Nevada Wolf Pack betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Nevada at Boise State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Nevada at Boise State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Nevada Wolf Pack (3-7, 0-4 Mountain West) and 14th-ranked Boise State Broncos (7-1, 4-0) meet Saturday at Albertsons Stadium in Boise. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Nevada vs. Boise State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Wolf Pack have dropped 3 in a row, while going 0-2-1 against the spread (ATS) since a 42-37 win over Oregon State on Oct. 12. The Over has cashed in 5 of the past 6 games, too, with Nevada allowing 24 or more points in 5 straight outings, with 34 or more points given up in 4 of 5 contests.

The Broncos roughed up San Diego State last weekend, 56-24, while covering as a 24-point favorite. The Broncos are 4-0-1 ATS in the past 5 games, and they’ve picked up 6 straight wins since a 37-34 loss to top-ranked Oregon in Eugene on Sept. 7.

Boise State RB Ashton Jeanty has racked up 1,525 rushing yards with 20 touchdowns in 8 games, while QB Maddux Madsen has passed for 1,789 yards, 17 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, while running for 121 yards and 2 TDs.

– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Nevada at Boise State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nevada +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100) | Boise State -2500 (bet $2,500 to win $100)
Against the spread: Nevada +23.5 (-110) | Boise State -23.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nevada at Boise State picks and predictions

Prediction

Boise State 48, Nevada 20

Moneyline

Backing Boise State (-2500) would set you back 25 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward.

Even including the Broncos in a multi-leg parlay, or Same Game Parlay (SGP), is just way too expensive, with too much risk.

AVOID.

Against the spread

Back BOISE STATE -23.5 (-110) is worth playing at home, as the Broncos keep their foot on the gas in pursuit of a College Football Playoff spot.

Nevada +23.5 (-110) is technically still alive for a bowl game, but it needs to win out. It suddenly isn’t going to have urgency against the Broncos. In the past 2 games against unranked opponents Hawaii and Colorado State, the Wolf Pack have lost by an average margin of 19.0 PPG.

Over/Under

OVER 60.5 (-110) is worth a look, and it might be the best play on the board.

The Over has cashed in 5 of the past 6 games for Nevada, while allowing 34 or more points in 4 of the previous 5 contests, too.

As far as Boise State is concerned, the Over is 6-2 in 8 games this season, while scoring at least 28 points in every outing. It has allowed 24 or more points in 4 of the past 5 games, too.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
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Colorado State at Nevada odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Colorado State at Nevada odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Colorado State Rams (5-3, 3-0 Mountain West) visit the Nevada Wolf Pack (3-6, 0-3) Saturday. Kickoff from Mackay Stadium is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Colorado State vs. Nevada odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Colorado State has won 3 games in a row after taking down New Mexico 17-6 Oct. 26, covering as a 4-point home favorite. QB Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi went 11 of 20 for 142 yards with a TD while RB Avery Morrow carried the ball 16 times for 89 yards.

Nevada has lost back-to-back games after falling 34-13 against Hawaii Sunday and failing to cover as a 2.5-point road underdog. QB Chubba Purdy was 13-of-18 passing for 155 yards with a TD and an INT, while QB AJ Bianco was 13-of-21 for 131 yards with a TD.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Colorado State at Nevada odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Colorado State -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Nevada +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Colorado State -2.5 (-105) | Nevada +2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Colorado State at Nevada picks and predictions

Prediction

Colorado State 23, Nevada 17

Moneyline

PASS.

There are slightly better odds on the Colorado State (-125) spread.

Against the spread

BET COLORADO STATE -2.5 (-105).

The Rams have won 3 games in a row. They’ve covered in 5 straight games, including each of their last 4 as favorites and 2 straight on the road. The Rams have won by 7 or more points in each of their wins this season.

Nevada has failed to cover the spread in back-to-back games and lost 3 of its last 4, all by 3 points or more.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 45.5 (-115).

Colorado State has hit the Under in each of its last 3 games. It has scored 21 or fewer points while allowing 13 or fewer in back-to-back games.

Nevada has also scored 21 or fewer points in back-to-back games.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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SMU at Nevada odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s SMU at Nevada odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The SMU Mustangs and the Nevada Wolf Pack open the 2024 NCAA football season at Mackay Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the SMU vs. Nevada odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

SMU begins a new era of football in Reno Saturday. It’s the 1st official game as a member of the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC), although this, of course, is a non-conference game. Still, it’s rather historic.

