Nevada at USC odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Nevada at USC odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The USC Trojans (1-0) host the Nevada Wolf Pack Saturday at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET (Pac-12 Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada vs. USC odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Nevada finished last season 2-10 straight up and 4-8 against the spread (ATS). The Wolf Pack scored 102 points in their first 3 games — going 2-1 straight up and ATS — but just 124 in their last 9. Nevada’s regular season wins total is currently at Over 4 (-145) / Under 4 (+120).

USC failed to cover the spread as a 31-point home favorite in a 56-28 win vs. the San Jose State Spartans last Saturday. The Trojans led by 35 with 6:53 remaining but allowed a TD with 5:08 remaining to give San Jose State the backdoor cover.

USC is No. 6 in the USA TODAY Sports AFCA Coaches Poll.

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Nevada at USC odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Nevada +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000) | USC -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nevada +38.5 (-110) | USC -38.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 66.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Nevada at USC picks and predictions

Prediction

USC 56, Nevada 14

Moneyline

USC (-10000) should win, but it’s a high price to pay for such little profit.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or the total instead.

Against the spread

The Wolf Pack were 2-8 ATS in their final 10 games last season and scored more than 21 points just twice over their final 9. This team has regressed heavily since Jay Norvell left to coach the Colorado State Rams in December 2021, and I don’t believe it has improved enough to win more than 4 games this season.

USC’s offense (41.4 points per game last season) is more than capable of running up the score vs. this struggling Nevada defense and covering such a high number.

LEAN USC -38.5 (-110).

Over/Under

The Over has hit in 9 straight USC games, dating back to last season.

The Trojans are going to have to do most of the heavy lifting in this one but should have no trouble lighting up this Nevada defense that gave up 41 or more points 4 times last season.

BET OVER 66.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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