Tag: Minnesota Twins betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Baltimore Orioles (88-71) and Minnesota Twins (82-77) begin a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Target Field is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Orioles lead 3-0

The Orioles were thumped 10-1 in their series finale against the New York Yankees on Thursday night. RHP Corbin Burnes struck out 9 over 5 innings, but the bullpen allowed 7 ER over the next 2 innings. The Orioles need 1 win or 1 Detroit Tigers loss to clinch the top AL Wild Card spot.

The Twins lost 8-6 to the Miami Marlins in 13 innings on Thursday. A pinch-hit 2-run double from Brooks Lee in the 8th inning forced extra innings. SS Carlos Correa went 3-for-5 with a solo HR. Minnesota is 3 games back in the race for the final AL Wild Card spot.

Orioles at Twins projected starters

LHP Cade Povich vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Povich (2-9, 5.59 ERA) makes his 16th career start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 74 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6-4 home loss vs. Detroit Tigers Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-5, 9.75 ERA (24 IP, 26 ER), 1.88 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 9 starts
  • First time facing Twins

Lopez (15-9, 4.11 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 179 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 8-1 loss at Boston Red Sox Sunday
  • 2024 home splits: 7-4, 3.64 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 39 R (33 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 in 14 starts
  • Last start vs. Orioles: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 4-2 road loss April 17
  • Career vs. Orioles: 3-0, 1.06 ERA (17 IP, 2 ER) 7 H, 3 BB, 20K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Orioles at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Orioles +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Twins -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-145) | Twins -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Orioles at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Orioles 3

Moneyline

PASS.

I’ve got the Twins (-175) taking this game, but I’m not paying all that juice, I’ll look to the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

BET TWINS -1.5 (+120).

The Orioles are just a win (or a Detroit Tigers loss) away from securing the top AL Wild Card position, but the Twins are in a do-or-die situation—if they lose, they’re done.

This is exactly why Minnesota traded for Lopez. He’s been clutch when it counts, going 4-1 in his last 6 starts and allowing only 2 ER per outing.

Meanwhile, the Orioles’ starter Povich has been a mess on the road. He’s 1-4 in his last 7 starts and has a brutal 10 ERA away from home. He hasn’t won a road game all season (0-5), and with everything on the line for the Twins, they should cover the spread with Lopez on the mound.

Over/Under

PASS.

I do not like this number and don’t have a great feeling either way. The trends are very 50/50 when it comes to the O/U. I’ll just avoid and keep my bet to the moneyline.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (58-100) and the Minnesota Twins (82-76) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Thursday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Marlins suffered their 100th loss of the season in Wednesday’s 8-3 setback as the Over (8.5) cashed. Miami is just 4-11 in the past 15 games since Sept. 9, while going 2-7 in the previous 9 outings on the road. The Under is 5-1-1 in the past 7 tries on the road, too.

The Twins halted a 3-game losing streak with the 8-3 victory. Minnesota is still alive for a postseason spot, 2 games out of a Wild Card spot, while sitting just a half-game ahead of the Seattle Mariners with 4 to play.

Miami is 15-27 in 42 interleague games this season, while Minnesota is 18-27 in 45 games against the NL.

Marlins at Twins projected starters

RHP Valente Bellozo vs. RHP David Festa

Bellozo (3-4, 3.82 ERA) makes his 13th career start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 63 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H (2 HR), 1 BB, 3 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Atlanta Braves Friday
  • Career/2024 road splits: 1-2, 3.41 ERA, 37 IP, 14 ER, 34 H, 8 HR, 9 BB, 25 K, .238 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 1.16 WHIP in 7 starts
  • Last 7 games: 1-3, 5.00 ERA, 36 IP, 20 ER, 43 H, 14 BB, 19 K, 1.58 WHIP
  • Has never faced Twins

Festa (2-6, 4.80 ERA) makes his 13th career start and 14th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 60 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 4-2 road win in 12 innings vs. Boston Red Sox Friday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-4, 6.00 ERA, 30 IP, 20 ER, 7 HR, 14 BB, 36 K, .241 OBA, 1.40 WHIP in 6 starts (7 appearances)
  • Has never faced Marlins

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 6:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (+100) | Twins -1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

The MARLINS (+200) are a strong value on the road in this interleague series finale. Yes, Miami has 100 losses this season. However, the rookie Bellozo has pitched pretty well, and he has a slight advantage over the rookie Festa.

