MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line – Page 312

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox kick off their 2023 seasons with a Thursday matchup in Fenway Park. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First of 13 meetings in 2023; Boston won last year’s season series 10-9.

Baltimore finished last season 83-79 and 4th in the AL East, 16 games behind the 1st-place New York Yankees. Their record last year was greatly improved from a 52-110 record in 2021.

The Red Sox finished 78-84 last season, 5th in the AL East and 5 games behind the Orioles. Boston took a major step back after a 92-70 mark and 2nd-place finish in 2021.

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Orioles at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Corey Kluber

Gibson went 10-8 with a 5.05 ERA last year. He had a 1.336 WHIP, 2.58 BB/9 and 7.73 K/9 in 167.2 IP.

Was 2-1 in 5 March/April starts with a 2.93 ERA and 1.084 WHIP
In 13 road starts last season he was 3-4 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.408 WHIP

Kluber went 10-10 with a 4.34 ERA last year, posting a 1.213 WHIP and 1.15 BB/9 and 7.63 K/9 in 164 IP.

Was 1-1 in 4 March/April starts with a 3.05 ERA and 1.161 WHIP
In 15 starts at home last year, he went 7-3 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.088 WHIP

Orioles at Red Sox odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:39 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Orioles +105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Red Sox -125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-180) | Red Sox -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -111 | U: -109)

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Orioles at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Orioles 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX -125.

Boston was 6-0 in its last 6 home games last season and 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right-handed starter. The Orioles struggled at the end vs. Boston, going 1-5 in the last 6 meetings and 1-4 in the last 5 games in Boston. Look for Boston to come out hot on Opening Day vs. this divisional rival.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN RED SOX -1.5 (+155).

Seven of the last 10 meetings last year were decided by 2 or more runs, with the Red Sox winning 4 of the 7. The Red Sox will have the advantage as the home team and recent history suggests they should be the slight lean here.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-110).

In 6 of the last 10 meetings between these teams the final score was Under 9 total runs, the Under during that stretch was also 6-4. The Under is also 5-1 in Baltimore’s last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.

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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals open their season’s with a Thursday matchup at Nationals Park. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First of 13 meetings in 2023; Braves won 2022 season series 14-5 and outscored the Nationals by 49 runs in the 19 games.

The Braves were 101-61 last year, winning the NL East. Their season came to an end in the NL Divisional Series, where they lost 3-1 to the eventual NL Champion Philadelphia Phillies.

Washington finished 2022 with a MLB-worst 55-107 record, their worst mark since 1976 when they were still the Montreal Expos.

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Braves at Nationals projected starters

LHP Max Fried vs. LHP Patrick Corbin

Fried went 14-7 with a 2.48 ERA last year. He had a 1.014 WHIP, 1.55 BB/9 and 8.26 K/9 in 185.1 IP.

Went 2-2 in his 4 starts in March/April games last year, posting a 3.00 ERA through 24 IP
In away games last year he was 6-3 in his 12 starts with a 2.55 ERA and 0.876 WHIP

Corbin went 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA last year. He had a 1.697 WHIP, 2.89 BB/9 and 7.55 K/9 in 152.2 IP.

Went 0-4 in his 5 March/April starts last season, clocking a 8.69 ERA in 19.2 IP
In home games last year he was 4-8 in his 16 starts, with a 5.17 ERA and 1.523 WHIP

Braves at Nationals odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 10:12 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Braves -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -2.5 (+105) | Nationals +2.5 (-125)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -114 | U: -106)

Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Nationals 3

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Braves (-250) should be able to pick up a win against the worst team in baseball last year. The line here is not as lopsided as I thought it might be but it is still too risky for this bet, the risk here is not worth the reward.

Run line/Against the spread

LEAN BRAVES -2.5 (+105).

The Braves won 7 of the last 10 meetings and 5 of those 7 wins came by 2 or more runs, making this a fairly safe bet when the line was -1.5. But 2.5 is something diifferent. Still, the Braves big bats should be able to take advantage of a poor Washington bullpen that underperformed in spring training, but go lightly.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-114).

The Over is the safest bet for this game as 6 of the last 10 meetings between these teams went Over 7.5 total runs, and the Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The Over is also 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Washington.

