Back 4 MAC teams in Week 7: Mid-American Conference’s best bets

Analyzing Mid-American Conference betting odds and lines for Week 7, with picks and predictions for the best MAC bets to make.

It was a very nice Week 6 with the MAC plays, going a perfect 4-for-4 for the first time this season. After a dismal 0-4 start in Week 1, that’s actually 18-6 (75.0%) across the last 5 weekends of MAC play. Let’s keep it rolling in lucky Week 7.

Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the MAC’s Week 7 slate, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Check out: AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

MAC best bets for Week 7

– All games listed are Saturday and ET unless noted

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 8:08 a.m. ET.

Miami (Ohio) -6.5 (-122) at Bowling Green – Noon (ESPN+)

The RedHawks swoop into Doyt Perry Stadium looking to stay hot in a bird battle against the Falcons.

Miami posted a huge 27-24 win against Kent State last weekend, bouncing back from a 24-20 loss at Buffalo in the previous weekend. The RedHawks have cashed in 3 of the last 4 games overall, while alternating losses and wins in 6 outings this season.

Bowling Green was roughed up 38-7 against Buffalo last weekend at this very same venue, and it is now just 1-4-1 ATS overall on the season.

Miami has owned this series lately, winning 3 straight meetings, including a 38-23 win in the most recent meeting at Bowling Green on Sept. 22, 2018. The RedHawks are 3-0 ATS in the last 3 meetings, and 4-1 ATS in the previous 5 in the series.

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Connecticut +9.5 (-110) at Ball State – 2 p.m. (ESPN3)

The Cardinals have been a favorite of mine in this space, as Ball State has really come on lately after a slow start.

Ball State has won consecutive games, while going 3-1 SU/ATS in the last 4 games. It’s the 1st time the Cardinals have been favored since Sept. 17, a 31-0 win against Murray State of the FCS as a 21-point favorite.

UConn rolled up a 33-12 win at FIU, and it has managed back-to-back wins  to get within a game of .500 at 3-4 SU while posting an impressive 5-2 ATS mark.

I think the Cardinals are able to get it done at Scheumann Stadium, but a win by double digits is, pardon the pun, not in the Cards. The Huskies are playing with a lot of confidence lately, and should be able to keep it within 1 score.

Ohio at Western Michigan OVER 58.5 (-120) – 3:30 p.m. (CBS Sports Network)

It’s been all about the Over for Ohio this season. The Bobcats rank 8th in the nation with 334.0 passing yards per game, and they have racked up 33.2 PPG to rank 43rd in the country.

Defensively, the Bobcats are a train wreck, and that’s a recipe for Over results on a regular basis. Ohio has allowed 40.7 PPG, and it is last in FBS in both total yards per game (561.2) and passing yards per game (386.8).

Ohio won last week at Peden Stadium against Akron, outlasting the Zips 55-34. It plays a lot of high-scoring games, allowing 31 or more points in all 3 games on the road this season.

Western Michigan isn’t nearly as prolific offensively, but that should change against the defensively-challenged Bobcats. And the Broncos are coming off a 45-23 loss, posting the Over last week in Kalamazoo. Look for plenty of points here.

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Toledo -7.5 (-107) vs. Kent State – 3:30 p.m. (ESPN+)

The Golden Flashes lost last 27-24 weekend, a costly setback against Miami-Ohio. Now, they must turn things around in a hostile environment in Toledo, or risk a 5th loss in 7 games. My how things have changed since lighting up the scoreboard last season?

Toledo had 77 dropped on them at Ohio State, showing it wasn’t quite ready for prime time, or anything close to it. But it is the cock of the walk in the MAC, going 4-2 overall and 2-0 inside the conference. It is also 3-0 SU at home, covering both games against FBS foes.

The Rockets have caught fire offensively, too, totaling 90 points in the last 2 wins and covers.

Kent State is 4-10 ATS in the last 14 games on the road, while going 5-16 ATS in the last 21 on the road against teams with a winning home record.

