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The Nevada Wolf Pack (0-4) and the Fresno State Bulldogs (4-0) meet Saturday at Bulldog Stadium in Fresno for the Mountain West Conference opener for both sides. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. Fresno State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Wolf Pack has been absolutely atrocious to start the season, losing all 4 games, including a 33-6 drubbing against Idaho of the FCS, and a 35-24 road loss at Texas State last Saturday. The Pack has at least covered the past 2 outings, while cashing the Under in 3 in a row.
The Bulldogs have attained a No. 25 ranking in the AP Top 25 Poll, and are just on the outside of the Top 25 in the Coaches Poll. Fresno State pounded Kent State 53-10 last time out, and it has already recorded road victories over Purdue and Arizona State, a pair of Power 5 conference teams. Fresno State is also 3-1 against the spread (ATS), while going Over in 3 of 4 outings.
Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports
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Nevada at Fresno State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:49 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nevada +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Fresno State -2800 (bet $2,800 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nevada +24.5 (-105) | Fresno State -24.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Nevada at Fresno State picks and predictions
Prediction
Fresno State 52, Nevada 17
Moneyline
Fresno State (-2800) will cost you 28 times your potential return, and that’s obviously not a recommended betting strategy. Someone is out there betting these kind of heavy favorites, but there is just too much risk and not enough return, even when tossing it into a multi-team parlay.
PASS.
Against the spread
FRESNO STATE -24.5 (-115) is worth playing in this Mountain West Conference opener, but be very cautious and go lightly.
This is a lot of points, but the truth is Nevada +24.5 (-105) has been one of the worst teams in FBS, if not the worst. It ranks 120th in total yards per game in offense (310.5), while posting just 191.5 passing yards and 119 rushing yards per showing. Defensively, the Wolf Pack ranks 132nd in FBS with a God-awful 536.8 total yards per game allowed, including 340.5 passing yards per contest. Nevada is coughing up 41.3 PPG, and again, it was trucked by 27 points against the Vandals on its home field in Reno. Not good.
Over/Under
OVER 50.5 (-115) is a slam-dunk play, and you should bet it rather aggressively.
Fresno State could and should take care of the total on its own. Nevada cannot get out of its own way on defense, and the Bulldogs could run out to a big 1st-half lead. In fact, playing 1ST HALF – OVER 26.5 POINTS (-110) might be an even better play than the full-game total.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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