Tag: MLB odds lines spread over/under

World Series Game 6: Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros Game 6 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros meet for Game 6 of the 2022 World Series Saturday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Houston leads 3-2; the Astros won the regular-season series 2-1

NL Wild Card Philadelphia lost some momentum with its 3-2 loss in a cliffhanger of a Game 5 Thursday, and with being no-hit by 4 Houston hurlers Wednesday. However, the Phillies have surprised onlookers with more than a couple of resilient bounce-backs in these playoffs. Can they regain momentum once again in a situation where nothing else will do?

The AL champion Astros won 106 games in the regular season, so it figures they know a thing or 2 about holding onto momentum in a series, in a week, etc. In this series, hope for hanging on hinges on Houston’s pitching, which has thus far held the Phillies to a .613 OPS.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Wheeler posted a 2.82 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 IP in the regular season. He went 12-7 over 26 starts.

  • Has clocked a 2.67 ERA with 28 K and 6 BB over 30 1/3 IP in this, first 1st postseason; he has allowed just 16 hits (2 HR)
  • Notched a 3.84 ERA and 1.20 WHIP on the road during the regular season
  • Last pitched Game 2 of the World Series last Saturday (at Minute Maid): allowed 5 R (4 ER) on 9 base runners in 5 IP

Valdez made 31 starts in the regular season. He went 17-6 with a 2.82 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 201 1/3 IP.

  • Held the Phillies to 1 R over 6 1/3 opposite Wheeler in Game 2; owns a 1.42 ERA in 19 IP this postseason
  • Over the last 3 years in the regular season, has notched a 2.70 ERA on the road and a 3.51 ERA at home

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Astros -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-175) | Astros -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +102)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Astros 2

Moneyline

This is a rematch of the Game 2 pitching matchup. Valdez won that meeting; the host Astros won that game 5-2. Wheeler took a 1.78 postseason ERA into that start, and he coughed up some hard contact in allowing 5 runs in as many innings.

But Wheeler — who logged an 0.60 ERA over his last 3 regular-season starts — was a solid play that night at +125. He’s a solid play in this one.

During the regular season, Philadelphia filed a .727 OPS against right-handers and a .769 figure against port-siders.

The price on the visiting 9 is worth a quick trigger. I’d expect the price to drift toward Philadelphia. BACK THE PHILLIES (+133).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

More juice is brought into this equation, and the price on Philly is a bit high.

Over/Under

There is a slight fade to the combined batting numbers owned by both sides, and this World Series has had a global Under lean going into each game.

However, PASS on this one until a +107 or better is available on the Under 6.5.

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

World Series Game 5: Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies Game 5 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies continue World Series play with Game 5 Thursday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Tied 2-2; Houston won the regular-season series 2-1

The Astros managed just 5 singles in losing Game 3. The Phillies wish they had gotten anywhere near that much offense in Game 4. Led by RHP Cristian Javier, Houston hurlers combined for a no-hitter in a 5-0 win that evened the series. Astros pitchers issued 3 walks and had 14 punch-outs in the game that earned them a return trip to Houston after Thursday’s Game 5.

Philadelphia went from 5 HR in Game 3 to no hits in Game 4. Including that Game 3 homer-fest, the Phillies had banged out 21 extra-base hits over their previous 5 games. Now, they turn to a Game 5 starter who has not pitched in 18 days, and that starter — RHP Noah Syndergaard — is backed by a bullpen that has been in frequent use the last 2 nights.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Astros at Phillies Game 5 projected starters

RHP Justin Verlander vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

Verlander went 18-4 in the regular season and led the majors in ERA (1.75) and WHIP (0.83). Across 175 IP in 28 starts, he finished with 1.5 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9.

  • 2022 postseason: 1-0, 7.20 ERA (15 IP, 12 ER), 19 H, 2 HR, 4 BB, 19 K; owns a 3.39 ERA in 34 career postseason games
  • Current Phillies bats own an aggregate .594 OPS against him  (includes postseason)

Syndergaard pitched in 25 games (24 starts) in the regular season. He was 10-10 with a 3.94 ERA 1.25 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 134 2/3 IP.

