MLB moneyline against the spread ATS Over Under OU total run line – Page 307

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (4-1) and St. Louis Cardinals (2-3) meet Wednesday to wrap up a 3-game series. First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 1:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 2-0. Atlanta won the 2022 season series 4-3.

The Braves won 4-1 Tuesday as +122 underdogs a night after prevailing 8-4 as -113 favorites in Monday’s opener. 3B Austin Riley hit a 2-run HR in the 1st, RF Ronald Acuna Jr. hit a solo shot in the 2nd and C Seth Murphy added an RBI single in the 3rd as Atlanta jumped out to a 4-0 lead Tuesday. SP Dylan Dodd (W, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 K) and 5 Atlanta relievers scattered 10 hits in allowing St. Louis just 1 run.

So far, St. Louis pitching has struggled. The Cardinals pitching staff owns a 5.40 ERA (45 IP, 27 ER) through the first 5 games. They’ve allowed 9 runs twice and have yielded 4 or more runs in all but 1 game — a 4-1 victory against the Toronto Blue Jays Saturday. Offensively, 3B Brendan Donovan (.300, 5 HR, 5 RBI) and DH Nolan Gorman (.500, 2 HR, 6 RBI) have supplied a little pop.

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Braves at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Bryce Elder vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Elder will make his 1st start of 2023. He went 2-4 with a 3.17 ERA in his rookie season last year with a 1.24 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 through 54 IP.

Posted a 1-3 record with a 3.66 ERA (32 IP, 13 ER) and 1.25 WHIP across in 5 starts with 1 relief appearance in away games last year
Went 1-3 with a 4.74 ERA (19 IP, 10 ER) in his 4 March/April starts a year ago
Career vs. Cardinals: Wednesday will be his 1st outing vs. St. Louis

Mikolas (0-0, 13.50) makes his 2nd start of 2023. He was roughed up for 5 ER on 10 hits in 3 1/3 innings in his 1st outing, a no-decision that the Cards lost 10-9 to the visiting Toronto Blue Jays Opening Day. He didn’t walk anyone and struck out 6.

Last season at home: 6-3, 2.38 ERA (94 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 69 K across 14 starts
Career vs. Braves: 1-3, 3.04 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.09 WHIP, 6.8 K/9.
Last season vs. Braves (1 start): L, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-0 road loss July 6

Braves at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Braves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-190) | Cardinals -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Braves at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Braves 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

LEAN BRAVES (+105).

The Braves are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings with the Cardinals. In the last 16 head-to-head matchups, Atlanta is 12-4. including a 7-game win streak from June 20, 2021 – July 6, 2022.

While I don’t put much weight into these trends, I feel the need to point out that Atlanta is 1-4 in its last 5 Wednesday games.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BRAVES +1.5 (-190).

Recent history says the Braves should win, and by a decent margin, but the 2022 season series was only a 4-3 advantage for the Braves. It’s hard for me to see a team as good as St. Louis get swept in this series. However, only 2 of the last 10 Atlanta-St. Louis matchups came within 1 run and St. Louis won both. If this is game comes down to 1 run, expect St. Louis to win.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-115).

The Over is 6-1 in the last 7 head-to-head meetings in St. Louis and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings overall. Despite the recent Over streak, the O/U has been extremely balanced in recent games between these teams, going 5-5 in the last 10 games.

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New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (3-2) visit the Milwaukee Brewers (3-1) Tuesday as the NL clubs continue their 3-game set at American Family Field with the middle contest. First pitch is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0

New York was pummeled 10-0 in Monday’s matinee opener. They were held to just 3 hits while the pitching staff allowed more than 3 runs in a game for the 1st time this season.

After scoring 1 run in the 3rd and 2 in the 4th, the Brewers put it away with a 7-run 5th, capped by rookie 2B Brian Turang’s grand slam. The Brewers have scored 19 runs over their last 2 games — they beat the Chicago Cubs 9-5 at Wrigley Field Sunday.