Festa has been crushed at home this season, going 0-4 with a 6.00 ERA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance. The rookie pitching battle should go in favor of the visitors.

Run line/Against the spread

If you’re a little less adventurous, MARLINS +1.5 (+100) is still a worthwhile play. No one could fault you for wanting a little insurance on a 100-loss team, rather than playing a heavy underdog. Just don’t play both.

Over/Under

OVER 8.5 (-120) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most in this rookie pitcher battle.

The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games for Minnesota, while going 6-2 in the past 8 interleague battles. The total has gone high at a 6-1-1 pace in the past 8 at home.

For the Marlins, the Over has a slight 4-3-1 advantage in the past 8 games. But, be careful, as the Under has hit in 4 straight starts for Bellozo.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (81-76) welcome the Miami Marlins (58-99) to Target Field Wednesday for the 2nd of the 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 1-0

The Marlins beat the Twins to open the series 4-1 Tuesday, closing as +224 moneyline underdogs.

Miami has lost 2 of its last 3 and 4 of its last 6, spending its last 2 series at home and dropping 2 of 3 to both the Atlanta Braves and LA Dodgers. The Marlins are 4-10 over its last 14 games. The Marlins are 28-48 on the road this season and 74-83 against the spread (ATS).

The Twins have lost 3 in a row, getting outscored 21-5 in those games. They are 2 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot and sit 4th in the AL Central despite its plus-.500 record. It has been an unfortunate showing in the homestretch as they are 3-8 over their last 11games. Minnesota is 42-34 at home, though, but it is an ugly 71-86 ATS — 4th worst in the majors — on the season.

Marlins at Twins projected starters

RHP Edward Cabrera vs. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson

Cabrera (4-8, 5.12 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 91 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 20-4 home loss to LA Dodgers Thursday
  • 2024 away stats: 3-5, 5.71 ERA (41 IP, 26 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 11.4 K/9 in 9 starts
  • First time facing Twins in his career

Woods Richardson (5-5, 4.00 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 132 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-2 loss in 10 innings at Cleveland Guardians Thursday
  • 2024 home stats: 1-2, 3.90 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 27 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 12 starts
  • First time facing Marlins in his career

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 2:21 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Twins -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Marlins +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Marlins 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no reason to play the moneyline here.

Minnesota (-190) is far too great of a favorite to consider at almost twice your money for a unit of return. Similarly, the Miami (+155) has struggled on the road this season and isn’t worth the risk.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS +1.5 (-140).

The Twins have had 3 of their last 8 games end within 1 run, so they’ve played close games as of late. Minnesota is just 2-6 in those games with its wins coming by just 2 and 3 runs — and the 2-run victory was in 10 innings.

Despite the 20-4 rout by the Dodgers Thursday, the Marlins have actually played well over the last week. They are 3-4 straight up and have had 2 of their last 5 losses by 1 run.

With that in mind, TAKE MARLINS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Marlins have gone Under in 3 of their last 4 games with an 0-3-1 O/U mark. They have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and have allowed a total of 15 runs in their last 4.

Similarly, the Twins have gone Under in 3 of their last 5. Minnesota has struggled offensively, scoring just 5 runs in its last 3 games. It hasn’t scored more than 4 runs since 9 games ago.

TAKE UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (57-99) and Minnesota Twins (81-75) open a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Target Field is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Marlins vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Miami won 2-1 last season

Miami lost 5-4 to the Atlanta Braves Sunday as a +169 home underdog. The Marlins scored 2 runs in the 6th to tie the game at 4 before allowing the eventual game-winning run in the 7th. Miami has lost back-to-back games.