The Mustangs posted an 11-3 record, including an AAC Championship, before falling to Boston College in the Fenway Bowl. QB Preston Stone, who completed 59.9% of his passes for 3,197 yards, 28 TD and 6 INT is back under center. Stone before suffered what turned out to be a season-ending ankle injury in the regular-season finale against Navy.

For Nevada, it turns to coach Jeff Choate, who was the head honcho at recent FCS power Montana State. He has his work cut out, but the Wolf Pack’s cupboard isn’t completely bare. RB Sean Dollars returns, and Boston College transfer RB Pat Garwo gives the team depth. The defense was a disaster in 2023, and needs to improve dramatically. Facing the high-flying SMU offense in Week 0 is a tall order.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

SMU at Nevada odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): SMU -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100) | Nevada +1600 (bet $100 to win $1,600)
Against the spread (ATS): SMU -27.5 (-115) | Nevada +27.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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SMU at Nevada picks and predictions

Prediction

SMU 38, Nevada 17

Moneyline

SMU (-5000) is unlikely to suffer a setback against Nevada (+1600), a team which needs a lot of work. The Wolf Pack is in tremendous disarray, winning just 4 total games last year. Colin Kaepernick isn’t coming through that door. Romeo Doubs isn’t coming through that door. Nate Burleson isn’t coming through that door.

However, you cannot lay 50 times your potential return, as that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward, whether it’s the season opener, or otherwise. You would have to risk $100 for a mere $2 reward.

AVOID.

Against the spread

It takes a little bit of a leap of faith, but NEVADA +27.5 (-105) is the play.

SMU -27.5 (-115) has a high-flying offense that averaged 38.7 points per game last season. However, the defense was not very good, and Nevada has enough depth at the skill positions, as well as under center, to at least get into the teens. It’s hard to see the Mustangs getting into the 40’s right off the bat.

Over/Under

The lean is to UNDER 55.5 (-110), but go with a half-unit play at the most.

Playing an Under in an SMU game early on in 2023 made sense. The total went low in 5 of the 1st 6 regular-season games before the offense kicked into high gear late in the season. They hit 5 Over results in the final 6 contests with a healthy Stone under center. While the offense managed just 20.0 PPG in the AAC title game, and the bowl, that was without Stone.

For Nevada, the Under cashed in 4 of the 1st 5 games last season. It did see USC drop 66 points on them in Los Angeles on Sept. 2, 2023 in the opener. However, Nevada held the opposition to 33 or fewer points in 4 of the 1st 5 home games, even with an awful defense. SMU will score, but it isn’t likely to get into the 40’s.

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March Madness: Nevada vs. Dayton odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Nevada vs. Dayton odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Nevada Wolf Pack (26-7) and Dayton Flyers (24-7) meet Thursday for an NCAA Tournament first-round game. Tip-off from the Delta Center in Salt Lake City is scheduled for approximately 4:30 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. Dayton odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Nevada, the 10th seed in the West Region, won the final 7 games of the regular season, but it lost 85-78 against Colorado State in the 1st game of the Mountain West Tournament. Still, the Wolf Pack have posted an impressive 6-2 against the spread (ATS) mark in the past 8 games while going 9-3 ATS in the previous 12 outings. The Over has cashed in 6 in a row for the Pack.

No. 7 seed Dayton was stunned in the Atlantic 10 Tournament in the 1st game by Duquesne, which eventually went on to win the tourney. Still, UD has managed just a 3-3 straight up (SU) mark across the past 6 outings while going 2-5 ATS in the past 7 contests. The Over is on a 6-1 run for the Flyers.

This is the 1st time in school history that these teams have met each other on the hardwood.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Nevada vs. Dayton odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nevada -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Dayton +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nevada -1.5 (-105) | Dayton +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nevada vs. Dayton and predictions

Prediction

Nevada 75, Dayton 70

Moneyline

NEVADA (-120) is worth playing straight up, if you don’t want to fool around with the small amount of points.

The Wolf Pack are the lower seed, but the slight favorites. Nevada has been playing arguably better basketball than the Flyers, going 7-1 SU in the past 8 games, while going 10-2 SU in 12 games dating back to Feb. 2.

Dayton (+100) limped to the finish line of the regular season, dropping 3 of the final 8 games, while getting ousted by Duquesne in the A-10 quarterfinals last Thursday.

Against the spread

NEVADA -1.5 (-105) is slightly cheaper laying the little bit of points. Unless you’re dead set on Nevada winning, but only by a single point, then betting the moneyline over the spread makes sense. If not, save a little bit, and take Nevada to cover.