Toledo, on the other hand, is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 MAC games, and 8-1 ATS in the last 9 against teams with a losing overall record.

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Back 4 MAC teams in Week 6: Mid-American Conference’s best bets

Analyzing Mid-American Conference betting odds and lines for Week 6, with picks and predictions for the best MAC bets to make.

Well, we split the 4 plays in Week 5 on the MAC card to avoid the losing weekend. It should’ve been another 3-1 week, but Northern Illinois crumbled in the 4th quarter at Ball State and eventually lost in overtime, turning a cover and win into a straight-up loss. Let’s get back on track in Week 6.

Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the MAC’s Week 6 slate, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Check out: AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+

MAC best bets for Week 6

– All games listed are Saturday and ET unless noted

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Ohio -10.5 (-112) vs. Akron – 2 p.m. (ESPN3)

If you’ve been a regular reader of this piece from the beginning, you know Akron has appeared a lot — and not as the pick. Fading the Zips is about the best thing you can do: they’re one of the worst teams in FBS and the books seem to give them a little more credit than they deserve for whatever reason.

Akron did put up a good fight against Bowling Green last weekend and played Liberty tough 2 weeks ago. However, this is a team that also barely squeaked by St. Francis (PA) of the FCS in the opener, needing OT to get the win. Akron ranks 128th in the nation in rushing, and 124th in points scored, and that defense is abysmal, too.

Ohio is looking to level up to 3-3 after a slow start. Two of their losses are to Power 5 teams Penn State and Iowa State, and last week’s OT loss at Kent State is nothing to be ashamed about. Look for the Bobcats to take out their frustrations on the poor Zips, the doormats of the MAC.

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Ball State at Central Michigan UNDER 63.5 (-108) – 3:30 p.m. (ESPN+)

The Cardinals head to Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant to battle the Chippewas in a game only alumni and bettors love. Neither of these teams has played very good football to start the 2022 campaign, but there is still some hope on each side.

Ball State rallied last week for the aforementioned 44-38 OT win over Northern Illinois, covering for the 2nd time in 3 games and grabbing its first win against an FBS team this season. The Over stopped a 2-0 Under run.

Central was waxed 38-17 at Toledo in Week 5, as the Under just came in. The Under is on a 3-0 run for the Chips, it’s 6-2 in their last 8 games overall, and 4-1 in the past 6 against teams with a losing overall record. The Under is 7-3 in the past 10 MAC games for CMU, too.

The trends point to the Under for Ball State too, going 5-2 in its last 7 MAC games.

This is a nice parlay opportunity, too. Ball State has covered 7 straight trips to Mount Pleasant, and the road team is an amazing 17-4 ATS in the past 21 in this series. Ball State (+7.5, -112) and the Under is the way to go.

Toledo -5.5 (-110) at Northern Illinois – 3:30 p.m. (ESPN+)

The Rockets have rebounded nicely after getting routed 77-21 at Ohio State Sept. 17. It played a tight game at San Diego State, falling just 17-14 in a strong defensive effort, then it polished off Central Michigan 38-17 last weekend at Glass Bowl as a 6.5-point favorite in the MAC opener.

Despite having 77 hung on them by the Buckeyes, Toledo’s defensive numbers look pretty darn good. It has allowed just 339.2 total yards per game to rank 42nd, while allowing just 183.0 yards per game through the air, 23rd in the country.

NIU could go one of two ways in this one. It could be angry about last week’s disastrous 4th quarter and overtime at Ball State and fall apart against a good Toledo team, or it could channel that anger and use it as a positive against the Rockets. I’ll take NIU to fall apart.

The Huskies have to be absolutely dejected after another excruciating loss. It lost by 3 at Tulsa, it lost by 10 to Vanderbilt at home, it lost in a 1-score game at Kentucky 2 weeks ago, and then the Ball State debacle. This is a team that could be 3-2 but finds itself looking like a non-bowl team.

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Miami (Ohio) +5.5 (-112) vs. Kent State – 3:30 p.m. (ESPN+)

Let’s roll with the underdog in the final game on the card, as the trends point squarely in Miami’s favor.