Minnesota dropped a doubleheader Sunday to the Boston Red Sox, losing the 2nd game 9-3 as a -117 road favorite, after dropping the opener 8-1. The Twins have allowed at least 8 runs in 4 of their last 7 losses. Minnesota is 1 game out of a Wild Card spot, trailing the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers who are tied for the 2nd/3rd spots.

Marlins at Twins projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Bailey Ober

Weathers (3-6, 3.94 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 75 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in an 8-4 outing vs. the LA Dodgers Wednesday
  • First career start vs. Minnesota

Ober (12-7, 3.84 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 168 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 12 K in a 5-4 loss at Cleveland Guardians Wednesday
  • First career start vs. Miami

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Marlins at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Twins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-110) | Twins -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Marlins 4

Moneyline

PASS.

Minnesota is the much better team and is fighting for a playoff berth, so the Twins will pick up the win and cover here as -250 favorites. However, this line is set far too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the spread and/or total instead.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARLINS +1.5 (-110).

Miami has played Minnesota very well the past few seasons, being 5-5 in the last 10 matchups. They won last year’s games 5-2 and 1-0, but their loss was by 11-1.

The Twins are also a very bad 71-85 ATS this season. But be aware that betting on a lesser team to cover ATS always comes with a risk.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8 (-115).

The Over has hit in back-to-back games for Minnesota and is 5-0 in its last 5 home games. For the Marlins, the Over is also 6-3-1 in their last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 meetings between these teams in Minnesota and is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.

Be aware that the Under is 5-3-2 in Miami’s last 10 games.

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Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (81-73) and Boston Red Sox (76-78) meet Sunday for Game 1 of a doubleheader that will end a 3-game series. First pitch from Fenway Park is set for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Minnesota leads 3-1

Saturday’s game was postponed due to rain. The Twins won Friday’s series opener 4-2 in 12 innings, covering as -115 road favorites.

Each of Minnesota’s last 3 games have gone to extra innings, the Twins are 1-2 during that stretch. The Red Sox have lost back-to-back games.

Twins at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Zebby Matthews vs. RHP Nick Pivetta

Matthews (1-3, 6.30 ERA) makes his 8th career start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 30 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 4-1 win at Cleveland Tuesday
  • First career start vs. Boston

Pivetta (5-11, 4.37 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 134 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in an 8-3 outing at Tampa Bay  RaysTuesday
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 1-1, 9.00 ERA (11 IP, 11 ER), 20 H, 5 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Red Sox +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+135) | Red Sox +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Twins at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 3, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-130).

Minnesota is 5-5 in its last 10 games while Boston is only 3-7 in that same span. The Twins are also 2-1 in their last 3 meetings with the Red Sox in Boston while also being 5-1 in the last 6 overall matchups between these squads.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

It’s a pretty even matchup and should be a close game so I expect the Red Sox cover as +1.5 (-160) underdogs. However, this line is set far too heavily to risk betting on, so bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in 3 straight home games for Boston and is 8-1-1 in its last 10 overall. For Minnesota, the Under is 3-1 in its last 4 road games. The Under has also hit in 4 of the last 5 Minnesota-Boston matchups.

Be aware that the Over is 6-3-1 in Minnesota’s last 10 games and is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings between these squads.

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Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (76-78) welcome the Minnesota Twins (81-73) to Fenway Park Saturday for the 2nd of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-1

The Twins beat the Red Sox to open the series 4-2 Friday.

They snapped a 2-game losing streak with the victory. Minnesota, which has fallen to 3rd in the AL Central, dropped 3 of 4 to the Cleveland Guardians in the series prior and 2 of 3 to the Cincinnati Reds before that. It is 39-40 on the road and 71-83 against the spread (ATS).

The Red Sox lost Friday and are now on a 2-game losing streak. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games, and their bats have really struggled. Boston has scored a total of 9 runs in its last 5 games. It is 35-41 at home this season and 71-83 ATS.