  • Has made 1 start and 2 relief appearances in this postseason (5 1/3 IP, 1 ER); owns a 2.30 ERA in 8 career postseason games
  • Posted a 3.47 ERA at home in the regular season
  • Has a limited history against Houston batters, but has held them to an aggregate .561 OPS (includes postseason)

Astros at Phillies Game 5 odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:21 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Phillies +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+105) | Phillies +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -103 | U: -117)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Astros at Phillies Game 5 picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

The momentum meter has swung back toward Houston. Peg Syndergaard-Verlander as being less a handicap than it looks on paper. But the Philadelphia right-hander has pitched all of 1 1/3 innings since Oct. 15.

The lean is on the home side keeping this close, and a Philadelphia RL play is suggested.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILLIES +1.5 (-135) figures as the best value play on what is, through 5 games, the most unattractive betting game of this series.

This play fades Verlander and the Houston bullpen — not because they aren’t good but because they are just being marginally overrated.

Over/Under

Based on what these clubs did in the regular season with their pitching having a bit more value than what shows in surface numbers and the opposite case for the offenses, this series has a built-in Under lean.

This starters’ matchup — especially in expected-vs.-actual results — works against that Under lean.

PASS.

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

World Series Game 4: Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies Game 4 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies continue World Series play with Game 4 Wednesday. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is at 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Philadelphia leads 2-1; Houston won the regular-season series 2-1

Houston fell flat Tuesday in Game 3 by losing 7-0 in what marked just the club’s 4th road game since Sept. 27. The Astros managed just 5 hits — all singles — in the defeat. Houston has yielded 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. The AL champs own a .538 OPS on the road this postseason.

The Phillies had as many home runs as the Astros had hits in Game 3. DH Bryce Harper launched Philadelphia’s 1st round-tripper of the night. He’s banged out 6 HR while batting .382 this postseason. The Phils own a .977 OPS over 6 home playoff games.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Astros at Phillies Game 4 projected starters

RHP Cristian Javier vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Javier went 11-9 with a 2.54 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 148 2/3 IP over 30 regular-season games (25 starts).

  • Has allowed 1 run in 6 2/3 IP in these playoffs (1 start, 1 relief appearance); owns a 2.70 ERA across 13 career postseason games
  • Benefited from a .229 batting average on balls in play in the regular season

Nola logged 205 IP across 32 starts in the regular season. He went 11-13, with a 3.25 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9.

  • Has coughed up 11 ER over 9 IP in his last 2 postseason starts
  • Owns a 3.46 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over his last 3 seasons at Citizens Bank Park
  • Has held current Houston batters to an aggregate .551 OPS in past meetings (including postseason)

Astros at Phillies Game 4 odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Phillies -105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+150) | Phillies +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Astros at Phillies Game 4 picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Astros 2

Moneyline

Aaron Nola clocked a 2.36 ERA over his last 6 regular-season starts, and that stretch included 6 2/3 scoreless frames against these Astros and 2 starts against the powerful Atlanta Braves. Nola was drilled for 5 runs on the road in the opener of this series, and that came on the heels of a shaky NLCS road outing against the San Diego Padres.

Look for a bounce-back effort Wednesday after a more normal rest interval; Nola was off 8 days before his World Series Game 1 turn. Peg Javier, who at times looked dominant against the New York Yankees in his last start (ALCS Game 3), as being a rust candidate in this game, and as a slightly overrated hurler dealing with a significant innings increase from last year.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

A lot of juice is obscuring the profit point on the Phillies +1.5 (-190). The home nine would be a decent play at -170 or even -175.

Over/Under

Based on what these clubs did in the regular season with their pitching having a bit more value than what shows in surface numbers and the opposite case for the offenses, this series has a built-in Under lean.

This starters’ matchup — fading Javier and playing Nola — is somewhat neutral. But the pricing is attractive here, and a rested back end of both bullpens adds to the value.

BACK THE UNDER 7.5 (-120).

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

World Series Game 3: Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies Game 3 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies return to World Series play Tuesday after a scheduled Sunday off day and rainout Monday. First pitch in Game 3 at Citizens Bank Park is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Tied 1-1; Houston won the regular-season series 2-1

Houston countered Philadelphia’s Game 1 victory with a 5-2 win in Saturday’s Game 2. LHP Framber Valdez logged by far the best start for either side so far when he went 6 1/3 IP, allowing 1 run on 4 hits with 3 walks and 9 strikeouts. The Astros are 8-1 this postseason.

The Phillies had a 4-game win streak snapped and failed to hit a home run for the 1st time in 9 games in their Game 2 loss. For the postseason, Philadelphia has 17 HR in 12 games. The Phils own a playoff OPS of .745 (.975 at home).