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Mets at Brewers projected starters

RHP Max Scherzer vs. LHP Wade Miley

Scherzer (1-0, 4.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start of 2023.

Last outing: W, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-3 road win at Miami Marlins Thursday; registered 13 swings and misses in 91 pitches
Last season: 11-5, 2.29 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 10.7 K/9, 1.5 BB/9 in 145 1/3 IP (23 starts)
Pitched 6 shutout frames (with 9 K’s) here in September
Owns a 1.55 ERA across his last 5 starts against the Brewers

Miley will be making his 2023 debut.

Last season: 2-2, 3.16 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 6.8 K/9, 3.4 BB/9 in injury-shortened 37-inning season across 9 games (8 starts) for the Cubs
Current Mets own an aggregate .710 OPS against him
Historically, March/April is Miley’s best month in terms of allowed OPS (on-base plus slugging percentage) at .679

Mets at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:01 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Mets -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Brewers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+110) | Brewers +1.5 (-135)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Mets at Brewers picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

The Mets (-150) are a fair favorite here. The true odds are likely buried in between these prices. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

No interest in supporting either side. PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 series meetings.

New York’s offense has gotten off to a slow start, and that is somewhat due to a .289 on-base percentage when leading off innings and a .184 batting average with runners in scoring position.

Lean into the offense for both clubs and add in some starting pitching fade on both sides (kinder ERAs than deserved last season), and OVER 8 (-115) is a nice play in this matchup.

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Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (4-0) and Miami Marlins (1-4) meet Tuesday to continue a 3-game series at loanDepot park. First pitch Tuesday is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 1-0.

Minnesota swept the Kansas City Royals in a season-opening series on the road. The Twins, who went just 32-49 (.395) away from home last season, extended their season-opening win streak to 4 games with an 11-1 triumph in the Monday opener of this series.

Miami has lost 3 in a row. The Marlins have been outscored 28-9 over their 5 games. On Monday, they scored just 1 run on 12 hits.

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Twins at Marlins projected starters

RHP Kenta Maeda vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara

Maeda is making his 1st start of the 2023 season and returning to the mound after August 2021 Tommy John surgery. He has not pitched since 2021.

Over his career owns a 59-41 record with a 3.87 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 762 IP
Logged a 4.91 ERA, 10 BB and 14 K in 14 2/3 spring training innings

Alcantara (0-0, 4.76 ERA) makes his 2nd start this season. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 3.2 K/9 through 5 2/3 IP.

Logged a 15:4 SO:BB and 0.68 ERA in 13 1/3 spring training innings
Owns a 2.06 ERA, 0.90 WHIP in 231 1/3 home innings in the 2021-22 seasons

Twins at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:26 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Twins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Marlins -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-185) | Marlins -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Twins at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Minnesota 5, Miami 4

Moneyline

PASS: Not bullish on the Fish offense, but am for them improving with the bats. But Maeda is too much a question mark in his return,

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Also fading Alcantara a bit. The side is a layoff all the way around, but there is leverage to be gained in betting a low run total.

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Over/Under

Alcantara has bettors tamping down this number. He’s a very good pitcher and excels in his home park. But the Miami righty is facing a Minnesota club which owns a nice .790 OPS so far. He’s likely overrated by his surface numbers from a year ago (2.28 ERA); he benefitted from a .268 batting average on balls in play. Alcantara also gets a lot of ground balls; such pitchers are more affected by the new shift rule.

Maeda is a question mark. The Marlins’ run scoring is lagging behind their not-terrible .689 OPS. Miami has been hurt by a .167 batting average with runners in scoring position.

TAKE THE OVER 7 (-105).

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Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Braves (3-1) will square off against the St. Louis Cardinals (2-2) in the 2nd game of a 3-game series on Tuesday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Braves lead 1-0.

The Braves have won 3 of their first 4 games to begin the season. Atlanta has scored 7-plus runs in each of its 3 wins and has outscored its opponents 23-11.