Twins at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Lopez (15-8, 3.84 ERA) makes his 31st start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 through 175 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-3 road loss to the Cleveland Guardians Monday
  • 2024 away stats: 8-4, 4.02 ERA (94 IP, 42 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 1-1, 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 13.1 K/9 in 2 starts

Crawford (8-15, 4.19 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 171 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-2 road loss to the New York Yankees Sunday
  • 2024 home stats: 4-8, 4.08 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 40 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 in 16 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 1-1, 6.55 ERA (11 IP, 8 ER), 1.91 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Red Sox +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+120) | Red Sox +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Twins at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Red Sox 2

Moneyline

BET TWINS (-145).

The Twins have performed well with Lopez on the mound recently. They are 4-1 in his last 5 starts. Minnesota is almost at .500 on the road while Boston has been worst at home than in away games.

The Red Sox struggled offensively in the last week, and against a strong starter like Lopez, that should be expected to continue. Boston has been outscored 9-20 in its last 5 games.

Expect those trends to continue and take TWINS (-145).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Twins as a run-line favorite are too risky to play, and the Red Sox as a run-line underdog are far too expensive. Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8 (-120).

The Red Sox have gone Under in 3 straight games and in 5 of their last 6. Boston has allowed just 7 runs over its last 3 games while scoring 4 in that span.

The Twins have a similar recent run and are 1-3 O/U in their last 4 games. They are 1-2-2 O/U in Lopez’s last 5 starts. Minnesota has scored just 10 runs and allowed 10 through its last 3.

Take UNDER 8 (-120).

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Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Boston Red Sox (76-77) welcome the Minnesota Twins (80-73) to Fenway Park Friday for the 1st game of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

The Red Sox lost to the Tampa bay Rays 2-0 Thursday, dropping their 2nd in the 3-game series. Boston, which is 3rd in the AL East, has lost 5 of its last 7 games, all on the road where it has been better this season. The Red Sox are 35-40 at home and have won 4 of their last 6 at Fenway Park. They are 71-82 against the spread (ATS).

The Twins, who are 38-40 on the road this season, have dropped 3 of their last 4 games with all 3 of those losses coming by just 1 run. They lost 3-2 to the Cleveland Guardians Thursday. Minnesota has struggled to generate offense as of late and has scored 4 or fewer runs in 4 straight games. It is 38-40 on the road and 70-83 ATS.

Twins at Red Sox projected starters

RHP David Festa vs. RHP Richard Fitts

Festa (2-6, 5.07 ERA) makes his 12th start and 13th career appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 55 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 9-2 home win over the Cincinnati Reds Sunday
  • 2024 away stats: 2-2, 3.96 ERA (25 IP, 11 ER), 1.12 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 in 5 starts
  • First tme facing Red Sox

Fitts (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 3rd career start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 3.4 K/9 in 10 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 5-4 road loss to the New York Yankees Friday
  • 2024 home stats: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (5 2/3 IP, 0 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 3.2 K/9 in 1 start
  • 2024 AAA (Worcester) stats: 9-5, 4.55 ERA (116 2/3 IP, 54 ER), 1.28 WHIP in 24 appearance (23 starts)

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Twins 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (-105).

The Twins have struggled over the last few weeks, but they have been even worse on the road against quality opponents. Minnesota has lost 6 of its last 7 road games and 8 of its last 10 on the road.

The Red Sox have won 2 of its last 3 games at home. While Fitts has limited experience, he has yet to give up an earned run and has been terrific in his 1st 2 starts. The Twins are 1-4 in Festa’s last 5 starts.

Take RED SOX (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value here. The Twins are too risky as a run-line favorite, especially considering how they’ve played as of late, and the Red Sox are too expensive as a run-line underdog.

Avoid this play.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9 (-115).

The Red Sox have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games and have struggled to get on the board consistently, scoring just 7 runs over their last 4 games. Boston is  1-7-1 O/U in its last 9 outings.

The Twins are 1-2-1 O/U in their last 4 games and have scored 13 runs while allowing 13 runs in those. Minnesota is 1-6-2 O/U in Festa’s last 9 starts as well. Take UNDER 9 (-115).