The Monday postponement initiated a change in Philadelphia’s strategy. The Phils were going to start RHP Noah Syndergaard; they will now go with LHP Ranger Suarez.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Astros at Phillies Game 3 projected starters

RHP Lance McCullers, Jr. vs. LHP Ranger Suarez

McCullers missed most of the regular season due to a forearm injury. In 8 starts, he was 4-2 with a 2.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9, and 9.4 K/9 in 47 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 3 ER on 10 hits in 11 IP (3 BB, 13K) this postseason; has a 2.77 ERA in 18 postseason games
  • Last pitched on Oct. 23: in regular-season play, his 6-plus days rest split is his best (3.04 ERA, .649 OPS)
  • Has a limited history against Philadelphia batters, but has held them to an aggregate .576 OPS (including postseason)

Suarez made 29 starts in the regular season, going 10-7 with a 3.65 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 across 155 1/3 IP.

  • Notched a 3.15 ERA in the 2nd half
  • Posted a 3.20 ERA and 1.20 WHIP on the road vs. 4.27 ERA and 1.52 WHIP at home
  • Has appeared in 4 games this postseason (2 as a starter): has pitched 9 2/3 innings, allowing 3 R (2 ER) on 6 H and 5 BB with 9 K

Astros at Phillies Game 3 odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:23 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+133) | Phillies +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Astros at Phillies Game 3 picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

In Game 3, we get away from some of the larger data samples to work with when it comes to starting pitching. And while that creates some gray area on both sides, the lean here is on Suarez (and a rested Phillies bullpen) at home.

In 5 home playoff games, the Phillies have cranked out a .975 OPS. Philadelphia is 5-0 at home in the postseason and it went a robust 23-13 at home in the 2nd half of the regular season.

The Astros are 3-0 on the road this postseason but with a .576 OPS at the plate. Houston is an accomplished road team overall (51-30 during the regular season), but much of that was earned in the subpar AL West.

BET PHILADELPHIA (+115), but consider making it partial-unit play on any price south of +115.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS, but consider a line-watch. Adding Philly +1.5 at -155 or better would make for some decent insurance on the above play.

Over/Under

Based on what these clubs did in the regular season (pitching having a tad more value than what shows in surface numbers and the opposite case for the offenses), this series has a built-in Under lean.

This starters’ matchup, however, puts some lean the other way. Suarez coming from the left side is a boon for a Houston offense that posted a .783 OPS against southpaws during the regular season.

A PASS is recommended.

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

World Series Game 3: Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies, ppd.

Monday’s Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies World Series Game 3 was postponed due to rain and rescheduled for Tuesday.

Update 7:07 p.m. ET: Monday’s Game 3 of the World Series was postponed because of rain in Philadelphia and rescheduled for Tuesday, 8:03 p.m. ET. Game 4 was moved to Wednesday and Game 5 will be Thursday, originally a travel day.

Original column below (published Sunday, 10:20 p.m. ET)

The Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies return to World Series play Monday.  First pitch in Game 3 at Citizens Bank Park is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Tied 1-1; Houston won regular-season series 2-1

Houston countered Philadelphia’s Game 1 victory with a 5-2 win in Saturday’s Game 2. LHP Framber Valdez logged by far the best start for either side so far when he went 6 1/3 IP, allowing 1 run on 4 hits with 3 walks and 9 strikeouts. The Astros are 8-1 this postseason.

The Phillies had a 4-game win streak snapped and failed to hit a home run for the 1st time in 9 games. For the postseason, Philadelphia has 17 HR in 12 games. The Phils own a playoff OPS of .745 (.975 at home).

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Astros at Phillies Game 3 projected starters

RHP Lance McCullers, Jr. vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard

McCullers missed most of the regular season due to a forearm injury. In 8 starts, he was 4-2 with a 2.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9, and 9.4 K/9 in 47 2/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 3 ER on 10 hits in 11 IP (3 BB, 13K) this postseason; has a 2.77 ERA in 18 postseason games
  • Last pitched on Oct. 23: in regular-season play, his 6-plus days rest split is his best (3.04 ERA, .649 OPS)
  • Has a limited history against Philadelphia batters, but has held them to an aggregate .576 OPS (includes postseason)

Syndergaard pitched in 25 games (24 starts) in the regular season. He was 10-10 with a 3.94 ERA 1.25 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 134 2/3 IP.