The Cardinals lost 8-4 to the Braves on Monday with RHP Jake Woodford tallying 3 K, 3 BB, 6 ER, and 3 HR in 4 1/3 IP. St. Louis has scored 4-plus runs in each of its first 4 games of the season.

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Braves at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Dylan Dodd vs. LHP Steven Matz

Dodd will make his major league debut on Tuesday. He recorded a 3.36 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 2 BB/9, and 9.7 K/9 in 142 IP in the minors in 2022.

Was 12-9 in 26 starts in the minors last season
Notched a 2.00 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 2 BB/9, and 10 K/9 in 18 IP during spring training.

Matz notched a 5-3 record in 10 starts in 2022 with a 5.25 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9, and 10.1 K/9 in 48 IP.

Has allowed 1 HR/9 or more in all 8 of his MLB season
Has a 1.20 WHIP or worse in each of his 8 years

Braves at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Braves +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cardinals -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves +1.5 (-165) | Cardinals -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Braves at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 6, Braves 5

Moneyline

With Dodd making his debut in the majors, I’ll lean toward taking the CARDINALS (-140) at home. St. Louis has excelled against southpaws in recent years.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Both Dodd and Matz are tough to trust on Tuesday, so I’m not comfortable taking the spread for either team in this matchup.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (-120) is a high total, but the pitchers in this matchup could struggle against loaded lineups. The Cardinals led the league with a .202 ISO and a 131 wRC+ against LHP in 2022.

The Braves finished 5th in ISO (.179) and wRC+ (118) against lefties in 2022, so plenty of runs could be scored in Tuesday’s bout.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Rays (4-0) and Washington Nationals (1-3) hook up for the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday at Nationals Park. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rays lead 1-0.

The Rays are 4-0 for the 1st time in club history. Tampa took Game 1 Monday after a brilliant start from Drew Rasmussen. He threw 6 shutout innings, surrendering 2 hits and striking out 7 in 6-2 win. SS Wander Franco has begun the season on another level, going 8-for-15 (.533) with a homer, 4 RBIs and 2 steals.

The Nats took Sunday’s game from the Braves, but have lost their other 3 games by at least 4 runs. 1B Dominic Smith is hitting .357 and has been the lone bright spot for a team collectively hitting .189.

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Rays at Nationals projected starters

LHP Josh Fleming vs. RHP Chad Kuhl

Fleming was 2-5 with a 6.43 ERA, 1.89 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 35 IP over 10 games and 3 GS last season.

Will serve as the opener and may go 3-4 innings
Features a 91-mph fastball, changeup, cutter and curve he uses down in the zone trying to induce groundballs

Kuhl was 6-11 with a 5.72 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 137 IP with Colorado last season.

Didn’t face Tampa last year, but he threw a good game in this ballpark while with the Rockies. He went 6 1/3 IP allowing 7 H, 2 ER, 1 BB and fanning 7.
Allowed just 3 ER over 10 1/3 IP in his last 2 spring starts with 11 K’s

Rays at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:44 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rays -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (-115) | Nationals +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Rays at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Rays 5, Nationals 4

Moneyline

Washington could steal this game with a good effort from Kuhl, but I’m just not confident enough to put money on it. If you have a free bet and you want to place it on the Nationals +150, it’s not a terrible idea. Otherwise, PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Kuhl is better than his numbers indicated last year. He had a solid 1st half with a 4.11 ERA and 1.40 WHIP and was pitching well in Colorado’s thin air, but the wheels fell off after the break. Confidence is key for him as evidenced by the 2.27 ERA in his 6 wins last year. The home side covers. Take the NATIONALS +1.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

Tampa has scored at least 4 runs in every game, but is just 1-2-1 O/U. The Nats should be able to plate some runs with Tampa starting an opener without overpowering stuff. It’s forecasted for 76 degrees with an 8.1-mph breeze blowing out to left-center. All these variables are enough for me to take the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia Phillies (0-4) face New York Yankees (3-1) in the 2nd game of a 3-game series on Tuesday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0.