Not only are the Golden Flashes of Kent State just 4-9 ATS in their past 13 road games, but the RedHawks have covered 6 of the past 8 meetings in this series, with Miami 4-1 ATS in the past 5 meetings in Oxford.

Miami has alternated losses and wins this season, including an outright win at Northwestern, technically a Power 5 team, as a 7.5-point underdog. It gave Buffalo a good fight last week before eventually falling 24-20.

Kent State isn’t as bad as its 2-3 SU record indicates, as it has 3 big-money road losses to Washington, Oklahoma and Georgia. This is a legit team that opened the MAC calendar with a 31-24 win over Ohio in OT last week. Kent State could grab the win here, but it wouldn’t be shocking to see a 3- or 4-point game — or even a Miami outright win.

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Penn State’s all-time record against every member of the MAC

Penn State has had little problems dealing with #MACTION, but two MAC schools own active winning streaks against the Nittany Lions.

Historically speaking, Penn State has been very good against teams currently residing in the MAC. That should be expected given Penn State’s place in college football history compared to most of the programs in the MAC. But two schools in the MAC will enter the 2021 season with active winning streaks against the Nittany Lions with no future game son the schedule lined up to give Penn State an upcoming chance of breaking those streaks.

The Toledo Rockets are the only non-power conference program in college football to own a 100 percent winning percentage against the Nittany Lions (excluding teams from the Ivy League), putting Toledo in some very elite company with programs like Clemson, Oklahoma, and Florida (and Vanderbilt!).

Penn State’s brief run under former head coach Bill O’Brien got off on the wrong foot with a home loss to the Ohio Bobcats in Beaver Stadium. Ohio is the only other MAC team with an active winning streak against the Nittany Lions. In fact, those are the only two games Penn State has ever lost to a team in the MAC to this day.

Here is a look at how Penn State fares all-time against schools currently in the MAC.

All data referenced is credited to College Football Reference. Rankings referenced are AP Top 25 where available.

If you want more, check out Penn State’s all-time records against current members of the Big Ten, ACC, Big 12Pac-12, and SEC. We are also adding all-time records against non-power conferences. Here is Penn State’s all-time record against schools in the AAC.

Note: Penn State has never faced Ball State, Miami, or Western Michigan. Penn State will face Ball State in 2021.

Follow Nittany Lions Wire on Twitter and like us on Facebook for continuing Penn State coverage and discussion. 

LendingTree Bowl: Louisiana vs. Miami (Ohio) odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Monday’s LendingTree Bowl between the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns and Miami (Ohio) RedHawks, with betting odds and picks.

The Miami RedHawks (8-5) and Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (10-3) meet in Monday’s LendingTree Bowl at Ladd-Peebles Stadium in Mobile, Ala. for a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff. We analyze the Louisiana-Miami betting odds and lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Louisiana vs. Miami: Three things you need to know

1. The RedHawks have their work cut out for them. With a margin ranked 10th in the nation, Louisiana has out-gained its opponents by 127.9 yards per game this season. Against the run, Miami has been hit-or-miss but mostly decent – especially in the season’s second half. The Mid-American Conference champions will be tested by a ULL ground game that has pounded out 3,449 yards at 6.4 yards per carry.

2. Miami has made strides under head coach Chuck Martin, but a very young 2019 team is perhaps too far over its skis in making a bowl appearance. Five of the team’s last six wins were by a one-score margin.

3. On paper, Miami was beaten soundly by Central Michigan in the MAC title game. The RedHawks got a big plus in specials teams when PK Sam Sloman connected on three field goals in excess of 40 yards (four total field goals). Two of those scores — and additionally one touchdown — were scored on drives of less than 10 yards. On special teams and in field position, Miami maintained titanic advantages CMU couldn’t overcome. MU had similar games over its second half, and those hidden-yard advantages regress more than efficiency-and-explosiveness yardage analytics.