  • Has made 1 start and 2 relief appearances in this postseason (5 1/3 IP, 1 ER); owns a 2.30 ERA in 8 career postseason games
  • Posted a 3.47 ERA at home in the regular season
  • Has a limited history against Houston batters, but has held them to an aggregate .561 OPS (includes postseason)

Astros at Phillies Game 3 odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:18 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Phillies +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+120) | Phillies +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Astros at Phillies Game 3 picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 4, Phillies 3

Moneyline

In Game 3, we get away from some of the larger data samples to work with when it comes to starting pitching. And while that creates some gray area on both sides, the lean here is on Syndergaard (and a rested Phillies bullpen) at home.

Look to the run line for the best return-vs.-risk in this particular match-up. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

In 5 home playoff games, the Phillies have cranked out a .975 OPS. Philadelphia is 5-0 at home in the postseason and it went a robust 23-13 at home in the 2nd half of the regular season.

The Astros are 3-0 on the road this postseaso,n but with a .576 OPS at the plate. Houston is an accomplished road team overall (51-30 during the regular season), but much of that was earned in the subpar AL West.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA +1.5 (-150).

Over/Under

Based on what these clubs did in the regular season (pitching having a tad more value than what shows in surface numbers and the opposite case for the offenses), this series has a built in Under lean. This starters’ matchup, however, puts some lean the other way.

The Sunday night Under price is decent for those who want to stick with it (maybe as a partial-unit play?), but a PASS is recommended.

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

World Series Game 2: Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros Game 2 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros meet for Game 2 of the 2022 World Series Saturday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Series: Philadelphia leads 1-0 after 6-5 win in 10 innings Friday
Regular-season series: Houston won 2-1

NL Wild Card Philadelphia toted a postseason plus-22 run differential into Friday’s series opener. The Phillies did not widen that gap much in Game 1, but they now hold a 1-0 lead in the Fall Classic. The Phils battled all the way back from a 5-0 deficit and then capped off their lid-lifter heroics with a J.T. Realmuto 10th-inning home run en route to the 1-run triumph Friday.

Friday’s loss marked the 1st taste of playoff defeat for the AL West-champion Astros, who had been 7-0 in these playoffs. After starting pitchers Aaron Nola of the Phillies and Justin Verlander of the Astros exited Friday’s game, both bullpens dueled in effective fashion all the way to the 10th when Houston RHP Luis Garcia was touched up with Realmuto’s opposite-field smash to right.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Framber Valdez

Wheeler posted a 2.82 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 IP in the regular season. He went 12-7 over 26 starts.

  • Spent some time in August and September on the IL with a forearm injury but has bounced back nicely: Owns a 1.34 ERA across 3 regular-season and 4 postseason starts since Sept. 21
  • Clocked a 3.84 ERA and 1.20 WHIP on the road during the regular season
  • Allowed 2 runs on 4 hits over 13 IP in the NLCS; walked 1 and struck out 16
  • Last pitched Oct. 23: Had a 2.57 ERA in 11 regular-season starts on 5-day rest

Valdez made 31 starts in the regular season. He went 17-6 with a 2.82 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 201 1/3 IP.

  • Has allowed 4 R (2 ER) in 12 2/3 IP during the 2022 postseason; owns a 3.83 ERA in 11 career playoff games (2020-22)
  • Last pitched Oct. 20: owns a 3.59 career ERA when pitching on more than 6 days’ rest (regular season)
  • Over the last 3 years in the regular season, has notched a 2.70 ERA on the road and a 3.51 ERA at home

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:42 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-190) | Astros -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 4, Astros 2

Moneyline

Both starters had almost identical regular-season numbers. Wheeler has been sharper in the postseason. He may have been well-served by his August-September injury, at least in terms of fighting innings-build-up fatigue.

During the regular season, Philadelphia filed a .727 OPS against right-handers and a .769 figure against port-siders.

The price on the visiting 9 is solid here. BACK THE PHILLIES (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

If you’re on board with Philadelphia going up 2-0, just play the moneyline.

Over/Under

The Under went 2-1 – with an Over that involved 1 team not scoring – when these clubs met Oct. 3-5. The pitching for both sides — save perhaps for the starting efforts Friday — has been impeccable.

There is a slight fade to the combined batting numbers owned by both sides, and this World Series figures to have an institutional Under lean going into each game.