Dayton +1.5 (-115) is just 2-5 ATS in the past 7 games, while Nevada has managed an impressive 6-2 ATS mark in the previous 8 outings.

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Over/Under

OVER 136.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

The Over has connected in 6 consecutive games for the Wolf Pack, with UNR going for 74 or more points in each of the past 7 contests.

The Over has been a frequent occurrence for the Flyers, too, cashing in 6 of the past 7 games, while going 10-4-1 in the past 15 outings.

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Nevada at Fresno State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Nevada at Fresno State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Nevada Wolf Pack (0-4) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (4-0) meet Saturday at Bulldog Stadium in Fresno for the Mountain West Conference opener for both sides. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. Fresno State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Wolf Pack has been absolutely atrocious to start the season, losing all 4 games, including a 33-6 drubbing against Idaho of the FCS, and a 35-24 road loss at Texas State last Saturday. The Pack has at least covered the past 2 outings, while cashing the Under in 3 in a row.

The Bulldogs have attained a No. 25 ranking in the AP Top 25 Poll, and are just on the outside of the Top 25 in the Coaches Poll. Fresno State pounded Kent State 53-10 last time out, and it has already recorded road victories over Purdue and Arizona State, a pair of Power 5 conference teams. Fresno State is also 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while going Over in 3 of 4 outings.

Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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Nevada at Fresno State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nevada +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Fresno State -2800 (bet $2,800 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nevada +24.5 (-105) | Fresno State -24.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nevada at Fresno State picks and predictions

Prediction

Fresno State 52, Nevada 17

Moneyline

Fresno State (-2800) will cost you 28 times your potential return, and that’s obviously not a recommended betting strategy. Someone is out there betting these kind of heavy favorites, but there is just too much risk and not enough return, even when tossing it into a multi-team parlay.

PASS.

Against the spread

FRESNO STATE -24.5 (-115) is worth playing in this Mountain West Conference opener, but be very cautious and go lightly.

This is a lot of points, but the truth is Nevada +24.5 (-105) has been one of the worst teams in FBS, if not the worst. It ranks 120th in total yards per game in offense (310.5), while posting just 191.5 passing yards and 119 rushing yards per showing. Defensively, the Wolf Pack ranks 132nd in FBS with a God-awful 536.8 total yards per game allowed, including 340.5 passing yards per contest. Nevada is coughing up 41.3 PPG, and again, it was trucked by 27 points against the Vandals on its home field in Reno. Not good.

Over/Under

OVER 50.5 (-115) is a slam-dunk play, and you should bet it rather aggressively.

Fresno State could and should take care of the total on its own. Nevada cannot get out of its own way on defense, and the Bulldogs could run out to a big 1st-half lead. In fact, playing 1ST HALF – OVER 26.5 POINTS (-110) might be an even better play than the full-game total.

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Nevada at USC odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Nevada at USC odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The USC Trojans (1-0) host the Nevada Wolf Pack Saturday at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET (Pac-12 Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. USC odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Nevada finished last season 2-10 straight up and 4-8 against the spread (ATS). The Wolf Pack scored 102 points in their first 3 games — going 2-1 straight up and ATS — but just 124 in their last 9. Nevada’s regular season wins total is currently at Over 4 (-145) / Under 4 (+120).

USC failed to cover the spread as a 31-point home favorite in a 56-28 win vs. the San Jose State Spartans last Saturday. The Trojans led by 35 with 6:53 remaining but allowed a TD with 5:08 remaining to give San Jose State the backdoor cover.

USC is No. 6 in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll.

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Nevada at USC odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nevada +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000) | USC -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nevada +38.5 (-110) | USC -38.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 66.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nevada at USC picks and predictions

Prediction

USC 56, Nevada 14

Moneyline

USC (-10000) should win, but it’s a high price to pay for such little profit.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or the total instead.

Against the spread

The Wolf Pack were 2-8 ATS in their final 10 games last season and scored more than 21 points just twice over their final 9. This team has regressed heavily since Jay Norvell left to coach the Colorado State Rams in December 2021, and I don’t believe it has improved enough to win more than 4 games this season.

USC’s offense (41.4 points per game last season) is more than capable of running up the score vs. this struggling Nevada defense and covering such a high number.

LEAN USC -38.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Over has hit in 9 straight USC games, dating back to last season.

The Trojans are going to have to do most of the heavy lifting in this one but should have no trouble lighting up this Nevada defense that gave up 41 or more points 4 times last season.

BET OVER 66.5 (-110).

