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The Tampa Bay Lightning (30-20-4) visit the Montreal Canadiens (25-25-5) Sunday with puck drop from Bell Centre set for 1 p.m. ET (NHL Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Lightning vs. Canadiens odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Canadiens lead 2-0 with a 5-2 road win Dec. 29 and 3-2 home win on Jan. 21
The Lightning won third straight game Saturday, beating the Detroit Red Wings 6-3 as -157 road favorites as the Over (6) cashed with ease. LW Brandon Hagel scored 2 goals and added 2 assists. G Andrei Vasilevskiy was sharp, stopping 34 of 37 shots faced.
Montreal’s struggles continued Saturday, dropping their seventh game in the last 8 with a 4-0 loss to the New Jersey Devils as +138 home underdogs. The Under (6) hit as the Canadiens were shut down by G Jake Allen, who stopped all 34 shots. They’ve scored just 10 goals in their last 6 games.
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Lightning at Canadiens odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 1:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lightning -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Canadiens +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Lightning -1.5 (+165) | Canadiens +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Lightning at Canadiens projected goalies
Andrei Vasilevskiy (23-15-3, 2.28 GAA, .919 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Jakob Dobes (5-2-1, 2.45 GAA, .917 SV%, 1 SO)
Vasilevskiy has been stellar in February, posting a 3-0-1 record with a 2.52 GAA and .919 SV%. However, his last outing against the Canadiens on Jan. 21 didn’t go as smoothly, as he took the loss after allowing 3 goals on 21 shots faced.
Dobes took the loss in his last start on Wednesday against the LA Kings, allowing 5 goals on 36 shots faced. The rookie Czech goaltender has yet to face Montreal in his career.
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Lightning at Canadiens picks and predictions
Prediction
Lightning 3, Canadiens 2
Moneyline
BET LIGHTNING (-145).
Montreal’s rookie goalie has impressed this season, but he has struggled over his last 3 starts. As a team, the Canadiens are allowing 3.39 goals per game (GPG), ranking 29th in the league. Tampa Bay has won 4 of its last 5 games, scoring at least 4 goals in the last 3 games. With a potent offense, ranking third in the league with 3.49 GPG, it’s hard not to favor Tampa Bay.
Puck line/Against the spread
PASS.
I was originally leaning toward the Lightning on the puck line, but with uncertainty over what to expect from a rookie in net for the Canadiens, I decided to stick with the moneyline.
Over/Under
PASS.
I’m staying away from this bet due to inconsistent trends. The Over/Under is 5-5 over the Lightning’s last 10 games and 4-5-1 for Montreal’s kast 10. Despite Montreal’s young goalie showing promise, he allowed 5 goals in his last outing. With too much uncertainty on both sides, it’s best to pass here.
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