win.

The Bengals offensive line is a mess due to injuries, but that will likely impact the pass more than the run. Mixon may need to get close to 15 carries to top this point, but 1 splash run will make it a lot easier as the game wears on.

In the Bengals’ run to the Super Bowl last season, Mixon averaged 17 carries a game. If he gets anywhere close to that, he blows by this point.

Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown OVER 71.5 receiving yards (-115)

– Host New York Giants, Saturday 8:15 p.m. (FOX).

Perhaps no player has made a bigger impact on a new team than what Brown has brought to the Eagles. In his last 6 games, he has 95 or more receiving yards in 5 of them and had 70 receiving yards in the other.

What has made Brown so dangerous down the stretch has been his yards per catch. Over the last 6 games, he has caught 35 passes for 665 yards – a 19-yard average. This includes 8 catches for 165 yards in 2 games against the Giants – an average of 20.6 yards per reception.

At his current rate, Brown will only need 4 receptions to surpass this number and he has caught at least 4 passes in each of his last 8 games.

Bills WR Stefon Diggs OVER 79.5 receiving yards (-115)

– Host Bengals, Sunday 3 p.m. ET (CBS).

When the Bills need critical catches and yardage, QB Josh Allen always looks to Diggs first. While the receiver’s numbers in the second half of the season weren’t what we’ve become accustomed to seeing, when there is a lot at stake, he and Allen have been killers.

In Week 18 when the Bills needed a win to assure that they would be at home for this game, Diggs caught 7 passes for 104 yards and a TD. Nobody else on the team had more than 3 catches or 40 receiving yards.

When the Bills needed to get through Miami to advance in the playoffs, Diggs caught 7 passes for 114 yards.

There aren’t many No. 1 receivers that get the volume of targets and receptions as Diggs. He’s in line to be targeted more than 10 times and catch 6 or 7 passes. If he does that, this number will be very difficult for Diggs not to get past.

More NFL Divisional Round coverage

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Cowboys-Commanders, Eagles-Giants initial Week 18 injury reports

Micah Parsons and his club are no longer on the report, but 11 Commanders sat along with key Eagles and Giants. The NFC Roundup from @KDDrummondNFL

The Dallas Cowboys have a job to do, but that job won’t be enough to get them where they want to go. The NFL has shifted to late-season divisional matchups in recent years, and with the NFC East being the league’s surprise as the most competitive grouping, Week 18 is full of suspense. Not only is the division race still up for grabs in the season’s final week, three of the teams are already locked in the playoff picture and two clubs still have a chance at the No. 1 seed.

That would be your Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles. The New York Giants are locked in as the sixth seed with Washington being eliminated this past weekend. As Dallas travels to take on the Commanders, the Eagles will host the Giants who have nothing to play for. The Cowboys need to win and the Eagles lose in order to win the division, so how hard the Giants try is of great importance to Dallas.

Over the weekend, first-year Giants head coach Brian Daboll indicated he would not be resting his starters going into the playoffs. Meanwhile Washington appears to want to get a glimpse of young talent on the NFL field, which means the Cowboys’ path to 13 wins could be a bit easier than the Eagles’ path to 14. On Wednesday, all four teams had their initial practice sessions of the week and with that a first glimpse into the injury status of key players. Here’s a breakdown of each team’s Wednesday report.

 

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Game Preview

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction, game preview, and fantasy player to watch.

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles prediction, game preview, and fantasy player to watch.


New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles Broadcast

Date: Thursday, October 22
Game Time: 8:20 ET
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Network: FOX/NFL Network

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All of the CFN Fearless Predictions

New York Giants (1-5) vs Philadelphia Eagles (1-4-1) Game Preview

For latest lines and to bet on the NFL, go to BetMGM


Why New York Will Win

It’s not like the Eagles are going to get out to a big lead and then run away and hide.

Philadelphia can’t come up with a consistent running attack – even though it came up with a few big things in last week’s loss to Baltimore – and the turnovers keep on coming.