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First Four: Nevada vs. Arizona State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday Nevada vs. Arizona State First Four odds and lines, with college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 11-seed Nevada Wolf Pack (22-10) meet the 11-seed Arizona State Sun Devils (22-12) Wednesday in a First Four game in the NCAA Tournament. Tip from UD Arena in Dayton is scheduled for approximately 9:10 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. Arizona State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Nevada was playing tremendous basketball through mid-February, but the Wolf Pack has dropped 4 of the last 6 games, while going 2-4 against the spread (ATS) during the slide.

The Wolf Pack offense struggled this season, going for 72.5 PPG to rank No. 160 in the country. They’re a so-so shooting team, both from the field, and from behind the arc. Nevada hit 44.6% from the floor, and 34.8% on 3-pointers. What Nevada does well is hit free throws, going 78.8% to rank 6th in the nation.

Nevada was solid defensively, allowing just 66.4 PPG and 41.6% shooting from the field. However, it allowed 75 or more points in 3 of the last 6 games, all losses, including games against 2 non-NCAA Tournament teams.

Arizona State made a nice run in the Pac-12 Tournament, finally getting dispatched in the semifinals by rival Arizona. The Sun Devils do have a win in Arizona back on Feb. 25, and it scored wins over tournament teams Creighton, USC and VCU this season.

The Sun Devils have won 6 of their last 10 games overall, while covering 4 of the last 7 games.

Check out: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll

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Nevada vs. Arizona State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nevada +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Arizona State -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Nevada +1.5 (-118) | Arizona State -1.5 (-102)
Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Nevada vs. Arizona State picks and predictions

Prediction

Arizona State 69, Nevada 64

Moneyline

ARIZONA STATE (-130) is a smart play on the moneyline if you don’t want to mess around with the small point spread, which should yo-yo up to tip time.

Nevada (+110) has dropped 3 in a row, all against non-NCAA Tournament teams, and it is just 2-4 straight up (SU) in the last 6 outings. The Wolf Pack offense has struggled, going for 67 or fewer points in 3 of its last 4 games in regulation. In addition, Nevada has won just twice in the last 8 tries off campus since Jan. 7.

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Against the spread

ARIZONA STATE -1.5 (-102) is slightly cheaper than on the moneyline, and it simply needs to win by a bucket.

The Sun Devils are 4-2 ATS in 6 neutral-site games this season, while Nevada +1.5 (-118) has lost and failed to cover in 2 of its 4 games on a neutral floor, including a stunning loss to Mountain West doormat San Jose State in the opening game of the conference tournament.

Over/Under

UNDER 133.5 (-115) is the lean, ever so slightly, but go with a half-unit play at best.

Arizona State really struggled from the field, hitting just 41.8% from the floor, and 31.3% from behind the 3-point line. Defensively, Sparky had it on lockdown, allowing teams to shoot just 39.4%, while allowing 67.6 PPG.

For Nevada, the Under is 4-2 in the last 6 games overall, and 2-0 in neutral-site games decided in regulation this season. The Pack was also so-so on offense, while doing a decent job defensively.

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Nevada at Wyoming odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Nevada at Wyoming odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Nevada Wolf Pack (22-7, 12-4 MWC) and Wyoming Cowboys (8-20, 3-13) meet Monday at Arena Auditorium in Laramie, Wyo. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. Wyoming game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Wolf Pack topped Fresno State 60-56 on Friday, covering as a 2.5-point road favorite. Nevada has won and covered 6 of the last 7 games. The Under has cashed in each of the last 3 outings.

The Cowboys have dropped 3 in a row, and 6 of the last 7 games, while going 2-5 against the spread (ATS). The last time Wyoming failed to cover in 4 straight games was Jan. 4-16, 2021.

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Nevada at Wyoming odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Off the board
Against the spread (ATS): Nevada -5.5 (-110) | Wyoming +5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 138.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Nevada at Wyoming picks and predictions

Prediction

Nevada 74, Wyoming 66

Moneyline

The moneyline was off the board at the time of publishing. Even if it was available, Nevada would likely be too expensive and not worth pursuing.

AVOID.

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Against the spread

NEVADA -5.5 (-110) is a strong play, as the Wolf Pack tries to keep its faint Mountain West regular-season championship hopes alive.

The Wolf Pack is 22-8-2 ATS in the last 32 games overall, while going 7-3 ATS in the last 10 against teams with a losing record.

Wyoming +5.5 (-110) is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games overall, and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 against teams with a winning overall mark.

