Tag: MLB odds lines spread over/under

Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Indians (51-51) battle the Toronto Blue Jays (54-48) Monday at 3:07 p.m. ET in what marks the opening game of a four-game set at Rogers Centre. Let’s analyze the lines around the Indians vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Eli Morgan is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 1-3 with a 7.47 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 over 31 1/3 IP spanning seven starts.

  • Rookie who has exhibited good control but hittable stuff through his first seven MLB starts. Yielded 3 or more runs in each outing.
  • Right-handed batters own a 1.008 OPS against him. A way-above-average 78% of Toronto’s plate appearances against right-handed pitchers are logged by right-handed bats.

LHP Robbie Ray is the projected starter for the Blue Jays. He is 9-5 with a 3.04 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 through 118 1/3 IP across 20 starts.

  • Allowed 3 home runs in a July 21 clunker against the Boston Red Sox but bounced back to allow just 1 run over 6 frames against the same BoSox squad Wednesday.
  • Has benefited from a .266 batting average on balls in play and a 90.8% left-on-base rate.

Indians at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Indians +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Blue Jays -310 (bet $31 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Indians +2.5 (-145) | Blue Jays -2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -135)

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Prediction

Blue Jays 6, Indians 4

Money line (ML)

Cleveland has been in a tailspin since late-June and is 10-20 over its last 30 games.

Toronto has been quite good in the second half, posting a robust .852 OPS while going 9-6 through 15 games.

PASS on a money line that looks to have true odds well-bracketed on both sides.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The 2-and-a-half-run play is worth a line watch. With Morgan posting some serviceable innings over his last 2 starts and Ray coming off a 108-pitch outing, there is some value in Cleveland +2.5 if you can get a price of -125 or better.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Blue Jays offense has been cranking out impressive performances and a recent Indians downturn with the bats is partially due to some BABIP shortage.

Peg some fade to Ray’s overall numbers and figure the Indians as having a fatigued bullpen which could’ve used a Monday off day. TAKE THE OVER 9.5 (-105).

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (56-50) continue their 10-game road trip with the first game of a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (64-42) Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Tropicana Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Mariners vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Mariners RHP Chris Flexen (9-5, 3.81 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 108 2/3 IP.

  • Flexen allowed 7 runs on 9 hits in only 4 innings in an 8-6 loss to the Houston Astros Tuesday his last time out.
  • The Mariners are 13-6 this season when he starts.

Rays RHP Michael Wacha (2-2, 4.79 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 71 1/3 IP.

  • Wacha lasted 3 2/3 innings and allowed 5 runs on 11 hits in a 5-1 loss at the Mariners June 18.
  • He has pitched more than 5 innings only three times this season.

Mariners at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Rays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-140) | Rays -1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Rays 6, Mariners 5

Money line (ML)

The Mariners swept the Rays in a four-game series in Seattle in June; however, they are 23-27 on the road this season. They have lost two of the first three games of their current road trip and Flexen has lost his last two starts.

The Rays are 34-20 at home and have won four straight games. They’ve won nine of their last 12 games and are 36-29 against teams at or above .500.

Take the RAYS (-190).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Mariners are 59-47 ATS overall and 28-22 ATS on the road. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and failed to cover the spread in their last two games. They have not gone more than two games without covering the spread since failing to do so in six straight May 17-23.

The Rays are also 59-47 ATS overall but are 27-27 ATS at home. They are 3-1 ATS in their last four games but are 0-4 ATS against Seattle.

Take the MARINERS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under (O/U)

Tropicana Field’s Over percentage this season is 49.1%.

Five of the Mariners’ last six games, and 11 of their last 12 road games, finished with 9 or more runs.

Three of the last four, and eight of the last 12, games for the Rays had totals of 9 or more runs.

Two of the four games so far in the season series had 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-135).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

After winning two of the first three games of the series, the Colorado Rockies (46-59) hope to pick up a road series win over the San Diego Padres (60-47) Sunday. First pitch is at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Rockies vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Rockies LHP Austin Gomber (8-5, 3.69 ERA) makes his 18th start of the year. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP.

  • He is facing the Padres for the fourth time this season. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.47 through 19 1/3 innings against them.
  • He won each of his last five decisions.

Padres RHP Reiss Knehr (0-0, 4.91 ERA) makes his second-ever start in the majors. He walked 4 and struck out 3 with 2 earned runs allowed through 3 2/3 innings against the Rockies in his MLB debut.

  • His major league debut was July 9 against the Rockies. He lasted only 3 2/3 innings but the Padres won 4-2.
  • He was 6-2 with a 3.66 ERA over 13 starts with Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A El Paso.

Rockies at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at noon ET.

  • Money line: Rockies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-160) | Padres -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

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Prediction

Padres 5, Rockies 3

Money line (ML)

The Rockies, with two wins in a row this series over the Padres, no longer have the worst road record in the majors, although they are tied for the fewest road wins with 13. It is the second time all season they have won two consecutive road games. Their only road series win was over the Padres just before the All-Star break.