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Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (80-72) and Cleveland Guardians (88-65) wrap up a 4-game series Thursday. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 9-3

The Twins took a 4-2 lead in the top of the 10th inning in Wednesday’s game, but the Guardians erupted for 3 runs in the bottom of the frame to escape with the 5-4 win as slight favorites (-128). OF Brayan Rocchio drove in the game-winning run.

It was a terrible way for Twins moneyline (ML) bettors to lose, but even worse for those betting the Under (7). It was 2-2 after 9 innings, but the teams combined for 5 runs in the 10th.

Minnesota is now just 5-10 across the past 15 games, while cashing the Over at a 6-1-1 pace in the previous 8 outings. The Twins are just 2-7 in the past 9 road contests, too.

Twins OF Trevor Larnach is nursing a hamstring injury, and he has been limited to DH duties in the past 6 games.

The Guardians have posted 4 wins in the past 5 outings. The miraculous Over result Wednesday was rare, as the Under was 13-1-2 in the previous 16 contests. Cleveland’s magic number now stands at 1.

Twins at Guardians projected starters

RHP Simeon Woods Richardson vs. LHP Joey Cantillo

Woods Richardson (5-5, 4.08 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 128 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 11-1 home setback vs. Cincinnati Reds Saturday
  • 2024 road splits: 4-3, 4.25 ERA, 65 2/3 IP, 31 ER, 8 HR, 1.36 WHIP, .263 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 22 BB, 49 K in 14 starts
  • Last 7 games: 2-3, 4.68 ERA, 32 2/3 IP, 17 ER, 15 BB, 25 K, 1.32 WHIP
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-1, 2.19 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 2 HR, 0 BB, 9 K, 0.65 WHIP, 6.6 K/9 in 2 starts

Cantillo (2-3, 4.99 ERA) makes his 7th start and 8th career appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 30 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-1 home victory vs. Tampa Bay Rays Saturday
  • 2024 home splits: 1-1, 2.53 ERA, 10 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 0 HR, 0.94 WHIP, .225 OBA, 1 BB, 11 K in 2 starts (3 appearances)
  • Career vs. Twins: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 1 start, a 4-2 road setback Aug. 9

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:53 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+155) | Guardians +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Twins at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-115) are the play, as they look to clinch a postseason spot Thursday afternoon.

It will be interesting to see how the Twins (-105) react to Wednesday’s gut-wrenching defeat. They’re likely not going to fare terribly well, as the Twins are just 21-22 this season against left-handed starting pitchers.

Run line/Against the spread

If you can’t trust Cleveland at home, backing Guardians +1.5 (-190) is just a little too expensive for insurance. Cleveland will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return.

If you were to toss the Guardians into a multi-leg parlay, it’s perfectly OK to include them, but playing Cleveland straight up on the run line is not recommended.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8.5 (-110) is a strong play in the series finale under the sun.

The winds will be blowing in from the left-center field power alley into the face of the batters at a 6-10 mph pace, picking up as the game goes along.

Despite the Over Wednesday, the Under is still 13-2-2 in the past 17 games for the Guardians, while going 4-2-2 in the past 8 in the series.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (80-71) and Cleveland Guardians (87-65) meet for the 3rd game of a 4-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cleveland leads 8-3

Minnesota beat Cleveland 4-1 Tuesday as a +121 road underdog. The Twins scored 3 unanswered runs after the 5th inning to break the 1-1 tie.

Guardians SP Gavin Williams allowed 2 earned runs on 5 hits and 2 walks with 7 K’s in 5 innings and recorded the loss. The setback ended a 3-game win streak for the Guardians, who are battling for the division title with Minnesota and the Kansas City Royals.

Twins at Guardians projected starters

RHP Bailey Ober vs. RHP Tanner Bibee

Ober (12-7, 3.90 ERA) makes his 29th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 161 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-4 home defeat vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
  • Career vs. Cleveland: 2-2, 2.13 ERA (38 IP, 9 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 7 starts

Bibee (11-8, 3.60 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 160 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 3-1 home setback vs. Tampa Bay Rays Friday
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 2-0, 2.73 ERA (33 IP, 10 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 6 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Guardians -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+170) | Guardians +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Twins at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Twins 2

Moneyline

BET GUARDIANS (-120).

