The Michigan State Spartans (4-5, 2-4 Big Ten East) visit the Michigan Wolverines (7-2, 4-2) in the 112th meeting between the in-state rivals Saturday for a noon ET kickoff at Michigan Stadium (on FOX). We analyze the Michigan State-Michigan odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
The Wolverines are ranked 14th in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. They’re ranked 15th in the latest College Football Playoff Rankings.
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Michigan State at Michigan: Three things to know
1. The in-state rivals have traded victories the past four seasons with the visiting team taking home the win in each. Michigan won 21-7 in East Lansing last season. The previous two head-to-head meetings played Under the total.
2. MSU was stunned by visiting Illinois 37-34 last week after leading 28-3 early in the second quarter. The Illini scored the winning touchdown with five seconds left, handing the Spartans their fourth consecutive loss.
3. Michigan is coming off of a bye week following two impressive wins. The Wolverines won at Maryland 38-7 Nov. 2 and beat Notre Dame 45-14 in Ann Arbor 45-14 Oct. 26.
Michigan State at Michigan: Key injuries
Michigan State: WRs Darrell Stewart Jr. (leg) and TE Matt Dotson (Achilles) are out. OG Kevin Jarvis (leg) and C Matt Allen are doubtful. C.J. Hayes (lower body) is questionable. Preseason All-American LB Joe Bachie is ineligible after testing positive for a performance-enhancing substance.
Michigan: LB Josh Ross (ankle) is doubtful.
Michigan State at Michigan: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Michigan 34, Michigan State 13
Moneyline (ML)
AVOID. Michigan’s -667 is too chalky. Every $6.67 wagered on the Wolverines to win outright would profit $1 if they do so (Ex: Bet $66.70 to profit $10). Betting on Michigan State’s +400 ML pays 4-to-1, but the depleted Spartans are not winning Saturday.
Against the Spread (ATS)
MICHIGAN (-13.5, -110) is the STRONGEST PLAY. The team is healthy coming off a bye week and has gained confidence with its last two victories, which were by a combined score of 83-21. The Wolverines are only 5-4 ATS, but have covered three in a row and are 5-1 in their last six. The Spartans are 2-7 ATS and haven’t covered in five consecutive games.
New to sports betting? Every $1.10 wagered that Michigan will win by 14 points or more will profit $1.
Over/Under (O/U)
A slight lean to the OVER 44.5 (+100). Michigan State doesn’t have much of an offense and Michigan’s defense is starting to shine, but the “slight lean” is thinking the Wolverines score close to 35 points. Michigan State is 4-5 O/U on the season, while Michigan is 6-3.
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Johnny’s November record: 4-2. Strongest plays: 2-1.
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