Anthony Rizzo‘s 1st HR of the season ignited a 5-run fifth inning as the Yankees beat the Phillies 8-1 on Monday. The Phillies have lost 4 games in a row to begin the season and have been outscored 37-12.

The Yankees have won 2 games in a row with solid contributions from their pitching staff thus far. Outside of its 7-5 loss to the San Francisco Giants, New York has allowed 1 ER or less in each game.

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Phillies at Yankees projected starters

LHP Matt Strahm vs. RHP Domingo German

Strahm was 4-4 in 2022 with a 3.83 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9, and 10.5 K/9 in 44 2/3 IP.

Has primarily operated out of the bullpen in each of the last 3 seasons
Last career start was Aug. 17, 2021; pitched 1 1/3 innings in loss to San Diego Padres

German was 2-5 in 14 starts last season with a 3.61 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9, and 7.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

His 7.2 K/9 in 2022 was the lowest mark of his 5-year MLB career
Has made 14-plus starts in each of the last 4 seasons with NY

Phillies at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Phillies +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Phillies at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Phillies 3

Moneyline

With the Phillies struggling with OF Bryce Harper and 1B Rhys Hoskins sidelined, I’ll take the YANKEES (-150) to win at home. I wouldn’t advise taking the moneyline if the odds are worse than -150.

Run line/Against the spread

YANKEES -1.5 (+135) is the pick in this matchup with New York’s lineup likely having success against Strahm. Meanwhile, the Phillies have sputtered on offense despite adding SS Trea Turner in free agency.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-120).

The Yankees have combined for 9 HR in their 1st 4 games of the season and Strahm hasn’t had much experience starting games. German has also struggled with giving up homers, allowing at least 1.4 HR/9 in each of the last 4 seasons he’s played.

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Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Colorado Rockies (2-3) and Los Angeles Dodgers (3-2) wrap up a 2-game series Tuesday. First pitch at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rockies vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers won the season series opener 13-4 on Monday. Dodgers won the season series 11-8 in 2022.

The Rockies held a 4-2 lead in the middle of the 5th inning Monday, but starting RHP Ryan Feltner and reliever RHP Jake Bird fell apart in a disastrous frame for the visitors by allowing 7 ER. Colorado was unable to recover.

The Dodgers have scored 8 or more runs in each of their 3 victories but scored 1 run apiece in each of their 2 setbacks. The Over and Under has alternated in each of those 5 outings.

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Rockies at Dodgers projected starters

RHP German Marquez vs. LHP Julio Urias

Marquez makes his 2nd start of the season. He allowed 2 ER on 5 H and 0 BB with 5 K across 6 IP in a win at the San Diego Padres on Opening Day Thursday.

Managed a 7-7 record, 3.43 ERA and .204 opponent batting average (OBA) with 70 K across 94 1/3 IP in 15 road starts last season.
Went 1-3 with a 4.76 ERA with 5 HR, 11 BB and 26 K and a .208 OBA in 5 starts against the Dodgers in 2022.

Urias makes his 2nd start of the season. He allowed 2 ER on 4 H and 0 BB with 6 K across 6 IP in a 79-pitch win against the Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday.

Posted a 3-1 record, 3.91 ERA and 4 HR allowed with 20 K and a .253 OBA across 25 1/3 IP in 5 starts against Colorado in 2022.
Had a 6-3 record, 2.43 ERA and .183 OBA with 71 K across 77 2/3 IP in 14 home starts last year.

Rockies at Dodgers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:14 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rockies +200 bet ($100 to win $200) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rockies +1.5 (+100) | Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Rockies at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Rockies 2

Moneyline

The Dodgers (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive for a singular wager.

The Dodgers rolled to a win last night, and face a Rockies team in a battle of Opening Day starters. Advantage Los Angeles, but PASS, and look to the run line instead.