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Louisiana vs. Miami: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 5 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Louisiana 35, Miami 17

Moneyline (ML)

PASS on Louisiana (-527), as the point spread in this one is a far more profitable play.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Louisiana to win outright returns a profit of $1.90.

Against the Spread (ATS)

The Ragin’ Cajuns are 6-1 ATS over their last seven games following a straight-up loss and 10-4 over their last 14 games as a favorite. Back LOUISIANA (-14.5 +105) to win by at least 15 points. Good things come to those who wait and who’ve managed their bowl funds well – I see this as perhaps the strongest play of this bowl season.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slow-paced Miami (61 plays per game) will want to win a game in the 20s. Faster-paced Louisiana (71) will be comfortable with the game getting into the 40s. Early game control and ULL’s strong run game could spell a high-scoring, one-sided Under here. That’s the lean, as we take the UNDER 55.5 (-115).

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Miami (Ohio) vs. Central Michigan odds, lines, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s MAC Championship Game between the Miami (Ohio) Redhawks and Central Michigan Chippewas, with betting odds and picks.

The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks (7-5, 6-2 MAC East) and Central Michigan Chippewas (8-4, 6-2 MAC West) tangle at Ford Field in Detroit at 12:00 p.m. ET for the Mid-American Conference championship. We analyze the Miami (Ohio)-Central Michigan odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Miami (Ohio) vs. Central Michigan: Three things you need to know

1. Miami clinched its spot with two games to play, and really struggled down the stretch. The Redhawks narrowly escaped with a 20-17 win against winless Akron Nov. 20, and were blasted 41-27 at Ball State last weekend.

2. The Redhawks lost QB Brett Gabbert to an undisclosed injury for the second half last week, but he is expected to be available for this one. He left last week’s game with Miami up 27-14 at half. The ‘Hawks were outscored 27-0 in the final 30 minutes without him.

3. Central Michigan crowned Toledo by a 49-7 score last week, and it has posted 144 total points across the past three games. The Chips have been cover kings this season, too, going 11-1 against the spread while the Over is 6-1 across the past seven.


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Miami (Ohio) vs. Central Michigan: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:50 p.m. ET.

Prediction

Central Michigan 44, Miami (Ohio) 23

Moneyline (ML)

Central Michigan (-250) has been impressive from start to finish this season, and it probably should have beaten the ‘other’ Miami, you know, the one from Florida, back in late September. The Chippewas fell in 17-12 as 30.5-point underdogs. The Chips are as explosive as anyone and that’s bad news for a Miami (Ohio) team (+200) which enters amid what’s probably its worst stretch of the season.

Against the Spread (ATS)

CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-6.5, -121) is a great play, as the Chips covered in 11 of 12 games this season, and they’re 5-0 ATS in their past five as the favorite. Miami (+6.5, +100) is 13-4 ATS across its last 17 league games, but the Redhawks have failed to cover in the past two. The Redhawks are 2-2 straight up in their four appearances in the title game. The Chippewas are a perfect 3-0 SU in their previous three showings.

Over/Under (O/U)

The MAC title game has a history of points under the roof at Ford Field since 2004. The OVER 54.5 (-105) is a nice play here, as we have seen an average of 65 total points in the previous seven installments. The Over is also 5-2 in Miami’s past seven against winning sides while going 6-1 in the past seven for CMU.

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Akron-Miami (Ohio) odds: RedHawks favored in midweek MACtion

Previewing Wednesday’s Akron Zips at Miami (Ohio) RedHawks sports betting odds and lines, with college football matchup analysis and picks.

The Akron Zips (0-10) take on the Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (6-4) in midweek Mid-American Conference East Division action Wednesday night (7:30 p.m. ET).