The Under whiffed in Game 1, but it remains a strong play Saturday.

BET THE UNDER 6.5 (+110).

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

World Series Game 1: Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros Game 1 odds and lines, with expert MLB picks and predictions.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros clash in a Game 1 showdown as the 2022 World Series gets underway Friday at Minute Maid Park. First pitch is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Phillies vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Houston won 2-1

NL Wild Card Philadelphia went 87-75 in the regular season and is a robust 9-2 with a plus-22 run differential in the postseason. The Phillies closed out their regular season by losing 2 of 3 to these Astros Oct. 3-5. Those 3 games were in Houston: The Phils finished the season 1 game under-.500 (40-41) on the road.

The AL West champion Astros are an undefeated 7-0 these playoffs. They went 106-56 in the regular season to earn the AL’s top seed. Houston’s last loss was Oct. 3 at Minute Maid Park to Philadelphia and RHP Aaron Nola, who is slated to start Friday’s World Series opener. The Astros would win the next 2 games of that series – Since Oct. 4, they are 6-0 at home with a .964 OPS.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Phillies at Astros projected starters

RHP Aaron Nola vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Nola went 11-13 with a 3.25 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 across 205 IP in 32 starts in the regular season.

  • Roughed up in last start: 6 ER in 4 2/3 IP in 8-5 NLCS Game 2 loss at San Diego Padres Oct. 19
  • Owns 3.12 ERA (17 1/3 IP 6 ER) across 3 starts this postseason, the 1st in his career
  • Clocked 2.60 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.90 WHIP over last 5 starts of regular season
  • Career vs. Astros (regular season): 2-0, 0.00 ERA (12 2/3 IP) in 2 starts, but current Houston batters own aggregate .330 OPS against him

Verlander went 18-4 in the regular season and led the majors in ERA (1.75) and WHIP (0.83). Across 175 IP in 28 starts, he finished with 1.5 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9.

  • Fanned 11.1 batters per 9 en route to going 10-1 with a 1.64 ERA (88 IP, 16 ER) in 15 regular-season home starts
  • 2022 postseason: 1-0, 6.30 ERA (10 IP, 7 ER), 13 H, 2 HR, 2 BB, 14 K
  • Career postseason: 15-11, 3.55 ERA (197 2/3 IP, 78 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9, 10.0 K/9 in 32 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Career World Series: 0-6, 5.68 ERA (38 IP, 24 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9, 9.2 K/9 in 7 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies (regular season): 3-0, 1.42 ERA (19 IP, 3 ER) in 3 starts, holding them to an aggregate .450 OPS

Phillies at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:38 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Phillies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Astros -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-165) | Astros -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Phillies at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 3, Phillies 2

Moneyline

Both starters have had a clunker in this postseason. Verlander’s regular-season surface line benefits from a .240 batting average on balls in play. He’s also very tough on lefty bats and that looms large against Philly sluggers LF Kyle Schwarber and DH Bryce Harper (which plays into an Under lean in Game 1).

Nola logged a 3.00 ERA (108 IP, 36 ER) across 16 regular-season road starts. His combined September/October (2-2, 2.36 ERA, 34 1/3 IP, 9 ER) has been impressive and he gives Philly a decent chance Friday.

While I’m picking the Astros (-165) to win, there’s value in the Phillies. Watch for line movement and make a partial-unit bet if the Philly price hits +150.

Run line/Against the spread

Similar to above but perhaps the preferred play for those who favor a low-scoring opener.

Take Philadelphia +1.5 if the juice drops to -160.

Over/Under

The Under went 2-1 – with an Over that involved 1 team not scoring – when these two clubs met Oct. 3-5. The Phillies have since compiled an ERA of 3.06 since. The Astros have filed a 1.88 figure in their playoff games.

These two clubs can pitch. There is a combined slight fade to their batting numbers – and that’s looking at everything from Opening Day to now. Mix in rested bullpens and off days to reset relievers during the series, and this World Series figures to have an institutional Under lean going into each game.

So, the starters for Game 1 figure as a mixed bag – backing Nola and fading, just a bit, Verlander.

It all boils down to a strong play on this price. Consider grabbing it early.

BET UNDER 6.5 (+100).