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San Francisco Giants at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s San Francisco Giants at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Francisco Giants and New York Yankees swing into the 2023 season with a Thursday matinee at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since 2019 when the Yankees swept 3 games in San Francisco.

San Francisco went 81-81 and placed 3rd in the NL West last season. The Giants were 14-7 with a plus-40 in run differential in April, but struggled after that. The Giants were somewhat undone by a 22-27 record in 1-run games.

New York was a bit record-unlucky in 2022, only parlaying a plus-1.48 in average run differential into a 99-63 record. The Yankees logged a pedestrian 42-39 mark on the road, but they tied the Los Angeles Dodgers for the best home record in MLB at 57-24.

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Giants at Yankees projected starters

RHP Logan Webb vs. RHP Gerrit Cole

Webb went 15-9 with a 2.90 ERA a year ago. He clocked a 1.16 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 192 1/3 IP.

Has allowed a .768 OPS in March/April games during his career (under .655 in each month May-August)
Owned wide platoon splits last season, holding right-handed bats to a .548 OPS while yielding a .730 mark against lefties

Cole logged a 13-8 mark while posting a 3.50 ERA in 2022. The veteran right-hander notched a 1.02 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 200 2/3 IP.

Struggled in 1st 3 starts last season: 6.35 ERA, .852 OPS allowed
Registered a 3.20 ERA, 0.94 WHIP (with better BB/9 and K/9 numbers) at Yankee Stadium last year

Giants at Yankees odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 12:37 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Giants +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-140) | Yankees -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -125)

Giants at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Giants 3

Moneyline

Webb logged a 1.61 WHIP while allowing 3 HR in spring training. Cole was much sharper, punching out 27 batters against 1 BB in 21 2/3 IP.

Spring training stats are misunderstood: They can be quite useful in early-season betting. And with New York holding better cards in the bullpen and lineup categories, there is some value edge in the YANKEES (-190).

Run line/Against the spread

With this top-shelf pitching matchup, temps in the low-40s and 2 fresh bullpens, expect a low scoring game. PASS on trying to get the Yankees by with a multi-run lean.

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Over/Under

Both clubs posted solid batting numbers in spring training, but the market is on to these starters. And the expected run-suppressant weather. AVOID.

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MLB GAME 2023 TEMPLATE: Team V at Team H odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Xday’s Road Team at Home Team odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

INTRO Team V full name (X-X) … Team H full name (X-X) … when (INCLUDE THE DAY!), where (national TV only; use ET for time – 7 p.m. ET). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the V nickname vs. H nickname odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: V’s lead x-x or Tied x-x, or First meeting of 2023.

1 to 2 short sentences on V’s recent game; can include recent streak/stretch.

1 to 2 short sentences on H’s recent game; can include recent streak/stretch.

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Team V at Team H projected starters

XHP name vs. XHP name

V pitcher (X-X, xxx ERA) makes his X start. He has a xxx WHIP, xx BB/9 and xx K/9 through xx IP.

2-4 notes on V pitcher
2-4 notes on V pitcher

H pitcher (X-X, xxx ERA) makes his X start. He has a xxx WHIP, xx BB/9 and xx K/9 through xx IP.

2-4 notes on H pitcher
2-4 notes on H pitcher

V nickname at H nickname odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated xxxday at x:xx x.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Road +xxx (bet $100 to win $xxx) | Home -xxx (bet $xxx to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Road +x.x (-xxx) | Home -x.x (+xxx)
Over/Under (O/U): x.x (O: -xxx | U: -xxx)

V nickname at H nickname picks and predictions

Prediction

Winner X, Loser X

Moneyline

Suggested wager in BOLD.

(Analysis in 1 to 5 graphs, with suggested wager or PASS/AVOID/SKIP)

Run line/Against the spread

Suggested wager in BOLD.

(Analysis in 1 to 5 graphs, with suggested wager or PASS/AVOID/SKIP)

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Over/Under

Suggested wager in BOLD.

(Analysis in 1 to 5 graphs, with suggested wager or PASS/AVOID/SKIP)

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For sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Plus, try out the USA TODAY Parlay Calculator and please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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