Over/Under

OVER 138.5 (-105) is the lean, but go lightly.

The Over is 9-2 in the last 11 for Nevada games against a team with a winning percentage of .400 or under. For Wyoming, the Over is 11-4 in the last 15 games overall, while cashing at a 9-4 clip in the previous 13 against teams with a winning overall record.

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Nevada at Fresno State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Nevada at Fresno State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Nevada Wolf Pack (21-7, 11-4 Mountain West) will try to remain on track against the Fresno State Bulldogs (10-17, 6-10) in Fresno on Friday at 11 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. Fresno State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

After winning the 1st meeting 77-66 as 9-point favorites On Feb. 10, Nevada will go for a season sweep.

Nevada comes in on a 3-game winning streak after defeating San Jose State 66-51 as 9.5-point favorites on Tuesday. it will look to continue its streak on Friday while sending the Bulldogs to a 4th straight loss.

Since losing to Nevada, Fresno State has lost 45-43 loss to San Diego State and 60-57 loss to Colorado State as a 2-point favorite on Saturday.

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Nevada at Fresno State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Nevada -170 (bet $170 to win $100) | Fresno State +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Against the spread (ATS): Nevada -3.5 (-105) | Fresno State +3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nevada at Fresno State picks and predictions

Prediction

Nevada 71, Fresno State 63

Moneyline

PASS.

Nevada, at 21-7 is looking to remain in contention in the Mountain West and has all the motivation in this game, and I am not going to bet against them. Especially for an outright loss at -170.

Against the spread

NEVADA -3.5 (-105).

The Wolf Pack won the 1st meeting that started the 3-game losing streak for Fresno State, who have struggled in recent games at home. Theys are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with losing road records.

Nevada is 21-6-2 ATS in its last 29 Friday games and are 4-1 in its last 5 games against a team with a win percentage under .400.

Simply, 3.5 points is not enough for the Bulldogs in this matchup, and I will take the -105 value on the Wolf Pack to cover.

Over/Under

OVER 129.5 (-110).

At 61.7 points, the Fresno State offense ranks 351st in the nation while Nevada ranks 146th at 73.2 points.

On defense, Fresno State has only been allowing 64.6 points but allowed 77 to Nevada just 2 weeks ago. Nevada will be able to get some points and get to 70 in this game. With the total being so low at 129.5, this game will get to the Over.

Nevada has feasted on weaker teams. It is 13-3 to the Over in games against teams with a losing record. When you extend this a bit further, the Wolf Pack are 19-7 to the Over in their last 26 games against teams with a win percentage under .400.

For Fresno State, the Bulldogs are 9-3 to the Over in their last 12 Friday games and are 4-1 to the Over in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.

This game sets up to go Over. Even if only slightly. If this number climbs above 131, I will stay away.

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Air Force at Nevada odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Air Force at Nevada odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Air Force Falcons (12-11, 3-7 MWC) and Nevada Wolf Pack (17-6, 7-3) meet Friday in Reno. The Mountain West Conference game at the Lawlor Events Center tips off at 11 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Nevada odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Air Force is a middle-of-the-pack team in many statistical respects, but the Falcons have struggled in 2 specific areas while losing their last 4 games, going 2-2 against the spread (ATS). USAFA was out-rebounded in all 4 of those games, and they shot just 25.5% from 3-point range.

Nevada — winner of a 75-69 game as a 3.5-point favorite at Air Force Dec. 31 — is coming off an impressive Tuesday win over then-MWC leader San Diego State. The +2.5-underdog Wolf Pack defeated SDSU 75-66. The triumph kept alive a home-floor win streak: UN is 10-0 in Reno this season.

Rankings courtesy the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Air Force at Nevada odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Air Force +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Nevada -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +11.5 (-115) | Nevada -11.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Air Force at Nevada picks and predictions

Prediction

Nevada 70, Air Force 61

Moneyline

PASS.

Nevada should win, but is simply unplayable at this line.

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Against the spread

Air Force has been solid ATS in recent underdog games of similar magnitude. The Falcons launch a lot of 3s. Against this average-on-the-perimeter Nevada defense, look for a rebound after recent missteps from beyond the arc

For the Wolf Pack, this game is sandwiched between a couple likely getting much more of its attention.

TAKE AIR FORCE +11.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Peg this match-up to be slow of pace and not ripe for a lot of 2nd-chance or turnover/transition points. A line watch is in order: if the total gets to 133.5 (which it is at now), you can consider a partial-unit play on the Under. Otherwise, PASS.

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