Run line/Against the spread

The DODGERS -1.5 (-120) are a strong play on the run line. Los Angeles picked up a 13-4 win in Monday’s series opener but it shouldn’t be nearly as lopsided Tuesday. However, the Rockies are likely to have trouble picking up runs against Urias, too. Look for a lower-scoring game that still goes well in favor of the home side.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-115) is the lean in a battle between Opening Day starters.

While the Dodgers took care of the Over themselves on Monday, the Under is still 4-1 in the past 5 meetings between these clubs in Los Angeles and is 18-8-2 in the past 28 meetings overall between these NL West Division rivals.

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Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Angels (3-1) and the Seattle Mariners (1-4) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch at T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: The Angels won Monday’s series opener 7-3. Los Angeles won the season series 10-9 in 2022.

The Angels suffered a 2-1 loss at the Oakland Athletics on Opening Day Thursday, but the Angels have rattled off 3 consecutive wins by a combined score of 26-4, including Monday’s series opener against the Mariners.

The M’s posted a 3-0 win on Opening Day against the Cleveland Guardians, but Seattle has dropped its past 4 games and has been outscored by a 24-12 margin during the nosedive.

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Angels at Mariners projected starters

LHP Jose Suarez vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Suarez went 8-8 with a 3.96 ERA in 2022. He had a 1.25 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 109 IP across 20 starts and 2 relief appearances.

Went 3-4 with a 3.75 ERA and 45 K across 50 1/3 IP in 10 starts and 1 relief appearance on the road last season.
Posted a 1-2 record, 3.92 ERA and .250 opponent batting average (OBA) across 20 2/3 IP in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance against the Mariners last season

Castillo makes his 2nd start of the season. He allowed only 1 hit and no walks with 6 K across 6 scoreless IP in a no-decision against Cleveland on Thursday.

Went 4-1 with a 2.69 ERA with 87 K and a .191 OBA in 73 2/3 IP across 12 home starts in 2022
Allowed 2 ER, 6 H and 1 BB with 9 K across 6 IP in a no-decision on the road against the Angels Aug. 15, 2022, in his only appearance against L.A. last season

Angels at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:35 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Angels +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-160) | Mariners -1.5 (+135)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Angels at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Angels 4

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-155) are a solid play as moderate home favorites. Seattle won its Opening Day outing with Castillo on the bump, and he was nearly unhittable in that outing. He should be hard on the bats of the Angels and should help the home side pull out of its 4-game nosedive.

Run line/Against the spread

The ANGELS +1.5 (-160) aren’t overpriced if you want a little insurance on the road team. The underdog has cashed on the run line in 3 of the past 5 meetings between these clubs, including Monday’s series-opening win by the Halos. The Angels have won 4 of the past 5 meetings in this rivalry dating back to last season, too. This should be a close game, so playing the ‘dog with the run and a half is warranted.

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Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (-105) is the lean for Game 2 of the series.

The total went high in the series opener Monday, and the Over is 8-2 in the past 10 meetings between these teams. The Mariners have allowed 6 or more runs in 3 of their first 4 games but 8 runs aren’t that many despite that the Under is 4-0 in Castillo’s past 4 outings.

The Over has cashed in 5 straight road games for the Angels against a right-handed starting pitcher dating back to last season.

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Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (3-0) and Miami Marlins (1-3) open a 3-game set Monday at loanDepot park. First pitch is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting since 2019. The Twins and Marlins have split 10 games since 2013.

Minnesota swept the Kansas City Royals in a Thursday-Sunday, season-opening series on the road. The Twins, who went just 32-49 (.395) away from home last season, allowed just 4 runs over their 3 games in K.C.

Miami heads into Monday’s game having lost back-to-back contests. The Marlins lost 3-of-4 to the New York Mets in a lid-lifting 4-game set in Miami and were outscored 17-8 along the way.