We analyze the Akron-Miami odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Akron at Miami (Ohio): Three things you need to know

  1. The Zips have been woeful this season. They rank among the bottom-five in FBS in a slew of statistical categories including scoring offense (130th) and yards per point (128th). Akron was shut out over consecutive games Oct. 19 and Oct. 26. It bracketed those games with a 3-pointer and a six-pointer. In fact, since Oct. 12 UA has averaged a paltry 4.6 points per game. … Dating back to the 2018 campaign, the Zips have lost 15 in a row.
  2. After enduring a crucible of a schedule stretch at the outset of the season, head coach Chuck Martin has a young RedHawks team playing its best football in November. On offense, the RedHawks have been strong in running the ball and solid-but-unspectacular in the passing game. On defense, Miami has done well against the run and aerial game. Since Sept. 28, MU has yielded just five passing touchdowns while coming up with seven interceptions.
  3. The 2019 RedHawks are 4-0 at home, averaging 38.2 PPG while allowing just 16.0 PPG on defense. The Zips are 0-5 on the road, averaging 12.4 PPG on offense and allowing 41.6 PPG.

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Akron at Miami (Ohio): Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Miami 31, Akron 7

Moneyline (ML)

The moneyline was off the board (OTB) at the time of publishing. Due to the large spread, it’s unlikely to be worth a wager even if it is released closer to game time.

Against the Spread (ATS)

Miami (-30.5, -125) is 8-3 against the spread over its last 11 games against teams with a losing record. The RedHawks have won their last two against the Zips, including a 41-17 win over Akron (+30.5, +105) last fall (Oct. 6).

The RedHawks are the more talented team and have momentum on their side. Even to the tune of about four-to-five touchdowns. The rub is that Miami has already clinched a MAC East title. Figuring game flow in this one gets fuzzy, and it’s easy to picture a lot of minutes played by depth and youth on both sides. PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

A chilly night in Southwest Ohio – with no major stakes on the line for either side – could well devolve into a lot of running the ball for both sides. UNDER 42.5 (-110) is a solid play.

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Bowling Green-Miami (Ohio) odds: RedHawks big favorites over Falcons

Previewing Wednesday’s Bowling Green Falcons at Miami (Ohio) RedHawks sports betting odds and lines, with college football picks and tips.

The MAC East-leading Miami RedHawks (5-4) will face the Bowling Green Falcons (3-6) Wednesday night. Kickoff is at 8 p.m. ET from Fred C. Yager Stadium. We analyze the Bowling Green-Miami odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.

Bowling Green at Miami (Ohio): Three things you need to know

1. Bowling Green has been held to 10 or fewer points four times this season and has been shut out twice. The Falcons average only 17.6 points per game, which is 122nd in the country. They scored 35 points in their last game against Akron, though.

2. Miami has won four of its last five games with its only loss in that stretch coming against Western Michigan. The RedHawks averaged 24.8 points per game in their last five but just 22.7 on the year (107th).

3. Miami is 110th in the country with an average of 124.7 rushing yards per game, but it could take advantage of Bowling Green’s porous run defense. The Falcons are giving up 214.4 rushing yards per game this season, among the worst in college football.


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Bowling Green at Miami (Ohio): Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Miami 27, Bowling Green 17

Moneyline (ML)

The moneyline isn’t worth touching. Miami (-1250) is too heavy of a favorite to bet to win straight up, and it’s simply not worth the risk. The same goes for Bowling Green as the underdog at +590.

Bowling Green is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games against Miami, but 5-5 in the last 10 meetings. Still, it’s not worth putting any money here. Save it for the spread.

New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Miami returns a profit of $0.80.

Against the Spread (ATS)

The RedHawks are favored by 18.5 points in this one and it’s easy to understand why. Bowling Green has really struggled this season despite turning things around slightly of late.

Miami has covered the spread in four of its last five games and is 7-1 in its last eight games against MAC opponents. It’s difficult to see the RedHawks covering 18.5 points this time around with an offense that hasn’t been lighting up the scoreboard. Take BOWLING GREEN (-110) and the points.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over/Under is 50.5 points and history says the total will go Over. In the last six games between these teams, the total has gone Over in five of them.

These offenses aren’t playing particularly well, though, so I’m inclined to take the UNDER (-110).

Get some action on this game or others, place a bet with BetMGM today. And for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @camdasilva and @SportsbookWire on Twitter.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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