Cleveland is 3-1 in its last 4 home games and 6-3 in its last 9 overall, while the Twins are 1-3 in their last 4 on the road and 4-6 in their last 10 overall.

The Guardians are also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams in Cleveland and 7-3 in the last 10 overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Guardians to cover here as +1.5 (-210) underdogs, but their odds are better on the ML and this line is not worth the risk. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 home games and is 8-1-1 in its last 10 overall. For Minnesota, the Under is 3-0-1 in its last 4 road games. The Under is also 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland and 6-2-2 in the last 10 overall.

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Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Twins (79-71) and the Cleveland Guardians (87-64) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game series on Tuesday. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Twins vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Guardians lead 8-2

The Twins fired out to a 3-0 lead in the top of the 3rd inning Monday, but Cleveland outscored Minnesota 4-0 in the final 5 innings, including a go-ahead 2-run HR by rookie Kyle Manzardo in the bottom of the 8th inning.

Cleveland has managed 40 come-from-behind victories this season, and the magic number for the Guardians to clinch a playoff spot is now just 2. Closer Emmanuel Clase was able to nail down his 46th save, as Cleveland improved to 46-27 at home, best mark in the AL.

The Under (7.5) hung on in the series opener, halting a 5-game Over streak for the Twins.

For the Guardians, the Under is now 13-1-2 across the previous 16 outings. Cleveland has posted 6 wins in the past 8 games, while going 6-3 in the previous 9 outings at Progressive Field.

Twins at Guardians projected starters

RHP Zebby Matthews vs. RHP Gavin Williams

Matthews (1-3, 7.11 ERA) makes his 7th career start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 25 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H (2 solo HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home victory vs. Los Angeles Angels last Wednesday
  • 2024 road splits: 0-2, 5.40 ERA, 10 IP, 6 ER, 1 HR, 1.60 WHIP, .295 opponents’ batting average (OBA), 3 BB, 5 K in 2 starts
  • 2024 splits vs. Central Division: 1-1, 5.40 ERA, 10 IP, 6 ER, 2 HR, .318 OBA, 1 BB, 9 K in 2 starts
  • Has never faced Guardians

Williams (3-9, 5.23 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 65 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 5-2 setback vs. Tampa Bay Rays Thursday
  • 2024 home splits: 0-6, 7.07 ERA, 28 IP, 22 ER, 5 HR, 1.75 WHIP, .319 OBA, 12 BB, 35 K in 6 starts
  • Career vs. Twins: 2-0, 1.50 ERA, 12 IP, 2 ER, 5 BB, 7 K, 0.83 WHIP in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Twins at Guardians odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 12:27 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Guardians -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-225) | Guardians -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -125 | U: -105)

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Twins at Guardians picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

Look for the TWINS (+105) to return the favor in Game 2 of this series after a heartbreaking loss in Monday’s opener.

Minnesota got off to a tremendous start, but it was unable to hang onto the lead, as Josh Naylor and Manzardo provided the late-game heroics to get the game to Clase to close it out.

While Matthews isn’t a rock-solid option as a starter for the Twins, Williams has been a disaster at Progressive Field, going 0-6 with a 7.07 ERA in 28 IP across 6 starts in front of the home fans.

Run line/Against the spread

If you need a little insurance, Twins +1.5 (-225) will set you back more than 2 times your potential return. That’s just too much risk for not nearly enough reward.

If you like Minnesota, just pick it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-105) is the play in all Guardians games until further notice.

The Under held on in Monday’s game, and it is now 13-1-2 in the past 16 contests for Cleveland. The Under is also 4-1-1 in the past 6 meetings in this series, too.

In addition, the Over-Under is 1-1 in 2 road starts for Matthews, so not much to glean there. The total has gone low at a 4-0-1 clip in the past 5 starts for Williams.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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