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Twins at Marlins projected starters

RHP Tyler Mahle vs. RHP Johnny Cueto

Mahle is making his 1st start of the 2023 season. He went 6-8 with a 4.40 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 in 120 2/3 IP across 19 starts for the Cincinnati Reds and 4 starts for the Minnesota Twins last season.

Had an injury-marred shaky start at the outset of the 2022 season that resulted in a 6.32 ERA in his first 10 starts but rallied to log a 3.18 ERA and .650 OPS allowed in his last 13 starts.
Has held current Miami batters to an aggregate .649 OPS.

Cueto is also making his season debut. He went 8-10 with a 3.35 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 across 158 1/3 IP as a member of the Chicago White Sox in 2022.

Missed some spring workouts with general arm soreness; threw 61 pitches in a minor league start in his last Grapefruit League action.
Has held current Minnesota bats to an aggregate .610 OPS.

Twins at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:02 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Twins -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+135) | Marlins +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Twins at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Minnesota 5, Miami 4

Moneyline

Minnesota’s bullpen is edging into fatigue territory/lack of availability at the back end after logging 11 innings over the last 3 games, but Mahle has been a solid road pitcher over his career (3.76 ERA), and there are enough questions about his mound opposite here to make the Twins a value at up to -135.

BACK MINNESOTA (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

The Minnesota bullpen situation opens up the Run Line action to a back-door loss late. Neither offense is off to a hot start, and it can be tough to work Run Line favorites in with low scores.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Under is a combined 4-2-1 with these 2 clubs. In a pitcher’s yard, with two slow offenses, that would be a lean. However, a zag the other way includes the Minnesota ‘pen and perhaps Cueto. AVOID.

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Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Blue Jays (1-2) and Kansas City Royals (0-3) open a 4-game set Monday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023 (Blue Jays won last season’s series 5-2)

The Blue Jays lost as +105 underdogs 9-4 at the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday and lost the series 2-1. Toronto was momentarily down just 1 run in the top of the 2nd after C Danny Jansen and 3B Matt Chapman drove in runs to make it 4-3.

The Royals lost as +125 home underdogs 7-4 vs. the Minnesota Twins Sunday and were swept in the series 3-0. Kansas City had previously scored 0 runs on the season before plating 4 Sunday.

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Blue Jays at Royals projected starters

RHP José Berríos vs. RHP Brady Singer

Berríos (12-7, 5.23 ERA in 2022) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.42 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 172 IP in 2022.

Last start: Win at the Baltimore Orioles Oct. 3, 2022 (ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 6 IP)
Career vs. the Royals: 6-4 with a 4.45 ERA (111 1/3 IP, 55 ER) in 19 starts

Singer (10-5, 3.23 ERA in 2022) makes his 1st start. He had a 1.14 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 153 1/3 IP in 2022.

Last start: Loss at the Cleveland Guardians Sep. 27, 2022 (6 ER, 7 H, BB, 6 K in 5 2/3 IP)
Only career start vs. Toronto: Win June 8, 2022 (3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 5 IP)

Blue Jays at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Royals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Royals +1.5 (-160)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Blue Jays at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 5, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

BET ROYALS (+105).

Kansas City showed signs of life Sunday after scoring 0 runs in its 1st 2 games of the season. Toronto was dominated in its series at St. Louis and was somewhat lucky to win the opener 10-9 after scoring 5 runs in the final 3 innings. Singer looked good in his only career start vs. Toronto, while Berríos gave up 4 ER in 1/3 IP in his 1st start last season. Kansas City should get its 1st win Monday vs. a Blue Jays team that is off to a slow start.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Kansas City +1.5 (-160) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Royals should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

Kansas City’s offense should continue trending upward after a horrible start in its 1st 2 games. While Toronto’s offense has been inconsistent to start the season, Berríos on the mound should help the Over hit as he struggled with command last season. If Berríos has another disappointing start to the season, and Kansas City’s offense picks up where it left off Sunday, these teams should have no problem going over the total.

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