They’ve slowed down a bit, but the Eagles have given it up 12 times so far and are getting killed in the turnover margin. They’ve only one the stat once so far this year, and that’s when they were a +2 in the lone win over San Francisco.

The Giants need all the breaks they can get. They have to force mistakes – coming up with two takeaways in each of the last two weeks – and capitalize on everything because …

CFN Experts Picks: NFL

Why Philadelphia Will Win

This dog of a Giant offense just won’t hunt.

It’s actually moving the ball well on key third down plays, but it’s simply not going anywhere. Daniel Jones will connect on just enough downfield plays to make defenses worry a wee bit about the deep ball, but he has only thrown three touchdown passes on the year for the league’s worst passing game.

Forget about the Giant running game – there isn’t enough of one to worry about against this Philly defensive front – and watch out for the big, gashing runs from the Eagles, even with Miles Sanders hurt. That means it’s up to …

CFN Experts Picks: College Football

Fantasy Football Player To Watch

RB Boston Scott, Philadelphia 
Forever known as a fantasy Championship Week free agent legend by those who go through Week 17, he ran for 54 yards and three touchdowns in the regular season finale against the Giants last season. This year he only has 21 carries for 67 yards, but with Sanders banged up, it’s his ground game to take over.

What’s Going To Happen

The Eagles have a serviceable enough offense to control the game on the ground. The Giants don’t have anything offensively to rely on. As long as Philadelphia isn’t royally screwing up with a slew of turnovers, it’ll grind its way to a win.

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Line

Philadelphia 26, New York Giants 20
Bet on New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles with BetMGM
Philadelphia -4.5, o/u: 45
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

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New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles odds, lines, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles sports betting odds and lines, with Week 14 NFL betting picks, tips and best bets.

The New York Giants (2-10) are trying to play spoiler in Week 14 against NFC East-rival Philadelphia Eagles (5-7). With a win, the Eagles will pull into a tie with the Dallas Cowboys atop the division at 6-7. Kickoff will be at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday Night Football from Lincoln Financial Field. We analyze the Giants-Eagles sports betting odds and lines, with picks and tips for this matchup.

Giants at Eagles: Week 14 preview, betting trends and notes


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  • The Giants are 10-3 against the spread over their last 13 road games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games as underdogs.
  • In their last six meetings, the Giants are 4-2 ATS vs. the Eagles despite losing five games in a row and five of the last six straight up.
  • New York has lost eight games in a row, including four by at least 18 points.
  • The Eagles are 2-5 ATS and straight up in their last seven games.
  • In the Eagles’ last five home games, the total has gone Under four times.
  • The total has gone Under in seven of the Eagles’ last nine home games against the Giants.

Giants at Eagles: Key injuries

Giants QB Daniel Jones is doubtful to play due to an ankle injury. Eli Manning will start in his place. WR Golden Tate (concussion) and TE Evan Engram (foot) returned to practice Thursday and are making progress.

Eagles WR Nelson Agholor (knee) and RB Jordan Howard (shoulder) are questionable. DE Derek Barnett also has an ankle injury and is questionable.

Giants at Eagles: Odds, betting lines and prediction

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Eagles 23, Giants 17

Moneyline (?)

With the door wide open in the NFC East, the Eagles can’t afford to slip up here. They must win this game, and they should. Coming off a loss to the Miami Dolphins, the Eagles won’t have another embarrassing performance – especially at home.

Take the EAGLES (-417) to win outright.

Against the Spread (?)

Here’s where the real value lies. The Eagles are favored by 9.5 points over the Giants, who will be led by Manning. The uncertainty at QB for the Giants could wind up being a good thing.

Take the GIANTS (+9.5, -115) to cover the spread and keep the game relatively close.

Over/Under (?)

The projected total of 47.5 is one of the highest totals of the week, which seems hard to believe. Neither team has a particularly explosive offense and the final score should fall well short.

Bet the UNDER 47.5 (-121).

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