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

NLCS Game 5 San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies Game 5 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres try to stave off elimination down 3-1 to the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLCS Sunday with first pitch scheduled for 2:37 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Game 4 between the Padres and Phillies had an offensive explosion in Philadelphia. 1B Rhys Hoskins had 2 home runs, while LF Kyle Schwarber and San Diego 3B Manny Machado each homered as well. The Phillies, after the 10-6 win, hope to end the best-of-7 NL Championship Series at their home ballpark.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Padres at Phillies projected starters

RHP Yu Darvish vs. RHP Zack Wheeler

Darvish (16-8, 3.10 ERA) had a 0.95 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 193 2/3 IP in the regular season. He makes his 4th start of the 2022 postseason.

  • Allowed 2 ER on 3 H and 1 BB in 7 IP of Game 1 loss to Philly with 7 K and 2 HR — 1 each by DH Bryce Harper and Schwarber
  • 2022 postseason: 2-1, 2.84 (19 IP, 6 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 18 K, 6 HR in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: 4-6, 4.33 (52 IP, 25 ER), 1.096 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9, 8.5 K/9, 15 HR in 10 starts

Wheeler (12-7, 2.82 ERA) posted a 1.04 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 153 regular-season IP. He’s also making his 4th postseason start of 2022.

  • Won Game 1 showdown with Darvish in series opener behind 7 shutout IP with 1 H, 1 BB, 8 K
  • 2022 postseason: 1-1, 1.40 (19 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 0.52 WHIP, 17 K, 0 HR in 3 starts
  • Career postseason: Same as above — this is his 1st season in playoffs

Padres at Phillies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:42 a.m.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres +1.5 (-200) | Phillies -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: -101)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Padres at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 7, Padres 4

Moneyline

Take the PHILLIES (-140) for the win.

The Phillies do not want to travel back to San Diego. They will do everything they can to finish this series Sunday. The ML (-140) is the right side.

Run line/Against the spread

PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+150) is the play.

It is going to be a dreary day in Philadelphia Sunday, but not at Citizen Bank Park. The Phillies are on an offensive roll now. They hit 4 HR Saturday night in the 10-6 win and they should be able to put up another 1 or 2 Sunday afternoon.

Over/Under

TAKE OVER 6.5 (-120).

Wheeler has an ERA of 2.82 this season, while Darvish has an ERA of 3.10. With almost 6 runs expected in this game and with the teams scoring a lot this series, I expect another Over to hit. Game 4 had an O/U of 7.5 and got to 16. This one easily gets to the 7 needed.

OVER 6.5 (-120) is my FAVORITE PLAY in this game.

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Dominick Petrillo on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

 

ALCS Game 4: Houston Astros at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at New York Yankees ALCS Game 4 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees look to stave off elimination when they host the  Houston Astros Sunday for Game 4 of their best-of-7 American League Championship Series. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 7:07 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

ALCS: Astros lead 3-0
Regular-season series: Astros won 5-2

The Astros won the AL West with an American League-best 106-56 record, and nothing has slowed them down in the postseason. Houston is 6-0 in the postseason. In October –over an 11-game stretch including playoff and regular-season contests — Houston is 10-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.

New York was shut out 5-0 in Game 3 and has scored just 4 runs on 12 hits in the series. The last time the Yankees offense had a 3-game struggle like this  was in late-summer, when from Aug. 9-Sept. 4 the club averaged just 2.79 runs per game. During that stretch, New York notched an anemic .568 OPS.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Yankees at Astros projected starters

RHP Lance McCullers, Jr. vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

McCullers went 4-2 with a 2.27 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9, and 9.4 K/9 in 47 2/3 IP across 8 starts in the regular season.

  • Has a 3.95 road ERA over the last 3 seasons (2020-22)
  • In his last 6 regular-season games and 1 postseason start (Oct. 15), has held foes to 2 runs or less and owns a 1.90 ERA over that span
  • Has a 2.56 ERA in 53 1/3 career playoff IP (6 shutout IP in 2022)

Cortes made 28 regular-season starts. He went 12-4 with a 2.44 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP.

  • Was 6-1 with a sparkling 1.95 ERA in 15 home starts in the regular  season
  • Has pitched 10 innings this postseason, allowing 3 R on 9 H with 4 BB and 5K
  • Owns a 9.00 ERA in 3 career starts against Houston

Yankees at Astros odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Astros +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-220) | Yankees -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Yankees at Astros picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 3, Yankees 2

Moneyline

McCullers makes this start on 8 days’ rest. The veteran right-hander has been terrific on extended rest during his career and in recent seasons (3.04 career ERA when rested 6-plus days).