Despite two losses in a row at Petco Park, the Padres have the second-most home victories this season. While Knehr might not go deep into the game, their bullpen has an MLB-best 2.94 ERA. They have not lost three straight home games since being swept by the Milwaukee Brewers in April.

Take the PADRES (-155).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Rockies have improved to 23-29 ATS on the road having gone 7-2 ATS on their current road trip.

The Padres are only 27-30 ATS at home this season and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games.

Considering the season-long performance of both teams goes against the most recent trends, it is bound to correct itself.

Take the PADRES -1.5 (+130).

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 52% of games at Petco Park this season went Over the projected total.

Four of the Rockies’ nine games on this road trip had 9 or more runs scored and four of the Padres’ last 11 games have had a total of 9-plus runs.

Only four of the 15 games this season between the two teams had 9 or more runs.

Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Oakland Athletics (59-47) and Los Angeles Angels (52-52) finish a four-game AL West set Sunday at 4:07 p.m. ET at Angel Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Athletics vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Daulton Jefferies is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics. The 25-year-old is making his second career start.

  • Allowed 5 ER in 2 IP in his MLB debut against the Texas Rangers last September.
  • Recorded a 5.19 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over 59 IP across 12 starts at Triple-A Las Vegas this year.

LHP Reid Detmers is the projected starter for the Angels. The 22-year-old is making his MLB debut.

  • Recently recalled from Triple-A Salt Lake where he made just one start after logging a 3.50 ERA over 12 starts (54 IP) at Double-A Rocket City.
  • Just one year removed from pitching at the University of Louisville; he was the No. 10 selection in the 2020 MLB June Amateur Draft.

Athletics at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Athletics +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Angels -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Athletics -1.5 (+145) | Angels +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Angels 6, Athletics 4

Money line (ML)

In a series with box scores like those of the 1910s, the Athletics won two of the first three games. All 3 contests were shutouts.

A struggling Oakland offense owns a .647 OPS over its last 29 games. The Angels own a .628 OPS over their last 12 games.

For Sunday, peg the Angels as the side with the most value. Los Angeles is 4-1 over its last five home-series finales, and they have the more talented starter on the mound. A perceived A’s edge in relief pitching is very much due to a .272 batting average on balls in play and a 10.1% rate of fly balls landing as home runs.

Oakland is closing out a 10-game road trip.

BACK THE ANGELS (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

STEER CLEAR of the juice-filled run-line action.

Over/Under (O/U)

Warm day, wind out. Despite its recent struggles, Los Angeles has a top-five offense at home. Add in a fade of the Oakland bullpen, and BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-105).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-43) and Arizona Diamondbacks (33-72) play the rubber match of their three-game series Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Dodgers LHP Julio Urias (12-3, 3.54 ERA) makes his 22nd start of the year. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 124 2/3 IP.

  • Urias has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts.
  • He went 6 2/3 innings in his only start this season against the Diamondbacks allowing 1 run on 3 hits and striking out 8 without issuing a walk. He picked up the win in a 9-1 victory.

Diamondbacks LHP Caleb Smith (3-7, 4.61 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 84 IP.

  • This will be his third start of the year against the Dodgers. He lasted 1 inning and allowed 9 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in a 22-1 loss July 10 in Los Angeles last time he faced them.
  • Arizona is 2-9 when Smith starts this season.

Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:37 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (-110) | Diamondbacks +2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 3

Money line (ML)

The Dodgers are now 10-2 against the Diamondbacks. Their 30 road wins are third-most in the majors, trailing just the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants. While they have lost Urias’ last two starts they are 15-6 when he is on the mound, including a 9-3 record on the road.

The Diamondbacks had their five-game home win streak snapped Saturday. You can’t ignore the fact they are 2-9 with Smith starting, and that he has allowed 5 or more runs in three of his last four starts.

Take the DODGERS (-270).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Dodgers are 50-56 ATS overall, and 25-30 ATS on the road, and will have to win by at least 3 runs to cover this afternoon. They have won by at least 3 runs only twice in their last 13 games, although six of their 10 wins over Arizona would cover that spread.

The Diamondbacks are 51-54 ATS overall but 28-23 ATS at Chase Field. Five of their nine losses with Smith starting have been by at least 3 runs, but they only have three such losses in their last 12 games.

While I expect Arizona to lose outright, I like them for the cover with the larger spread. Take the DIAMONDBACKS +2.5 (-125).

Over/Under (O/U)

Angel Stadium is the only ballpark with a higher Over percentage than Chase Field’s 62.0% this season.

Both games in the series have had double-digit totals, and seven of the 12 games between the two teams have had totals of 10 or more.

That said, only three of Urias’ last 10 starts and three of Smith’s 11 starts have had totals of 10 or more runs.

Take UNDER 9.5 (-120).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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