Houston is exhibiting advantages in so many part of the game, and the Astros hit southpaws at a .783 clip (OPS) in the regular season.

HOUSTON (+102) is worth a partial-unit play. Look for +108 for a fully-vested wager amount.

Run line/Against the spread

BACK THE YANKEES -1.5 (+165).

In their last 7 home games against eventual playoff teams, the Yankees have gone 6-1. All 6 wins have been by multiple runs.

Over/Under

There is some analytics lean toward the Over, but the Yankees have exhibited extreme slumps before, and they could well be clogged in one right now. The Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 Yankees-Astros games, and Game 4 offers up rested back ends for both bullpens and a weather forecast with a pitchers’ breeze blowing in from left-center.

Take the UNDER 6.5 (+100).

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

NLCS Game 4: San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies NLCS Game 4 odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday for Game 4 of their best-of-7 National League Championship Series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 7:45 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

NLCS: Phillies lead 2-1
Regular-season series: Phillies won 4-3

The Padres came in 2nd in the NL West Division with an 89-73 record, only behind the Dodgers (111-51), who they defeated in the NLDS 3 games to 1. San Diego eliminated L.A. after taking the final 2 games of the series.

The Phillies placed 3rd in a loaded NL East Division with an 87-75 record, behind the Braves (101-61) and the Mets (101-61). After sweeping the Cardinals 2-0 in a Wild Card Series, they eliminated the Braves 3 games to 1 in the NLDS — also winning the final 2 games like the Padres did in their Division Series.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Padres at Phillies projected starters

RHP Mike Clevinger vs. LHP Bailey Falter

Clevinger went 7-7 with a 4.33 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 114 1/3 IP in 22 starts and 1 relief outing in the regular season.

  • Losing pitcher in Game 1 of NLDS vs. Dodgers, allowing 5 runs (4 ER) on 6 H (1 HR), 2 BB in 2 2/3 IP with 3 K
  • Career postseason: 0-1, 5.74 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.98 WHIP, 4 HR, 17 BB, 19 K in 7 relief outings for Cleveland and 2 appearances (1 start) for San Diego
  • 2022 vs. Phillies: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (5 IP, 0 ER), 1 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 1 start, a 3-0 road victory May 17

Falter went 6-4 with a 3.86 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 84.0 IP in 20 appearances (16 starts) in the regular season.

  • Making 1st career postseason appearance
  • Facing Padres 1st time in 2-year career
  • Career regular-season: 8-5, 4.36 ERA, 1.8 BB/9, 8.3 K/9 in 42 appearances (17 starts)

Padres at Phillies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:47 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Padres -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Phillies -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+145) | Phillies +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!

Padres at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Padres 6, Phillies 4

Moneyline

LEAN PADRES (-108). This is the riskiest play of my 3 suggestions.

The odds are close to even for a reason. These 2 clubs are so evenly matched, it’s hard to pick a winner for any of the games. Few people saw either of these teams making it this far in the playoffs, and don’t be shocked when these teams continue to surprise you.

Either team could win this game, but I don’t see San Diego losing 2 in a row, even if it is in Philadelphia. Expect Padres 3B Manny Machado and RF Juan Soto to show up big time in this one.

Run line/Against the spread

BET PADRES -1.5 (+145).

Each of the first 3 games in this series have been decided by 2 or more runs, and I don’t expect that to change in Game 4. While it won’t be easy for the Padres to cover the spread in Citizens Bank Park, in order for them to win the game, they will have to. Even with Soto playing poorly both in the field and at the plate (.182 batting average — 2 for 11, 1 RBI), he will need to show up Saturday for them to win.

Expect the less experienced pitcher (Falter) to have a tough time in this outing.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-130).

This is the BEST BET. Only 1 of the 3 NLCS games went Over 8.5 runs, and it won’t happy Saturday either.

So far in this series, the team that had the big inning has won the game. That should continue here. The Padres can’t let the home crowd get into the game. If it turns into a high-scoring affair with a lot of excitement on both ends — like Game 2, which the Padres won 8-4 — San Diego will lose.

The Philadelphia crowd will play a major role, but as long as the Padres can silence the home fans, Game 4 will stay UNDER 8.5 (-130).

Want action on this game or any other MLB contests? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]